2016 March Madness Predictions

In-game win probabilities and chances of advancing, updating live.

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See our 2018 March Madness predictions »
Women's predictions coming March 14
Games on
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Excitement index
Game 1 of 14
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Excitement index
Round-by-round probabilities
Hover to see each team's path to the championship
Chance of Reaching RoundChance of reaching round (%)
TeamRegionPower rating1st2ndSweet 1616Elite 88Final 44Champ.2Win
Forecast
Originally published March 13. Download forecast data.
Design and development by Jay Boice and Reuben Fischer-Baum. Statistical models by Nate Silver and Jay Boice.

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