2018 MLB Predictions

The Mariners are done for the season.

AL West standings

	Games back	Chance to make playoffs	Make playoffs
Astros Astros103-59	—	✓	✓
Athletics Athletics97-65	6.0	✓	—
Mariners Mariners89-73	14.0	—	—
Angels Angels80-82	23.0	—	—
Rangers Rangers67-95	36.0	—	—

Team rating

Completed games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning	Score
9/30Sunday, Sept. 303:10 p.m. Eastern	TEXRangers	Gallardo	1472	–14	+0	=1458	41%	1
9/30Sunday, Sept. 303:10 p.m. Eastern	SEAMariners	Elias	1512	–13	+24	=1523	59%	3
9/29Saturday, Sept. 299:10 p.m.	TEXRangers	Sampson	1473	+2	+0	=1475	38%	1
9/29Saturday, Sept. 299:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Paxton	1510	+26	+24	=1560	62%	4
9/28Friday, Sept. 2810:10 p.m.	TEXRangers	Perez	1476	–12	+0	=1464	40%	6
9/28Friday, Sept. 2810:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	LeBlanc	1508	+5	+24	=1537	60%	12
9/27Thursday, Sept. 2710:10 p.m.	TEXRangers	Jurado	1473	–14	–3	=1456	39%	2
9/27Thursday, Sept. 2710:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Gonzales	1510	+2	+24	=1536	61%	0
9/26Wednesday, Sept. 2610:10 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Jackson	1565	–10	+0	=1555	56%	9
9/26Wednesday, Sept. 2610:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Hernandez	1513	–22	+24	=1515	44%	3
9/25Tuesday, Sept. 2510:10 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Anderson	1567	–6	+0	=1561	53%	8
9/25Tuesday, Sept. 2510:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Leake	1511	+3	+24	=1538	47%	10
9/24Monday, Sept. 2410:10 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Mengden	1564	–7	–3	=1554	49%	7
9/24Monday, Sept. 2410:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Paxton	1514	+26	+20	=1560	51%	3
9/23Sunday, Sept. 233:05 p.m.	SEAMariners	LeBlanc	1517	+4	+0	=1521	55%	1
9/23Sunday, Sept. 233:05 p.m.	TEXRangers	Perez	1474	–15	+24	=1483	45%	6
9/22Saturday, Sept. 228:05 p.m.	SEAMariners	Gonzales	1511	–5	+0	=1506	45%	13
9/22Saturday, Sept. 228:05 p.m.	TEXRangers	Minor	1480	+36	+24	=1540	55%	0
9/21Friday, Sept. 218:05 p.m.	SEAMariners	Ramirez	1514	–10	+0	=1504	50%	3
9/21Friday, Sept. 218:05 p.m.	TEXRangers	Sadzeck	1477	+2	+26	=1505	50%	8
9/19Wednesday, Sept. 198:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Festa	1508	–9	+0	=1499	34%	9
9/19Wednesday, Sept. 198:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Keuchel	1601	–12	+24	=1613	66%	0
9/18Tuesday, Sept. 188:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Leake	1511	+4	+0	=1515	40%	0
9/18Tuesday, Sept. 188:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	James	1598	–37	+24	=1585	60%	7
9/17Monday, Sept. 178:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	LeBlanc	1508	+2	–3	=1507	38%	4
9/17Monday, Sept. 178:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Valdez	1601	–37	+24	=1588	62%	1
9/16Sunday, Sept. 164:07 p.m.	SEAMariners	Gonzales	1509	–5	+0	=1504	45%	3
9/16Sunday, Sept. 164:07 p.m.	LAAAngels	Barria	1510	+4	+24	=1538	55%	4
9/15Saturday, Sept. 159:07 p.m.	SEAMariners	Ramirez	1507	–7	+0	=1500	43%	6
9/15Saturday, Sept. 159:07 p.m.	LAAAngels	Heaney	1512	+11	+24	=1547	57%	5
9/14Friday, Sept. 1410:07 p.m.	SEAMariners	Elias	1504	–17	+0	=1487	41%	5
9/14Friday, Sept. 1410:07 p.m.	LAAAngels	Shoemaker	1515	+11	+24	=1550	59%	0
9/13Thursday, Sept. 1310:07 p.m.	SEAMariners	Leake	1500	+1	–3	=1498	46%	8
9/13Thursday, Sept. 1310:07 p.m.	LAAAngels	Despaigne	1519	–20	+24	=1523	54%	2
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 126:40 p.m.	SDPadres	Lucchesi	1448	+23	+0	=1471	41%	5
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 126:40 p.m.	SEAMariners	LeBlanc	1502	+5	+24	=1531	59%	4
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 1110:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Mitchell	1446	+2	–2	=1446	39%	2
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 1110:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Gonzales	1504	–7	+26	=1523	61%	1
9/9Sunday, Sept. 94 p.m.	NYYYankees	Sabathia	1566	+0	+0	=1566	57%	2
9/9Sunday, Sept. 94 p.m.	SEAMariners	Ramirez	1502	–6	+24	=1520	43%	3
9/8Saturday, Sept. 89:10 p.m.	NYYYankees	Lynn	1565	–21	+0	=1544	55%	4
9/8Saturday, Sept. 89:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Hernandez	1504	–22	+24	=1506	45%	2
9/7Friday, Sept. 710:10 p.m.	NYYYankees	Tanaka	1562	+15	–1	=1576	52%	4
9/7Friday, Sept. 710:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Paxton	1506	+28	+26	=1560	48%	0
9/5Wednesday, Sept. 510:10 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cashner	1416	+0	+0	=1416	34%	2
9/5Wednesday, Sept. 510:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Leake	1505	+0	+24	=1529	66%	5
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 410:10 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cobb	1414	+15	+0	=1429	35%	5
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 410:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	LeBlanc	1507	+3	+24	=1534	65%	3
9/3Monday, Sept. 39:10 p.m.	BALOrioles	Rogers	1414	+2	–4	=1412	35%	1
9/3Monday, Sept. 39:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Ramirez	1506	–9	+21	=1518	65%	2
9/2Sunday, Sept. 24:05 p.m.	SEAMariners	Hernandez	1509	–21	+0	=1488	40%	2
9/2Sunday, Sept. 24:05 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Jackson	1550	–15	+24	=1559	60%	8
9/1Saturday, Sept. 19:05 p.m.	SEAMariners	Paxton	1507	+29	+0	=1536	46%	8
9/1Saturday, Sept. 19:05 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Hendriks	1552	–11	+24	=1565	54%	7
8/31Friday, Aug. 3110:05 p.m.	SEAMariners	Leake	1509	+7	+0	=1516	39%	5
8/31Friday, Aug. 3110:05 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Fiers	1551	+16	+24	=1591	61%	7
8/30Thursday, Aug. 3010:05 p.m.	SEAMariners	LeBlanc	1505	–2	–2	=1501	41%	7
8/30Thursday, Aug. 3010:05 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Montas	1555	–10	+20	=1565	59%	1
8/29Wednesday, Aug. 293:40 p.m.	SEAMariners	Ramirez	1508	–1	+0	=1507	53%	3
8/29Wednesday, Aug. 293:40 p.m.	SDPadres	Lucchesi	1440	+19	+24	=1483	47%	8
8/28Tuesday, Aug. 2810:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Hernandez	1509	–26	+0	=1483	52%	1
8/28Tuesday, Aug. 2810:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Nix	1438	+9	+25	=1472	48%	2
8/26Sunday, Aug. 264:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Leake	1511	+7	+0	=1518	42%	2
8/26Sunday, Aug. 264:10 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Greinke	1532	+20	+24	=1576	58%	5
8/25Saturday, Aug. 258:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	LeBlanc	1509	–6	+0	=1503	43%	4
8/25Saturday, Aug. 258:10 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Ray	1534	–8	+24	=1550	57%	3
8/24Friday, Aug. 249:40 p.m.	SEAMariners	Ramirez	1507	–3	–1	=1503	43%	6
8/24Friday, Aug. 249:40 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Godley	1536	–9	+26	=1553	57%	3
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 224 p.m.	HOUAstros	Morton	1583	+1	+0	=1584	57%	10
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 224 p.m.	SEAMariners	Gonzales	1509	–1	+24	=1532	43%	7
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 2110:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Peacock	1582	–20	+0	=1562	55%	3
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 2110:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Vincent	1510	–11	+24	=1523	45%	2
8/20Monday, Aug. 2010:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Cole	1585	+13	–3	=1595	63%	4
8/20Monday, Aug. 2010:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Hernandez	1507	–28	+24	=1503	37%	7
8/19Sunday, Aug. 194:10 p.m.	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1556	+22	+0	=1578	58%	12
8/19Sunday, Aug. 194:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Elias	1511	–15	+24	=1520	42%	1
8/18Saturday, Aug. 1810:10 p.m.	LADDodgers	Hill	1558	+2	+0	=1560	55%	4
8/18Saturday, Aug. 1810:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Ramirez	1509	–7	+24	=1526	45%	5
8/17Friday, Aug. 1710:10 p.m.	LADDodgers	Buehler	1553	+6	–1	=1558	53%	11
8/17Friday, Aug. 1710:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	LeBlanc	1513	–2	+23	=1534	47%	1
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 153:35 p.m.	SEAMariners	Leake	1511	–2	+0	=1509	44%	2
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 153:35 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Anderson	1548	–21	+24	=1551	56%	0
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 1410:05 p.m.	SEAMariners	Paxton	1512	+30	+0	=1542	45%	2
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 1410:05 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Fiers	1547	+7	+24	=1578	55%	3
8/13Monday, Aug. 1310:05 p.m.	SEAMariners	Gonzales	1513	+0	–4	=1509	41%	6
8/13Monday, Aug. 1310:05 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Manaea	1546	+9	+22	=1577	59%	7
8/12Sunday, Aug. 122:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Ramirez	1512	–11	+0	=1501	36%	4
8/12Sunday, Aug. 122:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Keuchel	1589	–11	+24	=1602	64%	3
8/11Saturday, Aug. 117:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	LeBlanc	1510	–2	+0	=1508	35%	3
8/11Saturday, Aug. 117:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Morton	1591	+1	+24	=1616	65%	2
8/10Friday, Aug. 108:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Leake	1506	–3	+0	=1503	33%	5
8/10Friday, Aug. 108:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Cole	1594	+9	+24	=1627	67%	2
8/9Thursday, Aug. 98:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Paxton	1504	+33	–2	=1535	35%	8
8/9Thursday, Aug. 98:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Verlander	1597	+26	+22	=1645	65%	6
8/8Wednesday, Aug. 82:05 p.m.	SEAMariners	Gonzales	1506	+7	+0	=1513	52%	7
8/8Wednesday, Aug. 82:05 p.m.	TEXRangers	Gallardo	1489	–14	+24	=1499	48%	11
8/7Tuesday, Aug. 78:05 p.m.	SEAMariners	Hernandez	1510	–23	+0	=1487	48%	4
8/7Tuesday, Aug. 78:05 p.m.	TEXRangers	Colon	1486	–12	+24	=1498	52%	11
8/6Monday, Aug. 68:05 p.m.	SEAMariners	LeBlanc	1508	–10	–4	=1494	49%	4
8/6Monday, Aug. 68:05 p.m.	TEXRangers	Perez	1487	–12	+24	=1499	51%	3
8/5Sunday, Aug. 54:10 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Gaviglio	1488	–17	+0	=1471	42%	3
8/5Sunday, Aug. 54:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Leake	1507	–5	+24	=1526	58%	6
8/4Saturday, Aug. 410 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Estrada	1484	+1	+0	=1485	39%	5
8/4Saturday, Aug. 410 p.m.	SEAMariners	Paxton	1510	+32	+24	=1566	61%	1
8/3Friday, Aug. 310:10 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Borucki	1481	+5	+0	=1486	42%	7
8/3Friday, Aug. 310:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Gonzales	1514	+7	+24	=1545	58%	2
8/2Thursday, Aug. 210:10 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Clippard	1478	–8	–3	=1467	43%	7
8/2Thursday, Aug. 210:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Hernandez	1517	–23	+24	=1518	57%	3
8/1Wednesday, Aug. 14:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Keuchel	1586	–13	+0	=1573	55%	8
8/1Wednesday, Aug. 14:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	LeBlanc	1519	–4	+24	=1539	45%	3
7/31Tuesday, July 3110:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Morton	1584	–2	+0	=1582	56%	5
7/31Tuesday, July 3110:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Leake	1521	–6	+24	=1539	44%	2
7/30Monday, July 3010:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Cole	1586	+9	–4	=1591	54%	0
7/30Monday, July 3010:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Paxton	1519	+26	+21	=1566	46%	2
7/29Sunday, July 294 p.m.	SEAMariners	Gonzales	1517	+6	+0	=1523	47%	8
7/29Sunday, July 294 p.m.	LAAAngels	Pena	1519	–1	+24	=1542	53%	5
7/28Saturday, July 289:07 p.m.	SEAMariners	Hernandez	1520	–18	+0	=1502	46%	5
7/28Saturday, July 289:07 p.m.	LAAAngels	Barria	1516	–9	+24	=1531	54%	11
7/27Friday, July 2710:07 p.m.	SEAMariners	LeBlanc	1521	–5	–1	=1515	46%	3
7/27Friday, July 2710:07 p.m.	LAAAngels	Heaney	1515	+3	+24	=1542	54%	4
7/25Wednesday, July 254:10 p.m.	SFGiants	Holland	1504	–11	+0	=1493	44%	2
7/25Wednesday, July 254:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Leake	1520	–8	+24	=1536	56%	3
7/24Tuesday, July 2410:10 p.m.	SFGiants	Suarez	1503	+12	–1	=1514	48%	4
7/24Tuesday, July 2410:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Elias	1521	–19	+26	=1528	52%	3
7/22Sunday, July 224:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1440	+5	+0	=1445	36%	2
7/22Sunday, July 224:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Gonzales	1519	+4	+24	=1547	64%	8
7/21Saturday, July 2110:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Covey	1436	–22	+0	=1414	34%	5
7/21Saturday, July 2110:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Hernandez	1523	–16	+24	=1531	66%	0
7/20Friday, July 2010 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Shields	1437	+7	+3	=1447	37%	1
7/20Friday, July 2010 p.m.	SEAMariners	LeBlanc	1522	–10	+28	=1540	63%	3
7/15Sunday, July 153:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Leake	1523	–11	+0	=1512	45%	3
7/15Sunday, July 153:10 p.m.	COLRockies	Anderson	1508	+16	+24	=1548	55%	4
7/14Saturday, July 149:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	LeBlanc	1525	–9	+0	=1516	48%	1
7/14Saturday, July 149:10 p.m.	COLRockies	Gray	1507	–1	+24	=1530	52%	4
7/13Friday, July 138:40 p.m.	SEAMariners	Bergman	1527	–24	–3	=1500	48%	7
7/13Friday, July 138:40 p.m.	COLRockies	Senzatela	1505	–16	+24	=1513	52%	10
7/12Thursday, July 1210:07 p.m.	SEAMariners	Paxton	1532	+31	+0	=1563	52%	2
7/12Thursday, July 1210:07 p.m.	LAAAngels	Skaggs	1510	+13	+24	=1547	48%	11
7/11Wednesday, July 1110:07 p.m.	SEAMariners	Gonzales	1529	–2	+0	=1527	49%	3
7/11Wednesday, July 1110:07 p.m.	LAAAngels	Barria	1512	–5	+24	=1531	51%	0
7/10Tuesday, July 1010:07 p.m.	SEAMariners	Leake	1533	–5	–1	=1527	48%	3
7/10Tuesday, July 1010:07 p.m.	LAAAngels	Richards	1509	+8	+26	=1543	52%	9
7/8Sunday, July 84:10 p.m.	COLRockies	Senzatela	1499	–12	+0	=1487	42%	4
7/8Sunday, July 84:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	LeBlanc	1531	–9	+24	=1546	58%	6
7/7Saturday, July 74:10 p.m.	COLRockies	Freeland	1496	+10	+0	=1506	38%	5
7/7Saturday, July 74:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Paxton	1535	+31	+24	=1590	62%	1
7/6Friday, July 610:10 p.m.	COLRockies	Marquez	1492	–10	–1	=1481	41%	7
7/6Friday, July 610:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Hernandez	1539	–17	+24	=1546	59%	1
7/5Thursday, July 510 p.m.	LAAAngels	Barria	1510	–3	+0	=1507	43%	1
7/5Thursday, July 510 p.m.	SEAMariners	Gonzales	1537	–7	+24	=1554	57%	4
7/4Wednesday, July 44:10 p.m.	LAAAngels	Richards	1507	+11	+0	=1518	44%	7
7/4Wednesday, July 44:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Leake	1539	–2	+24	=1561	56%	4
7/3Tuesday, July 310:10 p.m.	LAAAngels	Heaney	1509	–6	–2	=1501	43%	1
7/3Tuesday, July 310:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	LeBlanc	1538	–13	+26	=1551	57%	4
7/1Sunday, July 14:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Keller	1417	+12	+0	=1429	29%	0
7/1Sunday, July 14:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Paxton	1537	+27	+24	=1588	71%	1
6/30Saturday, June 3010:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Hammel	1418	–11	+0	=1407	31%	4
6/30Saturday, June 3010:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Hernandez	1536	–14	+24	=1546	69%	6
6/29Friday, June 2910:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Kennedy	1419	–6	–2	=1411	32%	1
6/29Friday, June 2910:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Gonzales	1535	–11	+20	=1544	68%	4
6/28Thursday, June 283:05 p.m.	SEAMariners	Leake	1533	–1	+0	=1532	61%	4
6/28Thursday, June 283:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Yacabonis	1434	–2	+24	=1456	39%	2
6/27Wednesday, June 277:05 p.m.	SEAMariners	LeBlanc	1532	–10	+0	=1522	59%	8
6/27Wednesday, June 277:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cobb	1435	–3	+24	=1456	41%	7
6/26Tuesday, June 267:05 p.m.	SEAMariners	Paxton	1531	+26	+0	=1557	62%	3
6/26Tuesday, June 267:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Gausman	1436	+15	+24	=1475	38%	2
6/25Monday, June 257:05 p.m.	SEAMariners	Hernandez	1530	–13	–2	=1515	58%	5
6/25Monday, June 257:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cashner	1437	+0	+21	=1458	42%	3
6/24Sunday, June 241:05 p.m.	SEAMariners	Gonzales	1532	–11	+0	=1521	34%	0
6/24Sunday, June 241:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Sale	1571	+39	+24	=1634	66%	5
6/23Saturday, June 237:15 p.m.	SEAMariners	Leake	1528	–7	+0	=1521	39%	7
6/23Saturday, June 237:15 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Rodriguez	1575	+2	+24	=1601	61%	2
6/22Friday, June 227:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	LeBlanc	1530	–5	–2	=1523	42%	10
6/22Friday, June 227:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Wright	1573	–16	+21	=1578	58%	14
6/21Thursday, June 211:05 p.m.	SEAMariners	Paxton	1531	+30	+0	=1561	38%	3
6/21Thursday, June 211:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Severino	1591	+35	+24	=1650	62%	4
6/20Wednesday, June 207:05 p.m.	SEAMariners	Hernandez	1532	–15	+0	=1517	40%	5
6/20Wednesday, June 207:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Loaisiga	1589	–27	+24	=1586	60%	7
6/19Tuesday, June 197:05 p.m.	SEAMariners	Gonzales	1535	–8	–2	=1525	42%	2
6/19Tuesday, June 197:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	German	1587	–26	+22	=1583	58%	7
6/17Sunday, June 174:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Rodriguez	1572	+1	+0	=1573	53%	9
6/17Sunday, June 174:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Leake	1538	–6	+24	=1556	47%	3
6/16Saturday, June 168:15 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Wright	1574	–16	+0	=1558	52%	0
6/16Saturday, June 168:15 p.m.	SEAMariners	LeBlanc	1536	–14	+24	=1546	48%	1
6/15Friday, June 1510:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Porcello	1575	–10	+0	=1565	45%	6
6/15Friday, June 1510:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Paxton	1535	+38	+24	=1597	55%	7
6/14Thursday, June 1410:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Price	1574	+2	–4	=1572	54%	2
6/14Thursday, June 1410:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Hernandez	1536	–17	+24	=1543	46%	1
6/13Wednesday, June 134:10 p.m.	LAAAngels	Richards	1519	+11	+0	=1530	47%	6
6/13Wednesday, June 134:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Gonzales	1535	–7	+24	=1552	53%	8
6/12Tuesday, June 1210:10 p.m.	LAAAngels	Barria	1521	+6	+0	=1527	47%	3
6/12Tuesday, June 1210:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Leake	1532	–7	+24	=1549	53%	6
6/11Monday, June 1110:10 p.m.	LAAAngels	Heaney	1523	–2	–3	=1518	47%	3
6/11Monday, June 1110:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	LeBlanc	1531	–14	+20	=1537	53%	5
6/10Sunday, June 101:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Paxton	1530	+37	+0	=1567	57%	5
6/10Sunday, June 101:10 p.m.	TBRays	Eovaldi	1495	+2	+24	=1521	43%	4
6/9Saturday, June 94:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Hernandez	1532	–13	+0	=1519	46%	3
6/9Saturday, June 94:10 p.m.	TBRays	Snell	1493	+30	+24	=1547	54%	7
6/8Friday, June 87:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Gonzales	1531	–11	+0	=1520	52%	4
6/8Friday, June 87:10 p.m.	TBRays	Font	1494	–15	+24	=1503	48%	3
6/7Thursday, June 77:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Leake	1529	–9	–3	=1517	52%	5
6/7Thursday, June 77:10 p.m.	TBRays	Stanek	1495	–15	+21	=1501	48%	4
6/6Wednesday, June 68:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	LeBlanc	1531	–12	+0	=1519	38%	5
6/6Wednesday, June 68:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	McCullers Jr.	1593	–16	+24	=1601	62%	7
6/5Tuesday, June 58:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Paxton	1527	+35	–2	=1560	43%	7
6/5Tuesday, June 58:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Keuchel	1597	–14	+26	=1609	57%	1
6/3Sunday, June 34:10 p.m.	TBRays	Snell	1501	+24	+0	=1525	49%	1
6/3Sunday, June 34:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Hernandez	1525	–17	+24	=1532	51%	2
6/2Saturday, June 210:10 p.m.	TBRays	Archer	1503	+7	+0	=1510	46%	1
6/2Saturday, June 210:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Gonzales	1524	–12	+24	=1536	54%	3
6/1Friday, June 110:10 p.m.	TBRays	Romo	1504	–21	–3	=1480	42%	3
6/1Friday, June 110:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Leake	1523	–9	+24	=1538	58%	4
5/31Thursday, May 3110:10 p.m.	TEXRangers	Minor	1482	+1	+0	=1483	43%	1
5/31Thursday, May 3110:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	LeBlanc	1520	–10	+24	=1534	57%	6
5/30Wednesday, May 3010:10 p.m.	TEXRangers	Moore	1480	–24	+0	=1456	32%	7
5/30Wednesday, May 3010:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Paxton	1522	+39	+24	=1585	68%	6
5/29Tuesday, May 2910:10 p.m.	TEXRangers	Bibens-Dirkx	1477	–1	+0	=1476	41%	9
5/29Tuesday, May 2910:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Hernandez	1525	–14	+24	=1535	59%	5
5/28Monday, May 284:10 p.m.	TEXRangers	Fister	1478	+1	–4	=1475	42%	1
5/28Monday, May 284:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Gonzales	1524	–15	+24	=1533	58%	2
5/27Sunday, May 274:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Berrios	1501	+11	+0	=1512	47%	1
5/27Sunday, May 274:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Leake	1523	–14	+24	=1533	53%	3
5/26Saturday, May 2610:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Odorizzi	1502	+4	+0	=1506	46%	3
5/26Saturday, May 2610:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	LeBlanc	1521	–11	+24	=1534	54%	4
5/25Friday, May 2510:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Romero	1503	+1	–1	=1503	39%	1
5/25Friday, May 2510:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Paxton	1520	+38	+21	=1579	61%	2
5/24Thursday, May 243:35 p.m.	SEAMariners	Hernandez	1522	–12	+0	=1510	48%	3
5/24Thursday, May 243:35 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Lucas	1505	–6	+24	=1523	52%	4
5/23Wednesday, May 2310:05 p.m.	SEAMariners	Gonzales	1520	–19	+0	=1501	51%	1
5/23Wednesday, May 2310:05 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Gossett	1507	–34	+24	=1497	49%	0
5/22Tuesday, May 2210:05 p.m.	SEAMariners	Leake	1519	–14	–1	=1504	47%	3
5/22Tuesday, May 2210:05 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Cahill	1508	–3	+22	=1527	53%	2
5/20Sunday, May 204:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Liriano	1450	+2	+0	=1452	38%	2
5/20Sunday, May 204:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	LeBlanc	1518	–8	+24	=1534	62%	3
5/19Saturday, May 199:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Fiers	1451	–8	+0	=1443	32%	2
5/19Saturday, May 199:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Paxton	1516	+36	+24	=1576	68%	7
5/18Friday, May 1810:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Fulmer	1452	+20	+0	=1472	42%	4
5/18Friday, May 1810:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Hernandez	1515	–9	+24	=1530	58%	5
5/17Thursday, May 1710:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1451	+10	–4	=1457	41%	3
5/17Thursday, May 1710:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Gonzales	1517	–21	+24	=1520	59%	2
5/16Wednesday, May 163:40 p.m.	TEXRangers	Colon	1479	–7	+0	=1472	43%	5
5/16Wednesday, May 163:40 p.m.	SEAMariners	Bergman	1520	–24	+24	=1520	57%	1
5/15Tuesday, May 1510:10 p.m.	TEXRangers	Minor	1480	+9	–2	=1487	44%	8
5/15Tuesday, May 1510:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Leake	1519	–9	+21	=1531	56%	9
5/14Monday, May 147:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	LeBlanc	1517	–12	–3	=1502	47%	1
5/14Monday, May 147:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Odorizzi	1506	+0	+20	=1526	53%	0
5/13Sunday, May 131:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Paxton	1519	+39	+0	=1558	63%	4
5/13Sunday, May 131:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Hardy	1447	–3	+24	=1468	37%	5
5/12Saturday, May 127:40 p.m.	SEAMariners	Hernandez	1517	–5	+0	=1512	52%	9
5/12Saturday, May 127:40 p.m.	DETTigers	Fulmer	1449	+24	+24	=1497	48%	5
5/12Saturday, May 124:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Gonzales	1518	–17	+0	=1501	53%	3
5/12Saturday, May 124:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1448	+7	+26	=1481	47%	4
5/10Thursday, May 107:07 p.m.	SEAMariners	Leake	1514	–11	+0	=1503	41%	9
5/10Thursday, May 107:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Happ	1512	+27	+24	=1563	59%	3
5/9Wednesday, May 97:07 p.m.	SEAMariners	LeBlanc	1516	–15	+0	=1501	48%	2
5/9Wednesday, May 97:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Garcia	1510	–17	+24	=1517	52%	5
5/8Tuesday, May 87:07 p.m.	SEAMariners	Paxton	1513	+33	–2	=1544	51%	5
5/8Tuesday, May 87:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Stroman	1513	+3	+23	=1539	49%	0
5/6Sunday, May 64:10 p.m.	LAAAngels	Ohtani	1521	–4	+0	=1517	46%	8
5/6Sunday, May 64:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Hernandez	1517	+1	+24	=1542	54%	2
5/5Saturday, May 59:10 p.m.	LAAAngels	Skaggs	1522	+8	+0	=1530	51%	8
5/5Saturday, May 59:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Gonzales	1516	–15	+24	=1525	49%	9
5/4Friday, May 410:10 p.m.	LAAAngels	Richards	1519	+13	–3	=1529	49%	5
5/4Friday, May 410:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Leake	1519	–9	+24	=1534	51%	0
5/3Thursday, May 310:10 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Manaea	1499	+28	+0	=1527	51%	1
5/3Thursday, May 310:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	LeBlanc	1516	–17	+24	=1523	49%	4
5/2Wednesday, May 210:10 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Anderson	1497	–22	+0	=1475	37%	3
5/2Wednesday, May 210:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Paxton	1518	+27	+24	=1569	63%	2
5/1Tuesday, May 110:10 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Triggs	1499	–1	–2	=1496	44%	3
5/1Tuesday, May 110:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Hernandez	1516	+1	+22	=1539	56%	6
4/29Sunday, April 291:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Gonzales	1512	–16	+0	=1496	43%	10
4/29Sunday, April 291:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Tomlin	1565	–42	+24	=1547	57%	4
4/28Saturday, April 284:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Leake	1507	–8	+0	=1499	34%	12
4/28Saturday, April 284:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Carrasco	1571	+19	+24	=1614	66%	4
4/27Friday, April 277:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Ramirez	1508	+1	+0	=1509	33%	5
4/27Friday, April 277:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Kluber	1570	+38	+24	=1632	67%	6
4/26Thursday, April 266:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Paxton	1506	+26	–2	=1530	41%	5
4/26Thursday, April 266:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Clevinger	1572	–5	+24	=1591	59%	4
4/25Wednesday, April 252:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Hernandez	1505	+1	+0	=1506	58%	4
4/25Wednesday, April 252:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Shields	1439	–11	+24	=1452	42%	3
4/24Tuesday, April 245:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Gonzales	1504	–25	+0	=1479	53%	1
4/24Tuesday, April 245:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Volstad	1440	–5	+24	=1459	47%	0
4/23Monday, April 238:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Leake	1508	+1	–3	=1506	57%	4
4/23Monday, April 238:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Fulmer	1436	–8	+24	=1452	43%	10
4/22Sunday, April 223:05 p.m.	SEAMariners	Ramirez	1510	+3	+0	=1513	54%	4
4/22Sunday, April 223:05 p.m.	TEXRangers	Perez	1481	–18	+24	=1487	46%	7
4/21Saturday, April 218:05 p.m.	SEAMariners	Paxton	1508	+27	+0	=1535	56%	9
4/21Saturday, April 218:05 p.m.	TEXRangers	Colon	1483	–12	+24	=1495	44%	7
4/20Friday, April 208:05 p.m.	SEAMariners	Hernandez	1506	–3	–4	=1499	48%	6
4/20Friday, April 208:05 p.m.	TEXRangers	Minor	1486	+8	+23	=1517	52%	2
4/19Thursday, April 193:40 p.m.	HOUAstros	Morton	1579	–6	+0	=1573	60%	9
4/19Thursday, April 193:40 p.m.	SEAMariners	Gonzales	1508	–33	+24	=1499	40%	2
4/18Wednesday, April 1810:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Cole	1576	–5	+0	=1571	55%	7
4/18Wednesday, April 1810:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Leake	1511	+1	+24	=1536	45%	1
4/17Tuesday, April 1710:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	McCullers Jr.	1574	–23	+0	=1551	53%	4
4/17Tuesday, April 1710:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Miranda	1513	–9	+24	=1528	47%	1
4/16Monday, April 1610:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Keuchel	1575	–6	–4	=1565	50%	1
4/16Monday, April 1610:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Paxton	1512	+27	+24	=1563	50%	2
4/15Sunday, April 154:10 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Manaea	1484	+16	+0	=1500	45%	2
4/15Sunday, April 154:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Hernandez	1514	–5	+24	=1533	55%	1
4/14Saturday, April 149:10 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Graveman	1486	–9	+0	=1477	46%	8
4/14Saturday, April 149:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Gonzales	1512	–32	+24	=1504	54%	10
4/13Friday, April 1310:10 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Triggs	1487	+6	–1	=1492	44%	4
4/13Friday, April 1310:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Leake	1510	+3	+22	=1535	56%	7
4/11Wednesday, April 112:15 p.m.	SEAMariners	Paxton	1509	+26	+0	=1535	57%	4
4/11Wednesday, April 112:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Duffy	1454	+10	+24	=1488	43%	2
4/10Tuesday, April 108:15 p.m.	SEAMariners	Hernandez	1506	–5	+0	=1501	58%	8
4/10Tuesday, April 108:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Skoglund	1457	–34	+24	=1447	42%	3
4/9Monday, April 98:15 p.m.	SEAMariners	Gonzales	1511	–27	+0	=1484	50%	0
4/9Monday, April 98:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Junis	1452	+11	+21	=1484	50%	10
4/7Saturday, April 72:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Leake	1507	+2	+2	=1511	44%	11
4/7Saturday, April 72:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Berrios	1518	+6	+26	=1550	56%	4
4/5Thursday, April 54:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Paxton	1508	+24	–4	=1528	49%	2
4/5Thursday, April 54:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Gibson	1516	–1	+21	=1536	51%	4
4/4Wednesday, April 47:15 p.m.	SEAMariners	Hernandez	1512	+4	+0	=1516	49%	1
4/4Wednesday, April 47:15 p.m.	SFGiants	Cueto	1492	+10	+24	=1526	51%	10
4/3Tuesday, April 34:35 p.m.	SEAMariners	Gonzales	1510	–29	–1	=1480	47%	6
4/3Tuesday, April 34:35 p.m.	SFGiants	Blach	1494	–15	+24	=1503	53%	4
4/1Sunday, April 14:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Bauer	1576	–9	+0	=1567	55%	4
4/1Sunday, April 14:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Leake	1509	–1	+24	=1532	45%	5
3/31Saturday, March 314:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Carrasco	1574	+16	+2	=1592	54%	6
3/31Saturday, March 314:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Paxton	1510	+28	+26	=1564	46%	5
3/29Thursday, March 2910 p.m.	CLEIndians	Kluber	1576	+37	–4	=1609	61%	1
3/29Thursday, March 2910 p.m.	SEAMariners	Hernandez	1508	–1	+24	=1531	39%	2

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

2018 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

AL West standings

Team rating

Completed games

Comments

2018 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

AL West standings

Team rating

Completed games

Related Stories

Comments