2018 MLB Predictions

The Nationals are done for the season.

NL East standings

	Games back	Chance to make playoffs	Make playoffs
Braves Braves90-72	—	✓	✓
Nationals Nationals82-80	8.0	—	—
Phillies Phillies80-82	10.0	—	—
Mets Mets77-85	13.0	—	—
Marlins Marlins63-98	26.5	—	—

Team rating

Completed games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning	Score
9/30Sunday, Sept. 303:10 p.m. Eastern	WSHNationals	Fedde	1530	–28	+0	=1502	44%	0
9/30Sunday, Sept. 303:10 p.m. Eastern	COLRockies	Anderson	1531	–11	+24	=1544	56%	12
9/29Saturday, Sept. 298:10 p.m.	WSHNationals	Strasburg	1525	+23	+0	=1548	50%	12
9/29Saturday, Sept. 298:10 p.m.	COLRockies	Gray	1535	–8	+24	=1551	50%	2
9/28Friday, Sept. 288:10 p.m.	WSHNationals	Ross	1527	–18	–2	=1507	41%	2
9/28Friday, Sept. 288:10 p.m.	COLRockies	Freeland	1534	+17	+24	=1575	59%	5
9/26Wednesday, Sept. 264:05 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Chen	1430	+8	+0	=1438	37%	3
9/26Wednesday, Sept. 264:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	McGowin	1525	–21	+24	=1528	63%	9
9/25Tuesday, Sept. 257:05 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Brigham	1432	–11	+0	=1421	27%	4
9/25Tuesday, Sept. 257:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Scherzer	1524	+49	+24	=1597	73%	9
9/24Monday, Sept. 247:05 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Alcantara	1433	+0	–3	=1430	31%	3
9/24Monday, Sept. 247:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Strasburg	1522	+25	+24	=1571	69%	7
9/23Sunday, Sept. 231:35 p.m.	NYMMets	Matz	1497	–18	+0	=1479	43%	8
9/23Sunday, Sept. 231:35 p.m.	WSHNationals	Fedde	1524	–24	+24	=1524	57%	6
9/22Saturday, Sept. 224 p.m.	NYMMets	Oswalt	1500	–33	+0	=1467	43%	0
9/22Saturday, Sept. 224 p.m.	WSHNationals	Voth	1522	–32	+24	=1514	57%	6
9/21Friday, Sept. 217:05 p.m.	NYMMets	deGrom	1498	+49	+0	=1547	52%	4
9/21Friday, Sept. 217:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Ross	1523	–16	+24	=1531	48%	2
9/20Thursday, Sept. 207:05 p.m.	NYMMets	Vargas	1496	–34	–2	=1460	31%	5
9/20Thursday, Sept. 207:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Scherzer	1525	+50	+23	=1598	69%	4
9/18Tuesday, Sept. 187:10 p.m.	WSHNationals	Strasburg	1524	+25	+0	=1549	62%	4
9/18Tuesday, Sept. 187:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Alcantara	1428	+10	+24	=1462	38%	2
9/17Monday, Sept. 177:10 p.m.	WSHNationals	Fedde	1527	–25	–3	=1499	58%	5
9/17Monday, Sept. 177:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Richards	1425	–3	+21	=1443	42%	8
9/16Sunday, Sept. 161:35 p.m.	WSHNationals	Roark	1525	–9	+0	=1516	47%	6
9/16Sunday, Sept. 161:35 p.m.	ATLBraves	Newcomb	1524	–11	+24	=1537	53%	4
9/15Saturday, Sept. 151:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Hellickson	1521	–14	+0	=1507	44%	7
9/15Saturday, Sept. 151:05 p.m.	ATLBraves	Teheran	1528	+1	+24	=1553	56%	1
9/14Friday, Sept. 147:35 p.m.	WSHNationals	Scherzer	1524	+57	–3	=1578	54%	5
9/14Friday, Sept. 147:35 p.m.	ATLBraves	Gausman	1524	+1	+22	=1547	46%	10
9/13Thursday, Sept. 134:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Montgomery	1545	–4	–3	=1538	51%	4
9/13Thursday, Sept. 134:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Ross	1526	–18	+22	=1530	49%	3
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 127 p.m.	WSHNationals	Strasburg	1523	+21	+0	=1544	48%	5
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 127 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Nola	1486	+47	+24	=1557	52%	1
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 117:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Roark	1522	–7	+0	=1515	51%	7
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 117:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Arrieta	1487	+0	+24	=1511	49%	6
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 113:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Fedde	1520	–36	+3	=1487	46%	3
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 113:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Pivetta	1489	+0	+25	=1514	54%	1
9/8Saturday, Sept. 87:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hamels	1550	+16	+0	=1566	59%	5
9/8Saturday, Sept. 87:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Rodriguez	1518	–38	+24	=1504	41%	6
9/8Saturday, Sept. 83:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Garcia	1552	–30	+2	=1524	40%	3
9/8Saturday, Sept. 83:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Scherzer	1515	+57	+26	=1598	60%	10
9/6Thursday, Sept. 67:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hendricks	1550	+12	–3	=1559	49%	6
9/6Thursday, Sept. 67:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Strasburg	1517	+24	+24	=1565	51%	4
9/5Wednesday, Sept. 57:05 p.m.	STLCardinals	Mikolas	1542	+7	+0	=1549	51%	7
9/5Wednesday, Sept. 57:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Roark	1519	–1	+24	=1542	49%	6
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 47:05 p.m.	STLCardinals	Gant	1540	–7	+0	=1533	54%	11
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 47:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Fedde	1521	–39	+24	=1506	46%	8
9/3Monday, Sept. 31:05 p.m.	STLCardinals	Flaherty	1541	+15	–3	=1553	43%	3
9/3Monday, Sept. 31:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Scherzer	1519	+55	+24	=1598	57%	4
9/2Sunday, Sept. 21:35 p.m.	MILBrewers	Guerra	1516	–20	+0	=1496	47%	9
9/2Sunday, Sept. 21:35 p.m.	WSHNationals	Rodriguez	1523	–27	+24	=1520	53%	4
9/1Saturday, Sept. 17:05 p.m.	MILBrewers	Anderson	1517	+3	+0	=1520	43%	4
9/1Saturday, Sept. 17:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Strasburg	1521	+21	+24	=1566	57%	5
8/31Friday, Aug. 317:05 p.m.	MILBrewers	Chacin	1514	+13	–2	=1525	47%	4
8/31Friday, Aug. 317:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Roark	1524	+1	+24	=1549	53%	1
8/29Wednesday, Aug. 297:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Gonzalez	1526	–23	+0	=1503	47%	6
8/29Wednesday, Aug. 297:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Arrieta	1496	+2	+24	=1522	53%	8
8/28Tuesday, Aug. 287:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Scherzer	1524	+56	+0	=1580	52%	5
8/28Tuesday, Aug. 287:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Nola	1497	+47	+24	=1568	48%	4
8/27Monday, Aug. 277:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Strasburg	1523	+19	–1	=1541	56%	5
8/27Monday, Aug. 277:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Eflin	1498	–19	+22	=1501	44%	3
8/26Sunday, Aug. 261:10 p.m.	WSHNationals	Rodriguez	1517	–34	+0	=1483	49%	15
8/26Sunday, Aug. 261:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Matz	1486	–23	+24	=1487	51%	0
8/25Saturday, Aug. 254:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Roark	1519	–2	+0	=1517	50%	0
8/25Saturday, Aug. 254:05 p.m.	NYMMets	Wheeler	1484	+8	+24	=1516	50%	3
8/24Friday, Aug. 247:10 p.m.	WSHNationals	Gonzalez	1521	–24	–2	=1495	53%	0
8/24Friday, Aug. 247:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Vargas	1482	–33	+24	=1473	47%	3
8/23Thursday, Aug. 231 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Nola	1496	+42	+0	=1538	40%	2
8/23Thursday, Aug. 231 p.m.	WSHNationals	Scherzer	1524	+58	+24	=1606	60%	0
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 227:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Eflin	1497	–14	+0	=1483	37%	7
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 227:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Strasburg	1523	+27	+24	=1574	63%	8
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 217:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Velasquez	1500	–2	+0	=1498	44%	4
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 217:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Roark	1520	–3	+26	=1543	56%	10
8/19Sunday, Aug. 191:35 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Urena	1429	+0	+0	=1429	36%	12
8/19Sunday, Aug. 191:35 p.m.	WSHNationals	Gonzalez	1527	–19	+24	=1532	64%	1
8/18Saturday, Aug. 187:05 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Chen	1426	+0	+0	=1426	37%	7
8/18Saturday, Aug. 187:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Rodriguez	1529	–33	+24	=1520	63%	5
8/17Friday, Aug. 177:05 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Straily	1427	–6	–1	=1420	26%	2
8/17Friday, Aug. 177:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Scherzer	1528	+55	+21	=1604	74%	8
8/16Thursday, Aug. 167:15 p.m.	WSHNationals	Roark	1526	–3	+0	=1523	48%	5
8/16Thursday, Aug. 167:15 p.m.	STLCardinals	Weaver	1532	–16	+24	=1540	52%	4
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 158:15 p.m.	WSHNationals	Hellickson	1528	–16	+0	=1512	46%	2
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 158:15 p.m.	STLCardinals	Gomber	1530	–14	+24	=1540	54%	4
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 148:15 p.m.	WSHNationals	Gonzalez	1530	–17	+0	=1513	46%	4
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 148:15 p.m.	STLCardinals	Gant	1529	–14	+24	=1539	54%	6
8/13Monday, Aug. 138 p.m.	WSHNationals	Milone	1531	–42	–2	=1487	39%	6
8/13Monday, Aug. 138 p.m.	STLCardinals	Mikolas	1528	+16	+22	=1566	61%	7
8/12Sunday, Aug. 128 p.m.	WSHNationals	Scherzer	1532	+50	+0	=1582	51%	3
8/12Sunday, Aug. 128 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hamels	1545	+4	+24	=1573	49%	4
8/11Saturday, Aug. 114:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Roark	1529	–5	+0	=1524	43%	9
8/11Saturday, Aug. 114:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Lester	1548	–3	+24	=1569	57%	4
8/10Friday, Aug. 102:20 p.m.	WSHNationals	Hellickson	1530	–19	–3	=1508	40%	2
8/10Friday, Aug. 102:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hendricks	1547	+11	+24	=1582	60%	3
8/9Thursday, Aug. 91:05 p.m.	ATLBraves	Sanchez	1514	+4	+0	=1518	48%	3
8/9Thursday, Aug. 91:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Gonzalez	1527	–18	+24	=1533	52%	6
8/8Wednesday, Aug. 87 p.m.	ATLBraves	Foltynewicz	1511	+8	+0	=1519	50%	8
8/8Wednesday, Aug. 87 p.m.	WSHNationals	Milone	1530	–36	+24	=1518	50%	3
8/7Tuesday, Aug. 77:05 p.m.	ATLBraves	Newcomb	1509	+7	+0	=1516	37%	3
8/7Tuesday, Aug. 77:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Scherzer	1533	+49	+24	=1606	63%	1
8/7Tuesday, Aug. 71:05 p.m.	ATLBraves	Fried	1512	–2	+0	=1510	49%	3
8/7Tuesday, Aug. 71:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Rodriguez	1530	–40	+26	=1516	51%	8
8/5Sunday, Aug. 51:35 p.m.	CINReds	Castillo	1476	+23	+0	=1499	43%	1
8/5Sunday, Aug. 51:35 p.m.	WSHNationals	Roark	1529	–7	+24	=1546	57%	2
8/4Saturday, Aug. 47:05 p.m.	CINReds	Harvey	1478	–5	+0	=1473	42%	2
8/4Saturday, Aug. 47:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Hellickson	1527	–19	+24	=1532	58%	6
8/4Saturday, Aug. 41:05 p.m.	CINReds	DeSclafani	1474	+12	+2	=1488	42%	7
8/4Saturday, Aug. 41:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Gonzalez	1531	–11	+26	=1546	58%	1
8/2Thursday, Aug. 27:05 p.m.	CINReds	Mahle	1475	–5	–2	=1468	32%	4
8/2Thursday, Aug. 27:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Scherzer	1529	+50	+24	=1603	68%	10
8/1Wednesday, Aug. 112:05 p.m.	NYMMets	Syndergaard	1464	+27	+0	=1491	47%	3
8/1Wednesday, Aug. 112:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Milone	1527	–42	+24	=1509	53%	5
7/31Tuesday, July 317:05 p.m.	NYMMets	Matz	1470	–6	+0	=1464	40%	4
7/31Tuesday, July 317:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Roark	1522	–11	+23	=1534	60%	25
7/29Sunday, July 291:10 p.m.	WSHNationals	Hellickson	1525	–17	+0	=1508	55%	0
7/29Sunday, July 291:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Urena	1447	+2	+24	=1473	45%	5
7/28Saturday, July 287:10 p.m.	WSHNationals	Gonzalez	1527	–13	+0	=1514	55%	1
7/28Saturday, July 287:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Richards	1445	+9	+24	=1478	45%	2
7/27Friday, July 277:10 p.m.	WSHNationals	Scherzer	1524	+48	+0	=1572	64%	9
7/27Friday, July 277:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Lopez	1447	+1	+24	=1472	36%	1
7/26Thursday, July 267:10 p.m.	WSHNationals	Milone	1521	–41	–3	=1477	50%	10
7/26Thursday, July 267:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Straily	1451	–1	+26	=1476	50%	3
7/25Wednesday, July 252:10 p.m.	WSHNationals	Roark	1517	–17	+0	=1500	43%	7
7/25Wednesday, July 252:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Peralta	1520	+7	+24	=1551	57%	3
7/24Tuesday, July 248:10 p.m.	WSHNationals	Hellickson	1519	–12	+0	=1507	45%	4
7/24Tuesday, July 248:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Guerra	1519	–1	+24	=1542	55%	5
7/23Monday, July 238:10 p.m.	WSHNationals	Gonzalez	1521	–8	–3	=1510	45%	1
7/23Monday, July 238:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Chacin	1516	+4	+24	=1544	55%	6
7/22Sunday, July 221:35 p.m.	ATLBraves	Foltynewicz	1513	+13	+2	=1528	40%	2
7/22Sunday, July 221:35 p.m.	WSHNationals	Scherzer	1519	+50	+26	=1595	60%	6
7/20Friday, July 207:05 p.m.	ATLBraves	Sanchez	1510	+2	+4	=1516	40%	8
7/20Friday, July 207:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Strasburg	1522	+34	+29	=1585	60%	5
7/15Sunday, July 151:10 p.m.	WSHNationals	Hellickson	1519	–17	+0	=1502	54%	6
7/15Sunday, July 151:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Oswalt	1467	–19	+24	=1472	46%	1
7/14Saturday, July 144:10 p.m.	WSHNationals	Voth	1522	–21	+0	=1501	53%	4
7/14Saturday, July 144:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Wheeler	1465	–8	+24	=1481	47%	7
7/13Friday, July 137:10 p.m.	WSHNationals	Roark	1524	–18	+0	=1506	49%	2
7/13Friday, July 137:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Syndergaard	1463	+29	+24	=1516	51%	4
7/12Thursday, July 127:10 p.m.	WSHNationals	Scherzer	1523	+51	–2	=1572	62%	5
7/12Thursday, July 127:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Matz	1464	–1	+24	=1487	38%	4
7/11Wednesday, July 1112:35 p.m.	WSHNationals	Gonzalez	1525	–11	+0	=1514	52%	0
7/11Wednesday, July 1112:35 p.m.	PITPirates	Williams	1470	+3	+24	=1497	48%	2
7/10Tuesday, July 107:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Hellickson	1522	–23	+0	=1499	51%	5
7/10Tuesday, July 107:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Musgrove	1473	–6	+24	=1491	49%	1
7/9Monday, July 97 p.m.	WSHNationals	Rodriguez	1524	–32	–2	=1490	50%	3
7/9Monday, July 97 p.m.	PITPirates	Nova	1470	–2	+24	=1492	50%	6
7/8Sunday, July 81:35 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Richards	1438	+0	+0	=1438	36%	10
7/8Sunday, July 81:35 p.m.	WSHNationals	Roark	1530	–16	+24	=1538	64%	2
7/7Saturday, July 77:15 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Chen	1441	+0	+0	=1441	28%	4
7/7Saturday, July 77:15 p.m.	WSHNationals	Scherzer	1527	+55	+24	=1606	72%	18
7/6Friday, July 67:05 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Straily	1442	–8	+0	=1434	36%	2
7/6Friday, July 67:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Gonzalez	1526	–12	+24	=1538	64%	3
7/5Thursday, July 57:05 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Lopez	1443	+0	–3	=1440	37%	12
7/5Thursday, July 57:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Hellickson	1525	–19	+24	=1530	63%	14
7/4Wednesday, July 411:05 a.m.	BOSRed Sox	Rodriguez	1581	–4	+0	=1577	61%	3
7/4Wednesday, July 411:05 a.m.	WSHNationals	Fedde	1527	–48	+24	=1503	39%	0
7/3Tuesday, July 36:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Johnson	1577	–24	+0	=1553	52%	11
7/3Tuesday, July 36:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Roark	1530	–14	+24	=1540	48%	4
7/2Monday, July 27 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Porcello	1576	–6	–2	=1568	45%	4
7/2Monday, July 27 p.m.	WSHNationals	Scherzer	1532	+52	+22	=1606	55%	3
7/1Sunday, July 11:35 p.m.	WSHNationals	Gonzalez	1533	–16	+0	=1517	49%	3
7/1Sunday, July 11:35 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Arrieta	1501	–4	+24	=1521	51%	4
6/30Saturday, June 306:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Hellickson	1534	–19	+0	=1515	50%	2
6/30Saturday, June 306:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Velasquez	1499	–5	+24	=1518	50%	3
6/29Friday, June 297:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Fedde	1529	–44	+0	=1485	45%	17
6/29Friday, June 297:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Pivetta	1505	–8	+24	=1521	55%	7
6/28Thursday, June 287:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Roark	1531	–17	–1	=1513	44%	3
6/28Thursday, June 287:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Nola	1503	+30	+24	=1557	56%	4
6/26Tuesday, June 2612:10 p.m.	WSHNationals	Scherzer	1532	+50	+0	=1582	58%	0
6/26Tuesday, June 2612:10 p.m.	TBRays	Eovaldi	1509	–4	+24	=1529	42%	1
6/25Monday, June 257:10 p.m.	WSHNationals	Gonzalez	1536	–10	–3	=1523	46%	0
6/25Monday, June 257:10 p.m.	TBRays	Snell	1505	+25	+24	=1554	54%	11
6/24Sunday, June 248 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Pivetta	1506	–6	+0	=1500	47%	6
6/24Sunday, June 248 p.m.	WSHNationals	Rodriguez	1535	–37	+24	=1522	53%	8
6/23Saturday, June 234:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Nola	1505	+30	+0	=1535	53%	5
6/23Saturday, June 234:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Fedde	1536	–48	+24	=1512	47%	3
6/22Friday, June 227:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Eflin	1499	–19	+0	=1480	40%	12
6/22Friday, June 227:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Roark	1542	–15	+24	=1551	60%	2
6/21Thursday, June 217:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Gausman	1434	+16	+0	=1450	28%	2
6/21Thursday, June 217:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Scherzer	1541	+47	+24	=1612	72%	4
6/20Wednesday, June 207:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cashner	1431	–2	+0	=1429	32%	3
6/20Wednesday, June 207:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Gonzalez	1545	–11	+24	=1558	68%	0
6/19Tuesday, June 197:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Hess	1432	–1	+1	=1432	36%	7
6/19Tuesday, June 197:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Rodriguez	1543	–36	+24	=1531	64%	9
6/18Monday, June 186:45 p.m.	NYYYankees	Gray	1585	–15	–2	=1568	58%	4
6/18Monday, June 186:45 p.m.	WSHNationals	Fedde	1545	–51	+22	=1516	42%	2
6/17Sunday, June 171:07 p.m.	WSHNationals	Roark	1545	–13	+0	=1532	54%	6
6/17Sunday, June 171:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Gaviglio	1491	–11	+24	=1504	46%	8
6/16Saturday, June 164:07 p.m.	WSHNationals	Scherzer	1547	+44	+0	=1591	61%	0
6/16Saturday, June 164:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Estrada	1489	–1	+24	=1512	39%	2
6/15Friday, June 157:07 p.m.	WSHNationals	Gonzalez	1549	–7	+0	=1542	54%	5
6/15Friday, June 157:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Sanchez	1487	+4	+23	=1514	46%	6
6/13Wednesday, June 137 p.m.	WSHNationals	Fedde	1547	–54	+0	=1493	35%	5
6/13Wednesday, June 137 p.m.	NYYYankees	Gray	1588	–11	+24	=1601	65%	4
6/12Tuesday, June 127:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Roark	1548	–14	+0	=1534	40%	0
6/12Tuesday, June 127:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Sabathia	1586	–8	+25	=1603	60%	3
6/10Sunday, June 104:05 p.m.	SFGiants	Holland	1503	–18	+0	=1485	32%	2
6/10Sunday, June 104:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Scherzer	1551	+43	+24	=1618	68%	0
6/9Saturday, June 912:05 p.m.	SFGiants	Rodriguez	1504	+0	+0	=1504	41%	5
6/9Saturday, June 912:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Gonzalez	1550	–3	+24	=1571	59%	7
6/8Friday, June 87:05 p.m.	SFGiants	Suarez	1501	+2	–2	=1501	36%	9
6/8Friday, June 87:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Strasburg	1553	+18	+26	=1597	64%	5
6/6Wednesday, June 61:05 p.m.	TBRays	Venters	1499	–16	+0	=1483	39%	2
6/6Wednesday, June 61:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Roark	1550	–16	+24	=1558	61%	11
6/5Tuesday, June 57:05 p.m.	TBRays	Eovaldi	1500	+1	–2	=1499	34%	2
6/5Tuesday, June 57:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Scherzer	1549	+38	+23	=1610	66%	4
6/3Sunday, June 31:35 p.m.	WSHNationals	Hellickson	1551	–30	+0	=1521	51%	2
6/3Sunday, June 31:35 p.m.	ATLBraves	Sanchez	1510	–17	+24	=1517	49%	4
6/2Saturday, June 24:10 p.m.	WSHNationals	Gonzalez	1549	–5	+0	=1544	53%	5
6/2Saturday, June 24:10 p.m.	ATLBraves	McCarthy	1512	–12	+24	=1524	47%	3
6/1Friday, June 17:35 p.m.	WSHNationals	Strasburg	1552	+20	+0	=1572	55%	0
6/1Friday, June 17:35 p.m.	ATLBraves	Foltynewicz	1509	+7	+24	=1540	45%	4
5/31Thursday, May 317:35 p.m.	WSHNationals	Roark	1554	–13	–3	=1538	50%	2
5/31Thursday, May 317:35 p.m.	ATLBraves	Newcomb	1507	+10	+24	=1541	50%	4
5/30Wednesday, May 307:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Scherzer	1553	+33	+0	=1586	66%	2
5/30Wednesday, May 307:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Hess	1444	+2	+24	=1470	34%	0
5/29Tuesday, May 297:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Hellickson	1552	–29	+0	=1523	55%	3
5/29Tuesday, May 297:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Bundy	1445	+19	+24	=1488	45%	2
5/28Monday, May 281:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Gonzalez	1549	–7	–3	=1539	60%	6
5/28Monday, May 281:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cobb	1448	–1	+21	=1468	40%	0
5/27Sunday, May 271:10 p.m.	WSHNationals	Strasburg	1548	+20	+0	=1568	65%	5
5/27Sunday, May 271:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Hernandez	1435	+4	+24	=1463	35%	2
5/26Saturday, May 264:10 p.m.	WSHNationals	Roark	1546	–14	+0	=1532	60%	4
5/26Saturday, May 264:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Chen	1436	–1	+24	=1459	40%	1
5/25Friday, May 257:10 p.m.	WSHNationals	Scherzer	1544	+39	–1	=1582	66%	9
5/25Friday, May 257:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Urena	1438	+6	+23	=1467	34%	5
5/23Wednesday, May 234:05 p.m.	SDPadres	Ross	1454	+17	+0	=1471	44%	3
5/23Wednesday, May 234:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Fedde	1547	–58	+24	=1513	56%	1
5/22Tuesday, May 227:05 p.m.	SDPadres	Lauer	1455	–17	+0	=1438	36%	1
5/22Tuesday, May 227:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Hellickson	1546	–30	+24	=1540	64%	2
5/21Monday, May 217:05 p.m.	SDPadres	Erlin	1457	–1	–2	=1454	35%	2
5/21Monday, May 217:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Gonzalez	1543	–8	+24	=1559	65%	10
5/20Sunday, May 201:35 p.m.	LADDodgers	Wood	1539	+8	+0	=1547	43%	7
5/20Sunday, May 201:35 p.m.	WSHNationals	Strasburg	1547	+23	+24	=1594	57%	2
5/19Saturday, May 198:05 p.m.	LADDodgers	Hill	1537	–1	+0	=1536	39%	5
5/19Saturday, May 198:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Scherzer	1548	+38	+24	=1610	61%	4
5/19Saturday, May 192:05 p.m.	LADDodgers	Stripling	1535	–11	–1	=1523	44%	4
5/19Saturday, May 192:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Roark	1551	–17	+31	=1565	56%	1
5/15Tuesday, May 157:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Tanaka	1588	+3	+0	=1591	55%	3
5/15Tuesday, May 157:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Gonzalez	1543	–10	+22	=1555	45%	5
5/13Sunday, May 138 p.m.	WSHNationals	Hellickson	1549	–32	+0	=1517	44%	6
5/13Sunday, May 138 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Godley	1541	–3	+24	=1562	56%	4
5/12Saturday, May 124:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Strasburg	1548	+22	+0	=1570	54%	2
5/12Saturday, May 124:05 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Scribner	1542	–25	+24	=1541	46%	1
5/11Friday, May 119:40 p.m.	WSHNationals	Scherzer	1546	+38	+0	=1584	53%	3
5/11Friday, May 119:40 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Koch	1544	–4	+24	=1564	47%	1
5/10Thursday, May 109:40 p.m.	WSHNationals	Roark	1545	–19	–2	=1524	42%	2
5/10Thursday, May 109:40 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Greinke	1546	+12	+22	=1580	58%	1
5/9Wednesday, May 99:10 p.m.	WSHNationals	Gonzalez	1546	–5	+0	=1541	58%	1
5/9Wednesday, May 99:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Lucchesi	1446	+14	+24	=1484	42%	2
5/8Tuesday, May 810:10 p.m.	WSHNationals	Hellickson	1544	–35	+0	=1509	57%	4
5/8Tuesday, May 810:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Richard	1448	–14	+24	=1458	43%	0
5/7Monday, May 710:10 p.m.	WSHNationals	Strasburg	1542	+26	–4	=1564	60%	8
5/7Monday, May 710:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Ross	1450	+18	+24	=1492	40%	5
5/6Sunday, May 61:35 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Arrieta	1495	+15	+0	=1510	37%	4
5/6Sunday, May 61:35 p.m.	WSHNationals	Scherzer	1541	+38	+24	=1603	63%	5
5/5Saturday, May 54:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Velasquez	1493	–11	+0	=1482	40%	3
5/5Saturday, May 54:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Roark	1544	–17	+24	=1551	60%	1
5/4Friday, May 47:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Pivetta	1495	–7	–1	=1487	40%	3
5/4Friday, May 47:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Gonzalez	1542	–6	+24	=1560	60%	7
5/3Thursday, May 31:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Williams	1490	+22	+0	=1512	48%	1
5/3Thursday, May 31:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Hellickson	1540	–38	+24	=1526	52%	3
5/2Wednesday, May 27:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Nova	1492	+7	+0	=1499	37%	3
5/2Wednesday, May 27:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Strasburg	1538	+29	+24	=1591	63%	9
5/1Tuesday, May 17:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Kuhl	1494	–1	+0	=1493	35%	4
5/1Tuesday, May 17:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Scherzer	1535	+40	+24	=1599	65%	12
4/30Monday, April 307:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Taillon	1496	+4	–2	=1498	44%	2
4/30Monday, April 307:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Roark	1534	–17	+24	=1541	56%	3
4/29Sunday, April 291:35 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Ray	1548	+4	+0	=1552	50%	1
4/29Sunday, April 291:35 p.m.	WSHNationals	Gonzalez	1532	–7	+24	=1549	50%	3
4/28Saturday, April 284:05 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Corbin	1546	+10	+0	=1556	55%	4
4/28Saturday, April 284:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Hellickson	1534	–37	+24	=1521	45%	3
4/27Friday, April 277:05 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Godley	1545	+3	–2	=1546	44%	5
4/27Friday, April 277:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Strasburg	1535	+32	+22	=1589	56%	4
4/25Wednesday, April 253:45 p.m.	WSHNationals	Scherzer	1531	+41	+0	=1572	55%	15
4/25Wednesday, April 253:45 p.m.	SFGiants	Samardzija	1498	+12	+24	=1534	45%	2
4/24Tuesday, April 2410:15 p.m.	WSHNationals	Roark	1532	–14	+0	=1518	53%	3
4/24Tuesday, April 2410:15 p.m.	SFGiants	Blach	1497	–21	+24	=1500	47%	4
4/23Monday, April 2310:15 p.m.	WSHNationals	Gonzalez	1534	–7	–2	=1525	49%	2
4/23Monday, April 2310:15 p.m.	SFGiants	Stratton	1495	+11	+22	=1528	51%	4
4/22Sunday, April 228 p.m.	WSHNationals	Hellickson	1535	–41	+0	=1494	36%	3
4/22Sunday, April 228 p.m.	LADDodgers	Wood	1560	+9	+24	=1593	64%	4
4/21Saturday, April 219:10 p.m.	WSHNationals	Strasburg	1538	+32	+0	=1570	50%	0
4/21Saturday, April 219:10 p.m.	LADDodgers	Ryu	1557	–11	+24	=1570	50%	4
4/20Friday, April 2010:10 p.m.	WSHNationals	Scherzer	1535	+40	–2	=1573	43%	5
4/20Friday, April 2010:10 p.m.	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1560	+35	+25	=1620	57%	2
4/18Wednesday, April 187:10 p.m.	WSHNationals	Roark	1538	–17	+0	=1521	51%	5
4/18Wednesday, April 187:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Matz	1505	–13	+24	=1516	49%	11
4/17Tuesday, April 177:10 p.m.	WSHNationals	Gonzalez	1536	–5	+0	=1531	52%	5
4/17Tuesday, April 177:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Wheeler	1507	–17	+24	=1514	48%	2
4/16Monday, April 167:10 p.m.	WSHNationals	Hellickson	1534	–40	–2	=1492	41%	8
4/16Monday, April 167:10 p.m.	NYMMets	deGrom	1509	+21	+24	=1554	59%	6
4/15Sunday, April 151:35 p.m.	COLRockies	Anderson	1499	+11	+0	=1510	38%	6
4/15Sunday, April 151:35 p.m.	WSHNationals	Strasburg	1536	+35	+24	=1595	62%	5
4/14Saturday, April 141:05 p.m.	COLRockies	Gray	1500	+12	+0	=1512	38%	2
4/14Saturday, April 141:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Scherzer	1534	+38	+24	=1596	62%	6
4/13Friday, April 137:05 p.m.	COLRockies	Freeland	1499	–11	+0	=1488	42%	2
4/13Friday, April 137:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Roark	1536	–18	+24	=1542	58%	1
4/12Thursday, April 127:05 p.m.	COLRockies	Bettis	1496	+2	–4	=1494	41%	5
4/12Thursday, April 127:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Gonzalez	1539	–3	+24	=1560	59%	1
4/11Wednesday, April 111:05 p.m.	ATLBraves	McCarthy	1486	+8	+0	=1494	47%	5
4/11Wednesday, April 111:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Cole	1541	–46	+24	=1519	53%	3
4/10Tuesday, April 107:05 p.m.	ATLBraves	Foltynewicz	1488	+0	+0	=1488	35%	1
4/10Tuesday, April 107:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Strasburg	1539	+32	+24	=1595	65%	4
4/9Monday, April 97:05 p.m.	ATLBraves	Teheran	1489	–2	–4	=1483	34%	0
4/9Monday, April 97:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Scherzer	1538	+33	+24	=1595	66%	2
4/8Sunday, April 88:08 p.m.	NYMMets	Harvey	1503	–28	+0	=1475	39%	6
4/8Sunday, April 88:08 p.m.	WSHNationals	Roark	1540	–13	+24	=1551	61%	5
4/7Saturday, April 71:05 p.m.	NYMMets	Matz	1501	–15	+2	=1488	39%	3
4/7Saturday, April 71:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Gonzalez	1542	–2	+26	=1566	61%	2
4/5Thursday, April 51:05 p.m.	NYMMets	deGrom	1497	+23	–2	=1518	38%	8
4/5Thursday, April 51:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Strasburg	1546	+37	+21	=1604	62%	2
4/4Wednesday, April 412:10 p.m.	WSHNationals	Scherzer	1550	+37	+0	=1587	62%	1
4/4Wednesday, April 412:10 p.m.	ATLBraves	Foltynewicz	1480	–1	+24	=1503	38%	7
4/3Tuesday, April 37:35 p.m.	WSHNationals	Cole	1554	–35	+0	=1519	52%	6
4/3Tuesday, April 37:35 p.m.	ATLBraves	Teheran	1476	+7	+24	=1507	48%	13
4/2Monday, April 27:35 p.m.	WSHNationals	Roark	1551	–21	–2	=1528	53%	8
4/2Monday, April 27:35 p.m.	ATLBraves	Newcomb	1479	–1	+26	=1504	47%	1
4/1Sunday, April 14:10 p.m.	WSHNationals	Gonzalez	1550	–7	+0	=1543	58%	6
4/1Sunday, April 14:10 p.m.	CINReds	Romano	1462	–1	+24	=1485	42%	5
3/31Saturday, March 312:10 p.m.	WSHNationals	Strasburg	1547	+37	+0	=1584	59%	13
3/31Saturday, March 312:10 p.m.	CINReds	Castillo	1464	+33	+24	=1521	41%	7
3/30Friday, March 304:10 p.m.	WSHNationals	Scherzer	1546	+34	–2	=1578	63%	2
3/30Friday, March 304:10 p.m.	CINReds	Bailey	1465	–7	+24	=1482	37%	0

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

2018 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

NL East standings

Team rating

Completed games

Comments

2018 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

NL East standings

Team rating

Completed games

Related Stories

Comments