2018 MLB Predictions

The Padres are done for the season.

NL West standings

	Games back	Chance to make playoffs	Make playoffs
Dodgers Dodgers92-71	—	✓	✓
Rockies Rockies91-72	1.0	✓	—
Dbacks Diamondbacks82-80	9.5	—	—
Giants Giants73-89	18.5	—	—
Padres Padres66-96	25.5	—	—

Team rating

Completed games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning	Score
9/30Sunday, Sept. 303:10 p.m. Eastern	ARIDiamondbacks	Ray	1512	+5	+0	=1517	54%	3
9/30Sunday, Sept. 303:10 p.m. Eastern	SDPadres	Lucchesi	1449	+13	+24	=1486	46%	4
9/29Saturday, Sept. 298:40 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Godley	1511	–18	+0	=1493	54%	5
9/29Saturday, Sept. 298:40 p.m.	SDPadres	Nix	1451	–10	+24	=1465	46%	4
9/28Friday, Sept. 2810:10 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Corbin	1512	+19	+0	=1531	57%	2
9/28Friday, Sept. 2810:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Lauer	1449	+6	+24	=1479	43%	3
9/26Wednesday, Sept. 2610:15 p.m.	SDPadres	Perdomo	1447	–14	+0	=1433	45%	3
9/26Wednesday, Sept. 2610:15 p.m.	SFGiants	Kelly	1475	–31	+24	=1468	55%	2
9/25Tuesday, Sept. 2510:15 p.m.	SDPadres	Erlin	1449	+2	+0	=1451	45%	4
9/25Tuesday, Sept. 2510:15 p.m.	SFGiants	Stratton	1474	–10	+24	=1488	55%	5
9/24Monday, Sept. 2410:15 p.m.	SDPadres	Mitchell	1445	+2	–2	=1445	43%	5
9/24Monday, Sept. 2410:15 p.m.	SFGiants	Holland	1478	–2	+20	=1496	57%	0
9/23Sunday, Sept. 234:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Lucchesi	1449	+21	+0	=1470	34%	0
9/23Sunday, Sept. 234:10 p.m.	LADDodgers	Ryu	1568	–11	+24	=1581	66%	14
9/22Saturday, Sept. 229:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Nix	1450	+0	+0	=1450	31%	2
9/22Saturday, Sept. 229:10 p.m.	LADDodgers	Hill	1566	–1	+24	=1589	69%	7
9/21Friday, Sept. 2110:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Lauer	1447	+4	+1	=1452	32%	5
9/21Friday, Sept. 2110:10 p.m.	LADDodgers	Stripling	1569	–9	+26	=1586	68%	3
9/19Wednesday, Sept. 199:10 p.m.	SFGiants	Stratton	1485	–6	+0	=1479	51%	4
9/19Wednesday, Sept. 199:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Erlin	1444	+2	+24	=1470	49%	8
9/18Tuesday, Sept. 1810:10 p.m.	SFGiants	Holland	1484	–1	+0	=1483	49%	5
9/18Tuesday, Sept. 1810:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Lucchesi	1446	+21	+24	=1491	51%	4
9/17Monday, Sept. 1710:10 p.m.	SFGiants	Suarez	1482	–6	–2	=1474	50%	4
9/17Monday, Sept. 1710:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Mitchell	1448	+3	+24	=1475	50%	2
9/16Sunday, Sept. 164:10 p.m.	TEXRangers	Minor	1487	+35	+0	=1522	57%	3
9/16Sunday, Sept. 164:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Nix	1445	+2	+24	=1471	43%	7
9/15Saturday, Sept. 158:40 p.m.	TEXRangers	Jurado	1484	–10	+0	=1474	50%	6
9/15Saturday, Sept. 158:40 p.m.	SDPadres	Lauer	1447	+1	+24	=1472	50%	3
9/14Friday, Sept. 1410:10 p.m.	TEXRangers	Sadzeck	1482	+2	+1	=1485	52%	4
9/14Friday, Sept. 1410:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Erlin	1450	–1	+23	=1472	48%	0
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 126:40 p.m.	SDPadres	Lucchesi	1448	+23	+0	=1471	41%	5
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 126:40 p.m.	SEAMariners	LeBlanc	1502	+5	+24	=1531	59%	4
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 1110:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Mitchell	1446	+2	–2	=1446	39%	2
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 1110:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Gonzales	1504	–7	+26	=1523	61%	1
9/9Sunday, Sept. 94:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Nix	1445	+9	+0	=1454	46%	7
9/9Sunday, Sept. 94:10 p.m.	CINReds	Mahle	1466	–7	+24	=1483	54%	6
9/8Saturday, Sept. 83:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Erlin	1447	+4	+0	=1451	45%	2
9/8Saturday, Sept. 83:10 p.m.	CINReds	Harvey	1464	+1	+24	=1489	55%	7
9/7Friday, Sept. 76:40 p.m.	SDPadres	Kennedy	1450	–4	+0	=1446	41%	6
9/7Friday, Sept. 76:40 p.m.	CINReds	DeSclafani	1461	+24	+24	=1509	59%	12
9/6Thursday, Sept. 66:40 p.m.	SDPadres	Lauer	1446	–4	–2	=1440	40%	6
9/6Thursday, Sept. 66:40 p.m.	CINReds	Castillo	1464	+26	+22	=1512	60%	2
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 49:40 p.m.	SDPadres	Lucchesi	1449	+20	+0	=1469	40%	0
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 49:40 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Ray	1528	–9	+24	=1543	60%	6
9/3Monday, Sept. 38:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Mitchell	1445	–3	–2	=1440	36%	6
9/3Monday, Sept. 38:10 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Godley	1531	–9	+22	=1544	64%	2
9/2Sunday, Sept. 24:10 p.m.	COLRockies	Freeland	1512	+15	+0	=1527	56%	7
9/2Sunday, Sept. 24:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Nix	1447	+11	+24	=1482	44%	3
9/1Saturday, Sept. 18:40 p.m.	COLRockies	Gray	1510	+7	+0	=1517	55%	4
9/1Saturday, Sept. 18:40 p.m.	SDPadres	Erlin	1449	+7	+24	=1480	45%	2
8/31Friday, Aug. 3110:10 p.m.	COLRockies	Senzatela	1515	–22	+0	=1493	54%	0
8/31Friday, Aug. 3110:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Kennedy	1445	–7	+24	=1462	46%	7
8/30Thursday, Aug. 3010:10 p.m.	COLRockies	Marquez	1516	+9	+1	=1526	59%	2
8/30Thursday, Aug. 3010:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Lauer	1443	–5	+24	=1462	41%	3
8/29Wednesday, Aug. 293:40 p.m.	SEAMariners	Ramirez	1508	–1	+0	=1507	53%	3
8/29Wednesday, Aug. 293:40 p.m.	SDPadres	Lucchesi	1440	+19	+24	=1483	47%	8
8/28Tuesday, Aug. 2810:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Hernandez	1509	–26	+0	=1483	52%	1
8/28Tuesday, Aug. 2810:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Nix	1438	+9	+25	=1472	48%	2
8/26Sunday, Aug. 264:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Erlin	1440	+12	+0	=1452	34%	3
8/26Sunday, Aug. 264:10 p.m.	LADDodgers	Ryu	1556	–10	+24	=1570	66%	7
8/25Saturday, Aug. 259:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Kennedy	1441	–6	+0	=1435	28%	4
8/25Saturday, Aug. 259:10 p.m.	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1555	+24	+24	=1603	72%	5
8/24Friday, Aug. 2410:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Richard	1443	+1	–3	=1441	31%	1
8/24Friday, Aug. 2410:10 p.m.	LADDodgers	Hill	1553	+0	+26	=1579	69%	11
8/23Thursday, Aug. 233:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Lucchesi	1444	+15	+0	=1459	36%	3
8/23Thursday, Aug. 233:10 p.m.	COLRockies	Freeland	1519	+12	+24	=1555	64%	4
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 228:40 p.m.	SDPadres	Nix	1445	+5	+0	=1450	36%	2
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 228:40 p.m.	COLRockies	Gray	1517	+10	+24	=1551	64%	6
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 218:40 p.m.	SDPadres	Erlin	1444	+10	–1	=1453	38%	4
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 218:40 p.m.	COLRockies	Anderson	1519	–1	+23	=1541	62%	3
8/19Sunday, Aug. 194:10 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Greinke	1532	+22	+0	=1554	63%	4
8/19Sunday, Aug. 194:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Kennedy	1445	–5	+24	=1464	37%	3
8/18Saturday, Aug. 188:40 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Godley	1534	–3	+0	=1531	58%	6
8/18Saturday, Aug. 188:40 p.m.	SDPadres	Richard	1443	+5	+24	=1472	42%	7
8/17Friday, Aug. 1710:10 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Ray	1531	–6	+0	=1525	55%	9
8/17Friday, Aug. 1710:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Lucchesi	1446	+21	+24	=1491	45%	4
8/16Thursday, Aug. 1610:10 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Buchholz	1529	–5	–1	=1523	55%	5
8/16Thursday, Aug. 1610:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Nix	1448	+16	+24	=1488	45%	1
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 159 p.m.	LAAAngels	Pena	1515	–7	+0	=1508	54%	3
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 159 p.m.	SDPadres	Erlin	1449	+6	+24	=1479	46%	2
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 1410:10 p.m.	LAAAngels	Barria	1513	+2	+0	=1515	56%	7
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 1410:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Kennedy	1451	–2	+24	=1473	44%	3
8/13Monday, Aug. 1310:10 p.m.	LAAAngels	Heaney	1511	+7	–1	=1517	56%	6
8/13Monday, Aug. 1310:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Richard	1453	–1	+24	=1476	44%	3
8/12Sunday, Aug. 123:40 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Arrieta	1513	+4	+0	=1517	54%	3
8/12Sunday, Aug. 123:40 p.m.	SDPadres	Lucchesi	1450	+16	+24	=1490	46%	9
8/11Saturday, Aug. 118:40 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Nola	1511	+35	+0	=1546	60%	5
8/11Saturday, Aug. 118:40 p.m.	SDPadres	Lockett	1452	–2	+24	=1474	40%	1
8/10Friday, Aug. 1010:10 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Eflin	1513	–17	+0	=1496	52%	0
8/10Friday, Aug. 1010:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Nix	1450	+12	+20	=1482	48%	2
8/9Thursday, Aug. 92 p.m.	SDPadres	Erlin	1446	+8	+0	=1454	38%	8
8/9Thursday, Aug. 92 p.m.	MILBrewers	Guerra	1521	–3	+24	=1542	62%	4
8/8Wednesday, Aug. 88:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Kennedy	1448	+10	+0	=1458	38%	4
8/8Wednesday, Aug. 88:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Chacin	1519	+2	+24	=1545	62%	8
8/7Tuesday, Aug. 78:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Richard	1443	+1	+1	=1445	34%	11
8/7Tuesday, Aug. 78:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Anderson	1523	+8	+26	=1557	66%	5
8/5Sunday, Aug. 52:20 p.m.	SDPadres	Lucchesi	1439	+12	+0	=1451	32%	10
8/5Sunday, Aug. 52:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Lester	1554	+3	+24	=1581	68%	6
8/4Saturday, Aug. 42:20 p.m.	SDPadres	Lockett	1440	+3	+0	=1443	30%	4
8/4Saturday, Aug. 42:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hendricks	1553	+11	+24	=1588	70%	5
8/3Friday, Aug. 32:20 p.m.	SDPadres	Ross	1441	+8	+0	=1449	32%	4
8/3Friday, Aug. 32:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Quintana	1553	+5	+24	=1582	68%	5
8/2Thursday, Aug. 28:05 p.m.	SDPadres	Erlin	1436	+2	–2	=1436	30%	6
8/2Thursday, Aug. 28:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Montgomery	1557	+1	+22	=1580	70%	1
7/31Tuesday, July 314:10 p.m.	SFGiants	Rodriguez	1499	+14	+0	=1513	57%	3
7/31Tuesday, July 314:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Richard	1438	+2	+24	=1464	43%	2
7/30Monday, July 3010:10 p.m.	SFGiants	Holland	1498	–8	–2	=1488	54%	5
7/30Monday, July 3010:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Lauer	1439	–6	+24	=1457	46%	3
7/29Sunday, July 294:10 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Buchholz	1531	+1	+0	=1532	57%	5
7/29Sunday, July 294:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Lucchesi	1440	+19	+24	=1483	43%	4
7/28Saturday, July 288:40 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Corbin	1529	+20	+0	=1549	60%	9
7/28Saturday, July 288:40 p.m.	SDPadres	Ross	1443	+10	+24	=1477	40%	4
7/27Friday, July 2710:10 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Greinke	1527	+27	–4	=1550	64%	6
7/27Friday, July 2710:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Perdomo	1444	–14	+22	=1452	36%	2
7/25Wednesday, July 2512:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Richard	1446	+2	+0	=1448	46%	4
7/25Wednesday, July 2512:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Oswalt	1466	–15	+24	=1475	54%	6
7/24Tuesday, July 247:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Lauer	1448	–5	+0	=1443	45%	3
7/24Tuesday, July 247:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Wheeler	1464	–9	+24	=1479	55%	6
7/23Monday, July 237:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Lucchesi	1446	+14	–1	=1459	38%	3
7/23Monday, July 237:10 p.m.	NYMMets	deGrom	1466	+49	+25	=1540	62%	2
7/22Sunday, July 226:05 p.m.	SDPadres	Perdomo	1448	–18	+0	=1430	37%	0
7/22Sunday, July 226:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Velasquez	1504	–2	+24	=1526	63%	5
7/22Sunday, July 2212:05 p.m.	SDPadres	Ross	1443	+7	+2	=1452	41%	10
7/22Sunday, July 2212:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Pivetta	1509	–18	+26	=1517	59%	2
7/20Friday, July 207:05 p.m.	SDPadres	Richard	1446	+7	+3	=1456	39%	5
7/20Friday, July 207:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Arrieta	1507	+0	+28	=1535	61%	11
7/15Sunday, July 154:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	Lester	1566	+13	+0	=1579	65%	7
7/15Sunday, July 154:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Lauer	1447	–1	+24	=1470	35%	4
7/14Saturday, July 1410:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hendricks	1564	+8	+0	=1572	66%	11
7/14Saturday, July 1410:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Perdomo	1449	–17	+24	=1456	34%	6
7/13Friday, July 1310 p.m.	CHCCubs	Chatwood	1563	–19	+0	=1544	59%	5
7/13Friday, July 1310 p.m.	SDPadres	Richard	1450	+6	+24	=1480	41%	4
7/12Thursday, July 1210 p.m.	LADDodgers	Stripling	1558	+3	+0	=1561	62%	3
7/12Thursday, July 1210 p.m.	SDPadres	Ross	1451	+2	+24	=1477	38%	2
7/11Wednesday, July 1110:10 p.m.	LADDodgers	Maeda	1557	–3	+0	=1554	59%	4
7/11Wednesday, July 1110:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Lucchesi	1453	+14	+24	=1491	41%	2
7/10Tuesday, July 1010:10 p.m.	LADDodgers	Hill	1560	+0	+0	=1560	63%	1
7/10Tuesday, July 1010:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Lauer	1449	–9	+24	=1464	37%	4
7/9Monday, July 910:10 p.m.	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1558	+22	–1	=1579	66%	8
7/9Monday, July 910:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Perdomo	1451	–13	+22	=1460	34%	2
7/8Sunday, July 84:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Richard	1449	+8	+0	=1457	33%	4
7/8Sunday, July 84:10 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Greinke	1531	+22	+24	=1577	67%	3
7/7Saturday, July 710 p.m.	SDPadres	Ross	1453	+9	+0	=1462	37%	5
7/7Saturday, July 710 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Ray	1528	+5	+24	=1557	63%	20
7/6Friday, July 69:40 p.m.	SDPadres	Lucchesi	1455	+9	+0	=1464	40%	1
7/6Friday, July 69:40 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Godley	1526	–16	+24	=1534	60%	3
7/5Thursday, July 59:40 p.m.	SDPadres	Lauer	1452	–13	–3	=1436	37%	6
7/5Thursday, July 59:40 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Miller	1529	–26	+24	=1527	63%	3
7/4Wednesday, July 44:05 p.m.	SDPadres	Perdomo	1453	–16	+0	=1437	34%	2
7/4Wednesday, July 44:05 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Manaea	1512	+16	+24	=1552	66%	4
7/3Tuesday, July 39:05 p.m.	SDPadres	Richard	1455	+11	+0	=1466	40%	2
7/3Tuesday, July 39:05 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Bassitt	1510	+0	+26	=1536	60%	6
7/1Sunday, July 14:10 p.m.	PITPirates	Taillon	1480	+12	+0	=1492	49%	7
7/1Sunday, July 14:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Ross	1457	+17	+24	=1498	51%	5
6/30Saturday, June 3010:10 p.m.	PITPirates	Williams	1482	+7	+0	=1489	51%	3
6/30Saturday, June 3010:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Lucchesi	1455	+3	+24	=1482	49%	4
6/29Friday, June 2910:10 p.m.	PITPirates	Musgrove	1479	–15	–2	=1462	49%	6
6/29Friday, June 2910:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Lauer	1458	–8	+23	=1473	51%	3
6/27Wednesday, June 278:05 p.m.	SDPadres	Richard	1459	+9	+0	=1468	42%	2
6/27Wednesday, June 278:05 p.m.	TEXRangers	Minor	1485	+13	+24	=1522	58%	5
6/26Tuesday, June 268:05 p.m.	SDPadres	Ross	1458	+17	+0	=1475	45%	3
6/26Tuesday, June 268:05 p.m.	TEXRangers	Bibens-Dirkx	1487	+2	+24	=1513	55%	2
6/25Monday, June 258:05 p.m.	SDPadres	Lucchesi	1459	–4	–4	=1451	38%	4
6/25Monday, June 258:05 p.m.	TEXRangers	Hamels	1485	+32	+21	=1538	62%	7
6/24Sunday, June 244:05 p.m.	SDPadres	Lauer	1460	–11	+0	=1449	40%	2
6/24Sunday, June 244:05 p.m.	SFGiants	Rodriguez	1502	–6	+24	=1520	60%	3
6/23Saturday, June 234:05 p.m.	SDPadres	Lyles	1461	–18	+0	=1443	38%	3
6/23Saturday, June 234:05 p.m.	SFGiants	Suarez	1501	+3	+24	=1528	62%	5
6/22Friday, June 2210:15 p.m.	SDPadres	Richard	1458	+7	+0	=1465	41%	6
6/22Friday, June 2210:15 p.m.	SFGiants	Stratton	1504	+3	+24	=1531	59%	2
6/21Thursday, June 2110:15 p.m.	SDPadres	Ross	1460	+17	–2	=1475	39%	0
6/21Thursday, June 2110:15 p.m.	SFGiants	Bumgarner	1502	+27	+24	=1553	61%	3
6/20Wednesday, June 203:40 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Montas	1500	+0	+0	=1500	51%	12
6/20Wednesday, June 203:40 p.m.	SDPadres	Lucchesi	1464	+7	+24	=1495	49%	4
6/19Tuesday, June 1910:10 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Blackburn	1499	–9	+0	=1490	53%	4
6/19Tuesday, June 1910:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Lauer	1466	–18	+22	=1470	47%	2
6/17Sunday, June 171:35 p.m.	SDPadres	Strahm	1467	+5	+0	=1472	42%	1
6/17Sunday, June 171:35 p.m.	ATLBraves	Teheran	1511	–8	+24	=1527	58%	4
6/16Saturday, June 165:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Lyles	1468	–21	+0	=1447	37%	0
6/16Saturday, June 165:10 p.m.	ATLBraves	Newcomb	1510	+6	+24	=1540	63%	1
6/15Friday, June 157:35 p.m.	SDPadres	Richard	1464	+9	+0	=1473	43%	9
6/15Friday, June 157:35 p.m.	ATLBraves	McCarthy	1514	–14	+24	=1524	57%	3
6/14Thursday, June 147:35 p.m.	SDPadres	Ross	1466	+17	–2	=1481	44%	2
6/14Thursday, June 147:35 p.m.	ATLBraves	Sanchez	1512	–11	+24	=1525	56%	4
6/13Wednesday, June 138:15 p.m.	SDPadres	Lauer	1463	–18	+0	=1445	38%	4
6/13Wednesday, June 138:15 p.m.	STLCardinals	Weaver	1516	–9	+24	=1531	62%	2
6/12Tuesday, June 128:15 p.m.	SDPadres	Strahm	1461	+1	+0	=1462	36%	4
6/12Tuesday, June 128:15 p.m.	STLCardinals	Mikolas	1518	+20	+24	=1562	64%	2
6/11Monday, June 118:15 p.m.	SDPadres	Lyles	1463	–18	–3	=1442	38%	2
6/11Monday, June 118:15 p.m.	STLCardinals	Flaherty	1517	–13	+22	=1526	62%	5
6/10Sunday, June 101:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Richard	1461	+6	+0	=1467	50%	3
6/10Sunday, June 101:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Urena	1433	+7	+24	=1464	50%	1
6/9Saturday, June 94:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Ross	1459	+20	+0	=1479	53%	5
6/9Saturday, June 94:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Straily	1435	–2	+24	=1457	47%	4
6/8Friday, June 87:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Lauer	1462	–15	–2	=1445	46%	0
6/8Friday, June 87:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Smith	1432	+18	+21	=1471	54%	4
6/6Wednesday, June 63:40 p.m.	ATLBraves	Foltynewicz	1512	+14	+0	=1526	56%	1
6/6Wednesday, June 63:40 p.m.	SDPadres	Strahm	1460	+1	+24	=1485	44%	3
6/5Tuesday, June 510:10 p.m.	ATLBraves	Newcomb	1508	+10	+0	=1518	56%	14
6/5Tuesday, June 510:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Lyles	1464	–10	+24	=1478	44%	1
6/4Monday, June 410:10 p.m.	ATLBraves	Teheran	1512	+1	–4	=1509	53%	4
6/4Monday, June 410:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Richard	1460	+2	+24	=1486	47%	11
6/3Sunday, June 36:10 p.m.	CINReds	Castillo	1452	+24	+0	=1476	46%	3
6/3Sunday, June 36:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Ross	1458	+21	+24	=1503	54%	6
6/2Saturday, June 28:40 p.m.	CINReds	Harvey	1455	–11	+0	=1444	48%	2
6/2Saturday, June 28:40 p.m.	SDPadres	Lauer	1455	–19	+24	=1460	52%	8
6/1Friday, June 110:10 p.m.	CINReds	Mahle	1452	+8	+0	=1460	46%	7
6/1Friday, June 110:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Lockett	1458	+4	+24	=1486	54%	2
5/31Thursday, May 319:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Chen	1433	+2	+0	=1435	46%	3
5/31Thursday, May 319:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Lyles	1456	–14	+24	=1466	54%	8
5/30Wednesday, May 3010:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Urena	1434	+4	+0	=1438	44%	2
5/30Wednesday, May 3010:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Richard	1454	–1	+24	=1477	56%	3
5/29Tuesday, May 2910:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Straily	1436	–4	+0	=1432	41%	5
5/29Tuesday, May 2910:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Ross	1452	+22	+24	=1498	59%	9
5/28Monday, May 284:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Smith	1433	+19	–4	=1448	47%	7
5/28Monday, May 284:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Lauer	1456	–12	+23	=1467	53%	2
5/27Sunday, May 274:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Strahm	1457	–2	+0	=1455	35%	1
5/27Sunday, May 274:10 p.m.	LADDodgers	Buehler	1543	–1	+24	=1566	65%	6
5/26Saturday, May 2610:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Lyles	1455	–11	+0	=1444	32%	7
5/26Saturday, May 2610:10 p.m.	LADDodgers	Wood	1545	+8	+24	=1577	68%	5
5/25Friday, May 2510:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Richard	1456	–2	–2	=1452	35%	1
5/25Friday, May 2510:10 p.m.	LADDodgers	Stripling	1544	–8	+26	=1562	65%	4
5/23Wednesday, May 234:05 p.m.	SDPadres	Ross	1454	+17	+0	=1471	44%	3
5/23Wednesday, May 234:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Fedde	1547	–58	+24	=1513	56%	1
5/22Tuesday, May 227:05 p.m.	SDPadres	Lauer	1455	–17	+0	=1438	36%	1
5/22Tuesday, May 227:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Hellickson	1546	–30	+24	=1540	64%	2
5/21Monday, May 217:05 p.m.	SDPadres	Erlin	1457	–1	–2	=1454	35%	2
5/21Monday, May 217:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Gonzalez	1543	–8	+24	=1559	65%	10
5/20Sunday, May 201:35 p.m.	SDPadres	Lyles	1454	–9	+0	=1445	36%	8
5/20Sunday, May 201:35 p.m.	PITPirates	Williams	1498	+20	+24	=1542	64%	5
5/19Saturday, May 197:05 p.m.	SDPadres	Richard	1451	–4	+0	=1447	38%	6
5/19Saturday, May 197:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Kingham	1501	+7	+24	=1532	62%	2
5/18Friday, May 187:05 p.m.	SDPadres	Ross	1449	+17	+0	=1466	42%	3
5/18Friday, May 187:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Nova	1503	–7	+24	=1520	58%	2
5/17Thursday, May 177:05 p.m.	SDPadres	Lauer	1450	–17	–2	=1431	37%	4
5/17Thursday, May 177:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Kuhl	1502	+1	+24	=1527	63%	5
5/15Tuesday, May 153:40 p.m.	COLRockies	Marquez	1501	–12	+0	=1489	55%	0
5/15Tuesday, May 153:40 p.m.	SDPadres	Lyles	1447	–16	+24	=1455	45%	4
5/14Monday, May 1410:10 p.m.	COLRockies	Anderson	1499	+7	–3	=1503	52%	6
5/14Monday, May 1410:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Lucchesi	1449	+14	+24	=1487	48%	4
5/13Sunday, May 134:10 p.m.	STLCardinals	Wainwright	1528	–14	+0	=1514	58%	3
5/13Sunday, May 134:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Richard	1446	–9	+24	=1461	42%	5
5/12Saturday, May 128:40 p.m.	STLCardinals	Wacha	1530	–4	+0	=1526	56%	1
5/12Saturday, May 128:40 p.m.	SDPadres	Ross	1445	+16	+24	=1485	44%	2
5/11Friday, May 1110:10 p.m.	STLCardinals	Weaver	1528	–5	+0	=1523	57%	9
5/11Friday, May 1110:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Lauer	1447	+1	+24	=1472	43%	5
5/10Thursday, May 1010:10 p.m.	STLCardinals	Mikolas	1527	+8	–2	=1533	61%	2
5/10Thursday, May 1010:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Lyles	1448	–18	+24	=1454	39%	1
5/9Wednesday, May 99:10 p.m.	WSHNationals	Gonzalez	1546	–5	+0	=1541	58%	1
5/9Wednesday, May 99:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Lucchesi	1446	+14	+24	=1484	42%	2
5/8Tuesday, May 810:10 p.m.	WSHNationals	Hellickson	1544	–35	+0	=1509	57%	4
5/8Tuesday, May 810:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Richard	1448	–14	+24	=1458	43%	0
5/7Monday, May 710:10 p.m.	WSHNationals	Strasburg	1542	+26	–4	=1564	60%	8
5/7Monday, May 710:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Ross	1450	+18	+24	=1492	40%	5
5/6Sunday, May 64 p.m.	LADDodgers	Stripling	1552	–15	+0	=1537	63%	0
5/6Sunday, May 64 p.m.	SDPadres	Lauer	1447	–3	+0	=1444	37%	3
5/5Saturday, May 57:10 p.m.	LADDodgers	Maeda	1555	–13	+0	=1542	64%	4
5/5Saturday, May 57:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Mitchell	1444	–3	+0	=1441	36%	7
5/4Friday, May 49:10 p.m.	LADDodgers	Buehler	1553	–14	–2	=1537	60%	4
5/4Friday, May 49:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Lucchesi	1446	+19	+0	=1465	40%	0
5/2Wednesday, May 23:45 p.m.	SDPadres	Richard	1448	–10	+0	=1438	43%	4
5/2Wednesday, May 23:45 p.m.	SFGiants	Holland	1497	–35	+24	=1486	57%	9
5/1Tuesday, May 110:15 p.m.	SDPadres	Ross	1447	+14	+0	=1461	42%	3
5/1Tuesday, May 110:15 p.m.	SFGiants	Suarez	1498	–9	+24	=1513	58%	2
4/30Monday, April 3010:15 p.m.	SDPadres	Lauer	1448	–5	–2	=1441	38%	5
4/30Monday, April 3010:15 p.m.	SFGiants	Samardzija	1497	+7	+24	=1528	62%	6
4/29Sunday, April 294:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Wheeler	1500	–18	+0	=1482	51%	14
4/29Sunday, April 294:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Mitchell	1453	–2	+24	=1475	49%	2
4/28Saturday, April 288:40 p.m.	NYMMets	Vargas	1505	–9	+0	=1496	51%	2
4/28Saturday, April 288:40 p.m.	SDPadres	Lucchesi	1448	+17	+24	=1489	49%	12
4/27Friday, April 2710:10 p.m.	NYMMets	deGrom	1503	+27	–4	=1526	59%	5
4/27Friday, April 2710:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Richard	1450	–10	+23	=1463	41%	1
4/25Wednesday, April 253:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Ross	1452	+14	+0	=1466	42%	2
4/25Wednesday, April 253:10 p.m.	COLRockies	Gray	1496	+4	+24	=1524	58%	5
4/24Tuesday, April 248:40 p.m.	SDPadres	Lauer	1455	+3	+0	=1458	43%	0
4/24Tuesday, April 248:40 p.m.	COLRockies	Freeland	1493	–13	+24	=1504	57%	8
4/23Monday, April 238:40 p.m.	SDPadres	Mitchell	1450	+0	–3	=1447	38%	13
4/23Monday, April 238:40 p.m.	COLRockies	Bettis	1498	+9	+24	=1531	62%	5
4/22Sunday, April 224:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Lucchesi	1451	+20	+0	=1471	36%	2
4/22Sunday, April 224:10 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Corbin	1540	+6	+24	=1570	64%	4
4/21Saturday, April 218:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Richard	1452	–13	+0	=1439	33%	2
4/21Saturday, April 218:10 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Godley	1539	+3	+24	=1566	67%	6
4/20Friday, April 209:40 p.m.	SDPadres	Ross	1449	+6	+0	=1455	36%	4
4/20Friday, April 209:40 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Koch	1541	–12	+24	=1553	64%	1
4/18Wednesday, April 1810:10 p.m.	LADDodgers	Maeda	1557	–13	+0	=1544	61%	13
4/18Wednesday, April 1810:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Perdomo	1453	–8	+24	=1469	39%	4
4/17Tuesday, April 1710:10 p.m.	LADDodgers	Wood	1555	+7	+0	=1562	62%	7
4/17Tuesday, April 1710:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Mitchell	1454	+0	+24	=1478	38%	3
4/16Monday, April 1610:10 p.m.	LADDodgers	Ryu	1552	–13	–1	=1538	58%	10
4/16Monday, April 1610:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Erlin	1457	+2	+24	=1483	42%	3
4/15Sunday, April 154:10 p.m.	SFGiants	Beede	1495	–10	+0	=1485	49%	1
4/15Sunday, April 154:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Lucchesi	1453	+14	+24	=1491	51%	10
4/14Saturday, April 148:40 p.m.	SFGiants	Holland	1496	–32	+0	=1464	50%	4
4/14Saturday, April 148:40 p.m.	SDPadres	Richard	1452	–10	+24	=1466	50%	5
4/13Friday, April 1310:10 p.m.	SFGiants	Blach	1499	–18	+0	=1481	51%	1
4/13Friday, April 1310:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Ross	1449	+2	+24	=1475	49%	5
4/12Thursday, April 1210:10 p.m.	SFGiants	Stratton	1495	+0	–2	=1493	52%	7
4/12Thursday, April 1210:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Mitchell	1453	+5	+21	=1479	48%	0
4/11Wednesday, April 113:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Perdomo	1454	–12	+0	=1442	40%	4
4/11Wednesday, April 113:10 p.m.	COLRockies	Marquez	1494	–6	+24	=1512	60%	6
4/10Tuesday, April 108:40 p.m.	SDPadres	Lucchesi	1451	+6	+0	=1457	39%	5
4/10Tuesday, April 108:40 p.m.	COLRockies	Anderson	1497	+12	+24	=1533	61%	2
4/9Monday, April 98:40 p.m.	SDPadres	Richard	1449	–9	–3	=1437	35%	7
4/9Monday, April 98:40 p.m.	COLRockies	Gray	1499	+19	+24	=1542	65%	6
4/8Sunday, April 82:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Ross	1450	+2	+0	=1452	30%	1
4/8Sunday, April 82:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Morton	1581	–5	+24	=1600	70%	4
4/7Saturday, April 77:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Mitchell	1451	+4	+0	=1455	31%	0
4/7Saturday, April 77:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Cole	1580	–10	+24	=1594	69%	1
4/6Friday, April 68:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Perdomo	1447	–13	–3	=1431	27%	4
4/6Friday, April 68:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	McCullers Jr.	1584	–11	+26	=1599	73%	1
4/5Thursday, April 53:40 p.m.	COLRockies	Anderson	1502	+8	+0	=1510	55%	3
4/5Thursday, April 53:40 p.m.	SDPadres	Lucchesi	1449	+0	+24	=1473	45%	1
4/4Wednesday, April 410:10 p.m.	COLRockies	Gray	1500	+16	+0	=1516	57%	5
4/4Wednesday, April 410:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Richard	1451	–5	+24	=1470	43%	2
4/3Tuesday, April 310:10 p.m.	COLRockies	Freeland	1503	–7	+0	=1496	53%	4
4/3Tuesday, April 310:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Ross	1448	+3	+24	=1475	47%	8
4/2Monday, April 210:10 p.m.	COLRockies	Bettis	1501	+1	+0	=1502	52%	7
4/2Monday, April 210:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Mitchell	1450	+14	+26	=1490	48%	4
3/31Saturday, March 318:40 p.m.	MILBrewers	Suter	1513	–5	+0	=1508	56%	7
3/31Saturday, March 318:40 p.m.	SDPadres	Perdomo	1453	–12	+24	=1465	44%	3
3/30Friday, March 3010:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Chacin	1511	–1	+0	=1510	55%	8
3/30Friday, March 3010:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Lucchesi	1454	+0	+24	=1478	45%	6
3/29Thursday, March 294:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Anderson	1510	+20	–4	=1526	58%	2
3/29Thursday, March 294:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Richard	1455	–10	+24	=1469	42%	1

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

2018 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

NL West standings

Team rating

Completed games

Comments

2018 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

NL West standings

Team rating

Completed games

Related Stories

Comments