2018 MLB Predictions

The Phillies are done for the season.

NL East standings

	Games back	Chance to make playoffs	Make playoffs
Braves Braves90-72	—	✓	✓
Nationals Nationals82-80	8.0	—	—
Phillies Phillies80-82	10.0	—	—
Mets Mets77-85	13.0	—	—
Marlins Marlins63-98	26.5	—	—

Team rating

Completed games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning	Score
9/30Sunday, Sept. 303:05 p.m. Eastern	ATLBraves	Gausman	1523	–2	+0	=1521	59%	1
9/30Sunday, Sept. 303:05 p.m. Eastern	PHIPhillies	Suarez	1470	–33	+24	=1461	41%	3
9/29Saturday, Sept. 297:05 p.m.	ATLBraves	Sanchez	1525	+0	+0	=1525	49%	0
9/29Saturday, Sept. 297:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Nola	1467	+44	+24	=1535	51%	3
9/28Friday, Sept. 287:05 p.m.	ATLBraves	Foltynewicz	1522	+14	–1	=1535	58%	10
9/28Friday, Sept. 287:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Eickhoff	1471	–11	+20	=1480	42%	2
9/27Thursday, Sept. 273:10 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Arrieta	1472	–3	+0	=1469	40%	3
9/27Thursday, Sept. 273:10 p.m.	COLRockies	Senzatela	1533	–19	+24	=1538	60%	5
9/26Wednesday, Sept. 268:40 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Pivetta	1475	–4	+0	=1471	36%	0
9/26Wednesday, Sept. 268:40 p.m.	COLRockies	Marquez	1529	+18	+24	=1571	64%	14
9/25Tuesday, Sept. 258:40 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Velasquez	1478	–5	+0	=1473	43%	3
9/25Tuesday, Sept. 258:40 p.m.	COLRockies	Bettis	1526	–27	+24	=1523	57%	10
9/24Monday, Sept. 248:40 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Eflin	1481	–15	–3	=1463	40%	1
9/24Monday, Sept. 248:40 p.m.	COLRockies	Gray	1523	–10	+21	=1534	60%	10
9/23Sunday, Sept. 231:35 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Nola	1482	+42	+0	=1524	47%	1
9/23Sunday, Sept. 231:35 p.m.	ATLBraves	Sanchez	1523	+2	+24	=1549	53%	2
9/22Saturday, Sept. 221:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Arrieta	1484	–1	+0	=1483	39%	3
9/22Saturday, Sept. 221:05 p.m.	ATLBraves	Foltynewicz	1521	+12	+24	=1557	61%	5
9/21Friday, Sept. 217:35 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Pivetta	1485	–8	+0	=1477	40%	5
9/21Friday, Sept. 217:35 p.m.	ATLBraves	Teheran	1520	+1	+24	=1545	60%	6
9/20Thursday, Sept. 207:30 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Velasquez	1487	–4	–3	=1480	41%	3
9/20Thursday, Sept. 207:30 p.m.	ATLBraves	Gausman	1518	+0	+24	=1542	59%	8
9/19Wednesday, Sept. 196:05 p.m.	NYMMets	Syndergaard	1499	+13	+0	=1512	53%	0
9/19Wednesday, Sept. 196:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Eflin	1484	–20	+24	=1488	47%	4
9/18Tuesday, Sept. 187:05 p.m.	NYMMets	Matz	1500	–20	+0	=1480	40%	2
9/18Tuesday, Sept. 187:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Nola	1483	+43	+24	=1550	60%	5
9/17Monday, Sept. 177:05 p.m.	NYMMets	Wheeler	1497	+13	–2	=1508	50%	9
9/17Monday, Sept. 177:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Arrieta	1486	+1	+24	=1511	50%	4
9/16Sunday, Sept. 161:35 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Urena	1423	+8	+0	=1431	40%	6
9/16Sunday, Sept. 161:35 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Pivetta	1488	–9	+24	=1503	60%	4
9/15Saturday, Sept. 157:05 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Hernandez	1424	–12	+0	=1412	36%	4
9/15Saturday, Sept. 157:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Velasquez	1487	–1	+24	=1510	64%	5
9/14Friday, Sept. 147:05 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Chen	1428	+6	–1	=1433	42%	2
9/14Friday, Sept. 147:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Eflin	1483	–23	+26	=1486	58%	14
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 127 p.m.	WSHNationals	Strasburg	1523	+21	+0	=1544	48%	5
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 127 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Nola	1486	+47	+24	=1557	52%	1
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 117:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Roark	1522	–7	+0	=1515	51%	7
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 117:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Arrieta	1487	+0	+24	=1511	49%	6
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 113:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Fedde	1520	–36	+3	=1487	46%	3
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 113:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Pivetta	1489	+0	+25	=1514	54%	1
9/9Sunday, Sept. 91:10 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Velasquez	1490	+3	+0	=1493	40%	4
9/9Sunday, Sept. 91:10 p.m.	NYMMets	deGrom	1489	+51	+24	=1564	60%	6
9/8Saturday, Sept. 87:10 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Eflin	1493	–20	+0	=1473	42%	5
9/8Saturday, Sept. 87:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Syndergaard	1486	+18	+24	=1528	58%	10
9/7Friday, Sept. 77:10 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Nola	1491	+46	–1	=1536	56%	4
9/7Friday, Sept. 77:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Matz	1487	–18	+22	=1491	44%	3
9/5Wednesday, Sept. 57:10 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Pivetta	1493	–12	+0	=1481	54%	1
9/5Wednesday, Sept. 57:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Alcantara	1434	–4	+24	=1454	46%	2
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 47:10 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Arrieta	1490	–2	+0	=1488	53%	9
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 47:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Richards	1436	+8	+24	=1468	47%	4
9/3Monday, Sept. 31:10 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Velasquez	1492	+2	–3	=1491	55%	1
9/3Monday, Sept. 31:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Urena	1434	+1	+24	=1459	45%	3
9/2Sunday, Sept. 21:35 p.m.	CHCCubs	Lester	1551	–11	+0	=1540	46%	8
9/2Sunday, Sept. 21:35 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Nola	1496	+49	+24	=1569	54%	1
9/1Saturday, Sept. 17:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hendricks	1548	+13	+0	=1561	58%	7
9/1Saturday, Sept. 17:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Eflin	1499	–21	+24	=1502	42%	1
8/31Friday, Aug. 317:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Quintana	1550	–1	–3	=1546	55%	1
8/31Friday, Aug. 317:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Pivetta	1497	–14	+26	=1509	45%	2
8/29Wednesday, Aug. 297:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Gonzalez	1526	–23	+0	=1503	47%	6
8/29Wednesday, Aug. 297:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Arrieta	1496	+2	+24	=1522	53%	8
8/28Tuesday, Aug. 287:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Scherzer	1524	+56	+0	=1580	52%	5
8/28Tuesday, Aug. 287:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Nola	1497	+47	+24	=1568	48%	4
8/27Monday, Aug. 277:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Strasburg	1523	+19	–1	=1541	56%	5
8/27Monday, Aug. 277:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Eflin	1498	–19	+22	=1501	44%	3
8/26Sunday, Aug. 261:07 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Velasquez	1495	+0	+0	=1495	48%	8
8/26Sunday, Aug. 261:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Estrada	1483	+4	+24	=1511	52%	3
8/25Saturday, Aug. 254:07 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Pivetta	1497	–13	+0	=1484	46%	6
8/25Saturday, Aug. 254:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Sanchez	1481	+10	+24	=1515	54%	8
8/24Friday, Aug. 247:07 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Arrieta	1499	+4	–2	=1501	51%	2
8/24Friday, Aug. 247:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Borucki	1480	–10	+26	=1496	49%	4
8/23Thursday, Aug. 231 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Nola	1496	+42	+0	=1538	40%	2
8/23Thursday, Aug. 231 p.m.	WSHNationals	Scherzer	1524	+58	+24	=1606	60%	0
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 227:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Eflin	1497	–14	+0	=1483	37%	7
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 227:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Strasburg	1523	+27	+24	=1574	63%	8
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 217:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Velasquez	1500	–2	+0	=1498	44%	4
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 217:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Roark	1520	–3	+26	=1543	56%	10
8/19Sunday, Aug. 197 p.m.	NYMMets	Vargas	1478	–33	+0	=1445	43%	8
8/19Sunday, Aug. 197 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Pivetta	1504	–10	+0	=1494	57%	2
8/18Saturday, Aug. 184:05 p.m.	NYMMets	deGrom	1476	+54	+0	=1530	50%	3
8/18Saturday, Aug. 184:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Arrieta	1506	+0	+24	=1530	50%	1
8/17Friday, Aug. 176:05 p.m.	NYMMets	Syndergaard	1478	+25	+0	=1503	41%	2
8/17Friday, Aug. 176:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Nola	1504	+38	+24	=1566	59%	4
8/16Thursday, Aug. 167:35 p.m.	NYMMets	Matz	1479	–15	+0	=1464	43%	6
8/16Thursday, Aug. 167:35 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Eflin	1503	–13	+24	=1514	57%	9
8/16Thursday, Aug. 164:05 p.m.	NYMMets	Oswalt	1471	–17	–1	=1453	42%	24
8/16Thursday, Aug. 164:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Suarez	1511	–27	+24	=1508	58%	4
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 157 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Eovaldi	1605	–14	+0	=1591	58%	4
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 157 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Velasquez	1508	+0	+24	=1532	42%	7
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 147:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Porcello	1604	–16	+1	=1589	60%	2
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 147:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Pivetta	1509	–14	+22	=1517	40%	1
8/12Sunday, Aug. 123:40 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Arrieta	1513	+4	+0	=1517	54%	3
8/12Sunday, Aug. 123:40 p.m.	SDPadres	Lucchesi	1450	+16	+24	=1490	46%	9
8/11Saturday, Aug. 118:40 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Nola	1511	+35	+0	=1546	60%	5
8/11Saturday, Aug. 118:40 p.m.	SDPadres	Lockett	1452	–2	+24	=1474	40%	1
8/10Friday, Aug. 1010:10 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Eflin	1513	–17	+0	=1496	52%	0
8/10Friday, Aug. 1010:10 p.m.	SDPadres	Nix	1450	+12	+20	=1482	48%	2
8/8Wednesday, Aug. 83:40 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Velasquez	1516	+3	+0	=1519	43%	0
8/8Wednesday, Aug. 83:40 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Corbin	1528	+16	+24	=1568	57%	6
8/7Tuesday, Aug. 79:40 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Pivetta	1513	–20	+0	=1493	38%	5
8/7Tuesday, Aug. 79:40 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Greinke	1531	+26	+24	=1581	62%	2
8/6Monday, Aug. 69:40 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Arrieta	1514	+0	–4	=1510	45%	2
8/6Monday, Aug. 69:40 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Godley	1530	–7	+24	=1547	55%	3
8/5Sunday, Aug. 51:35 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Straily	1441	–9	+0	=1432	30%	3
8/5Sunday, Aug. 51:35 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Nola	1513	+39	+24	=1576	70%	5
8/4Saturday, Aug. 47:05 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Urena	1443	+7	+0	=1450	41%	3
8/4Saturday, Aug. 47:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Eflin	1511	–19	+24	=1516	59%	8
8/3Friday, Aug. 37:05 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Richards	1445	+15	+0	=1460	40%	1
8/3Friday, Aug. 37:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Velasquez	1509	+0	+24	=1533	60%	5
8/2Thursday, Aug. 27 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Lopez	1446	–3	–1	=1442	40%	2
8/2Thursday, Aug. 27 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Pivetta	1507	–20	+24	=1511	60%	5
7/31Tuesday, July 317 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Arrieta	1505	–3	+0	=1502	38%	3
7/31Tuesday, July 317 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Pomeranz	1592	–32	+24	=1584	62%	1
7/30Monday, July 307 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Nola	1506	+39	–3	=1542	41%	1
7/30Monday, July 307 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Price	1591	–6	+24	=1609	59%	2
7/29Sunday, July 291:10 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Eflin	1509	–14	+0	=1495	47%	0
7/29Sunday, July 291:10 p.m.	CINReds	Castillo	1476	+18	+24	=1518	53%	4
7/28Saturday, July 286:40 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Velasquez	1511	+4	+0	=1515	53%	2
7/28Saturday, July 286:40 p.m.	CINReds	Harvey	1474	–6	+24	=1492	47%	6
7/27Friday, July 277:10 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Pivetta	1513	–18	+0	=1495	48%	4
7/27Friday, July 277:10 p.m.	CINReds	DeSclafani	1472	+14	+24	=1510	52%	6
7/26Thursday, July 267 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Suarez	1510	–20	–2	=1488	48%	9
7/26Thursday, July 267 p.m.	CINReds	Mahle	1475	+2	+24	=1501	52%	4
7/25Wednesday, July 2512:35 p.m.	LADDodgers	Buehler	1562	+3	+0	=1565	55%	3
7/25Wednesday, July 2512:35 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Arrieta	1507	–4	+24	=1527	45%	7
7/24Tuesday, July 247:05 p.m.	LADDodgers	Maeda	1564	+0	+0	=1564	49%	4
7/24Tuesday, July 247:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Nola	1505	+40	+24	=1569	51%	7
7/23Monday, July 237:05 p.m.	LADDodgers	Stripling	1563	+4	–3	=1564	56%	7
7/23Monday, July 237:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Eflin	1506	–10	+24	=1520	44%	6
7/22Sunday, July 226:05 p.m.	SDPadres	Perdomo	1448	–18	+0	=1430	37%	0
7/22Sunday, July 226:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Velasquez	1504	–2	+24	=1526	63%	5
7/22Sunday, July 2212:05 p.m.	SDPadres	Ross	1443	+7	+2	=1452	41%	10
7/22Sunday, July 2212:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Pivetta	1509	–18	+26	=1517	59%	2
7/20Friday, July 207:05 p.m.	SDPadres	Richard	1446	+7	+3	=1456	39%	5
7/20Friday, July 207:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Arrieta	1507	+0	+28	=1535	61%	11
7/15Sunday, July 151:10 p.m.	PHIPhillies	De Los Santos	1510	–21	+0	=1489	51%	5
7/15Sunday, July 151:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Urena	1446	+12	+24	=1482	49%	10
7/14Saturday, July 144:10 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Nola	1512	+38	+0	=1550	62%	0
7/14Saturday, July 144:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Richards	1444	–4	+24	=1464	38%	2
7/13Friday, July 137:10 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Arrieta	1510	–4	–3	=1503	55%	2
7/13Friday, July 137:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Chen	1445	–4	+26	=1467	45%	0
7/12Thursday, July 126:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Pivetta	1509	–21	–2	=1486	53%	5
7/12Thursday, July 126:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Gausman	1421	+21	+24	=1466	47%	4
7/11Wednesday, July 117:10 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Velasquez	1511	–7	+0	=1504	46%	0
7/11Wednesday, July 117:10 p.m.	NYMMets	deGrom	1462	+47	+24	=1533	54%	3
7/10Tuesday, July 107:10 p.m.	PHIPhillies	De Los Santos	1509	–21	+0	=1488	52%	7
7/10Tuesday, July 107:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Gagnon	1464	–12	+24	=1476	48%	3
7/9Monday, July 97:10 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Nola	1507	+36	+0	=1543	61%	3
7/9Monday, July 97:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Oswalt	1466	–25	+24	=1465	39%	1
7/9Monday, July 94:10 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Eflin	1509	–8	–2	=1499	52%	3
7/9Monday, July 94:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Wheeler	1464	–6	+24	=1482	48%	4
7/8Sunday, July 81:35 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Anderson	1511	–20	+0	=1491	50%	1
7/8Sunday, July 81:35 p.m.	PITPirates	Kingham	1468	–3	+24	=1489	50%	4
7/7Saturday, July 74:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Arrieta	1510	–4	+0	=1506	50%	3
7/7Saturday, July 74:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Taillon	1470	+14	+24	=1508	50%	2
7/6Friday, July 67:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Pivetta	1504	–18	+0	=1486	47%	17
7/6Friday, July 67:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Williams	1475	+10	+22	=1507	53%	5
7/4Wednesday, July 44 p.m.	BALOrioles	Ramirez	1430	–2	+0	=1428	32%	1
7/4Wednesday, July 44 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Nola	1503	+34	+24	=1561	68%	4
7/3Tuesday, July 37:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cobb	1431	–7	+1	=1425	37%	2
7/3Tuesday, July 37:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Eflin	1502	–11	+26	=1517	63%	3
7/1Sunday, July 11:35 p.m.	WSHNationals	Gonzalez	1533	–16	+0	=1517	49%	3
7/1Sunday, July 11:35 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Arrieta	1501	–4	+24	=1521	51%	4
6/30Saturday, June 306:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Hellickson	1534	–19	+0	=1515	50%	2
6/30Saturday, June 306:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Velasquez	1499	–5	+24	=1518	50%	3
6/29Friday, June 297:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Fedde	1529	–44	+0	=1485	45%	17
6/29Friday, June 297:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Pivetta	1505	–8	+24	=1521	55%	7
6/28Thursday, June 287:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Roark	1531	–17	–1	=1513	44%	3
6/28Thursday, June 287:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Nola	1503	+30	+24	=1557	56%	4
6/27Wednesday, June 277:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Cessa	1589	–29	+0	=1560	57%	0
6/27Wednesday, June 277:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Eflin	1501	–17	+24	=1508	43%	3
6/26Tuesday, June 267:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Severino	1587	+33	+0	=1620	63%	6
6/26Tuesday, June 267:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Arrieta	1503	+0	+24	=1527	37%	0
6/25Monday, June 257:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Loaisiga	1585	–26	–3	=1556	55%	4
6/25Monday, June 257:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Velasquez	1505	–8	+22	=1519	45%	2
6/24Sunday, June 248 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Pivetta	1506	–6	+0	=1500	47%	6
6/24Sunday, June 248 p.m.	WSHNationals	Rodriguez	1535	–37	+24	=1522	53%	8
6/23Saturday, June 234:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Nola	1505	+30	+0	=1535	53%	5
6/23Saturday, June 234:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Fedde	1536	–48	+24	=1512	47%	3
6/22Friday, June 227:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Eflin	1499	–19	+0	=1480	40%	12
6/22Friday, June 227:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Roark	1542	–15	+24	=1551	60%	2
6/20Wednesday, June 201:05 p.m.	STLCardinals	Wacha	1511	+2	+0	=1513	49%	3
6/20Wednesday, June 201:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Arrieta	1498	+1	+24	=1523	51%	4
6/19Tuesday, June 197:05 p.m.	STLCardinals	Weaver	1510	–8	+0	=1502	48%	7
6/19Tuesday, June 197:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Velasquez	1499	–8	+24	=1515	52%	6
6/18Monday, June 187:05 p.m.	STLCardinals	Mikolas	1511	+21	–3	=1529	53%	5
6/18Monday, June 187:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Pivetta	1498	–10	+21	=1509	47%	6
6/17Sunday, June 172:10 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Nola	1496	+37	+0	=1533	46%	10
6/17Sunday, June 172:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Anderson	1532	+6	+24	=1562	54%	9
6/16Saturday, June 164:10 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Eflin	1493	–23	+0	=1470	37%	4
6/16Saturday, June 164:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Guerra	1535	+6	+24	=1565	63%	1
6/15Friday, June 158:10 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Arrieta	1497	+8	–3	=1502	43%	2
6/15Friday, June 158:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Suter	1531	–8	+26	=1549	57%	13
6/14Thursday, June 141:05 p.m.	COLRockies	Marquez	1488	–6	+0	=1482	47%	3
6/14Thursday, June 141:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Velasquez	1494	–14	+24	=1504	53%	9
6/13Wednesday, June 137:05 p.m.	COLRockies	Anderson	1485	+4	+0	=1489	46%	7
6/13Wednesday, June 137:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Pivetta	1497	–7	+24	=1514	54%	2
6/12Tuesday, June 127:05 p.m.	COLRockies	Gray	1486	+7	–2	=1491	41%	4
6/12Tuesday, June 127:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Nola	1496	+32	+26	=1554	59%	5
6/10Sunday, June 101:35 p.m.	MILBrewers	Woodruff	1531	–22	+0	=1509	53%	3
6/10Sunday, June 101:35 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Eflin	1495	–28	+24	=1491	47%	4
6/9Saturday, June 91:05 p.m.	MILBrewers	Suter	1526	–6	+0	=1520	48%	12
6/9Saturday, June 91:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Arrieta	1499	+13	+24	=1536	52%	3
6/8Friday, June 87:05 p.m.	MILBrewers	Chacin	1523	+7	+0	=1530	52%	12
6/8Friday, June 87:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Velasquez	1503	–6	+21	=1518	48%	4
6/7Thursday, June 72:20 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Pivetta	1504	–7	+0	=1497	39%	3
6/7Thursday, June 72:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Chatwood	1565	–16	+24	=1573	61%	4
6/6Wednesday, June 68:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Nola	1505	+32	+0	=1537	43%	5
6/6Wednesday, June 68:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Quintana	1564	+2	+24	=1590	57%	7
6/5Tuesday, June 58:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Eflin	1501	–35	–2	=1464	31%	6
6/5Tuesday, June 58:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hendricks	1568	+14	+23	=1605	69%	1
6/3Sunday, June 34:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Arrieta	1504	+14	+0	=1518	50%	1
6/3Sunday, June 34:05 p.m.	SFGiants	Rodriguez	1494	–3	+24	=1515	50%	6
6/2Saturday, June 210:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Velasquez	1506	–9	+0	=1497	48%	0
6/2Saturday, June 210:05 p.m.	SFGiants	Suarez	1492	–8	+24	=1508	52%	2
6/1Friday, June 110:15 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Pivetta	1508	–4	–2	=1502	49%	0
6/1Friday, June 110:15 p.m.	SFGiants	Stratton	1490	–1	+23	=1512	51%	4
5/31Thursday, May 317:35 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Nola	1506	+30	+0	=1536	42%	2
5/31Thursday, May 317:35 p.m.	LADDodgers	Kershaw	1545	+27	+24	=1596	58%	1
5/30Wednesday, May 3010:10 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Eflin	1509	–31	+0	=1478	38%	2
5/30Wednesday, May 3010:10 p.m.	LADDodgers	Stripling	1542	–3	+24	=1563	62%	8
5/29Tuesday, May 2910:10 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Arrieta	1505	+12	+0	=1517	43%	6
5/29Tuesday, May 2910:10 p.m.	LADDodgers	Maeda	1546	–5	+24	=1565	57%	1
5/28Monday, May 288:10 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Velasquez	1506	–11	–4	=1491	45%	4
5/28Monday, May 288:10 p.m.	LADDodgers	Stewart	1544	–42	+24	=1526	55%	5
5/27Sunday, May 271:35 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Happ	1495	+26	+0	=1521	49%	5
5/27Sunday, May 271:35 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Pivetta	1508	–4	+24	=1528	51%	3
5/26Saturday, May 264:05 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Garcia	1496	–19	+0	=1477	38%	1
5/26Saturday, May 264:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Nola	1507	+27	+24	=1558	62%	2
5/25Friday, May 257:05 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Gaviglio	1494	–10	–2	=1482	46%	6
5/25Friday, May 257:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Eflin	1509	–26	+26	=1509	54%	5
5/23Wednesday, May 237:05 p.m.	ATLBraves	Gohara	1511	–4	+0	=1507	45%	0
5/23Wednesday, May 237:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Arrieta	1506	+10	+24	=1540	55%	4
5/22Tuesday, May 227:05 p.m.	ATLBraves	McCarthy	1509	–10	+0	=1499	47%	3
5/22Tuesday, May 227:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Velasquez	1508	–10	+24	=1522	53%	1
5/21Monday, May 217:05 p.m.	ATLBraves	Foltynewicz	1511	+1	–3	=1509	49%	0
5/21Monday, May 217:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Pivetta	1506	–9	+21	=1518	51%	3
5/20Sunday, May 202:15 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Nola	1509	+30	+0	=1539	51%	1
5/20Sunday, May 202:15 p.m.	STLCardinals	Flaherty	1525	–14	+24	=1535	49%	5
5/19Saturday, May 192:15 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Eflin	1507	–25	+0	=1482	43%	7
5/19Saturday, May 192:15 p.m.	STLCardinals	Gant	1526	–22	+24	=1528	57%	6
5/18Friday, May 188:15 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Arrieta	1511	+15	+0	=1526	47%	4
5/18Friday, May 188:15 p.m.	STLCardinals	Wacha	1522	–2	+24	=1544	53%	12
5/17Thursday, May 177:15 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Velasquez	1508	–13	–3	=1492	43%	6
5/17Thursday, May 177:15 p.m.	STLCardinals	Weaver	1526	–4	+22	=1544	57%	2
5/16Wednesday, May 1612:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Pivetta	1506	–14	+4	=1496	51%	4
5/16Wednesday, May 1612:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cashner	1455	+4	+29	=1488	49%	1
5/13Sunday, May 131:35 p.m.	NYMMets	deGrom	1489	+36	+2	=1527	45%	2
5/13Sunday, May 131:35 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Nola	1504	+33	+26	=1563	55%	4
5/11Friday, May 117:05 p.m.	NYMMets	Matz	1486	–9	+0	=1477	41%	3
5/11Friday, May 117:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Arrieta	1506	+13	+24	=1543	59%	1
5/10Thursday, May 101:05 p.m.	SFGiants	Blach	1498	–10	+0	=1488	46%	3
5/10Thursday, May 101:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Velasquez	1504	–13	+24	=1515	54%	6
5/9Wednesday, May 97:05 p.m.	SFGiants	Stratton	1502	+4	+0	=1506	50%	3
5/9Wednesday, May 97:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Pivetta	1501	–18	+24	=1507	50%	11
5/8Tuesday, May 87:05 p.m.	SFGiants	Holland	1503	–34	+0	=1469	38%	2
5/8Tuesday, May 87:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Nola	1499	+32	+24	=1555	62%	4
5/7Monday, May 77:05 p.m.	SFGiants	Samardzija	1509	+5	–3	=1511	53%	0
5/7Monday, May 77:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Eflin	1494	–27	+22	=1489	47%	11
5/6Sunday, May 61:35 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Arrieta	1495	+15	+0	=1510	37%	4
5/6Sunday, May 61:35 p.m.	WSHNationals	Scherzer	1541	+38	+24	=1603	63%	5
5/5Saturday, May 54:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Velasquez	1493	–11	+0	=1482	40%	3
5/5Saturday, May 54:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Roark	1544	–17	+24	=1551	60%	1
5/4Friday, May 47:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Pivetta	1495	–7	–1	=1487	40%	3
5/4Friday, May 47:05 p.m.	WSHNationals	Gonzalez	1542	–6	+24	=1560	60%	7
5/2Wednesday, May 27:10 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Nola	1492	+28	+0	=1520	57%	6
5/2Wednesday, May 27:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Urena	1443	+2	+24	=1469	43%	0
5/1Tuesday, May 17:10 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Eflin	1493	–31	+0	=1462	47%	1
5/1Tuesday, May 17:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Garcia	1442	+19	+24	=1485	53%	2
4/30Monday, April 307:10 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Arrieta	1496	+21	–3	=1514	58%	4
4/30Monday, April 307:10 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Straily	1439	–4	+24	=1459	42%	8
4/29Sunday, April 291:35 p.m.	ATLBraves	McCarthy	1492	+4	+0	=1496	47%	10
4/29Sunday, April 291:35 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Velasquez	1501	–8	+24	=1517	53%	1
4/28Saturday, April 286:05 p.m.	ATLBraves	Foltynewicz	1490	+0	+0	=1490	45%	4
4/28Saturday, April 286:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Pivetta	1503	–6	+24	=1521	55%	1
4/27Friday, April 277:05 p.m.	ATLBraves	Teheran	1492	+4	–2	=1494	42%	3
4/27Friday, April 277:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Nola	1501	+26	+24	=1551	58%	7
4/26Thursday, April 261:05 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Koch	1542	–8	+0	=1534	53%	8
4/26Thursday, April 261:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Lively	1504	–14	+24	=1514	47%	2
4/25Wednesday, April 257:05 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Greinke	1544	+10	+0	=1554	51%	3
4/25Wednesday, April 257:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Arrieta	1503	+17	+24	=1544	49%	5
4/24Tuesday, April 247:05 p.m.	ARIDiamondbacks	Ray	1541	+3	–2	=1542	53%	8
4/24Tuesday, April 247:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Velasquez	1505	–8	+26	=1523	47%	4
4/22Sunday, April 221:35 p.m.	PITPirates	Williams	1489	+18	+0	=1507	48%	2
4/22Sunday, April 221:35 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Pivetta	1504	–10	+24	=1518	52%	3
4/21Saturday, April 214:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Brault	1491	–13	+0	=1478	40%	2
4/21Saturday, April 214:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Nola	1502	+23	+24	=1549	60%	6
4/20Friday, April 207:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Nova	1492	+0	+0	=1492	48%	1
4/20Friday, April 207:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Lively	1501	–15	+24	=1510	52%	2
4/19Thursday, April 197:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Taillon	1496	+21	–2	=1515	48%	0
4/19Thursday, April 197:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Arrieta	1497	+13	+21	=1531	52%	7
4/18Wednesday, April 187:35 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Velasquez	1499	–6	+0	=1493	46%	3
4/18Wednesday, April 187:35 p.m.	ATLBraves	McCarthy	1489	+8	+24	=1521	54%	7
4/17Tuesday, April 177:35 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Pivetta	1497	–9	+0	=1488	46%	5
4/17Tuesday, April 177:35 p.m.	ATLBraves	Foltynewicz	1491	–2	+24	=1513	54%	1
4/16Monday, April 167:35 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Nola	1498	+25	–2	=1521	51%	1
4/16Monday, April 167:35 p.m.	ATLBraves	Teheran	1490	–2	+23	=1511	49%	2
4/15Sunday, April 151:10 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Lively	1495	–12	+0	=1483	48%	10
4/15Sunday, April 151:10 p.m.	TBRays	Yarbrough	1481	–10	+24	=1495	52%	4
4/14Saturday, April 146:10 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Arrieta	1492	+14	+0	=1506	49%	9
4/14Saturday, April 146:10 p.m.	TBRays	Archer	1484	+5	+24	=1513	51%	4
4/13Friday, April 137:10 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Velasquez	1490	–10	–1	=1479	47%	2
4/13Friday, April 137:10 p.m.	TBRays	Faria	1486	–11	+23	=1498	53%	1
4/11Wednesday, April 117:05 p.m.	CINReds	Castillo	1454	+25	+0	=1479	47%	3
4/11Wednesday, April 117:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Pivetta	1489	–12	+24	=1501	53%	4
4/10Tuesday, April 107:05 p.m.	CINReds	Bailey	1456	–6	+0	=1450	38%	1
4/10Tuesday, April 107:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Nola	1487	+23	+24	=1534	62%	6
4/9Monday, April 97:05 p.m.	CINReds	Reed	1457	–41	–2	=1414	37%	5
4/9Monday, April 97:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Lively	1486	–6	+24	=1504	63%	6
4/8Sunday, April 81:35 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Richards	1435	+0	+0	=1435	37%	6
4/8Sunday, April 81:35 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Arrieta	1489	+17	+24	=1530	63%	3
4/7Saturday, April 76:05 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Peters	1440	+1	+2	=1443	42%	1
4/7Saturday, April 76:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Velasquez	1483	–13	+26	=1496	58%	20
4/5Thursday, April 53:05 p.m.	MIAMarlins	Smith	1443	+3	–1	=1445	44%	0
4/5Thursday, April 53:05 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Pivetta	1481	–17	+23	=1487	56%	5
4/4Wednesday, April 41:10 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Nola	1482	+26	+0	=1508	44%	2
4/4Wednesday, April 41:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Syndergaard	1495	+31	+24	=1550	56%	4
4/3Tuesday, April 37:10 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Lively	1484	–6	+2	=1480	49%	0
4/3Tuesday, April 37:10 p.m.	NYMMets	Harvey	1493	–31	+26	=1488	51%	2
3/31Saturday, March 317:10 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Velasquez	1489	–5	+0	=1484	47%	2
3/31Saturday, March 317:10 p.m.	ATLBraves	McCarthy	1474	+8	+24	=1506	53%	15
3/30Friday, March 307:35 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Pivetta	1487	–17	+0	=1470	46%	5
3/30Friday, March 307:35 p.m.	ATLBraves	Foltynewicz	1476	–3	+24	=1497	54%	4
3/29Thursday, March 294:10 p.m.	PHIPhillies	Nola	1490	+24	–3	=1511	51%	5
3/29Thursday, March 294:10 p.m.	ATLBraves	Teheran	1474	+8	+24	=1506	49%	8

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

2018 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

NL East standings

Team rating

Completed games

Comments

2018 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

NL East standings

Team rating

Completed games

Related Stories

Comments