2018 MLB Predictions

The Royals are done for the season.

AL Central standings

	Games back	Chance to make playoffs	Make playoffs
Indians Indians91-71	—	✓	✓
Twins Twins78-84	13.0	—	—
Tigers Tigers64-98	27.0	—	—
White Sox White Sox62-100	29.0	—	—
Royals Royals58-104	33.0	—	—

Team rating

Completed games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning	Score
9/30Sunday, Sept. 303:15 p.m. Eastern	CLEIndians	Carrasco	1555	+14	+0	=1569	66%	2
9/30Sunday, Sept. 303:15 p.m. Eastern	KCRoyals	Skoglund	1439	–13	+24	=1450	34%	1
9/29Saturday, Sept. 297:15 p.m.	CLEIndians	Kluber	1559	+18	+0	=1577	66%	4
9/29Saturday, Sept. 297:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Junis	1435	+6	+24	=1465	34%	9
9/28Friday, Sept. 288 p.m.	CLEIndians	Clevinger	1556	+2	+0	=1558	64%	14
9/28Friday, Sept. 288 p.m.	KCRoyals	Kennedy	1437	–3	+24	=1458	36%	6
9/27Thursday, Sept. 278 p.m.	CLEIndians	Tomlin	1558	–53	–2	=1503	58%	1
9/27Thursday, Sept. 278 p.m.	KCRoyals	Sparkman	1436	–10	+21	=1447	42%	2
9/26Wednesday, Sept. 266:40 p.m.	KCRoyals	Fillmyer	1432	–6	+0	=1426	45%	6
9/26Wednesday, Sept. 266:40 p.m.	CINReds	Reed	1456	–21	+24	=1459	55%	1
9/25Tuesday, Sept. 256:40 p.m.	KCRoyals	Skoglund	1431	–14	+0	=1417	41%	4
9/25Tuesday, Sept. 256:40 p.m.	CINReds	Harvey	1458	+1	+23	=1482	59%	3
9/23Sunday, Sept. 231:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Keller	1429	+18	+0	=1447	48%	3
9/23Sunday, Sept. 231:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Norris	1436	–1	+24	=1459	52%	2
9/22Saturday, Sept. 226:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Junis	1430	+9	+0	=1439	49%	4
9/22Saturday, Sept. 226:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Zimmermann	1435	–9	+24	=1450	51%	5
9/21Friday, Sept. 217:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Kennedy	1429	–1	+0	=1428	47%	4
9/21Friday, Sept. 217:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Liriano	1436	–10	+24	=1450	53%	3
9/20Thursday, Sept. 207:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Lopez	1431	+2	–2	=1431	43%	8
9/20Thursday, Sept. 207:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1434	+25	+24	=1483	57%	11
9/19Wednesday, Sept. 197:05 p.m.	KCRoyals	Fillmyer	1432	–10	+0	=1422	36%	1
9/19Wednesday, Sept. 197:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Archer	1500	–5	+24	=1519	64%	2
9/18Tuesday, Sept. 187:05 p.m.	KCRoyals	Skoglund	1432	–21	+0	=1411	32%	1
9/18Tuesday, Sept. 187:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Taillon	1500	+19	+24	=1543	68%	2
9/17Monday, Sept. 177:05 p.m.	KCRoyals	Keller	1433	+19	–3	=1449	40%	6
9/17Monday, Sept. 177:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Musgrove	1498	–2	+22	=1518	60%	7
9/16Sunday, Sept. 162:15 p.m.	MINTwins	Gibson	1472	+12	+0	=1484	51%	9
9/16Sunday, Sept. 162:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Junis	1436	+14	+24	=1474	49%	6
9/15Saturday, Sept. 157:15 p.m.	MINTwins	De Jong	1475	–18	+0	=1457	51%	3
9/15Saturday, Sept. 157:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Kennedy	1432	–5	+24	=1451	49%	10
9/14Friday, Sept. 148:15 p.m.	MINTwins	Berrios	1478	+18	+0	=1496	55%	4
9/14Friday, Sept. 148:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Lopez	1429	+6	+24	=1459	45%	8
9/13Thursday, Sept. 138:15 p.m.	MINTwins	Gonsalves	1480	–34	–2	=1444	51%	4
9/13Thursday, Sept. 138:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Fillmyer	1427	–15	+24	=1436	49%	6
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 128:15 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Rodon	1442	+34	+0	=1476	57%	4
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 128:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Skoglund	1429	–25	+24	=1428	43%	2
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 118:15 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Covey	1444	–25	+0	=1419	43%	3
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 118:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Keller	1427	+15	+24	=1466	57%	6
9/10Monday, Sept. 108:15 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1445	+0	–2	=1443	47%	3
9/10Monday, Sept. 108:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Junis	1426	+15	+22	=1463	53%	4
9/9Sunday, Sept. 92:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Kennedy	1427	–7	+0	=1420	42%	1
9/9Sunday, Sept. 92:10 p.m.	MINTwins	De Jong	1475	–21	+24	=1478	58%	3
9/8Saturday, Sept. 87:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Lopez	1424	–3	+0	=1421	36%	4
9/8Saturday, Sept. 87:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Berrios	1478	+18	+24	=1520	64%	1
9/7Friday, Sept. 78:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Fillmyer	1426	–3	–1	=1422	43%	6
9/7Friday, Sept. 78:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Gonsalves	1476	–25	+23	=1474	57%	10
9/5Wednesday, Sept. 51:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Keller	1427	+15	+0	=1442	29%	1
9/5Wednesday, Sept. 51:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Kluber	1557	+19	+24	=1600	71%	3
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 47:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Duffy	1429	+12	+0	=1441	31%	3
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 47:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Clevinger	1555	–2	+24	=1577	69%	9
9/3Monday, Sept. 34:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Junis	1425	+9	–3	=1431	34%	5
9/3Monday, Sept. 34:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Plutko	1558	–38	+24	=1544	66%	1
9/2Sunday, Sept. 22:15 p.m.	BALOrioles	Hess	1418	+3	+0	=1421	48%	1
9/2Sunday, Sept. 22:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Lopez	1421	–10	+24	=1435	52%	9
9/1Saturday, Sept. 17:15 p.m.	BALOrioles	Bundy	1419	–2	+0	=1417	47%	4
9/1Saturday, Sept. 17:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Fillmyer	1420	–3	+24	=1441	53%	5
8/31Friday, Aug. 318:15 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cashner	1422	+4	–1	=1425	45%	2
8/31Friday, Aug. 318:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Keller	1417	+14	+26	=1457	55%	9
8/29Wednesday, Aug. 292:15 p.m.	DETTigers	Fulmer	1433	+19	+0	=1452	50%	2
8/29Wednesday, Aug. 292:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Duffy	1414	+13	+24	=1451	50%	9
8/28Tuesday, Aug. 288:15 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1435	+21	–1	=1455	51%	2
8/28Tuesday, Aug. 288:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Junis	1411	+8	+26	=1445	49%	6
8/26Sunday, Aug. 262:15 p.m.	CLEIndians	Bieber	1557	–24	+0	=1533	64%	12
8/26Sunday, Aug. 262:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Lopez	1413	–5	+24	=1432	36%	5
8/25Saturday, Aug. 257:15 p.m.	CLEIndians	Kluber	1562	+19	+0	=1581	71%	1
8/25Saturday, Aug. 257:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Fillmyer	1408	–8	+24	=1424	29%	7
8/24Friday, Aug. 248:15 p.m.	CLEIndians	Clevinger	1564	–6	–3	=1555	66%	4
8/24Friday, Aug. 248:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Keller	1406	+16	+21	=1443	34%	5
8/23Thursday, Aug. 237:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Duffy	1407	+15	+0	=1422	39%	3
8/23Thursday, Aug. 237:10 p.m.	TBRays	Glasnow	1519	–40	+24	=1503	61%	4
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 227:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Junis	1408	+10	+0	=1418	35%	3
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 227:10 p.m.	TBRays	Stanek	1517	–13	+24	=1528	65%	6
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 217:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Sparkman	1409	+3	+0	=1412	28%	1
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 217:10 p.m.	TBRays	Snell	1516	+35	+24	=1575	72%	4
8/20Monday, Aug. 207:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Lopez	1410	–6	–3	=1401	34%	0
8/20Monday, Aug. 207:10 p.m.	TBRays	Wood	1516	–21	+21	=1516	66%	1
8/19Sunday, Aug. 192:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Fillmyer	1411	+4	+0	=1415	44%	6
8/19Sunday, Aug. 192:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1436	–2	+24	=1458	56%	7
8/18Saturday, Aug. 187:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Keller	1410	+15	+0	=1425	48%	3
8/18Saturday, Aug. 187:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Covey	1438	–25	+24	=1437	52%	1
8/17Friday, Aug. 178:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Junis	1412	+8	–2	=1418	44%	3
8/17Friday, Aug. 178:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Shields	1435	+2	+24	=1461	56%	9
8/16Thursday, Aug. 168:15 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Gaviglio	1481	–12	+0	=1469	55%	2
8/16Thursday, Aug. 168:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Sparkman	1410	+0	+24	=1434	45%	6
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 158:15 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Estrada	1480	+4	+0	=1484	57%	6
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 158:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Lopez	1411	–1	+24	=1434	43%	5
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 148:15 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Borucki	1479	+5	+0	=1484	56%	6
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 148:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Fillmyer	1412	+8	+24	=1444	44%	5
8/13Monday, Aug. 138:15 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Reid-Foley	1481	–9	–3	=1469	54%	1
8/13Monday, Aug. 138:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Keller	1410	+9	+24	=1443	46%	3
8/12Sunday, Aug. 122:15 p.m.	STLCardinals	Ross	1525	–21	+0	=1504	59%	8
8/12Sunday, Aug. 122:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Junis	1412	+3	+24	=1439	41%	2
8/11Saturday, Aug. 117:15 p.m.	STLCardinals	Flaherty	1523	+6	+0	=1529	60%	8
8/11Saturday, Aug. 117:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Duffy	1414	+17	+24	=1455	40%	3
8/10Friday, Aug. 108:15 p.m.	STLCardinals	Gomber	1521	–17	–1	=1503	60%	7
8/10Friday, Aug. 108:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Smith	1417	–10	+26	=1433	40%	0
8/8Wednesday, Aug. 88:15 p.m.	CHCCubs	Quintana	1553	+7	+0	=1560	67%	0
8/8Wednesday, Aug. 88:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Fillmyer	1411	–1	+24	=1434	33%	9
8/7Tuesday, Aug. 78:15 p.m.	CHCCubs	Montgomery	1551	+2	+0	=1553	65%	5
8/7Tuesday, Aug. 78:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Keller	1413	+11	+24	=1448	35%	0
8/6Monday, Aug. 68:15 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hamels	1550	+1	–2	=1549	66%	3
8/6Monday, Aug. 68:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Junis	1414	–1	+22	=1435	34%	1
8/5Sunday, Aug. 52:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Duffy	1415	+20	+0	=1435	37%	5
8/5Sunday, Aug. 52:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Santana	1496	+6	+24	=1526	63%	6
8/4Saturday, Aug. 47:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Smith	1417	–2	+0	=1415	33%	2
8/4Saturday, Aug. 47:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Berrios	1494	+21	+24	=1539	67%	8
8/3Friday, Aug. 38:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Fillmyer	1418	+2	–2	=1418	36%	4
8/3Friday, Aug. 38:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Odorizzi	1493	–6	+26	=1513	64%	6
8/2Thursday, Aug. 22:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Keller	1419	+6	+0	=1425	46%	4
8/2Thursday, Aug. 22:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1431	–4	+24	=1451	54%	6
8/1Wednesday, Aug. 18:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Junis	1416	–1	+0	=1415	46%	10
8/1Wednesday, Aug. 18:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Covey	1435	–17	+24	=1442	54%	5
7/31Tuesday, July 318:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Duffy	1414	+18	–1	=1431	45%	4
7/31Tuesday, July 318:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Shields	1437	+4	+26	=1467	55%	2
7/29Sunday, July 291:05 p.m.	KCRoyals	Smith	1415	+1	+0	=1416	25%	3
7/29Sunday, July 291:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Happ	1582	+0	+24	=1606	75%	6
7/28Saturday, July 287:05 p.m.	KCRoyals	Fillmyer	1415	+2	+0	=1417	26%	4
7/28Saturday, July 287:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Sabathia	1582	–3	+24	=1603	74%	5
7/28Saturday, July 281 p.m.	KCRoyals	Keller	1410	+10	+2	=1422	22%	10
7/28Saturday, July 281 p.m.	NYYYankees	Severino	1587	+25	+26	=1638	78%	5
7/26Thursday, July 267:05 p.m.	KCRoyals	Junis	1411	+3	–3	=1411	26%	2
7/26Thursday, July 267:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Gray	1586	–15	+21	=1592	74%	7
7/25Wednesday, July 252:15 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1449	+3	+0	=1452	49%	8
7/25Wednesday, July 252:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Duffy	1414	+21	+24	=1459	51%	4
7/24Tuesday, July 248:15 p.m.	DETTigers	Zimmermann	1451	–2	+0	=1449	53%	4
7/24Tuesday, July 248:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Smith	1412	–8	+24	=1428	47%	5
7/23Monday, July 238:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Liriano	1449	–10	–3	=1436	51%	5
7/23Monday, July 238:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Fillmyer	1413	–6	+24	=1431	49%	4
7/22Sunday, July 222:15 p.m.	MINTwins	Odorizzi	1491	–4	+0	=1487	57%	3
7/22Sunday, July 222:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Keller	1411	+5	+24	=1440	43%	5
7/21Saturday, July 217:15 p.m.	MINTwins	Lynn	1493	–8	+0	=1485	57%	2
7/21Saturday, July 217:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Junis	1409	+3	+24	=1436	43%	4
7/20Friday, July 208:15 p.m.	MINTwins	Gibson	1494	+16	+5	=1515	58%	5
7/20Friday, July 208:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Duffy	1408	+21	+29	=1458	42%	6
7/15Sunday, July 152:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Smith	1411	–3	+0	=1408	44%	1
7/15Sunday, July 152:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1434	–8	+24	=1450	56%	10
7/14Saturday, July 142:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Duffy	1408	+17	+0	=1425	44%	5
7/14Saturday, July 142:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1437	+9	+24	=1470	56%	0
7/13Friday, July 138:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Keller	1410	+18	+0	=1428	44%	6
7/13Friday, July 138:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Shields	1435	+6	+26	=1467	56%	9
7/11Wednesday, July 111 p.m.	KCRoyals	Smith	1411	+0	+0	=1411	36%	5
7/11Wednesday, July 111 p.m.	MINTwins	Lynn	1491	–7	+24	=1508	64%	8
7/10Tuesday, July 108:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Kennedy	1407	–2	+0	=1405	35%	9
7/10Tuesday, July 108:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Slegers	1495	–10	+24	=1509	65%	4
7/9Monday, July 98:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Duffy	1408	+12	–2	=1418	34%	1
7/9Monday, July 98:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Berrios	1494	+17	+24	=1535	66%	3
7/8Sunday, July 82:15 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Porcello	1586	–8	+0	=1578	70%	7
7/8Sunday, July 82:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Fillmyer	1409	+0	+24	=1433	30%	4
7/7Saturday, July 77:15 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Price	1583	–6	+0	=1577	67%	15
7/7Saturday, July 77:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Keller	1412	+22	+24	=1458	33%	4
7/6Friday, July 68:15 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Sale	1583	+50	–1	=1632	77%	10
7/6Friday, July 68:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Hammel	1413	–14	+26	=1425	23%	5
7/4Wednesday, July 48 p.m.	CLEIndians	Bauer	1560	+16	+0	=1576	70%	3
7/4Wednesday, July 48 p.m.	KCRoyals	Oaks	1414	–9	+24	=1429	30%	2
7/3Tuesday, July 38:15 p.m.	CLEIndians	Bieber	1559	–24	+0	=1535	62%	6
7/3Tuesday, July 38:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Duffy	1415	+12	+24	=1451	38%	4
7/2Monday, July 28:15 p.m.	CLEIndians	Kluber	1557	+27	–4	=1580	69%	9
7/2Monday, July 28:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Junis	1417	+5	+20	=1442	31%	3
7/1Sunday, July 14:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Keller	1417	+12	+0	=1429	29%	0
7/1Sunday, July 14:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Paxton	1537	+27	+24	=1588	71%	1
6/30Saturday, June 3010:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Hammel	1418	–11	+0	=1407	31%	4
6/30Saturday, June 3010:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Hernandez	1536	–14	+24	=1546	69%	6
6/29Friday, June 2910:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Kennedy	1419	–6	–2	=1411	32%	1
6/29Friday, June 2910:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Gonzales	1535	–11	+20	=1544	68%	4
6/27Wednesday, June 272:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Duffy	1417	+9	+0	=1426	33%	5
6/27Wednesday, June 272:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Suter	1530	–3	+24	=1551	67%	4
6/26Tuesday, June 268:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Junis	1419	+10	–2	=1427	32%	1
6/26Tuesday, June 268:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Peralta	1529	+0	+26	=1555	68%	5
6/25Monday, June 254:15 p.m.	LAAAngels	Skaggs	1515	+10	–3	=1522	62%	0
6/25Monday, June 254:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Keller	1416	+0	+21	=1437	38%	2
6/24Sunday, June 242:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Hammel	1418	–4	+0	=1414	22%	3
6/24Sunday, June 242:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Cole	1608	+4	+24	=1636	78%	11
6/23Saturday, June 237:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Kennedy	1418	–10	+0	=1408	23%	3
6/23Saturday, June 237:15 p.m.	HOUAstros	McCullers Jr.	1608	–17	+24	=1615	77%	4
6/22Friday, June 228:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Duffy	1416	+4	–1	=1419	24%	1
6/22Friday, June 228:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Keuchel	1610	–20	+26	=1616	76%	0
6/20Wednesday, June 208:15 p.m.	TEXRangers	Bibens-Dirkx	1479	–2	+0	=1477	53%	3
6/20Wednesday, June 208:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Junis	1417	+12	+24	=1453	47%	2
6/19Tuesday, June 198:15 p.m.	TEXRangers	Hamels	1477	+32	+0	=1509	60%	4
6/19Tuesday, June 198:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Hammel	1418	–1	+24	=1441	40%	1
6/18Monday, June 188:15 p.m.	TEXRangers	Colon	1475	–12	–2	=1461	54%	6
6/18Monday, June 188:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Kennedy	1420	–9	+24	=1435	46%	3
6/17Sunday, June 172:15 p.m.	HOUAstros	McCullers Jr.	1609	–16	+0	=1593	70%	7
6/17Sunday, June 172:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Keller	1421	+1	+24	=1446	30%	4
6/16Saturday, June 162:15 p.m.	HOUAstros	Keuchel	1607	–22	+0	=1585	68%	10
6/16Saturday, June 162:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Duffy	1424	+6	+24	=1454	32%	2
6/15Friday, June 158:15 p.m.	HOUAstros	Morton	1606	–8	–4	=1594	68%	7
6/15Friday, June 158:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Junis	1425	+15	+26	=1466	32%	3
6/13Wednesday, June 138:15 p.m.	CINReds	Mahle	1450	+10	+0	=1460	52%	7
6/13Wednesday, June 138:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Hammel	1428	–5	+24	=1447	48%	0
6/12Tuesday, June 128:15 p.m.	CINReds	Romano	1447	–2	–1	=1444	51%	5
6/12Tuesday, June 128:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Kennedy	1431	–16	+22	=1437	49%	1
6/10Sunday, June 104:05 p.m.	KCRoyals	Keller	1432	+1	+0	=1433	36%	2
6/10Sunday, June 104:05 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Manaea	1504	+5	+24	=1533	64%	3
6/9Saturday, June 94:05 p.m.	KCRoyals	Duffy	1429	+2	+0	=1431	37%	2
6/9Saturday, June 94:05 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Bassitt	1506	–6	+24	=1524	63%	0
6/8Friday, June 810:05 p.m.	KCRoyals	Junis	1431	+24	+0	=1455	39%	2
6/8Friday, June 810:05 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Montas	1504	+5	+24	=1533	61%	7
6/7Thursday, June 710:05 p.m.	KCRoyals	Hammel	1433	–3	–2	=1428	37%	1
6/7Thursday, June 710:05 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Blackburn	1503	–2	+20	=1521	63%	4
6/6Wednesday, June 610:07 p.m.	KCRoyals	Kennedy	1434	–17	+0	=1417	31%	3
6/6Wednesday, June 610:07 p.m.	LAAAngels	Ohtani	1521	+7	+24	=1552	69%	4
6/5Tuesday, June 510:07 p.m.	KCRoyals	Keller	1434	–1	+0	=1433	36%	0
6/5Tuesday, June 510:07 p.m.	LAAAngels	Heaney	1520	–8	+24	=1536	64%	1
6/4Monday, June 410:07 p.m.	KCRoyals	Duffy	1436	+5	–3	=1438	36%	6
6/4Monday, June 410:07 p.m.	LAAAngels	Tropeano	1518	–6	+24	=1536	64%	9
6/3Sunday, June 32:15 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Gossett	1506	–34	+0	=1472	48%	5
6/3Sunday, June 32:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Junis	1438	+21	+24	=1483	52%	1
6/2Saturday, June 22:15 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Cahill	1507	+3	+0	=1510	57%	4
6/2Saturday, June 22:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Hammel	1437	–2	+24	=1459	43%	5
6/1Friday, June 18:15 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Montas	1502	–4	–4	=1494	55%	16
6/1Friday, June 18:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Kennedy	1442	–11	+26	=1457	45%	0
5/30Wednesday, May 308:15 p.m.	MINTwins	Romero	1500	+4	+0	=1504	56%	8
5/30Wednesday, May 308:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Keller	1440	–5	+24	=1459	44%	11
5/29Tuesday, May 298:15 p.m.	MINTwins	Gibson	1501	+0	+0	=1501	55%	1
5/29Tuesday, May 298:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Duffy	1438	+2	+24	=1464	45%	2
5/28Monday, May 287:15 p.m.	MINTwins	Lynn	1499	–14	–4	=1481	50%	8
5/28Monday, May 287:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Junis	1440	+21	+22	=1483	50%	5
5/27Sunday, May 273:05 p.m.	KCRoyals	Hammel	1438	–8	+0	=1430	35%	5
5/27Sunday, May 273:05 p.m.	TEXRangers	Hamels	1480	+32	+24	=1536	65%	3
5/26Saturday, May 264:05 p.m.	KCRoyals	Kennedy	1439	–10	+0	=1429	40%	3
5/26Saturday, May 264:05 p.m.	TEXRangers	Colon	1479	–5	+24	=1498	60%	4
5/25Friday, May 258:05 p.m.	KCRoyals	Skoglund	1441	–16	+0	=1425	39%	4
5/25Friday, May 258:05 p.m.	TEXRangers	Minor	1477	+2	+24	=1503	61%	8
5/24Thursday, May 248:05 p.m.	KCRoyals	Duffy	1437	–3	–3	=1431	40%	8
5/24Thursday, May 248:05 p.m.	TEXRangers	Bibens-Dirkx	1481	–1	+24	=1504	60%	2
5/23Wednesday, May 231:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Junis	1434	+22	+0	=1456	37%	5
5/23Wednesday, May 231:15 p.m.	STLCardinals	Wacha	1525	–3	+24	=1546	63%	2
5/22Tuesday, May 228:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Hammel	1430	–11	+0	=1419	32%	5
5/22Tuesday, May 228:15 p.m.	STLCardinals	Weaver	1529	–3	+24	=1550	68%	1
5/21Monday, May 218:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Kennedy	1432	–8	–2	=1422	32%	0
5/21Monday, May 218:15 p.m.	STLCardinals	Mikolas	1527	+5	+24	=1556	68%	6
5/20Sunday, May 202:15 p.m.	NYYYankees	Gray	1582	–23	+0	=1559	65%	10
5/20Sunday, May 202:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Skoglund	1434	–8	+24	=1450	35%	1
5/19Saturday, May 197:15 p.m.	NYYYankees	Severino	1580	+31	+0	=1611	70%	8
5/19Saturday, May 197:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Duffy	1436	+1	+24	=1461	30%	3
5/18Friday, May 188:15 p.m.	NYYYankees	Sabathia	1583	+2	+2	=1587	65%	2
5/18Friday, May 188:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Junis	1433	+20	+26	=1479	35%	5
5/16Wednesday, May 162:15 p.m.	TBRays	Faria	1488	–2	+0	=1486	56%	5
5/16Wednesday, May 162:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Hammel	1434	–11	+24	=1447	44%	3
5/15Tuesday, May 158:15 p.m.	TBRays	Banda	1487	–15	+0	=1472	53%	6
5/15Tuesday, May 158:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Kennedy	1435	–9	+24	=1450	47%	5
5/14Monday, May 147 p.m.	TBRays	Yarbrough	1486	–15	–3	=1468	54%	2
5/14Monday, May 147 p.m.	KCRoyals	Skoglund	1437	–17	+21	=1441	46%	1
5/13Sunday, May 131:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Duffy	1438	+10	+0	=1448	27%	2
5/13Sunday, May 131:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Kluber	1558	+35	+24	=1617	73%	11
5/12Saturday, May 124:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Junis	1440	+19	+0	=1459	33%	2
5/12Saturday, May 124:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Clevinger	1556	+2	+24	=1582	67%	6
5/11Friday, May 117:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Hammel	1438	–6	–2	=1430	29%	10
5/11Friday, May 117:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Bauer	1559	+2	+24	=1585	71%	9
5/10Thursday, May 107:05 p.m.	KCRoyals	Kennedy	1441	–4	+0	=1437	51%	6
5/10Thursday, May 107:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Tillman	1444	–36	+24	=1432	49%	11
5/9Wednesday, May 97:05 p.m.	KCRoyals	Skoglund	1442	–26	+0	=1416	42%	3
5/9Wednesday, May 97:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cashner	1442	+5	+24	=1471	58%	5
5/8Tuesday, May 87:05 p.m.	KCRoyals	Duffy	1438	+6	–1	=1443	44%	15
5/8Tuesday, May 87:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Bundy	1447	+16	+22	=1485	56%	7
5/6Sunday, May 62:15 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1449	+6	+0	=1455	47%	2
5/6Sunday, May 62:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Junis	1436	+14	+24	=1474	53%	4
5/5Saturday, May 54:15 p.m.	DETTigers	Zimmermann	1447	–16	+0	=1431	47%	3
5/5Saturday, May 54:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Hammel	1437	–7	+24	=1454	53%	2
5/4Friday, May 48:15 p.m.	DETTigers	Liriano	1449	+5	+0	=1454	50%	2
5/4Friday, May 48:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Kennedy	1436	–7	+24	=1453	50%	4
5/3Thursday, May 32:15 p.m.	DETTigers	Fiers	1452	–10	–3	=1439	51%	6
5/3Thursday, May 32:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Skoglund	1433	–20	+21	=1434	49%	10
5/2Wednesday, May 21:05 p.m.	KCRoyals	Duffy	1434	+10	+0	=1444	31%	4
5/2Wednesday, May 21:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Pomeranz	1570	–10	+24	=1584	69%	5
5/1Tuesday, May 17:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Junis	1431	+13	+0	=1444	26%	7
5/1Tuesday, May 17:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Sale	1572	+30	+24	=1626	74%	6
4/30Monday, April 307:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Hammel	1433	–2	–3	=1428	28%	6
4/30Monday, April 307:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Rodriguez	1571	–3	+24	=1592	72%	10
4/29Sunday, April 292:15 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Santiago	1444	–6	+0	=1438	49%	4
4/29Sunday, April 292:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Kennedy	1431	–12	+24	=1443	51%	5
4/28Saturday, April 288:15 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Covey	1447	–31	+0	=1416	49%	2
4/28Saturday, April 288:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Skoglund	1429	–33	+24	=1420	51%	5
4/28Saturday, April 282:15 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Fulmer	1443	–3	+0	=1440	49%	8
4/28Saturday, April 282:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Oaks	1433	–10	+24	=1447	51%	0
4/27Friday, April 278:15 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1440	+9	+0	=1449	47%	7
4/27Friday, April 278:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Duffy	1435	+11	+24	=1470	53%	4
4/26Thursday, April 268:15 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1438	+0	–2	=1436	44%	6
4/26Thursday, April 268:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Junis	1438	+18	+24	=1480	56%	3
4/25Wednesday, April 258:15 p.m.	MILBrewers	Chacin	1513	–6	+0	=1507	57%	6
4/25Wednesday, April 258:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Hammel	1440	–4	+24	=1460	43%	2
4/24Tuesday, April 248:15 p.m.	MILBrewers	Davies	1512	+1	+0	=1513	58%	5
4/24Tuesday, April 248:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Kennedy	1442	–10	+23	=1455	42%	2
4/22Sunday, April 221:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Skoglund	1439	–38	+0	=1401	38%	8
4/22Sunday, April 221:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Liriano	1455	+4	+24	=1483	62%	5
4/21Saturday, April 211:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Duffy	1443	+15	+0	=1458	48%	4
4/21Saturday, April 211:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Fiers	1452	–8	+24	=1468	52%	12
4/20Friday, April 207:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Junis	1441	+13	+0	=1454	47%	3
4/20Friday, April 207:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Norris	1453	–3	+24	=1474	53%	2
4/20Friday, April 201:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Hammel	1442	–9	+0	=1433	41%	2
4/20Friday, April 201:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Fulmer	1452	+23	+24	=1499	59%	3
4/18Wednesday, April 184:07 p.m.	KCRoyals	Kennedy	1445	–5	+0	=1440	33%	5
4/18Wednesday, April 184:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Happ	1521	+17	+24	=1562	67%	15
4/17Tuesday, April 177:07 p.m.	KCRoyals	Duffy	1446	+12	+0	=1458	41%	4
4/17Tuesday, April 177:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Biagini	1520	–26	+24	=1518	59%	5
4/17Tuesday, April 173:07 p.m.	KCRoyals	Skoglund	1448	–37	+2	=1413	33%	3
4/17Tuesday, April 173:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Garcia	1518	–12	+29	=1535	67%	11
4/14Saturday, April 147:15 p.m.	LAAAngels	Richards	1533	+17	+0	=1550	58%	5
4/14Saturday, April 147:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Junis	1449	+17	+24	=1490	42%	3
4/13Friday, April 138:15 p.m.	LAAAngels	Heaney	1531	–17	+0	=1514	57%	5
4/13Friday, April 138:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Hammel	1450	–11	+24	=1463	43%	4
4/12Thursday, April 128:15 p.m.	LAAAngels	Tropeano	1529	–1	–2	=1526	58%	7
4/12Thursday, April 128:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Kennedy	1453	–6	+24	=1471	42%	1
4/11Wednesday, April 112:15 p.m.	SEAMariners	Paxton	1509	+26	+0	=1535	57%	4
4/11Wednesday, April 112:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Duffy	1454	+10	+24	=1488	43%	2
4/10Tuesday, April 108:15 p.m.	SEAMariners	Hernandez	1506	–5	+0	=1501	58%	8
4/10Tuesday, April 108:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Skoglund	1457	–34	+24	=1447	42%	3
4/9Monday, April 98:15 p.m.	SEAMariners	Gonzales	1511	–27	+0	=1484	50%	0
4/9Monday, April 98:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Junis	1452	+11	+21	=1484	50%	10
4/8Sunday, April 81:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Hammel	1453	–15	+0	=1438	30%	1
4/8Sunday, April 81:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Clevinger	1569	–5	+24	=1588	70%	3
4/7Saturday, April 74:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Kennedy	1451	–10	+0	=1441	30%	1
4/7Saturday, April 74:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Bauer	1571	–8	+24	=1587	70%	0
4/6Friday, April 64:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Duffy	1452	+12	+4	=1468	31%	2
4/6Friday, April 64:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Carrasco	1570	+14	+22	=1606	69%	3
4/3Tuesday, April 31:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Junis	1450	+8	+0	=1458	49%	1
4/3Tuesday, April 31:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1447	–2	+24	=1469	51%	0
4/2Monday, April 21:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Hammel	1453	–10	–1	=1442	46%	1
4/2Monday, April 21:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Liriano	1444	–1	+24	=1467	54%	6
3/31Saturday, March 317:15 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1461	+13	+2	=1476	51%	4
3/31Saturday, March 317:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Kennedy	1454	–12	+26	=1468	49%	3
3/29Thursday, March 294:15 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Shields	1457	–15	–2	=1440	41%	14
3/29Thursday, March 294:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Duffy	1459	+19	+24	=1502	59%	7

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

2018 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

AL Central standings

Team rating

Completed games

Comments

2018 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

AL Central standings

Team rating

Completed games

Related Stories

Comments