2018 MLB Predictions

The Tigers are done for the season.

AL Central standings

	Games back	Chance to make playoffs	Make playoffs
Indians Indians91-71	—	✓	✓
Twins Twins78-84	13.0	—	—
Tigers Tigers64-98	27.0	—	—
White Sox White Sox62-100	29.0	—	—
Royals Royals58-104	33.0	—	—

Team rating

Completed games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning	Score
9/30Sunday, Sept. 303:10 p.m. Eastern	DETTigers	Turnbull	1430	+1	+0	=1431	33%	0
9/30Sunday, Sept. 303:10 p.m. Eastern	MILBrewers	Gonzalez	1545	–12	+24	=1557	67%	11
9/29Saturday, Sept. 297:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Norris	1431	+1	+0	=1432	32%	5
9/29Saturday, Sept. 297:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Miley	1544	–7	+24	=1561	68%	6
9/28Friday, Sept. 288:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Zimmermann	1432	–5	–2	=1425	31%	5
9/28Friday, Sept. 288:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Davies	1544	–5	+24	=1563	69%	6
9/27Thursday, Sept. 278:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Liriano	1434	–9	+0	=1425	39%	3
9/27Thursday, Sept. 278:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Moya	1484	–7	+24	=1501	61%	9
9/26Wednesday, Sept. 268:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1437	+16	+0	=1453	40%	4
9/26Wednesday, Sept. 268:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Odorizzi	1481	+16	+24	=1521	60%	11
9/25Tuesday, Sept. 258:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Turnbull	1435	–7	–1	=1427	40%	4
9/25Tuesday, Sept. 258:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Moya	1483	–8	+22	=1497	60%	2
9/23Sunday, Sept. 231:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Keller	1429	+18	+0	=1447	48%	3
9/23Sunday, Sept. 231:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Norris	1436	–1	+24	=1459	52%	2
9/22Saturday, Sept. 226:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Junis	1430	+9	+0	=1439	49%	4
9/22Saturday, Sept. 226:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Zimmermann	1435	–9	+24	=1450	51%	5
9/21Friday, Sept. 217:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Kennedy	1429	–1	+0	=1428	47%	4
9/21Friday, Sept. 217:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Liriano	1436	–10	+24	=1450	53%	3
9/20Thursday, Sept. 207:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Lopez	1431	+2	–2	=1431	43%	8
9/20Thursday, Sept. 207:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1434	+25	+24	=1483	57%	11
9/19Wednesday, Sept. 191:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Moya	1478	–9	+0	=1469	52%	8
9/19Wednesday, Sept. 191:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Turnbull	1438	–3	+24	=1459	48%	2
9/18Tuesday, Sept. 187:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Odorizzi	1477	+14	+0	=1491	55%	5
9/18Tuesday, Sept. 187:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Norris	1439	–4	+24	=1459	45%	3
9/17Monday, Sept. 177:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Moya	1474	–8	–3	=1463	51%	6
9/17Monday, Sept. 177:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Zimmermann	1442	–7	+23	=1458	49%	1
9/16Sunday, Sept. 161:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Liriano	1439	–17	+0	=1422	31%	6
9/16Sunday, Sept. 161:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Bieber	1557	–21	+24	=1560	69%	4
9/15Saturday, Sept. 153:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Fulmer	1442	+12	+0	=1454	33%	0
9/15Saturday, Sept. 153:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Clevinger	1553	+1	+24	=1578	67%	15
9/14Friday, Sept. 147:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1441	+23	+1	=1465	41%	5
9/14Friday, Sept. 147:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Tomlin	1555	–50	+23	=1528	59%	4
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 121:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Cole	1600	+12	+0	=1612	70%	5
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 121:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Norris	1441	–3	+24	=1462	30%	4
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 116:40 p.m.	HOUAstros	Valdez	1599	–30	+0	=1569	65%	5
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 116:40 p.m.	DETTigers	Zimmermann	1442	–4	+24	=1462	35%	4
9/10Monday, Sept. 106:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Verlander	1599	+16	–3	=1612	72%	3
9/10Monday, Sept. 106:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Liriano	1443	–21	+24	=1446	28%	2
9/9Sunday, Sept. 91:10 p.m.	STLCardinals	Gant	1539	–7	+0	=1532	57%	5
9/9Sunday, Sept. 91:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Fulmer	1445	+11	+24	=1480	43%	2
9/8Saturday, Sept. 86:10 p.m.	STLCardinals	Flaherty	1541	+15	+0	=1556	60%	3
9/8Saturday, Sept. 86:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1443	+18	+24	=1485	40%	4
9/7Friday, Sept. 77:10 p.m.	STLCardinals	Gomber	1543	–3	+0	=1540	61%	3
9/7Friday, Sept. 77:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Norris	1441	–2	+24	=1463	39%	5
9/5Wednesday, Sept. 58:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Zimmermann	1436	–6	+0	=1430	42%	10
9/5Wednesday, Sept. 58:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Kopech	1457	+5	+24	=1486	58%	2
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 48:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Liriano	1432	–20	+0	=1412	40%	8
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 48:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1460	+1	+24	=1485	60%	3
9/3Monday, Sept. 32:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Fulmer	1434	+12	–3	=1443	45%	2
9/3Monday, Sept. 32:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1459	–6	+24	=1477	55%	4
9/2Sunday, Sept. 21:05 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1430	+19	+0	=1449	33%	11
9/2Sunday, Sept. 21:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Lynn	1569	–17	+24	=1576	67%	7
9/1Saturday, Sept. 14:05 p.m.	DETTigers	Norris	1431	–4	+0	=1427	27%	1
9/1Saturday, Sept. 14:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Tanaka	1568	+11	+24	=1603	73%	2
8/31Friday, Aug. 317 p.m.	DETTigers	Zimmermann	1431	–5	+0	=1426	27%	5
8/31Friday, Aug. 317 p.m.	NYYYankees	Severino	1567	+12	+24	=1603	73%	7
8/30Thursday, Aug. 307:05 p.m.	DETTigers	Liriano	1429	–16	–3	=1410	25%	8
8/30Thursday, Aug. 307:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Happ	1570	+8	+24	=1602	75%	7
8/29Wednesday, Aug. 292:15 p.m.	DETTigers	Fulmer	1433	+19	+0	=1452	50%	2
8/29Wednesday, Aug. 292:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Duffy	1414	+13	+24	=1451	50%	9
8/28Tuesday, Aug. 288:15 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1435	+21	–1	=1455	51%	2
8/28Tuesday, Aug. 288:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Junis	1411	+8	+26	=1445	49%	6
8/26Sunday, Aug. 261:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Kopech	1444	+1	+0	=1445	49%	7
8/26Sunday, Aug. 261:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Zimmermann	1438	–7	+24	=1455	51%	2
8/25Saturday, Aug. 256:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1441	–3	+0	=1438	48%	6
8/25Saturday, Aug. 256:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Carpenter	1441	–16	+24	=1449	52%	1
8/24Friday, Aug. 247:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1438	–8	+0	=1430	42%	6
8/24Friday, Aug. 247:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Fulmer	1444	+15	+24	=1483	58%	3
8/23Thursday, Aug. 231:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Shields	1441	+4	–2	=1443	44%	2
8/23Thursday, Aug. 231:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1441	+18	+24	=1483	56%	7
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 227:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	Lester	1541	–8	+0	=1533	62%	8
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 227:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Liriano	1444	–17	+24	=1451	38%	2
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 217:10 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hendricks	1543	+12	+0	=1555	64%	1
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 217:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Zimmermann	1442	–9	+23	=1456	36%	2
8/19Sunday, Aug. 192:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Turner	1442	–39	+0	=1403	34%	4
8/19Sunday, Aug. 192:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Odorizzi	1496	+2	+24	=1522	66%	5
8/18Saturday, Aug. 187:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Carpenter	1440	–11	+0	=1429	39%	7
8/18Saturday, Aug. 187:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Stewart	1498	–15	+24	=1507	61%	5
8/17Friday, Aug. 178:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1441	+17	+0	=1458	39%	4
8/17Friday, Aug. 178:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Gibson	1497	+17	+24	=1538	61%	5
8/16Thursday, Aug. 168:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Liriano	1444	–9	–3	=1432	37%	8
8/16Thursday, Aug. 168:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Santana	1495	+2	+24	=1521	63%	15
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 151:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Rodon	1434	+42	+0	=1476	52%	6
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 151:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Zimmermann	1445	–7	+24	=1462	48%	5
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 147:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1431	–5	+0	=1426	43%	6
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 147:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Hardy	1447	+5	+24	=1476	57%	3
8/13Monday, Aug. 137:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1434	+1	–2	=1433	47%	5
8/13Monday, Aug. 137:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Lewicki	1445	–16	+24	=1453	53%	9
8/12Sunday, Aug. 121:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Stewart	1493	–14	+0	=1479	50%	2
8/12Sunday, Aug. 121:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1443	+10	+24	=1477	50%	4
8/11Saturday, Aug. 116:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Gibson	1491	+13	+0	=1504	57%	4
8/11Saturday, Aug. 116:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Liriano	1445	–9	+24	=1460	43%	3
8/10Friday, Aug. 107:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Santana	1493	+4	–1	=1496	56%	3
8/10Friday, Aug. 107:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Zimmermann	1443	–9	+22	=1456	44%	5
8/8Wednesday, Aug. 84:07 p.m.	DETTigers	Hardy	1445	+13	+0	=1458	39%	0
8/8Wednesday, Aug. 84:07 p.m.	LAAAngels	Barria	1513	–2	+24	=1535	61%	6
8/7Tuesday, Aug. 710:07 p.m.	DETTigers	Turner	1447	–39	+0	=1408	31%	5
8/7Tuesday, Aug. 710:07 p.m.	LAAAngels	Heaney	1511	+9	+24	=1544	69%	11
8/6Monday, Aug. 610:07 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1449	+10	–2	=1457	41%	2
8/6Monday, Aug. 610:07 p.m.	LAAAngels	Tropeano	1509	–11	+20	=1518	59%	6
8/5Sunday, Aug. 54:05 p.m.	DETTigers	Liriano	1451	–12	+0	=1439	32%	0
8/5Sunday, Aug. 54:05 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Cahill	1541	+2	+24	=1567	68%	6
8/4Saturday, Aug. 49:05 p.m.	DETTigers	Zimmermann	1451	–12	+0	=1439	35%	1
8/4Saturday, Aug. 49:05 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Jackson	1540	–19	+24	=1545	65%	2
8/3Friday, Aug. 310:05 p.m.	DETTigers	Hardy	1452	+1	–2	=1451	37%	0
8/3Friday, Aug. 310:05 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Anderson	1539	–25	+26	=1540	63%	1
8/1Wednesday, Aug. 11:10 p.m.	CINReds	Romano	1477	+0	+0	=1477	49%	4
8/1Wednesday, Aug. 11:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Fiers	1450	+7	+24	=1481	51%	7
7/31Tuesday, July 317:10 p.m.	CINReds	Bailey	1479	–18	+0	=1461	47%	1
7/31Tuesday, July 317:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1449	+5	+26	=1480	53%	2
7/29Sunday, July 291:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Kluber	1550	+16	+0	=1566	64%	8
7/29Sunday, July 291:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Zimmermann	1451	–5	+24	=1470	36%	1
7/28Saturday, July 286:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Clevinger	1552	–1	+0	=1551	61%	1
7/28Saturday, July 286:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Hardy	1450	–1	+24	=1473	39%	2
7/27Friday, July 277 p.m.	CLEIndians	Carrasco	1550	+5	+1	=1556	60%	8
7/27Friday, July 277 p.m.	DETTigers	Fiers	1452	+8	+23	=1483	40%	3
7/25Wednesday, July 252:15 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1449	+3	+0	=1452	49%	8
7/25Wednesday, July 252:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Duffy	1414	+21	+24	=1459	51%	4
7/24Tuesday, July 248:15 p.m.	DETTigers	Zimmermann	1451	–2	+0	=1449	53%	4
7/24Tuesday, July 248:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Smith	1412	–8	+24	=1428	47%	5
7/23Monday, July 238:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Liriano	1449	–10	–3	=1436	51%	5
7/23Monday, July 238:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Fillmyer	1413	–6	+24	=1431	49%	4
7/22Sunday, July 221:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Sale	1587	+53	+0	=1640	72%	9
7/22Sunday, July 221:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Hardy	1451	+0	+24	=1475	28%	1
7/21Saturday, July 216:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Johnson	1591	–25	+0	=1566	63%	0
7/21Saturday, July 216:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Fiers	1447	+4	+24	=1475	37%	5
7/20Friday, July 207:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Price	1590	–6	+4	=1588	66%	1
7/20Friday, July 207:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1448	+0	+28	=1476	34%	0
7/15Sunday, July 152:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Liriano	1443	–10	+0	=1433	21%	6
7/15Sunday, July 152:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Verlander	1603	+32	+24	=1659	79%	3
7/14Saturday, July 144:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Fulmer	1445	+19	+0	=1464	28%	1
7/14Saturday, July 144:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Cole	1602	+3	+24	=1629	72%	9
7/13Friday, July 138:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Fiers	1446	+5	–1	=1450	29%	0
7/13Friday, July 138:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Keuchel	1601	–18	+24	=1607	71%	3
7/11Wednesday, July 1112:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Zimmermann	1448	+0	+0	=1448	39%	2
7/11Wednesday, July 1112:10 p.m.	TBRays	Wood	1519	–20	+24	=1523	61%	4
7/10Tuesday, July 107:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1449	–3	+0	=1446	38%	2
7/10Tuesday, July 107:10 p.m.	TBRays	Stanek	1518	–8	+24	=1534	62%	5
7/9Monday, July 97:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Liriano	1450	–6	–3	=1441	36%	9
7/9Monday, July 97:10 p.m.	TBRays	Archer	1517	+0	+21	=1538	64%	10
7/8Sunday, July 81:10 p.m.	TEXRangers	Bibens-Dirkx	1484	+5	+0	=1489	49%	3
7/8Sunday, July 81:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Fulmer	1452	+17	+24	=1493	51%	0
7/7Saturday, July 74:10 p.m.	TEXRangers	Hamels	1487	+23	+0	=1510	55%	2
7/7Saturday, July 74:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Fiers	1449	+1	+24	=1474	45%	7
7/6Friday, July 67 p.m.	TEXRangers	Colon	1489	–12	+0	=1477	52%	1
7/6Friday, July 67 p.m.	DETTigers	Zimmermann	1447	–6	+24	=1465	48%	3
7/5Thursday, July 57:10 p.m.	TEXRangers	Gallardo	1487	–19	–3	=1465	49%	7
7/5Thursday, July 57:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1449	+3	+22	=1474	51%	5
7/4Wednesday, July 42:20 p.m.	DETTigers	Liriano	1450	–4	+0	=1446	30%	2
7/4Wednesday, July 42:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Quintana	1564	+2	+24	=1590	70%	5
7/3Tuesday, July 32:20 p.m.	DETTigers	Fulmer	1451	+18	–2	=1467	33%	3
7/3Tuesday, July 32:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Hendricks	1563	+2	+26	=1591	67%	5
7/2Monday, July 21:07 p.m.	DETTigers	Fiers	1449	–5	+0	=1444	42%	3
7/2Monday, July 21:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Borucki	1489	–10	+24	=1503	58%	2
7/1Sunday, July 11:07 p.m.	DETTigers	Zimmermann	1444	–11	+0	=1433	34%	9
7/1Sunday, July 11:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Happ	1495	+27	+24	=1546	66%	1
6/30Saturday, June 301:07 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1445	+3	+0	=1448	42%	3
6/30Saturday, June 301:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Gaviglio	1494	–11	+24	=1507	58%	4
6/29Friday, June 297:07 p.m.	DETTigers	Liriano	1446	+0	–2	=1444	40%	2
6/29Friday, June 297:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Stroman	1493	+0	+23	=1516	60%	3
6/28Thursday, June 281:10 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Manaea	1508	+18	+0	=1526	55%	4
6/28Thursday, June 281:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Fulmer	1448	+20	+24	=1492	45%	2
6/27Wednesday, June 277:10 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Bassitt	1506	–1	+0	=1505	56%	3
6/27Wednesday, June 277:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Fiers	1449	–7	+24	=1466	44%	0
6/26Tuesday, June 267:10 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Montas	1504	+3	+0	=1507	53%	9
6/26Tuesday, June 267:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Hardy	1451	+11	+24	=1486	47%	7
6/25Monday, June 253:10 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Jackson	1503	–32	–2	=1469	51%	5
6/25Monday, June 253:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Zimmermann	1452	–14	+23	=1461	49%	4
6/24Sunday, June 241:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1456	+9	+0	=1465	40%	2
6/24Sunday, June 241:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Plutko	1560	–48	+24	=1536	60%	12
6/23Saturday, June 236:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Liriano	1457	+0	+0	=1457	31%	1
6/23Saturday, June 236:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Bauer	1559	+10	+24	=1593	69%	4
6/22Friday, June 227:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Fiers	1460	–8	+0	=1452	37%	0
6/22Friday, June 227:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Bieber	1556	–41	+26	=1541	63%	10
6/20Wednesday, June 2012:35 p.m.	DETTigers	Fulmer	1462	+19	+0	=1481	49%	3
6/20Wednesday, June 2012:35 p.m.	CINReds	Mahle	1454	+12	+24	=1490	51%	5
6/19Tuesday, June 197:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1464	+12	+0	=1476	50%	5
6/19Tuesday, June 197:10 p.m.	CINReds	Romano	1452	+1	+24	=1477	50%	9
6/17Sunday, June 172:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Hardy	1462	+9	+0	=1471	50%	3
6/17Sunday, June 172:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Shields	1443	+7	+24	=1474	50%	1
6/16Saturday, June 162:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Zimmermann	1460	–17	+0	=1443	48%	7
6/16Saturday, June 162:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1444	–10	+24	=1458	52%	5
6/15Friday, June 158:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Fiers	1459	–7	–2	=1450	45%	4
6/15Friday, June 158:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1446	+12	+24	=1482	55%	3
6/14Thursday, June 141:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Lynn	1499	–5	+0	=1494	50%	1
6/14Thursday, June 141:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Fulmer	1457	+16	+24	=1497	50%	3
6/13Wednesday, June 137:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Berrios	1502	+18	+0	=1520	54%	2
6/13Wednesday, June 137:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1455	+12	+24	=1491	46%	5
6/12Tuesday, June 127:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Odorizzi	1500	–6	–1	=1493	51%	6
6/12Tuesday, June 127:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Hardy	1457	+5	+26	=1488	49%	4
6/10Sunday, June 101:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Kluber	1556	+41	+0	=1597	68%	9
6/10Sunday, June 101:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Lewicki	1458	–18	+24	=1464	32%	2
6/9Saturday, June 94:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Clevinger	1558	–5	+0	=1553	62%	2
6/9Saturday, June 94:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Fiers	1456	–9	+24	=1471	38%	4
6/8Friday, June 87:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Bauer	1557	+4	+1	=1562	60%	4
6/8Friday, June 87:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Fulmer	1458	+14	+21	=1493	40%	1
6/7Thursday, June 77 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1454	+13	+0	=1467	35%	7
6/7Thursday, June 77 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Beeks	1579	–28	+24	=1575	65%	2
6/6Wednesday, June 67:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Hardy	1455	+10	+0	=1465	31%	1
6/6Wednesday, June 67:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Rodriguez	1577	+3	+24	=1604	69%	7
6/5Tuesday, June 57:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Lewicki	1457	–12	–3	=1442	32%	0
6/5Tuesday, June 57:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Wright	1575	–24	+22	=1573	68%	6
6/4Monday, June 47:10 p.m.	NYYYankees	German	1584	–28	+0	=1556	62%	2
6/4Monday, June 47:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Fiers	1455	–10	+24	=1469	38%	4
6/4Monday, June 41:10 p.m.	NYYYankees	Severino	1583	+34	+0	=1617	70%	7
6/4Monday, June 41:10 p.m.	DETTigers	VerHagen	1456	–14	+24	=1466	30%	4
6/3Sunday, June 31:10 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Sanchez	1487	+4	+0	=1491	49%	8
6/3Sunday, June 31:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Fulmer	1459	+14	+24	=1497	51%	4
6/2Saturday, June 24:10 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Happ	1490	+29	+0	=1519	54%	4
6/2Saturday, June 24:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1456	+13	+24	=1493	46%	7
6/1Friday, June 17:10 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Garcia	1492	–14	–1	=1477	49%	2
6/1Friday, June 17:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Hardy	1454	+6	+24	=1484	51%	5
5/31Thursday, May 311:10 p.m.	LAAAngels	Heaney	1519	–4	+0	=1515	58%	2
5/31Thursday, May 311:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Carpenter	1451	–15	+24	=1460	42%	6
5/30Wednesday, May 307:10 p.m.	LAAAngels	Ohtani	1523	+8	+0	=1531	60%	1
5/30Wednesday, May 307:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Fiers	1448	–14	+24	=1458	40%	6
5/29Tuesday, May 297:10 p.m.	LAAAngels	Tropeano	1519	–3	+0	=1516	53%	9
5/29Tuesday, May 297:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Fulmer	1451	+21	+24	=1496	47%	2
5/28Monday, May 281:10 p.m.	LAAAngels	Skaggs	1523	+3	–2	=1524	56%	3
5/28Monday, May 281:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1447	+10	+24	=1481	44%	9
5/27Sunday, May 271:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Shields	1437	+7	+0	=1444	47%	2
5/27Sunday, May 271:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Hardy	1446	–3	+24	=1467	53%	3
5/26Saturday, May 264:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Santiago	1434	–10	+0	=1424	42%	8
5/26Saturday, May 264:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Liriano	1449	+7	+24	=1480	58%	4
5/25Friday, May 257:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1435	+10	–2	=1443	48%	4
5/25Friday, May 257:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Fiers	1448	–12	+23	=1459	52%	5
5/23Wednesday, May 231:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Fulmer	1445	+20	+0	=1465	41%	4
5/23Wednesday, May 231:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Gibson	1506	+0	+24	=1530	59%	1
5/22Tuesday, May 228:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1448	+10	+0	=1458	43%	0
5/22Tuesday, May 228:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Lynn	1503	–18	+24	=1509	57%	6
5/21Monday, May 218:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Hardy	1449	–6	–3	=1440	37%	2
5/21Monday, May 218:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Berrios	1502	+8	+24	=1534	63%	4
5/20Sunday, May 204:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Liriano	1450	+2	+0	=1452	38%	2
5/20Sunday, May 204:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	LeBlanc	1518	–8	+24	=1534	62%	3
5/19Saturday, May 199:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Fiers	1451	–8	+0	=1443	32%	2
5/19Saturday, May 199:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Paxton	1516	+36	+24	=1576	68%	7
5/18Friday, May 1810:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Fulmer	1452	+20	+0	=1472	42%	4
5/18Friday, May 1810:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Hernandez	1515	–9	+24	=1530	58%	5
5/17Thursday, May 1710:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1451	+10	–4	=1457	41%	3
5/17Thursday, May 1710:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Gonzales	1517	–21	+24	=1520	59%	2
5/16Wednesday, May 161:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Bauer	1555	–3	+0	=1552	62%	6
5/16Wednesday, May 161:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Carpenter	1453	–9	+24	=1468	38%	0
5/15Tuesday, May 157:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Tomlin	1557	–46	+0	=1511	54%	8
5/15Tuesday, May 157:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Liriano	1451	+6	+24	=1481	46%	9
5/14Monday, May 147:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Carrasco	1560	+14	–1	=1573	66%	3
5/14Monday, May 147:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Fiers	1448	–12	+24	=1460	34%	6
5/13Sunday, May 131:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Paxton	1519	+39	+0	=1558	63%	4
5/13Sunday, May 131:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Hardy	1447	–3	+24	=1468	37%	5
5/12Saturday, May 127:40 p.m.	SEAMariners	Hernandez	1517	–5	+0	=1512	52%	9
5/12Saturday, May 127:40 p.m.	DETTigers	Fulmer	1449	+24	+24	=1497	48%	5
5/12Saturday, May 124:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Gonzales	1518	–17	+0	=1501	53%	3
5/12Saturday, May 124:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1448	+7	+26	=1481	47%	4
5/9Wednesday, May 92:05 p.m.	DETTigers	Liriano	1449	+7	+0	=1456	44%	4
5/9Wednesday, May 92:05 p.m.	TEXRangers	Colon	1480	–8	+24	=1496	56%	5
5/8Tuesday, May 88:05 p.m.	DETTigers	Fiers	1446	–15	+0	=1431	38%	7
5/8Tuesday, May 88:05 p.m.	TEXRangers	Minor	1483	+12	+24	=1519	62%	4
5/7Monday, May 78:05 p.m.	DETTigers	Fulmer	1447	+26	–2	=1471	48%	6
5/7Monday, May 78:05 p.m.	TEXRangers	Moore	1482	–21	+24	=1485	52%	7
5/6Sunday, May 62:15 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1449	+6	+0	=1455	47%	2
5/6Sunday, May 62:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Junis	1436	+14	+24	=1474	53%	4
5/5Saturday, May 54:15 p.m.	DETTigers	Zimmermann	1447	–16	+0	=1431	47%	3
5/5Saturday, May 54:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Hammel	1437	–7	+24	=1454	53%	2
5/4Friday, May 48:15 p.m.	DETTigers	Liriano	1449	+5	+0	=1454	50%	2
5/4Friday, May 48:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Kennedy	1436	–7	+24	=1453	50%	4
5/3Thursday, May 32:15 p.m.	DETTigers	Fiers	1452	–10	–3	=1439	51%	6
5/3Thursday, May 32:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Skoglund	1433	–20	+21	=1434	49%	10
5/2Wednesday, May 21:10 p.m.	TBRays	Snell	1496	+22	+0	=1518	53%	2
5/2Wednesday, May 21:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Fulmer	1450	+27	+24	=1501	47%	3
5/1Tuesday, May 17:10 p.m.	TBRays	Archer	1498	–4	+0	=1494	52%	1
5/1Tuesday, May 17:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1449	+4	+24	=1477	48%	2
4/30Monday, April 307:10 p.m.	TBRays	Faria	1497	–6	–3	=1488	55%	3
4/30Monday, April 307:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Zimmermann	1450	–22	+22	=1450	45%	2
4/29Sunday, April 291:05 p.m.	DETTigers	Norris	1451	–1	+0	=1450	44%	3
4/29Sunday, April 291:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Gausman	1455	+15	+24	=1494	56%	5
4/28Saturday, April 287:05 p.m.	DETTigers	Liriano	1448	+5	+0	=1453	45%	9
4/28Saturday, April 287:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cashner	1458	+10	+24	=1492	55%	5
4/27Friday, April 277:05 p.m.	DETTigers	Fiers	1452	–9	–2	=1441	51%	0
4/27Friday, April 277:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Tillman	1454	–42	+24	=1436	49%	6
4/26Thursday, April 2612:35 p.m.	DETTigers	Fulmer	1453	+25	+0	=1478	45%	0
4/26Thursday, April 2612:35 p.m.	PITPirates	Nova	1487	+3	+24	=1514	55%	1
4/25Wednesday, April 258:35 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1456	+11	+0	=1467	44%	3
4/25Wednesday, April 258:35 p.m.	PITPirates	Kuhl	1485	+1	+24	=1510	56%	8
4/25Wednesday, April 254:05 p.m.	DETTigers	Zimmermann	1453	–18	+3	=1438	37%	13
4/25Wednesday, April 254:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Taillon	1488	+14	+27	=1529	63%	10
4/22Sunday, April 221:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Skoglund	1439	–38	+0	=1401	38%	8
4/22Sunday, April 221:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Liriano	1455	+4	+24	=1483	62%	5
4/21Saturday, April 211:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Duffy	1443	+15	+0	=1458	48%	4
4/21Saturday, April 211:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Fiers	1452	–8	+24	=1468	52%	12
4/20Friday, April 207:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Junis	1441	+13	+0	=1454	47%	3
4/20Friday, April 207:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Norris	1453	–3	+24	=1474	53%	2
4/20Friday, April 201:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Hammel	1442	–9	+0	=1433	41%	2
4/20Friday, April 201:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Fulmer	1452	+23	+24	=1499	59%	3
4/19Thursday, April 191:10 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cobb	1465	+8	+0	=1473	52%	8
4/19Thursday, April 191:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Zimmermann	1449	–17	+24	=1456	48%	13
4/18Wednesday, April 181:10 p.m.	BALOrioles	Gausman	1466	+10	+0	=1476	50%	5
4/18Wednesday, April 181:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1448	+6	+24	=1478	50%	6
4/17Tuesday, April 176:40 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cashner	1468	+11	–1	=1478	50%	2
4/17Tuesday, April 176:40 p.m.	DETTigers	Liriano	1446	+4	+31	=1481	50%	4
4/13Friday, April 137:10 p.m.	NYYYankees	Montgomery	1557	–5	–3	=1549	62%	8
4/13Friday, April 137:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Fiers	1447	–5	+23	=1465	38%	6
4/12Thursday, April 126:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Fulmer	1449	+31	+0	=1480	35%	3
4/12Thursday, April 126:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Bauer	1572	–7	+24	=1589	65%	9
4/11Wednesday, April 116:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Zimmermann	1450	–20	+0	=1430	27%	1
4/11Wednesday, April 116:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Carrasco	1571	+11	+24	=1606	73%	5
4/10Tuesday, April 106:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1451	+0	+0	=1451	35%	1
4/10Tuesday, April 106:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Tomlin	1571	–37	+24	=1558	65%	2
4/9Monday, April 96:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Liriano	1452	+1	–2	=1451	26%	0
4/9Monday, April 96:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Kluber	1570	+38	+24	=1632	74%	2
4/8Sunday, April 82:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Fiers	1450	–10	+0	=1440	45%	1
4/8Sunday, April 82:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1455	–4	+24	=1475	55%	0
4/7Saturday, April 72:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Fulmer	1447	+33	+2	=1482	48%	6
4/7Saturday, April 72:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1458	+13	+26	=1497	52%	1
4/5Thursday, April 54:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Zimmermann	1445	–14	+0	=1431	45%	9
4/5Thursday, April 54:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Shields	1460	–15	+22	=1467	55%	7
4/3Tuesday, April 31:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Junis	1450	+8	+0	=1458	49%	1
4/3Tuesday, April 31:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1447	–2	+24	=1469	51%	0
4/2Monday, April 21:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Hammel	1453	–10	–1	=1442	46%	1
4/2Monday, April 21:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Liriano	1444	–1	+24	=1467	54%	6
4/1Sunday, April 16:10 p.m.	PITPirates	Kuhl	1487	+6	+0	=1493	53%	8
4/1Sunday, April 16:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Carpenter	1445	+0	+24	=1469	47%	6
4/1Sunday, April 11:10 p.m.	PITPirates	Williams	1485	+17	+2	=1504	50%	1
4/1Sunday, April 11:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Fulmer	1447	+31	+26	=1504	50%	0
3/30Friday, March 301:10 p.m.	PITPirates	Nova	1483	+0	–2	=1481	53%	13
3/30Friday, March 301:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Zimmermann	1449	–15	+24	=1458	47%	10

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

2018 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

AL Central standings

Team rating

Completed games

Comments

2018 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

AL Central standings

Team rating

Completed games

Related Stories

Comments