2018 MLB Predictions

The Twins are done for the season.

AL Central standings

	Games back	Chance to make playoffs	Make playoffs
Indians Indians91-71	—	✓	✓
Twins Twins78-84	13.0	—	—
Tigers Tigers64-98	27.0	—	—
White Sox White Sox62-100	29.0	—	—
Royals Royals58-104	33.0	—	—

Team rating

Completed games

Date	Team	Starting pitcher	Team rating	Starting pitcher adj.	Travel, rest & home field adj.	Pregame team rating	Win prob.Chance of winning	Score
9/30Sunday, Sept. 303:10 p.m. Eastern	CHWWhite Sox	Covey	1435	–13	+0	=1422	39%	4
9/30Sunday, Sept. 303:10 p.m. Eastern	MINTwins	Littell	1492	–18	+24	=1498	61%	5
9/29Saturday, Sept. 297:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Rodon	1437	+22	+0	=1459	41%	3
9/29Saturday, Sept. 297:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Gibson	1490	+11	+24	=1525	59%	8
9/28Friday, Sept. 288:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1441	–7	+0	=1434	42%	4
9/28Friday, Sept. 288:10 p.m.	MINTwins	De Jong	1487	–22	+24	=1489	58%	12
9/28Friday, Sept. 282:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1442	+16	+0	=1458	40%	1
9/28Friday, Sept. 282:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Berrios	1486	+19	+24	=1529	60%	2
9/27Thursday, Sept. 278:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Liriano	1434	–9	+0	=1425	39%	3
9/27Thursday, Sept. 278:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Moya	1484	–7	+24	=1501	61%	9
9/26Wednesday, Sept. 268:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1437	+16	+0	=1453	40%	4
9/26Wednesday, Sept. 268:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Odorizzi	1481	+16	+24	=1521	60%	11
9/25Tuesday, Sept. 258:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Turnbull	1435	–7	–1	=1427	40%	4
9/25Tuesday, Sept. 258:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Moya	1483	–8	+22	=1497	60%	2
9/23Sunday, Sept. 234:05 p.m.	MINTwins	Gibson	1480	+9	+0	=1489	36%	5
9/23Sunday, Sept. 234:05 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Cahill	1568	–2	+24	=1590	64%	1
9/22Saturday, Sept. 229:05 p.m.	MINTwins	De Jong	1480	–22	+0	=1458	31%	2
9/22Saturday, Sept. 229:05 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Fiers	1567	+10	+24	=1601	69%	3
9/21Friday, Sept. 2110:05 p.m.	MINTwins	Berrios	1481	+19	–2	=1498	38%	6
9/21Friday, Sept. 2110:05 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Hendriks	1566	–8	+24	=1582	62%	7
9/19Wednesday, Sept. 191:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Moya	1478	–9	+0	=1469	52%	8
9/19Wednesday, Sept. 191:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Turnbull	1438	–3	+24	=1459	48%	2
9/18Tuesday, Sept. 187:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Odorizzi	1477	+14	+0	=1491	55%	5
9/18Tuesday, Sept. 187:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Norris	1439	–4	+24	=1459	45%	3
9/17Monday, Sept. 177:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Moya	1474	–8	–3	=1463	51%	6
9/17Monday, Sept. 177:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Zimmermann	1442	–7	+23	=1458	49%	1
9/16Sunday, Sept. 162:15 p.m.	MINTwins	Gibson	1472	+12	+0	=1484	51%	9
9/16Sunday, Sept. 162:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Junis	1436	+14	+24	=1474	49%	6
9/15Saturday, Sept. 157:15 p.m.	MINTwins	De Jong	1475	–18	+0	=1457	51%	3
9/15Saturday, Sept. 157:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Kennedy	1432	–5	+24	=1451	49%	10
9/14Friday, Sept. 148:15 p.m.	MINTwins	Berrios	1478	+18	+0	=1496	55%	4
9/14Friday, Sept. 148:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Lopez	1429	+6	+24	=1459	45%	8
9/13Thursday, Sept. 138:15 p.m.	MINTwins	Gonsalves	1480	–34	–2	=1444	51%	4
9/13Thursday, Sept. 138:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Fillmyer	1427	–15	+24	=1436	49%	6
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 128:10 p.m.	NYYYankees	Severino	1563	+6	+0	=1569	58%	1
9/12Wednesday, Sept. 128:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Odorizzi	1478	+9	+24	=1511	42%	3
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 118 p.m.	NYYYankees	Gray	1567	–13	+0	=1554	60%	5
9/11Tuesday, Sept. 118 p.m.	MINTwins	Duffey	1474	–12	+24	=1486	40%	10
9/10Monday, Sept. 108:10 p.m.	NYYYankees	Happ	1565	+5	–3	=1567	58%	7
9/10Monday, Sept. 108:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Gibson	1477	+12	+24	=1513	42%	2
9/9Sunday, Sept. 92:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Kennedy	1427	–7	+0	=1420	42%	1
9/9Sunday, Sept. 92:10 p.m.	MINTwins	De Jong	1475	–21	+24	=1478	58%	3
9/8Saturday, Sept. 87:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Lopez	1424	–3	+0	=1421	36%	4
9/8Saturday, Sept. 87:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Berrios	1478	+18	+24	=1520	64%	1
9/7Friday, Sept. 78:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Fillmyer	1426	–3	–1	=1422	43%	6
9/7Friday, Sept. 78:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Gonsalves	1476	–25	+23	=1474	57%	10
9/5Wednesday, Sept. 58:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Odorizzi	1479	+13	+0	=1492	37%	1
9/5Wednesday, Sept. 58:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Valdez	1593	–31	+24	=1586	63%	9
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 48:10 p.m.	MINTwins	May	1480	–6	+0	=1474	29%	2
9/4Tuesday, Sept. 48:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Verlander	1592	+12	+24	=1628	71%	5
9/3Monday, Sept. 32:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Gibson	1481	+10	–2	=1489	34%	1
9/3Monday, Sept. 32:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Keuchel	1591	–9	+24	=1606	66%	4
9/2Sunday, Sept. 23:05 p.m.	MINTwins	Moya	1486	–6	+0	=1480	46%	4
9/2Sunday, Sept. 23:05 p.m.	TEXRangers	Mendez	1486	–5	+24	=1505	54%	18
9/1Saturday, Sept. 18:05 p.m.	MINTwins	Berrios	1488	+19	+0	=1507	51%	4
9/1Saturday, Sept. 18:05 p.m.	TEXRangers	Gallardo	1484	–6	+24	=1502	49%	7
8/31Friday, Aug. 318:05 p.m.	MINTwins	Gonsalves	1486	–21	–3	=1462	45%	10
8/31Friday, Aug. 318:05 p.m.	TEXRangers	Hutchison	1486	–15	+26	=1497	55%	7
8/30Thursday, Aug. 301:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Odorizzi	1487	+9	+0	=1496	38%	3
8/30Thursday, Aug. 301:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Clevinger	1560	–5	+24	=1579	62%	5
8/29Wednesday, Aug. 297:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Stewart	1486	–16	+0	=1470	39%	4
8/29Wednesday, Aug. 297:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Plutko	1562	–40	+24	=1546	61%	3
8/28Tuesday, Aug. 287:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Gibson	1488	+10	–1	=1497	37%	1
8/28Tuesday, Aug. 287:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Carrasco	1559	+7	+23	=1589	63%	8
8/26Sunday, Aug. 262:10 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Bassitt	1554	–11	+0	=1543	51%	6
8/26Sunday, Aug. 262:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Berrios	1490	+19	+24	=1533	49%	2
8/25Saturday, Aug. 257:10 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Fiers	1552	+12	+0	=1564	59%	6
8/25Saturday, Aug. 257:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Gonsalves	1492	–17	+24	=1499	41%	2
8/24Friday, Aug. 248:10 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Manaea	1549	+2	+0	=1551	54%	7
8/24Friday, Aug. 248:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Odorizzi	1495	+5	+24	=1524	46%	1
8/23Thursday, Aug. 238:10 p.m.	OAKAthletics	Cahill	1551	+6	–4	=1553	58%	4
8/23Thursday, Aug. 238:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Stewart	1493	–16	+22	=1499	42%	6
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 222:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Gibson	1496	+18	+0	=1514	51%	3
8/22Wednesday, Aug. 222:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Rodon	1438	+44	+24	=1506	49%	7
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 218:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Berrios	1494	+18	–2	=1510	57%	5
8/21Tuesday, Aug. 218:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Kopech	1440	+0	+22	=1462	43%	2
8/20Monday, Aug. 207:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1437	–4	–2	=1431	39%	8
8/20Monday, Aug. 207:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Gonsalves	1497	–11	+24	=1510	61%	5
8/19Sunday, Aug. 192:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Turner	1442	–39	+0	=1403	34%	4
8/19Sunday, Aug. 192:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Odorizzi	1496	+2	+24	=1522	66%	5
8/18Saturday, Aug. 187:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Carpenter	1440	–11	+0	=1429	39%	7
8/18Saturday, Aug. 187:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Stewart	1498	–15	+24	=1507	61%	5
8/17Friday, Aug. 178:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1441	+17	+0	=1458	39%	4
8/17Friday, Aug. 178:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Gibson	1497	+17	+24	=1538	61%	5
8/16Thursday, Aug. 168:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Liriano	1444	–9	–3	=1432	37%	8
8/16Thursday, Aug. 168:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Santana	1495	+2	+24	=1521	63%	15
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 151:10 p.m.	PITPirates	Archer	1499	+8	+0	=1507	46%	4
8/15Wednesday, Aug. 151:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Berrios	1493	+19	+24	=1536	54%	6
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 148:10 p.m.	PITPirates	Taillon	1502	+22	–2	=1522	52%	2
8/14Tuesday, Aug. 148:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Odorizzi	1491	–4	+23	=1510	48%	5
8/12Sunday, Aug. 121:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Stewart	1493	–14	+0	=1479	50%	2
8/12Sunday, Aug. 121:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1443	+10	+24	=1477	50%	4
8/11Saturday, Aug. 116:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Gibson	1491	+13	+0	=1504	57%	4
8/11Saturday, Aug. 116:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Liriano	1445	–9	+24	=1460	43%	3
8/10Friday, Aug. 107:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Santana	1493	+4	–1	=1496	56%	3
8/10Friday, Aug. 107:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Zimmermann	1443	–9	+22	=1456	44%	5
8/9Thursday, Aug. 91:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Berrios	1494	+22	+0	=1516	38%	4
8/9Thursday, Aug. 91:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Kluber	1557	+21	+24	=1602	62%	5
8/8Wednesday, Aug. 87:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Odorizzi	1496	–6	+0	=1490	38%	2
8/8Wednesday, Aug. 87:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Clevinger	1556	–5	+24	=1575	62%	5
8/7Tuesday, Aug. 77:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Mejia	1494	–8	+0	=1486	36%	3
8/7Tuesday, Aug. 77:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Carrasco	1558	+6	+24	=1588	64%	2
8/6Monday, Aug. 67 p.m.	MINTwins	Gibson	1497	+18	–3	=1512	38%	0
8/6Monday, Aug. 67 p.m.	CLEIndians	Bauer	1555	+19	+24	=1598	62%	10
8/5Sunday, Aug. 52:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Duffy	1415	+20	+0	=1435	37%	5
8/5Sunday, Aug. 52:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Santana	1496	+6	+24	=1526	63%	6
8/4Saturday, Aug. 47:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Smith	1417	–2	+0	=1415	33%	2
8/4Saturday, Aug. 47:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Berrios	1494	+21	+24	=1539	67%	8
8/3Friday, Aug. 38:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Fillmyer	1418	+2	–2	=1418	36%	4
8/3Friday, Aug. 38:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Odorizzi	1493	–6	+26	=1513	64%	6
8/1Wednesday, Aug. 11:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Carrasco	1553	+4	+0	=1557	57%	2
8/1Wednesday, Aug. 11:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Mejia	1495	–13	+24	=1506	43%	0
7/31Tuesday, July 318:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Bauer	1551	+24	+0	=1575	55%	6
7/31Tuesday, July 318:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Gibson	1497	+18	+24	=1539	45%	2
7/30Monday, July 308 p.m.	CLEIndians	Bieber	1552	–37	–3	=1512	48%	4
7/30Monday, July 308 p.m.	MINTwins	Santana	1496	+11	+21	=1528	52%	5
7/29Sunday, July 291:05 p.m.	MINTwins	Berrios	1497	+23	+0	=1520	39%	0
7/29Sunday, July 291:05 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Eovaldi	1589	–13	+24	=1600	61%	3
7/28Saturday, July 287:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Odorizzi	1499	–3	+0	=1496	36%	4
7/28Saturday, July 287:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Porcello	1587	–17	+24	=1594	64%	10
7/27Friday, July 277:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Lynn	1500	–13	+0	=1487	26%	3
7/27Friday, July 277:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Sale	1586	+55	+24	=1665	74%	4
7/26Thursday, July 267:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Gibson	1498	+12	–2	=1508	38%	2
7/26Thursday, July 267:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Johnson	1588	–23	+24	=1589	62%	1
7/25Wednesday, July 254:07 p.m.	MINTwins	Santana	1495	+12	+0	=1507	51%	12
7/25Wednesday, July 254:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Gaviglio	1486	–11	+24	=1499	49%	6
7/24Tuesday, July 247:07 p.m.	MINTwins	Berrios	1492	+20	+0	=1512	51%	5
7/24Tuesday, July 247:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Borucki	1489	–4	+24	=1509	49%	0
7/23Monday, July 237:07 p.m.	MINTwins	Mejia	1489	–12	–3	=1474	45%	8
7/23Monday, July 237:07 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Santos	1492	–10	+24	=1506	55%	3
7/22Sunday, July 222:15 p.m.	MINTwins	Odorizzi	1491	–4	+0	=1487	57%	3
7/22Sunday, July 222:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Keller	1411	+5	+24	=1440	43%	5
7/21Saturday, July 217:15 p.m.	MINTwins	Lynn	1493	–8	+0	=1485	57%	2
7/21Saturday, July 217:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Junis	1409	+3	+24	=1436	43%	4
7/20Friday, July 208:15 p.m.	MINTwins	Gibson	1494	+16	+5	=1515	58%	5
7/20Friday, July 208:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Duffy	1408	+21	+29	=1458	42%	6
7/15Sunday, July 152:10 p.m.	TBRays	Stanek	1522	–4	+0	=1518	52%	7
7/15Sunday, July 152:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Romero	1492	–10	+24	=1506	48%	11
7/14Saturday, July 142:10 p.m.	TBRays	Archer	1516	+0	+0	=1516	46%	19
7/14Saturday, July 142:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Berrios	1498	+22	+24	=1544	54%	6
7/13Friday, July 138:10 p.m.	TBRays	Eovaldi	1518	+5	+0	=1523	51%	8
7/13Friday, July 138:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Odorizzi	1495	–2	+24	=1517	49%	11
7/12Thursday, July 128:10 p.m.	TBRays	Snell	1521	+31	–3	=1549	53%	1
7/12Thursday, July 128:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Gibson	1493	+9	+24	=1526	47%	5
7/11Wednesday, July 111 p.m.	KCRoyals	Smith	1411	+0	+0	=1411	36%	5
7/11Wednesday, July 111 p.m.	MINTwins	Lynn	1491	–7	+24	=1508	64%	8
7/10Tuesday, July 108:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Kennedy	1407	–2	+0	=1405	35%	9
7/10Tuesday, July 108:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Slegers	1495	–10	+24	=1509	65%	4
7/9Monday, July 98:10 p.m.	KCRoyals	Duffy	1408	+12	–2	=1418	34%	1
7/9Monday, July 98:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Berrios	1494	+17	+24	=1535	66%	3
7/8Sunday, July 82:10 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cobb	1425	–4	+0	=1421	37%	1
7/8Sunday, July 82:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Odorizzi	1491	–5	+24	=1510	63%	10
7/7Saturday, July 72:10 p.m.	BALOrioles	Gausman	1426	+20	+0	=1446	39%	4
7/7Saturday, July 72:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Gibson	1490	+7	+24	=1521	61%	5
7/6Friday, July 68:10 p.m.	BALOrioles	Bundy	1428	+24	+0	=1452	43%	2
7/6Friday, July 68:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Lynn	1488	–9	+24	=1503	57%	6
7/5Thursday, July 58:10 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cashner	1429	+2	–3	=1428	40%	2
7/5Thursday, July 58:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Slegers	1487	–12	+22	=1497	60%	5
7/4Wednesday, July 44:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Berrios	1488	+21	+0	=1509	43%	2
7/4Wednesday, July 44:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Anderson	1527	+5	+24	=1556	57%	3
7/3Tuesday, July 34:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Odorizzi	1489	–5	+0	=1484	40%	0
7/3Tuesday, July 34:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Guerra	1525	+3	+24	=1552	60%	2
7/2Monday, July 28:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Gibson	1491	+11	–1	=1501	44%	5
7/2Monday, July 28:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Suter	1524	–4	+22	=1542	56%	6
7/1Sunday, July 12:20 p.m.	MINTwins	Lynn	1491	–2	+0	=1489	34%	10
7/1Sunday, July 12:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Lester	1562	+17	+24	=1603	66%	11
6/30Saturday, June 302:20 p.m.	MINTwins	Mejia	1493	–12	+0	=1481	37%	9
6/30Saturday, June 302:20 p.m.	CHCCubs	Chatwood	1560	–12	+24	=1572	63%	14
6/29Friday, June 295:05 p.m.	MINTwins	Berrios	1495	+25	–1	=1519	41%	6
6/29Friday, June 295:05 p.m.	CHCCubs	Montgomery	1558	+3	+20	=1581	59%	10
6/28Thursday, June 282:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Odorizzi	1494	–13	+0	=1481	53%	2
6/28Thursday, June 282:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1443	–10	+24	=1457	47%	1
6/27Wednesday, June 278:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Gibson	1498	+11	+0	=1509	56%	1
6/27Wednesday, June 278:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Shields	1440	+3	+24	=1467	44%	6
6/26Tuesday, June 268:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Lynn	1500	–3	+0	=1497	54%	4
6/26Tuesday, June 268:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1437	+9	+26	=1472	46%	8
6/24Sunday, June 242:10 p.m.	TEXRangers	Colon	1486	–14	+0	=1472	40%	0
6/24Sunday, June 242:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Berrios	1499	+20	+24	=1543	60%	2
6/23Saturday, June 232:10 p.m.	TEXRangers	Gallardo	1484	–23	+0	=1461	42%	9
6/23Saturday, June 232:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Odorizzi	1502	–8	+24	=1518	58%	6
6/22Friday, June 228:10 p.m.	TEXRangers	Minor	1480	+10	+0	=1490	46%	8
6/22Friday, June 228:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Romero	1505	–15	+24	=1514	54%	1
6/21Thursday, June 211:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Porcello	1570	–12	+0	=1558	52%	9
6/21Thursday, June 211:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Gibson	1509	+11	+24	=1544	48%	2
6/20Wednesday, June 208:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Price	1572	+4	+0	=1576	57%	1
6/20Wednesday, June 208:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Lynn	1506	–4	+24	=1526	43%	4
6/19Tuesday, June 198:10 p.m.	BOSRed Sox	Sale	1575	+34	–1	=1608	59%	2
6/19Tuesday, June 198:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Berrios	1503	+18	+23	=1544	41%	6
6/17Sunday, June 171:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Odorizzi	1505	–7	+0	=1498	45%	1
6/17Sunday, June 171:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Bieber	1549	–41	+24	=1532	55%	4
6/16Saturday, June 164:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Romero	1501	–11	+0	=1490	37%	9
6/16Saturday, June 164:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Carrasco	1553	+8	+24	=1585	63%	3
6/15Friday, June 157:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Gibson	1498	+8	–1	=1505	34%	6
6/15Friday, June 157:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Kluber	1556	+40	+22	=1618	66%	3
6/14Thursday, June 141:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Lynn	1499	–5	+0	=1494	50%	1
6/14Thursday, June 141:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Fulmer	1457	+16	+24	=1497	50%	3
6/13Wednesday, June 137:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Berrios	1502	+18	+0	=1520	54%	2
6/13Wednesday, June 137:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1455	+12	+24	=1491	46%	5
6/12Tuesday, June 127:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Odorizzi	1500	–6	–1	=1493	51%	6
6/12Tuesday, June 127:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Hardy	1457	+5	+26	=1488	49%	4
6/10Sunday, June 102:10 p.m.	LAAAngels	Tropeano	1524	–11	+0	=1513	50%	5
6/10Sunday, June 102:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Romero	1498	–11	+24	=1511	50%	7
6/9Saturday, June 92:10 p.m.	LAAAngels	Skaggs	1523	+0	+0	=1523	49%	2
6/9Saturday, June 92:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Gibson	1500	+8	+24	=1532	51%	1
6/8Friday, June 88:10 p.m.	LAAAngels	Richards	1521	+10	–2	=1529	52%	4
6/8Friday, June 88:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Lynn	1501	–8	+24	=1517	48%	2
6/7Thursday, June 71:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Shields	1442	+8	+0	=1450	38%	2
6/7Thursday, June 71:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Berrios	1499	+14	+24	=1537	62%	7
6/6Wednesday, June 68:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Santiago	1439	–15	+0	=1424	36%	5
6/6Wednesday, June 68:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Odorizzi	1502	–4	+24	=1522	64%	2
6/5Tuesday, June 57:30 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1436	–9	+0	=1427	38%	6
6/5Tuesday, June 57:30 p.m.	MINTwins	Littell	1505	–15	+24	=1514	62%	3
6/5Tuesday, June 54:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1437	+8	+0	=1445	40%	2
6/5Tuesday, June 54:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Romero	1504	–12	+26	=1518	60%	4
6/3Sunday, June 32:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Clevinger	1556	+1	+0	=1557	53%	5
6/3Sunday, June 32:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Gibson	1502	+7	+24	=1533	47%	7
6/2Saturday, June 24:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Bauer	1560	+7	+0	=1567	58%	1
6/2Saturday, June 24:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Lynn	1498	–11	+24	=1511	42%	7
6/1Friday, June 18:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Carrasco	1562	+7	+0	=1569	55%	4
6/1Friday, June 18:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Berrios	1496	+14	+24	=1534	45%	7
5/31Thursday, May 318:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Bieber	1561	–40	–3	=1518	50%	9
5/31Thursday, May 318:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Odorizzi	1497	+2	+22	=1521	50%	8
5/30Wednesday, May 308:15 p.m.	MINTwins	Romero	1500	+4	+0	=1504	56%	8
5/30Wednesday, May 308:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Keller	1440	–5	+24	=1459	44%	11
5/29Tuesday, May 298:15 p.m.	MINTwins	Gibson	1501	+0	+0	=1501	55%	1
5/29Tuesday, May 298:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Duffy	1438	+2	+24	=1464	45%	2
5/28Monday, May 287:15 p.m.	MINTwins	Lynn	1499	–14	–4	=1481	50%	8
5/28Monday, May 287:15 p.m.	KCRoyals	Junis	1440	+21	+22	=1483	50%	5
5/27Sunday, May 274:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Berrios	1501	+11	+0	=1512	47%	1
5/27Sunday, May 274:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Leake	1523	–14	+24	=1533	53%	3
5/26Saturday, May 2610:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Odorizzi	1502	+4	+0	=1506	46%	3
5/26Saturday, May 2610:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	LeBlanc	1521	–11	+24	=1534	54%	4
5/25Friday, May 2510:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Romero	1503	+1	–1	=1503	39%	1
5/25Friday, May 2510:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Paxton	1520	+38	+21	=1579	61%	2
5/23Wednesday, May 231:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Fulmer	1445	+20	+0	=1465	41%	4
5/23Wednesday, May 231:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Gibson	1506	+0	+24	=1530	59%	1
5/22Tuesday, May 228:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Boyd	1448	+10	+0	=1458	43%	0
5/22Tuesday, May 228:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Lynn	1503	–18	+24	=1509	57%	6
5/21Monday, May 218:10 p.m.	DETTigers	Hardy	1449	–6	–3	=1440	37%	2
5/21Monday, May 218:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Berrios	1502	+8	+24	=1534	63%	4
5/20Sunday, May 202:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Guerra	1524	+1	+0	=1525	49%	1
5/20Sunday, May 202:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Odorizzi	1500	+4	+24	=1528	51%	3
5/19Saturday, May 197:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Peralta	1522	–3	+0	=1519	48%	5
5/19Saturday, May 197:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Romero	1502	+5	+24	=1531	52%	4
5/18Friday, May 188:10 p.m.	MILBrewers	Suter	1519	–12	–1	=1506	45%	8
5/18Friday, May 188:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Gibson	1505	+7	+26	=1538	55%	3
5/16Wednesday, May 161:10 p.m.	STLCardinals	Mikolas	1524	+9	+0	=1533	53%	7
5/16Wednesday, May 161:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Lynn	1506	–17	+24	=1513	47%	5
5/15Tuesday, May 158:10 p.m.	STLCardinals	Flaherty	1526	–19	–2	=1505	47%	1
5/15Tuesday, May 158:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Berrios	1504	+1	+24	=1529	53%	4
5/14Monday, May 147:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	LeBlanc	1517	–12	–3	=1502	47%	1
5/14Monday, May 147:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Odorizzi	1506	+0	+20	=1526	53%	0
5/13Sunday, May 134:07 p.m.	MINTwins	Romero	1507	+4	+0	=1511	45%	1
5/13Sunday, May 134:07 p.m.	LAAAngels	Ohtani	1525	–5	+24	=1544	55%	2
5/12Saturday, May 129:07 p.m.	MINTwins	Gibson	1505	+8	+0	=1513	44%	5
5/12Saturday, May 129:07 p.m.	LAAAngels	Tropeano	1527	+1	+24	=1552	56%	3
5/11Friday, May 1110:07 p.m.	MINTwins	Lynn	1503	–11	+0	=1492	40%	5
5/11Friday, May 1110:07 p.m.	LAAAngels	Skaggs	1529	+7	+24	=1560	60%	4
5/10Thursday, May 1010:07 p.m.	MINTwins	Berrios	1505	+6	–2	=1509	42%	4
5/10Thursday, May 1010:07 p.m.	LAAAngels	Richards	1527	+14	+21	=1562	58%	7
5/8Tuesday, May 81:15 p.m.	MINTwins	Odorizzi	1501	–2	+0	=1499	38%	7
5/8Tuesday, May 81:15 p.m.	STLCardinals	Martinez	1531	+27	+24	=1582	62%	1
5/7Monday, May 78 p.m.	MINTwins	Romero	1497	–4	–2	=1491	43%	6
5/7Monday, May 78 p.m.	STLCardinals	Gant	1535	–22	+24	=1537	57%	0
5/6Sunday, May 62:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Gibson	1496	+6	+0	=1502	56%	5
5/6Sunday, May 62:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Shields	1439	–5	+24	=1458	44%	3
5/5Saturday, May 57:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Lynn	1493	–12	+0	=1481	53%	8
5/5Saturday, May 57:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Santiago	1441	–6	+24	=1459	47%	4
5/4Friday, May 48:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Berrios	1492	+11	+0	=1503	55%	6
5/4Friday, May 48:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Fulmer	1443	+3	+24	=1470	45%	4
5/3Thursday, May 38:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Odorizzi	1493	+1	–2	=1492	53%	5
5/3Thursday, May 38:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Lopez	1442	+6	+22	=1470	47%	6
5/2Wednesday, May 21:10 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Stroman	1520	–1	+0	=1519	52%	0
5/2Wednesday, May 21:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Romero	1490	–10	+24	=1504	48%	4
5/1Tuesday, May 18:10 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Estrada	1518	–6	+0	=1512	49%	7
5/1Tuesday, May 18:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Gibson	1493	+6	+24	=1523	51%	4
4/30Monday, April 308:10 p.m.	TORBlue Jays	Sanchez	1516	+11	–3	=1524	52%	7
4/30Monday, April 308:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Lynn	1494	–8	+24	=1510	48%	5
4/29Sunday, April 292:10 p.m.	CINReds	Mahle	1447	+3	+0	=1450	38%	8
4/29Sunday, April 292:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Berrios	1498	+14	+24	=1536	62%	2
4/28Saturday, April 282:10 p.m.	CINReds	Romano	1447	+2	+0	=1449	40%	1
4/28Saturday, April 282:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Odorizzi	1498	–2	+24	=1520	60%	3
4/27Friday, April 278:10 p.m.	CINReds	Castillo	1443	+24	–3	=1464	45%	15
4/27Friday, April 278:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Hughes	1502	–24	+21	=1499	55%	9
4/26Thursday, April 261:05 p.m.	MINTwins	Gibson	1503	–2	+0	=1501	38%	3
4/26Thursday, April 261:05 p.m.	NYYYankees	Montgomery	1565	–3	+24	=1586	62%	4
4/25Wednesday, April 256:35 p.m.	MINTwins	Lynn	1505	–3	+0	=1502	40%	4
4/25Wednesday, April 256:35 p.m.	NYYYankees	Gray	1564	–18	+24	=1570	60%	7
4/24Tuesday, April 246:35 p.m.	MINTwins	Berrios	1507	+17	+0	=1524	42%	3
4/24Tuesday, April 246:35 p.m.	NYYYankees	Sabathia	1561	–3	+24	=1582	58%	8
4/23Monday, April 237 p.m.	MINTwins	Odorizzi	1511	–1	–3	=1507	38%	1
4/23Monday, April 237 p.m.	NYYYankees	Tanaka	1558	+10	+24	=1592	62%	14
4/22Sunday, April 221:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Hughes	1512	–23	+0	=1489	48%	6
4/22Sunday, April 221:10 p.m.	TBRays	Chirinos	1484	–5	+24	=1503	52%	8
4/21Saturday, April 216:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Gibson	1516	–6	+0	=1510	49%	1
4/21Saturday, April 216:10 p.m.	TBRays	Snell	1480	+16	+24	=1520	51%	10
4/20Friday, April 207:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Lynn	1518	–3	–1	=1514	51%	7
4/20Friday, April 207:10 p.m.	TBRays	Archer	1479	–1	+26	=1504	49%	8
4/18Wednesday, April 187 p.m.	CLEIndians	Carrasco	1573	+14	+0	=1587	59%	1
4/18Wednesday, April 187 p.m.	MINTwins	Berrios	1516	+11	+0	=1527	41%	2
4/17Tuesday, April 177:10 p.m.	CLEIndians	Kluber	1571	+42	+4	=1617	63%	6
4/17Tuesday, April 177:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Odorizzi	1518	+2	+7	=1527	37%	1
4/12Thursday, April 128:10 p.m.	CHWWhite Sox	Giolito	1452	+11	–2	=1461	38%	0
4/12Thursday, April 128:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Berrios	1516	+4	+24	=1544	62%	4
4/11Wednesday, April 111:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	McCullers Jr.	1581	–14	+0	=1567	54%	8
4/11Wednesday, April 111:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Gibson	1515	–2	+24	=1537	46%	9
4/10Tuesday, April 108:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Keuchel	1583	–4	+0	=1579	56%	1
4/10Tuesday, April 108:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Odorizzi	1513	+1	+24	=1538	44%	4
4/9Monday, April 98:10 p.m.	HOUAstros	Verlander	1582	+31	–3	=1610	60%	2
4/9Monday, April 98:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Lynn	1514	–4	+26	=1536	40%	0
4/7Saturday, April 72:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Leake	1507	+2	+2	=1511	44%	11
4/7Saturday, April 72:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Berrios	1518	+6	+26	=1550	56%	4
4/5Thursday, April 54:10 p.m.	SEAMariners	Paxton	1508	+24	–4	=1528	49%	2
4/5Thursday, April 54:10 p.m.	MINTwins	Gibson	1516	–1	+21	=1536	51%	4
4/4Wednesday, April 46:05 p.m.	MINTwins	Odorizzi	1514	+5	+2	=1521	51%	7
4/4Wednesday, April 46:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Nova	1490	–1	+26	=1515	49%	3
4/2Monday, April 21:05 p.m.	MINTwins	Lynn	1515	–1	–2	=1512	49%	4
4/2Monday, April 21:05 p.m.	PITPirates	Taillon	1488	+12	+22	=1522	51%	5
4/1Sunday, April 11:05 p.m.	MINTwins	Berrios	1511	–3	+0	=1508	50%	7
4/1Sunday, April 11:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Gausman	1474	+12	+24	=1510	50%	0
3/31Saturday, March 317:05 p.m.	MINTwins	Gibson	1509	–5	+2	=1506	50%	6
3/31Saturday, March 317:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Cashner	1477	+3	+26	=1506	50%	2
3/29Thursday, March 293:05 p.m.	MINTwins	Odorizzi	1510	+2	–3	=1509	50%	2
3/29Thursday, March 293:05 p.m.	BALOrioles	Bundy	1475	+12	+24	=1511	50%	3

How this works: Elo ratings are a measure of team strength based on head-to-head results, margin of victory and quality of opponent. We’re using an Elo-based system that also accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest, with an average team rating of about 1500. This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and updates after each game. Read more »

Download data. For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB.

Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.

2018 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

AL Central standings

Team rating

Completed games

Comments

2018 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

AL Central standings

Team rating

Completed games

Related Stories

Comments