Primary Forecasts
Updated
Chance of winning Georgia
| Polls-only forecast | Polls-plus forecast | ||
|---|---|---|---|
 | Trump | 88%▲ | 84%▲ |
 | Rubio | 6%▼ | 10%▼ |
 | Cruz | 6%▼ | 6%▼ |
| Polls-only forecast | Polls-plus forecast | ||
|---|---|---|---|
 | Clinton | >99% | >99% |
 | Sanders | <1% | <1% |
Chance of winning Massachusetts
| Polls-only forecast | Polls-plus forecast | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Trump | 99% | 98% |
| Rubio | <1% | 1% |
| Polls-only forecast | Polls-plus forecast | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Clinton | 92%▲ | 94%▲ |
| Sanders | 8%▼ | 6%▼ |
Chance of winning Oklahoma
| Polls-only forecast | Polls-plus forecast | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Trump | 79% | 70% |
| Rubio | 11% | 20% |
| Cruz | 10% | 10% |
| Polls-only forecast | Polls-plus forecast | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Sanders | 52%▲ | 51%▲ |
| Clinton | 48%▼ | 49%▼ |