Primary Forecasts
Updated
April 29
Chance of winning
Indiana
Ind.
Polls-only
forecast
Polls-plus
forecast
Trump
71%
▼
35%
▼
Cruz
29%
▲
65%
▲
Polls-only
forecast
Polls-plus
forecast
Clinton
89%
▲
93%
▲
Sanders
11%
▼
7%
▼
Chance of winning
California
Calif.
Polls-only
forecast
Polls-plus
forecast
Trump
89%
67%
▼
Cruz
9%
30%
▲
Polls-only
forecast
Polls-plus
forecast
Clinton
77%
91%
Sanders
23%
9%
See forecasts for more primaries
See more primary forecasts
