Primary Forecasts
Updated
Chance of winning New YorkN.Y.
| Polls-only forecast | Polls-plus forecast | ||
|---|---|---|---|
 | Trump | >99% | >99% |
 | Kasich | <1% | <1% |
| Polls-only forecast | Polls-plus forecast | ||
|---|---|---|---|
 | Clinton | 94% | 97% |
 | Sanders | 6% | 3% |
| Polls-only forecast | Polls-plus forecast | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Trump | >99% | >99% |
| Kasich | <1% | <1% |
| Polls-only forecast | Polls-plus forecast | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Clinton | 94% | 97% |
| Sanders | 6% | 3% |
