Chance of winning South Carolina

		Polls-only forecast	Polls-plus forecast
	Trump	85%▲	74%▲
	Rubio	5%	14%▼
	Cruz	9%▼	10%▼

		Polls-only forecast	Polls-plus forecast
	Clinton	>99%▲	>99%▲
	Sanders	<1%▼	<1%▼