UPDATED Nov 3 at 12:51 AM

2016 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game

Avg. Simulated SeasonAvg. SimulationPostseason Chances
TeamDivisionRating1-Week ChangeRecordProj. Rec.Run Diff.Make PlayoffsMake Play-offsWin DivisionWin
Div.
Win World SeriesWin
W.S.
CHC
NL Central155996-66+13877%56%11%
LAD
NL West154491-71+9765%47%8%
NYM
NL East153590-72+8260%42%7%
TOR
AL East153187-75+5551%32%6%
HOU
AL West153087-75+5250%36%6%
BOS
AL East152985-77+3745%25%5%
WSH
NL East152889-73+7457%38%6%
CLE
AL Central152686-76+4749%34%5%
SF
NL West152686-76+4847%28%5%
PIT
NL Central152484-78+3139%17%4%
STL
NL Central152187-75+5247%21%4%
NYY
AL East151682-80+1335%18%4%
TB
AL East151280-82-829%14%3%
SEA
AL West151082-80+1236%22%3%
CHW
AL Central150882-80+633%21%3%
TEX
AL West150680-82-929%17%3%
LAA
AL West150580-82-1328%17%2%
ARI
NL West150381-81-229%15%3%
KC
AL Central150180-82-729%18%2%
BAL
AL East150077-85-3721%10%2%
DET
AL Central149879-83-2125%14%2%
MIN
AL Central149578-84-3023%13%2%
OAK
AL West149576-86-5018%9%2%
MIA
NL East148780-82-1026%14%1%
MIL
NL Central147074-88-6712%4%<1%
SD
NL West147072-90-8010%5%<1%
COL
NL West146973-89-7312%6%<1%
CIN
NL Central146170-92-1066%2%<1%
ATL
NL East144869-93-1087%3%<1%
PHI
NL East144268-94-1225%2%<1%
Forecast from

This forecast is based on 50,000 simulations of the season and accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest. It updates after each game. Methodology »

For historical Elo ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB »

By Jay Boice and Allison McCann. Additional contributions from Ella Koeze.

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