Padres | 2016 MLB Predictions | FiveThirtyEight

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Starting Pitcher Adjustments

Christian Friedrich

46.8

-1.3

Luis Perdomo

46.5

-2.8

Paul Clemens

45.1

-9.3

Clayton Richard

44.5

-12.2

Jarred Cosart

44.1

-13.9

Edwin Jackson

40.8

-29.5

Completed games

L 2-3 Oct 2

44%

@

56%

Clemens

Koch

L 5-9 Oct 1

48%

@

52%

Richard

Bradley

L 3-5 Sep 30

47%

@

53%

Jackson

Shipley

L 4-9 Sep 29

43%

vs.

56%

Friedrich

Urias

W 6-5 Sep 28

50%

vs.

50%

Perdomo

De Leon

W 7-1 Sep 27

38%

vs.

62%

Clemens

Maeda

W 4-3 Sep 25

52%

vs.

48%

Richard

Cain

L 6-9 Sep 24

42%

vs.

58%

Cosart

Bumgarner

W 7-2 Sep 23

45%

vs.

55%

Jackson

Suarez

L 1-2 Sep 22

48%

vs.

52%

Friedrich

Samardzija

L 2-3 Sep 21

53%

vs.

47%

Perdomo

Greinke

W 5-2 Sep 20

53%

vs.

47%

Clemens

Bradley

W 3-2 Sep 19

56%

vs.

44%

Richard

Shipley

L 3-6 Sep 18

42%

@

57%

Cosart

Bettis

L 0-8 Sep 17

40%

@

60%

Jackson

Gray

L 7-8 Sep 16

44%

@

56%

Friedrich

Chatwood

W 3-1 Sep 14

36%

@

64%

Perdomo

Bumgarner

W 6-4 Sep 13

41%

@

59%

Richard

Suarez

W 4-0 Sep 12

36%

@

64%

Clemens

Samardzija

L 2-3 Sep 11

46%

vs.

54%

Jackson

Bettis

W 6-3 Sep 10

46%

vs.

54%

Friedrich

Gray

L 1-4 Sep 9

51%

vs.

49%

Perdomo

Chatwood

W 14-1 Sep 8

52%

vs.

48%

Richard

Hoffman

L 2-7 Sep 7

38%

vs.

62%

Cosart

Price

L 1-5 Sep 6

41%

vs.

59%

Clemens

Buchholz

W 2-1 Sep 5

36%

vs.

64%

Jackson

Pomeranz

L 4-7 Sep 4

41%

@

59%

Friedrich

De Leon

L 1-5 Sep 3

34%

@

66%

Perdomo

Hill

W 4-2 Sep 2

34%

@

66%

Richard

Urias

L 6-9 Sep 1

50%

@

50%

Cosart

Foltynewicz

L 1-8 Aug 31

50%

@

50%

Clemens

Wisler

L 3-7 Aug 30

42%

@

58%

Jackson

Teheran

W 3-1 Aug 28

46%

@

54%

Perdomo

Nicolino

W 1-0 Aug 27

42%

@

58%

Richard

Urena

L 6-7 Aug 26

42%

@

57%

Cosart

Phelps

L 3-6 Aug 24

35%

vs.

65%

Clemens

Hendricks

L 3-5 Aug 23

35%

vs.

65%

Friedrich

Arrieta

L 1-5 Aug 22

35%

vs.

65%

Jackson

Lester

W 9-1 Aug 21

55%

vs.

45%

Perdomo

Shipley

L 1-2 Aug 20

51%

vs.

49%

Richard

Ray

W 7-4 Aug 19

49%

vs.

51%

Cosart

Greinke

W 9-8 Aug 18

53%

vs.

47%

Clemens

Bradley

L 0-2 Aug 17

40%

@

60%

Friedrich

Archer

L 1-15 Aug 16

41%

@

59%

Jackson

Snell

L 2-8 Aug 15

44%

@

56%

Perdomo

Smyly

L 1-5 Aug 14

40%

@

60%

Richard

Matz

L 2-3 Aug 13

38%

@

62%

Cosart

deGrom

W 8-6 Aug 12

44%

@

56%

Clemens

Verrett

L 0-4 Aug 11

39%

@

61%

Friedrich

Taillon

W 4-0 Aug 10

38%

@

62%

Jackson

Vogelsong

L 4-6 Aug 9

39%

@

61%

Perdomo

Kuhl

L 5-6 Aug 7

55%

vs.

45%

Cosart

Eickhoff

W 9-7 Aug 6

57%

vs.

42%

Clemens

Thompson

L 4-5 Aug 5

56%

vs.

44%

Friedrich

Hellickson

W 12-3 Aug 3

43%

vs.

57%

Jackson

Guerra

L 2-3 Aug 2

51%

vs.

49%

Perdomo

Davies

W 7-3 Aug 1

54%

vs.

46%

Cosart

Nelson

L 2-3 Jul 31

51%

vs.

49%

Clemens

Bailey

W 2-1 Jul 30

52%

vs.

48%

Friedrich

DeSclafani

L 0-6 Jul 29

54%

vs.

46%

Jackson

Finnegan

W 8-4 Jul 27

37%

@

63%

Perdomo

Dickey

L 6-7 Jul 26

37%

@

63%

Cashner

Stroman

L 2-4 Jul 25

34%

@

66%

Rea

Sanchez

W 10-6 Jul 24

41%

@

59%

Friedrich

Giolito

L 2-3 Jul 23

28%

@

72%

Jackson

Scherzer

W 5-3 Jul 22

34%

@

66%

Perdomo

Roark

L 5-6 Jul 21

33%

@

67%

Cashner

Wainwright

L 2-3 Jul 20

36%

@

64%

Clemens

Garcia

L 2-4 Jul 20

36%

@

64%

Rea

Martinez

L 2-10 Jul 18

37%

@

63%

Friedrich

Leake

W 5-3 Jul 17

35%

vs.

65%

Jackson

Cueto

W 7-6 Jul 16

43%

vs.

57%

Perdomo

Samardzija

W 4-1 Jul 15

34%

vs.

66%

Cashner

Bumgarner

L 1-3 Jul 10

35%

@

65%

Friedrich

Maeda

L 3-4 Jul 9

36%

@

64%

Perdomo

McCarthy

L 6-10 Jul 8

38%

@

62%

Cashner

Kazmir

W 6-0 Jul 7

40%

@

60%

Pomeranz

Ryu

W 13-6 Jul 6

47%

@

53%

Rea

Miller

L 5-7 Jul 5

43%

@

57%

Friedrich

Godley

W 8-4 Jul 4

41%

@

59%

Perdomo

Bradley

L 3-6 Jul 3

53%

vs.

47%

Cashner

Green

W 2-1 Jul 2

55%

vs.

45%

Pomeranz

Nova

W 7-6 Jul 1

50%

vs.

50%

Rea

Eovaldi

L 6-12 Jun 29

43%

vs.

57%

Friedrich

Gallardo

L 7-11 Jun 28

44%

vs.

56%

Johnson

Jimenez

L 0-3 Jun 26

46%

@

54%

Perdomo

DeSclafani

W 3-0 Jun 25

52%

@

48%

Pomeranz

Finnegan

W 13-4 Jun 24

49%

@

51%

Rea

Reed

W 7-4 Jun 23

48%

@

52%

Friedrich

Lamb

L 2-7 Jun 22

39%

@

61%

Johnson

Jimenez

W 10-7 Jun 21

35%

@

65%

Perdomo

Wilson

W 6-3 Jun 19

45%

vs.

55%

Pomeranz

Gonzalez

W 7-3 Jun 18

35%

vs.

65%

Rea

Scherzer

L 5-7 Jun 17

41%

vs.

59%

Friedrich

Ross

L 5-8 Jun 16

41%

vs.

59%

Johnson

Roark

W 6-3 Jun 15

46%

vs.

54%

Perdomo

Nicolino

L 2-5 Jun 14

54%

vs.

46%

Pomeranz

Koehler

L 4-13 Jun 13

49%

vs.

51%

Rea

Chen

L 1-2 Jun 12

44%

@

56%

Friedrich

Anderson

L 3-5 Jun 11

39%

@

61%

Johnson

Chatwood

W 7-5 Jun 10

41%

@

59%

Cashner

Gray

L 2-4 Jun 8

59%

vs.

41%

Pomeranz

Teheran

W 4-3 Jun 7

65%

vs.

35%

Rea

Blair

W 7-2 Jun 6

57%

vs.

43%

Friedrich

Perez

L 3-10 Jun 5

50%

vs.

50%

Perdomo

Gray

W 4-3 Jun 4

50%

vs.

50%

Cashner

Bettis

W 4-0 Jun 3

58%

vs.

42%

Pomeranz

Rusin

L 13-16 Jun 2

45%

vs.

55%

Rea

Miley

W 14-6 Jun 1

42%

vs.

58%

Friedrich

Paxton

L 4-16 May 31

37%

@

63%

Shields

Iwakuma

L 3-9 May 30

35%

@

65%

Cashner

Karns

L 3-6 May 29

50%

@

50%

Pomeranz

Bradley

L 7-8 May 28

38%

@

62%

Vargas

Greinke

W 10-3 May 27

40%

@

60%

Friedrich

Ray

L 3-4 May 25

42%

@

58%

Shields

Peavy

L 2-8 May 24

35%

@

65%

Cashner

Samardzija

L 0-1 May 23

37%

@

63%

Pomeranz

Cueto

L 5-9 May 22

44%

vs.

56%

Rea

Maeda

W 3-2 May 21

44%

vs.

56%

Vargas

Wood

W 7-6 May 20

43%

vs.

56%

Friedrich

Kazmir

L 1-3 May 19

46%

vs.

54%

Shields

Samardzija

L 1-2 May 18

45%

vs.

55%

Pomeranz

Cueto

L 1-5 May 17

41%

vs.

59%

Rea

Bumgarner

L 2-3 May 15

47%

@

53%

Vargas

Davies

W 8-7 May 14

49%

@

51%

Perdomo

Peralta

L 0-1 May 13

43%

@

57%

Friedrich

Guerra

W 3-0 May 12

46%

@

54%

Shields

Nelson

W 1-0 May 11

32%

@

68%

Pomeranz

Lackey

W 7-4 May 11

31%

@

69%

Rea

Hendricks

L 7-8 May 10

29%

@

71%

Vargas

Lester

L 3-4 May 8

40%

vs.

60%

Cashner

Harvey

L 3-6 May 7

46%

vs.

54%

Shields

Colon

W 2-0 May 6

42%

vs.

58%

Pomeranz

Syndergaard

W 5-3 May 5

39%

vs.

61%

Rea

deGrom

L 0-2 May 4

51%

vs.

49%

Vargas

Chatwood

W 6-3 May 3

55%

vs.

45%

Cashner

Butler

W 2-1 May 2

55%

vs.

45%

Shields

Gray

L 0-1 May 1

29%

@

71%

Pomeranz

Kershaw

W 5-2 Apr 30

38%

@

62%

Rea

Stripling

W 5-1 Apr 29

36%

@

64%

Vargas

Wood

L 9-13 Apr 27

37%

@

63%

Cashner

Samardzija

L 0-1 Apr 26

36%

@

64%

Shields

Cueto

L 4-5 Apr 25

34%

@

66%

Pomeranz

Bumgarner

L 5-8 Apr 24

43%

vs.

56%

Rea

Leake

L 2-11 Apr 23

45%

vs.

55%

Vargas

Wacha

W 4-1 Apr 22

42%

vs.

58%

Cashner

Wainwright

L 1-11 Apr 21

42%

vs.

58%

Shields

Cole

W 8-2 Apr 20

48%

vs.

52%

Pomeranz

Locke

W 5-4 Apr 19

42%

vs.

58%

Rea

Liriano

L 3-7 Apr 17

48%

vs.

52%

Erlin

Corbin

W 5-3 Apr 16

48%

vs.

52%

Cashner

Miller

L 2-3 Apr 15

43%

vs.

57%

Shields

Greinke

L 0-3 Apr 14

48%

@

52%

Pomeranz

Velasquez

L 1-2 Apr 13

47%

@

53%

Rea

Eickhoff

L 0-3 Apr 12

53%

@

47%

Erlin

Morton

W 4-3 Apr 11

47%

@

53%

Cashner

Nola

L 3-6 Apr 10

47%

@

53%

Shields

Bettis

W 16-3 Apr 9

43%

@

57%

Pomeranz

De La Rosa

W 13-6 Apr 8

45%

@

55%

Rea

Lyles

L 0-7 Apr 6

43%

vs.

57%

Cashner

Maeda

L 0-3 Apr 5

44%

vs.

56%

Shields

Kazmir

L 0-15 Apr 4

37%

vs.

63%

Ross

Kershaw

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