Royals | 2016 MLB Predictions | FiveThirtyEight

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The Royals are done for the season.

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Starting Pitcher Adjustments

Ian Kennedy

53.6

+17.7

Danny Duffy

53.5

+17.5

Jason Vargas

51.0

+5.9

Yordano Ventura

50.7

+4.4

Edinson Volquez

45.3

-21.2

Completed games

L 2-3 Oct 2

53%

vs.

47%

Kennedy

Tomlin

L 3-6 Oct 1

47%

vs.

53%

Volquez

Bauer

L 2-7 Sep 30

54%

vs.

46%

Ventura

Merritt

L 6-7 Sep 29

65%

vs.

35%

Duffy

Gibson

W 5-2 Sep 28

57%

vs.

43%

Vargas

Santana

W 4-3 Sep 27

70%

vs.

30%

Kennedy

Berrios

W 12-9 Sep 25

44%

@

56%

Volquez

Boyd

W 7-4 Sep 24

45%

@

55%

Ventura

Norris

L 3-8 Sep 23

43%

@

56%

Duffy

Fulmer

L 2-5 Sep 22

44%

@

56%

Vargas

Clevinger

L 3-4 Sep 21

39%

@

61%

Kennedy

Kluber

L 1-2 Sep 20

41%

@

59%

Volquez

Tomlin

W 8-3 Sep 19

55%

vs.

45%

Ventura

Rodon

W 10-3 Sep 18

53%

vs.

47%

Duffy

Quintana

W 3-2 Sep 17

53%

vs.

47%

Vargas

Gonzalez

L 4-7 Sep 16

50%

vs.

50%

Kennedy

Sale

L 5-14 Sep 15

59%

vs.

41%

Volquez

Mengden

L 0-8 Sep 14

58%

vs.

42%

Ventura

Manaea

L 4-5 Sep 13

62%

vs.

38%

Duffy

Cotton

L 3-16 Sep 12

61%

vs.

39%

Gee

Detwiler

W 2-0 Sep 11

44%

@

56%

Kennedy

Sale

W 6-5 Sep 10

54%

@

46%

Volquez

Shields

L 2-7 Sep 9

50%

@

50%

Ventura

Rodon

L 5-6 Sep 7

59%

@

41%

Duffy

Gibson

W 10-3 Sep 6

47%

@

53%

Gee

Santana

W 11-5 Sep 5

61%

@

39%

Kennedy

Berrios

L 5-6 Sep 4

52%

vs.

48%

Volquez

Norris

W 5-2 Sep 3

47%

vs.

53%

Ventura

Fulmer

L 6-7 Sep 2

60%

vs.

40%

Duffy

Sanchez

L 4-5 Aug 31

55%

vs.

45%

Kennedy

Cessa

L 4-5 Aug 30

47%

vs.

53%

Volquez

Tanaka

W 8-5 Aug 29

48%

vs.

52%

Gee

Pineda

W 10-4 Aug 28

45%

@

55%

Ventura

Rodriguez

L 3-8 Aug 27

44%

@

56%

Duffy

Price

W 6-3 Aug 26

42%

@

58%

Kennedy

Wright

W 5-2 Aug 25

45%

@

55%

Volquez

Koehler

L 0-3 Aug 24

38%

@

62%

Gee

Fernandez

W 1-0 Aug 23

51%

@

49%

Ventura

Cashner

W 2-1 Aug 21

58%

vs.

42%

Duffy

Santana

W 10-0 Aug 20

58%

vs.

42%

Kennedy

Santiago

W 5-4 Aug 19

60%

vs.

40%

Volquez

Berrios

W 8-1 Aug 18

52%

vs.

48%

Gee

Duffey

W 4-1 Aug 17

49%

@

51%

Ventura

Sanchez

W 6-1 Aug 16

42%

@

58%

Duffy

Verlander

W 3-1 Aug 15

45%

@

55%

Kennedy

Norris

W 11-4 Aug 14

45%

@

55%

Volquez

Santiago

L 3-5 Aug 13

44%

@

56%

Gee

Duffey

W 7-3 Aug 12

46%

@

54%

Ventura

Gibson

W 2-1 Aug 11

58%

vs.

42%

Duffy

Gonzalez

W 3-2 Aug 10

50%

vs.

50%

Kennedy

Quintana

L 5-7 Aug 9

47%

vs.

53%

Volquez

Sale

W 7-1 Aug 7

45%

vs.

55%

Ventura

Stroman

W 4-2 Aug 6

45%

vs.

55%

Duffy

Sanchez

L 3-4 Aug 5

45%

vs.

55%

Gee

Liriano

L 2-3 Aug 4

48%

@

52%

Kennedy

Smyly

L 0-12 Aug 3

47%

@

53%

Volquez

Odorizzi

W 3-2 Aug 2

47%

@

53%

Ventura

Andriese

W 3-0 Aug 1

48%

@

52%

Duffy

Archer

L 3-5 Jul 31

43%

@

57%

Gee

Harrell

L 1-2 Jul 30

44%

@

56%

Kennedy

Perez

L 3-8 Jul 29

43%

@

57%

Volquez

Griffin

L 2-3 Jul 28

39%

@

61%

Ventura

Hamels

W 7-5 Jul 27

50%

vs.

50%

Duffy

Shoemaker

L 0-13 Jul 26

49%

vs.

51%

Gee

Skaggs

L 2-6 Jul 25

52%

vs.

48%

Kennedy

Santiago

L 1-2 Jul 24

51%

vs.

49%

Volquez

Griffin

L 4-7 Jul 23

48%

vs.

52%

Ventura

Hamels

W 3-1 Jul 22

49%

vs.

51%

Duffy

Darvish

L 4-11 Jul 20

45%

vs.

55%

Kennedy

Carrasco

L 3-7 Jul 19

42%

vs.

58%

Flynn

Salazar

W 7-3 Jul 18

43%

vs.

57%

Volquez

Kluber

L 2-4 Jul 17

38%

@

62%

Ventura

Fulmer

W 8-4 Jul 16

51%

@

49%

Duffy

Pelfrey

L 2-4 Jul 15

41%

@

59%

Kennedy

Verlander

L 5-8 Jul 10

52%

vs.

48%

Gee

Montgomery

W 5-3 Jul 9

53%

vs.

47%

Volquez

Miley

L 2-3 Jul 8

50%

vs.

50%

Ventura

Iwakuma

W 4-3 Jul 7

55%

vs.

45%

Duffy

Paxton

L 2-4 Jul 6

43%

@

57%

Kennedy

Stroman

L 3-8 Jul 5

41%

@

59%

Young

Dickey

L 2-6 Jul 4

41%

@

59%

Volquez

Sanchez

L 2-7 Jul 3

56%

@

44%

Ventura

Velasquez

W 6-2 Jul 2

59%

@

41%

Duffy

Nola

L 3-4 Jul 1

57%

@

43%

Kennedy

Hellickson

W 4-2 Jun 30

41%

@

59%

Young

Leake

W 3-2 Jun 29

39%

@

61%

Volquez

Martinez

L 4-8 Jun 28

52%

vs.

48%

Ventura

Wacha

W 6-2 Jun 27

49%

vs.

51%

Duffy

Wainwright

W 6-1 Jun 26

48%

vs.

52%

Kennedy

Fister

L 5-13 Jun 25

49%

vs.

51%

Young

Fiers

L 4-13 Jun 24

51%

vs.

49%

Volquez

Keuchel

L 3-4 Jun 22

43%

@

56%

Duffy

Syndergaard

L 1-2 Jun 21

47%

@

53%

Kennedy

Colon

W 2-1 Jun 19

51%

vs.

49%

Young

Zimmermann

W 16-5 Jun 18

60%

vs.

40%

Volquez

Boyd

W 10-3 Jun 17

46%

vs.

54%

Ventura

Fulmer

L 4-10 Jun 16

51%

vs.

49%

Duffy

Verlander

W 9-4 Jun 15

45%

vs.

55%

Kennedy

Kluber

W 3-2 Jun 14

49%

vs.

51%

Young

Tomlin

W 2-1 Jun 13

48%

vs.

52%

Volquez

Carrasco

W 3-1 Jun 12

47%

@

53%

Ventura

Rodon

W 4-1 Jun 11

43%

@

57%

Duffy

Quintana

L 5-7 Jun 10

41%

@

59%

Kennedy

Sale

L 0-4 Jun 8

43%

@

57%

Volquez

Tillman

L 1-9 Jun 7

47%

@

53%

Ventura

Jimenez

L 1-4 Jun 6

49%

@

51%

Duffy

Wright

L 0-7 Jun 5

39%

@

61%

Young

Kluber

L 1-7 Jun 4

47%

@

53%

Kennedy

Tomlin

L 1-6 Jun 3

43%

@

57%

Volquez

Salazar

L 4-5 Jun 2

42%

@

58%

Ventura

Carrasco

W 6-3 Jun 1

56%

vs.

44%

Duffy

Archer

W 10-5 May 31

49%

vs.

51%

Gee

Smyly

W 6-2 May 30

54%

vs.

46%

Kennedy

Andriese

W 5-4 May 29

48%

vs.

52%

Volquez

Sale

W 8-7 May 28

54%

vs.

46%

Ventura

Rodon

W 7-5 May 27

56%

vs.

44%

Duffy

Gonzalez

L 5-7 May 25

49%

@

51%

Gee

Duffey

W 7-4 May 24

52%

@

48%

Volquez

Santana

W 10-4 May 23

54%

@

46%

Kennedy

Nolasco

L 2-3 May 22

46%

@

54%

Ventura

Rodon

W 2-1 May 21

47%

@

53%

Duffy

Gonzalez

W 4-1 May 20

36%

@

64%

Gee

Quintana

L 2-5 May 18

45%

vs.

55%

Volquez

Price

W 3-2 May 18

46%

vs.

54%

Kennedy

Wright

W 8-4 May 17

46%

vs.

54%

Ventura

Porcello

W 4-2 May 15

62%

vs.

38%

Duffy

Wisler

L 0-5 May 14

64%

vs.

36%

Gee

Foltynewicz

W 5-1 May 13

61%

vs.

39%

Volquez

Teheran

L 3-7 May 12

47%

@

53%

Kennedy

Eovaldi

W 7-3 May 11

47%

@

53%

Ventura

Pineda

L 7-10 May 10

40%

@

60%

Medlen

Tanaka

L 3-6 May 9

48%

@

52%

Young

Nova

L 4-5 May 8

46%

@

54%

Volquez

Tomlin

W 7-0 May 7

46%

@

54%

Kennedy

Anderson

L 1-7 May 6

42%

@

58%

Ventura

Salazar

L 2-13 May 4

45%

vs.

55%

Medlen

Strasburg

W 7-6 May 3

50%

vs.

50%

Young

Roark

L 0-2 May 2

50%

vs.

50%

Volquez

Gonzalez

W 4-1 May 1

42%

@

58%

Kennedy

Walker

L 0-6 Apr 30

49%

@

51%

Ventura

Miley

L 0-1 Apr 29

41%

@

59%

Medlen

Hernandez

L 2-4 Apr 27

46%

@

54%

Young

Tropeano

L 4-9 Apr 26

50%

@

50%

Volquez

Weaver

L 1-6 Apr 25

46%

@

54%

Kennedy

Richards

W 6-1 Apr 24

56%

vs.

44%

Ventura

Wright

L 3-8 Apr 23

56%

vs.

44%

Medlen

Wilson

W 4-2 Apr 22

52%

vs.

48%

Young

Gallardo

W 4-0 Apr 21

57%

vs.

43%

Volquez

Pelfrey

L 2-3 Apr 20

50%

vs.

50%

Kennedy

Zimmermann

W 8-6 Apr 19

58%

vs.

42%

Ventura

Greene

L 2-3 Apr 17

50%

@

50%

Medlen

Bassitt

L 3-5 Apr 16

47%

@

53%

Young

Gray

W 4-2 Apr 15

49%

@

51%

Volquez

Hill

W 6-2 Apr 14

45%

@

55%

Kennedy

Fister

W 4-2 Apr 13

46%

@

54%

Ventura

Feldman

W 3-2 Apr 12

44%

@

56%

Medlen

Fiers

L 2-8 Apr 11

44%

@

56%

Young

McHugh

W 4-3 Apr 10

60%

vs.

40%

Volquez

Nolasco

W 7-0 Apr 9

55%

vs.

45%

Kennedy

Milone

W 4-3 Apr 8

56%

vs.

44%

Ventura

Santana

L 0-2 Apr 5

49%

vs.

51%

Young

Syndergaard

W 4-3 Apr 3

47%

vs.

53%

Volquez

Harvey

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