UPDATED 8:21 PM EDT | Sep 11, 2016

2016 U.S. Open Predictions

Each player’s chance of winning in the singles tournament, updated after every match

Chance of winning the Open

Stan Wawrinka

Finals

Sunday, Sept. 11

Time Slot 2

Player

Win Prob.

N. Djokovic 88%
✓ S. Wawrinka12%

Predictions for every round

% Chance of winning in ...
NameSeed/EntryTournament EloRound of 128R128Round of 64R64Round of 32R32Round of 16R16Quarter–finalsQFSemi–finalsSFFinalsF
Stan WawrinkaS. Wawrinka32158
Novak DjokovicN. Djokovic12479
Gael MonfilsG. Monfils102107
Kei NishikoriK. Nishikori62226
Andy MurrayA. Murray22314
Jo-Wilfried TsongaJ. Tsonga92063
Juan Martin del PotroJ. del PotroWC2140
Lucas PouilleL. Pouille241937
Grigor DimitrovG. Dimitrov221966
Marcos BaghdatisM. Baghdatis1904
Illya MarchenkoI. Marchenko1694
Kyle EdmundK. Edmund1728
Jack SockJ. Sock261964
Ivo KarlovicI. Karlovic211924
Rafael NadalR. Nadal42211
Dominic ThiemD. Thiem82070
Ryan HarrisonR. HarrisonQ1794
Jared DonaldsonJ. DonaldsonQ1713
Pablo Carreno BustaP. Carreno Busta1891
Nicolas AlmagroN. Almagro1844
Roberto Bautista AgutR. Bautista Agut151992
David FerrerD. Ferrer112015
Nick KyrgiosN. Kyrgios142057
John IsnerJ. Isner201963
Andrey KuznetsovA. Kuznetsov1880
Nicolas MahutN. Mahut1811
Daniel EvansD. Evans1776
Kevin AndersonK. Anderson231905
Joao SousaJ. Sousa1792
Paolo LorenziP. Lorenzi1709
Mikhail YouzhnyM. Youzhny1804
Marin CilicM. Cilic72028
Alexander ZverevA. Zverev271861
Marcel GranollersM. Granollers1770
Mischa ZverevM. ZverevQ1694
Karen KhachanovK. KhachanovQ1675
Andreas SeppiA. Seppi1822
Paul-Henri MathieuP. Mathieu1760
Vasek PospisilV. Pospisil1695
Sergiy StakhovskyS. Stakhovsky1725
Albert Ramos-VinolasA. Ramos-Vinolas311808
Damir DzumhurD. Dzumhur1708
Jeremy ChardyJ. Chardy1780
Guido PellaG. Pella1695
Marco ChiudinelliM. ChiudinelliQ1605
Horacio ZeballosH. Zeballos1685
Federico DelbonisF. Delbonis1737
James DuckworthJ. DuckworthWC1627
Donald YoungD. Young1791
Steve DarcisS. DarcisQ1747
Fabio FogniniF. Fognini1866
Jan SatralJ. SatralQ1532
Viktor TroickiV. Troicki1837
Gilles SimonG. Simon301898
Pablo CuevasP. Cuevas181836
Steve JohnsonS. Johnson191930
Benoit PaireB. Paire321788
Janko TipsarevicJ. Tipsarevic1819
Jiri VeselyJ. Vesely1793
Feliciano LopezF. Lopez161889
Ernesto EscobedoE. EscobedoWC1493
Ricardas BerankisR. Berankis1673
Milos RaonicM. Raonic52156
Alessandro GiannessiA. GiannessiQ1567
Rogerio Dutra SilvaR. Dutra Silva1599
Dustin BrownD. Brown1801
Malek JaziriM. Jaziri1684
Adrian MannarinoA. Mannarino1772
Facundo BagnisF. Bagnis1593
Ilya IvashkaI. IvashkaQ1489
Dusan LajovicD. Lajovic1741
Sam QuerreyS. Querrey291848
Evgeny DonskoyE. Donskoy1644
Dudi SelaD. Sela1704
Diego SchwartzmanD. Schwartzman1721
Marton FucsovicsM. FucsovicsQ1683
Mackenzie McDonaldM. McDonaldWC1370
Teymuraz GabashviliT. Gabashvili1650
Gilles MullerG. Muller1904
Lukas RosolL. Rosol1744
Alexandr DolgopolovA. Dolgopolov1832
Guillermo Garcia-LopezG. Garcia-Lopez1770
Aljaz BedeneA. Bedene1699
Brian BakerB. Baker1614
Florian MayerF. Mayer1859
Guilherme ClezarG. ClezarQ1396
Mikhail KukushkinM. Kukushkin1759
Ivan DodigI. Dodig1714
Bernard TomicB. Tomic171934
Julien BenneteauJ. Benneteau1787
Daniel BrandsD. BrandsLL1702
Thomaz BellucciT. Bellucci1763
Rajeev RamR. RamWC1669
Stephane RobertS. Robert1711
Denis IstominD. Istomin1732
Denis KudlaD. Kudla1591
Fernando VerdascoF. Verdasco1869
John MillmanJ. Millman1856
Gastao EliasG. Elias1618
Juan MonacoJ. Monaco1869
Pierre-Hugues HerbertP. Herbert1729
Benjamin BeckerB. Becker1689
Taylor FritzT. Fritz1680
Thomas FabbianoT. FabbianoQ1484
Christian HarrisonC. HarrisonQ1556
Yoshihito NishiokaY. Nishioka1693
Jozef KovalikJ. KovalikLL1466
Philipp KohlschreiberP. Kohlschreiber251960
Robin HaaseR. Haase1726
Yen-Hsun LuY. Lu1822
Guido AndreozziG. AndreozziQ1521
Jan-Lennard StruffJ. Struff1594
Richard GasquetR. Gasquet132030
Radu AlbotR. Albot1583
David GoffinD. Goffin121970
Lukas LackoL. Lacko1660
Borna CoricB. Coric1893
Jordan ThompsonJ. Thompson1455
Frances TiafoeF. TiafoeWC1466
Victor Estrella BurgosV. Estrella Burgos1659
Martin KlizanM. Klizan281858
Michael MmohM. MmohWC1424
Inigo CervantesI. Cervantes1604
Bjorn FratangeloB. FratangeloWC1627
Saketh MyneniS. MyneniQ1505
Radek StepanekR. StepanekQ1860
Jerzy JanowiczJ. Janowicz1758
Carlos BerlocqC. Berlocq1712

CommentsAdd Comment