Updated Nov. 2, 2017 at 12:02 AM

2017 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Angels are done for the season.twitter bird

Team rating

Starting pitchers

Pitcher score Adjustment to team ratingAdj. to
team rating
Garrett Richards
Garrett Richards54.2+24
Parker Bridwell
Parker Bridwell50.2+5
Tyler Skaggs
Tyler Skaggs49.2+0
Bud Norris
Bud Norris48.1-4
Ricky Nolasco
Ricky Nolasco47.4-8

Completed games

W, 6-2

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15101509
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+32
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15351541

L, 6-4

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121507
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15291497

W, 6-5

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15111508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+200
Adjusted team rating15341486

L, 5-4

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15131462
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5-30
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15081456

L, 6-4

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15151460
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+28-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15431481

W, 9-3

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121463
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15131488

L, 4-2

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15141461
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating15041473

W, 7-5

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121554
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15161582

L, 6-2

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15141553
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15071579

L, 3-0

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15151551
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+23+41
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating15351616

L, 4-1

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15171600
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4-23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15451577

L, 6-5

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15181599
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7-28
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15351571

L, 6-3

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15201597
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-2
Adjusted team rating15521581

L, 4-2

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15231508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+220
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15691508

W, 2-0

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15211510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15451531

W, 7-6

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15201511
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7-29
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15371479

vs. Astros

L, 5-2

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15221544
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15381549

W, 9-1

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15181548
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15451529

L, 1-0

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15191547
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+24+34
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+230
Adjusted team rating15661581

W, 5-3

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15171509
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15191543

L, 8-1

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15211506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15161518

L, 4-3

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15221504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+26
Adjusted team rating15171527

L, 3-1

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15241461
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15251497

W, 8-7

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15231462
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+24+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15471493

W, 11-9

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15221464
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-4+21
Adjusted team rating15251470

L, 7-6

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15231519
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15211536

W, 7-4

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15211521
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15141533

L, 10-9

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15221520
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+22
Adjusted team rating15261563

W, 10-8

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15211470
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+16+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15611478

W, 8-2

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15181473
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15341464

W, 3-1

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15171474
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15321464

vs. Astros

L, 7-5

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15191560
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-90
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15341560

W, 7-6

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15171562
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15461557

L, 2-1

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15181560
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15541565

L, 3-0

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15211518
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15381504

L, 7-5

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15231516
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15411518

W, 10-1

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15191520
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15311510

L, 5-3

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15211518
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6+27
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+20-3
Adjusted team rating15471542

W, 5-4

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15201496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+15-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15351505

W, 5-1

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15171499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15121542

L, 9-7

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15191497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+1+22
Adjusted team rating15171531

W, 3-2

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15171558
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14-21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15031561

L, 3-1

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15181556
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+26
Adjusted team rating15231595

W, 4-2

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15161511
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15271539

W, 6-3

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15141514
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15111539

W, 6-5

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121515
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15011524

W, 6-3

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15091518
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+45
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+21
Adjusted team rating15101584

W, 5-1

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15071497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15171516

W, 3-2

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15351512

L, 6-2

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-4
Adjusted team rating15321510

L, 11-10

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15101472
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15291489

L, 5-0

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15141469
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15441476

W, 8-6

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121470
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15251457

W, 5-4

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15111452
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15431456

W, 7-0

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15091455
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15271441

W, 7-1

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061457
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8+24
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-4
Adjusted team rating15201477

L, 11-10

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15071489
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-20-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14871509

W, 6-5

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061490
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14971501

W, 7-2

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031493
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating15031530

L, 2-1

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041552
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6-22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14981554

L, 10-4

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061550
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14991579

L, 11-7

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081548
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14941567

W, 3-2

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15071542
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15281533

W, 7-3

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041545
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15201557

L, 6-2

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061543
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4+51
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-4
Adjusted team rating15281590

W, 7-0

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15011559
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15261561

L, 4-3

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031558
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12-63
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-4
Adjusted team rating15171491

vs. Rays

W, 4-3

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15021515
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15201531

L, 6-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041513
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15211522

L, 2-1

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15051512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+30+5
Adjusted team rating15281528

W, 3-0

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15021525
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10+33
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14921582

L, 5-2

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041523
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14941549

L, 10-0

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081520
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+26
Adjusted team rating15091560

W, 2-1

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061479
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14+32
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14921535

L, 5-4

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081477
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14981489

L, 9-5

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15101474
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-4+22
Adjusted team rating15111500

L, 5-3

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121517
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14+20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15221537

W, 4-0

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15091519
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-60
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15271519

L, 10-0

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15141515
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-1
Adjusted team rating15321524

L, 6-2

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15161584
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5+42
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15351626

W, 3-2

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15141586
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-32
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+23-1
Adjusted team rating15381553

L, 4-0

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15161584
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15011595

W, 4-0

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121588
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-4+24
Adjusted team rating14981613

W, 4-2

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15101536
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7-29
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15031531

W, 6-3

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081538
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14991565

L, 9-4

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15101536
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+23
Adjusted team rating15161548

W, 10-5

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15071540
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14951569

L, 8-4

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15091538
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15011559

W, 8-3

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15051542
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+22
Adjusted team rating14931568

vs. Royals

L, 7-3

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081485
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5+20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15271505

W, 9-0

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041488
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1-27
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15271461

L, 3-1

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061486
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15171485

L, 7-2

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15101483
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15311467

W, 7-5

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081551
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15441556

W, 3-2

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15071552
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15221559

L, 5-3

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081551
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-4
Adjusted team rating15271540

W, 12-6

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041581
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-26
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14931579

L, 3-1

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15051579
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6-23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14991580

W, 9-4

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15021583
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+21
Adjusted team rating15111587

W, 11-4

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971507
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6+36
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14911567

L, 4-0

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15001505
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10-25
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14901504

W, 5-3

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981507
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+26
Adjusted team rating14851528

vs. Twins

L, 3-2

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991480
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15171471

W, 7-2

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961483
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12+48
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15321531

L, 11-5

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15001479
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7-21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15311458

L, 4-2

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-4
Adjusted team rating15131464

vs. Braves

W, 2-1

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15011467
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15091476

W, 9-3

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991470
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15101463

L, 6-3

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15011467
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2+15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+20-2
Adjusted team rating15191480

L, 9-2

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15051475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+140
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15191499

W, 5-2

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031478
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15051505

L, 8-5

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15051476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12+27
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+22
Adjusted team rating14911525

at Rays

L, 4-0

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15071512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14901528

L, 5-2

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15091510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15081540

W, 4-0

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061513
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15151541

W, 3-2

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041515
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating15001551

at Mets

W, 12-5

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15011506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10-24
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14911506

L, 7-5

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15021505
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-160
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14861529

L, 3-0

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041503
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+22
Adjusted team rating15001542

W, 12-8

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15021478
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15361491

W, 7-6

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15011479
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15211482

W, 5-3

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991480
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-24
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-4
Adjusted team rating15121452

vs. Tigers

W, 4-1

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-25+37
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14961543

L, 4-3

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15231494

W, 7-0

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951507
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7-29
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15261478

L, 7-1

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+31
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-2
Adjusted team rating15211533

L, 3-1

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15001477
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11+15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14891516

W, 7-3

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971479
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-22-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14751499

L, 3-2

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981478
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14951507

vs. Astros

L, 5-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15001553
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9-19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15331534

W, 2-1

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991555
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15231565

L, 7-6

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15001554
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13+31
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-3
Adjusted team rating15081582

L, 11-3

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031522
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14871544

L, 8-7

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041521
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15051543

W, 6-4

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15021523
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9+29
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+22
Adjusted team rating15091574

W, 5-2

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14931522

L, 6-3

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15011509
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14+31
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14871564

W, 6-3

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991511
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5-35
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+26
Adjusted team rating14911502

W, 2-1

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981483
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15221491

W, 8-5

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961485
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15311503

W, 2-1

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14941487
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15031476

W, 2-1

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931507
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15041492

L, 6-2

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-21-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14991502

W, 5-4

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14941505
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4-31
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15141474

L, 8-7

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13-27
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-4
Adjusted team rating15041473

L, 2-1

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971549
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15091581

L, 5-1

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981547
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17+25
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14811596

W, 5-2

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961550
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14991561

L, 3-0

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971548
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14-18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+22
Adjusted team rating14801552

L, 1-0

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14911509

L, 3-2

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15001474
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15141491

L, 7-1

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031471
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14871507

L, 8-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+30
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15371540

L, 8-3

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15091507
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15221491

W, 6-5

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-1
Adjusted team rating15271520

W, 10-9

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15071523
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+16+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15471524

W, 5-4

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15051524
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+30
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15321524

W, 5-1

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031527
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-3
Adjusted team rating15091513

L, 5-1

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15051485
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15001513

W, 5-0

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15021488
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15111513

W, 7-6

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15011489
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+19+20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15201533

L, 4-2

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031487
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating15071517

AL West standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
AstrosAstros101-61
AngelsAngels80-8221.0
RangersRangers78-8423.0
MarinersMariners78-8423.0
AthleticsAthletics75-8726.0

This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest. It updates after each game. Methodology »

For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB »

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