Updated Sep. 24, 2017 at 12:05 AM

2017 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Astros have a 100% chance of making the playoffs.twitter bird

Their team rating is 1554, up 4 points from last week.

AL West standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
AstrosAstros95-59
AngelsAngels76-7819.01%
RangersRangers76-7819.01%
MarinersMariners75-8020.5<1%
AthleticsAthletics71-8324.0

Upcoming games

vs. Angels

McCullers Jr. vs. Skaggs

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15541512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15821516

McHugh vs. Cashner

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15541513
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+20
Adjusted team rating15571540

Keuchel vs. Hamels

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15541513
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14+23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15681560

Verlander vs. Martinez

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15541513
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+43-29
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15971508

Peacock vs. Rodriguez

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15541562
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-4+24
Adjusted team rating15531587

Morton vs. Fister

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15541562
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5-25
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15591561

McCullers Jr. vs. Pomeranz

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15541562
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15581590

Keuchel vs. Sale

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15541562
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14+42
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15681628

Team rating

Starting pitchers

Pitcher score Adjustment to team ratingAdj. to
team rating
Justin Verlander
Justin Verlander60.7+43
Dallas Keuchel
Dallas Keuchel54.7+14
Charlie Morton
Charlie Morton52.7+5
Collin McHugh
Collin McHugh52.7+5
Lance McCullers Jr.
Lance McCullers Jr.52.6+4
Brad Peacock
Brad Peacock52.3+3

Completed games

vs. Angels

W, 6-2

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15531514
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15791507

W, 3-0

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15511515
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+41+23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating16161535

L, 3-1

68%

32%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15541456
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+16+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15941460

W, 4-3

69%

31%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15531457
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15801445

W, 3-1

66%

34%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15521458
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-1
Adjusted team rating15841470

W, 7-1

65%

35%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15501514
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+39-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16131507

W, 8-6

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15481516
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15891527

W, 5-2

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15461518
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+42
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-2
Adjusted team rating15701558

W, 5-2

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15441522
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15491538

L, 9-1

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15481518
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-19+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15291545

W, 1-0

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15471519
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+34+24
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+23
Adjusted team rating15811566

L, 10-2

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15511475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+21+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15721505

L, 11-4

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15561471
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15591486

L, 11-1

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15621465
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15661484

L, 9-8

63%

37%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15641463
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+26
Adjusted team rating15751482

W, 5-3

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15621506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15711519

W, 3-1

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15611507
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+33+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15941532

W, 6-2

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15581509
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+21+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-4+24
Adjusted team rating15751545

vs. Mets

W, 8-6

66%

34%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15571475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14-21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15671454

W, 4-1

64%

36%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15561477
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15801480

W, 12-8

65%

35%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15541478
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-1
Adjusted team rating15821478

W, 5-1

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15521522
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12-35
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest00
Adjusted team rating15641487

L, 8-1

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15571518
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+23+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest00
Adjusted team rating15801522

L, 12-2

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15621512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1-2
Adjusted team rating15541504

W, 7-5

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15601519
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15601534

L, 7-6

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15621517
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15571546

W, 2-1

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15601518
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating15651554

L, 5-4

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15621558
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+22+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16081569

W, 6-1

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15601561
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10-48
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15741513

L, 4-3

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15611559
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-1
Adjusted team rating15901536

L, 3-2

68%

32%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15631465
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15851451

W, 3-0

66%

34%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15621466
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15941478

W, 3-1

68%

32%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15611467
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating16051473

L, 4-0

63%

37%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15651520
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7-29
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15821491

W, 9-5

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15631522
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-3
Adjusted team rating15851512

W, 9-4

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15601524
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15601533

L, 2-0

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15621523
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9+23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating15681570

W, 2-1

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15611512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+19-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15801535

L, 8-3

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15641508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15631525

L, 6-4

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15661507
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+26
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+23
Adjusted team rating15641556

L, 3-2

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15671453
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2+28
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15651505

L, 7-1

64%

36%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15721449
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15861483

L, 8-5

70%

30%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15751445
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+26-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+23
Adjusted team rating16001454

W, 7-6

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15741492
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2+22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15961514

L, 4-3

64%

36%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15761490
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15971496

W, 16-7

67%

33%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15741493
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0-18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-1
Adjusted team rating15981474

vs. Rays

L, 5-3

66%

34%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15761509
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16101497

L, 3-0

69%

31%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15801506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+28-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16321494

L, 6-4

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15821504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16071523

W, 14-7

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15791506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-3
Adjusted team rating15931517

L, 13-1

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15851488
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10+22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15951534

L, 5-3

64%

36%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15881486
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15931493

W, 6-5

68%

32%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15871487
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+33-24
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+26
Adjusted team rating16201489

L, 9-0

65%

35%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15931443
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15961489

W, 5-0

67%

33%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15911445
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15771455

W, 13-4

66%

34%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15891447
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+24
Adjusted team rating15871472

L, 9-7

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15911481
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+15+23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating16061528

W, 8-4

63%

37%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15891483
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15951506

W, 8-7

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15881483
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+24
Adjusted team rating15861502

L, 4-1

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15911515
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16+31
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15991546

W, 6-2

64%

36%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15891517
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16061507

L, 9-7

66%

34%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15921515
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+19+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating16351522

vs. Twins

W, 5-3

70%

30%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15911475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16121461

L, 4-2

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15931473
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-29+37
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15881510

W, 10-5

67%

33%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15921474
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+30+6
Adjusted team rating16121487

W, 19-1

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15861501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10+25
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15761550

L, 7-2

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15891497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15851538

W, 12-2

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15851501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12+23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15731548

L, 7-4

64%

36%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15881498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+24-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+22
Adjusted team rating16091507

W, 10-4

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15851470
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-32+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15531495

W, 16-4

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15811474
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+22
Adjusted team rating15681514

W, 8-1

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15781539
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15951545

W, 7-6

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15771540
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-21+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15801542

L, 13-4

65%

35%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15831534
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+26-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating16331527

W, 6-1

67%

33%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15811478
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15931472

W, 11-8

65%

35%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15801480
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-24-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15801470

L, 6-4

63%

37%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15821477
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9+27
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-1
Adjusted team rating15951503

W, 8-2

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15791525
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-20+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15591560

W, 5-2

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15771527
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+23+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating16001552

L, 13-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15821522
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-24+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating15551551

W, 12-9

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15801470
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-26+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15541496

W, 5-1

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15781472
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14+27
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15641523

W, 8-4

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15761475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-190
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15571499

W, 4-1

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15741476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-19-19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-4+24
Adjusted team rating15511481

L, 6-5

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15761536
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-23+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15771544

W, 7-1

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15731539
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-32-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15651533

L, 2-1

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15741537
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-3
Adjusted team rating15821528

W, 13-2

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15711521
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-23-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15721508

L, 4-2

63%

37%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15731518
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-21-35
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15761483

L, 6-1

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15761515
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-21+37
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15791549

vs. Angels

L, 12-6

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15811504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-26-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15791493

W, 3-1

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15791505
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-23-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15801499

L, 9-4

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15831502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-3
Adjusted team rating15871511

W, 6-1

66%

34%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15811473
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15981482

L, 7-5

64%

36%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15841470
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+32+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating16161513

L, 9-7

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15861468
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-24-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15621477

W, 7-3

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15841470
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-25+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating15571496

W, 7-2

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15821508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-20-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15621529

W, 6-5

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15811509
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+19-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating16001518

W, 7-1

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15781512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+29+34
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+26
Adjusted team rating16061572

W, 17-6

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15741480
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-25-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15491503

W, 7-2

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15721483
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-26-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15461496

W, 16-8

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15671487
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-20+47
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating15441558

W, 8-4

64%

36%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15661502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+21+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16111511

W, 5-2

65%

35%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15641503
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+28+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16161506

W, 2-0

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15631504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-26-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-1
Adjusted team rating15611502

vs. Tigers

W, 7-6

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15621503
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-22+36
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15641539

L, 6-3

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15651500
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15721491

W, 6-2

69%

31%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15631502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20-29
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16071473

W, 1-0

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15621503
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-23+36
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15631536

L, 8-6

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15641548
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15701536

L, 3-0

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15671546
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-22-22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15691524

L, 5-3

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15691544
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13-18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+23-1
Adjusted team rating15791525

W, 3-0

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15671480
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15841505

W, 12-2

64%

36%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15641483
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+29-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15931496

W, 7-2

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15611485
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-20+20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating15381529

W, 10-7

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15591533
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13+21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15461578

L, 11-6

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15621530
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-23-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+2+26
Adjusted team rating15411545

W, 5-1

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15591533
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15721544

W, 3-2

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15581534
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+28+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+23
Adjusted team rating15831568

vs. Braves

W, 4-2

65%

35%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15571462
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15631458

W, 8-3

65%

35%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15551464
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+23-1
Adjusted team rating15671462

W, 5-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15531500
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-19+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15341533

L, 2-1

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15551499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+100
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15651523

W, 7-6

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15541500
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+31-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+21
Adjusted team rating15821508

L, 10-4

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15581503
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15671495

W, 10-1

63%

37%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15551505
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16-31
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15631474

W, 8-7

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15541506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16-23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15621483

W, 6-2

65%

35%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15531508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8-32
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15851474

W, 7-2

67%

33%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15511482
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+27-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16021477

L, 2-1

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15531480
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15591487

W, 9-4

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15511482
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-3
Adjusted team rating15551476

L, 4-3

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15521551
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13+31
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15391606

L, 7-6

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15531550
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15651558

W, 4-2

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15511552
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+26-24
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+24
Adjusted team rating15761552

at Rays

W, 6-4

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15501512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15321530

L, 6-3

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15521510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15361529

W, 6-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15501512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating15361534

vs. Angels

W, 2-1

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15491497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15811509

W, 5-1

66%

34%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15471498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+25-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15961481

L, 5-2

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15501496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15611499

W, 3-0

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15481497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-3
Adjusted team rating15521480

W, 10-6

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15461486
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15591528

W, 7-2

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15431488
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+22+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+20
Adjusted team rating15641519

W, 10-5

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15401522
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15321533

W, 7-5

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15381524
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15251541

L, 6-0

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15411522
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-20+15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-4+21
Adjusted team rating15171558

vs. Royals

W, 5-4

65%

35%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15401475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15761470

L, 7-3

64%

36%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15441472
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+19+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15871486

L, 5-1

64%

36%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15471468
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15651466

L, 4-2

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15501525
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15621521

W, 5-3

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15481526
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-21+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15511537

W, 2-1

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15471528
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15811530

W, 3-0

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15451529
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+150
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-4
Adjusted team rating15841525

This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest. It updates after each game. Methodology »

For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB »

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