Updated Nov. 2, 2017 at 12:02 AM

2017 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Athletics are done for the season.twitter bird

Team rating

Starting pitchers

Pitcher score Adjustment to team ratingAdj. to
team rating
Daniel Mengden
Daniel Mengden49.3+12
Sean Manaea
Sean Manaea48.8+9
Kendall Graveman
Kendall Graveman48.3+7
Jharel Cotton
Jharel Cotton45.1-9
Raul Alcantara
Raul Alcantara44.7-10
Daniel Gossett
Daniel Gossett42.2-22

Completed games

W, 5-2

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14891500
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14941544

L, 8-4

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14731527

L, 5-3

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14921496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14831515

W, 4-1

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14901498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-4+24
Adjusted team rating14911527

W, 6-5

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14891510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15221522

L, 6-3

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6+33
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15211541

L, 7-1

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14941504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15071505

W, 8-1

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14901513
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15011510

W, 1-0

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14891515
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14971514

W, 4-1

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14871517
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8-30
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-3
Adjusted team rating15171484

W, 3-2

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14861456
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14891463

W, 9-8

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14841458
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14831469

W, 8-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14821461
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14-19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14661466

W, 6-3

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14791459
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14861480

L, 5-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14811457
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14881490

W, 4-0

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14791460
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14701472

L, 6-2

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14801548
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality00
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14801572

W, 7-3

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14771552
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14651561

L, 11-1

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14801549
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+26
Adjusted team rating14921568

vs. Astros

W, 10-2

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751551
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6+21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15051572

W, 11-4

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14711556
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14861559

W, 11-1

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14651562
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14841566

W, 9-8

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14631564
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-1
Adjusted team rating14821575

vs. Angels

W, 3-1

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14611524
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14971525

L, 8-7

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14621523
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+24
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14931547

L, 11-9

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14641522
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-4
Adjusted team rating14701525

L, 10-2

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14671506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14651514

L, 7-6

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14681505
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4-18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14641511

L, 3-2

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14691504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+22
Adjusted team rating14771522

L, 10-8

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14701521
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14781561

L, 8-2

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731518
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14641534

L, 3-1

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14741517
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14641532

W, 8-3

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14711516
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14851509

W, 8-3

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14681519
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8+30
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15001549

W, 3-1

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14661521
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13-30
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-2
Adjusted team rating15011489

L, 8-7

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14671495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6+24
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14611543

W, 6-4

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14651497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14671518

L, 7-3

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14671495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14601516

W, 3-2

32%

68%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14651563
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14511585

L, 3-0

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14661562
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14781594

L, 3-1

32%

68%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14671561
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8+20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14731605

vs. Royals

L, 7-6

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14681498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11+21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15031519

W, 10-8

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14661500
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14831508

L, 6-2

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14691497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-4
Adjusted team rating14811482

W, 9-3

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14651500
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8+15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14971515

L, 12-5

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14691496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13+20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15061516

W, 5-4

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14681497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+15-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15071493

L, 7-2

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14711494
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating14931480

L, 6-3

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731516
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14861502

L, 7-6

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14741515
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15031520

W, 11-10

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14721510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14891529

W, 5-0

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14691514
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14761544

L, 8-6

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14701512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14571525

L, 11-2

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14741465
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14861487

W, 6-1

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14711468
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-21-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+23
Adjusted team rating14491479

vs. Giants

L, 10-4

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751465
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+24+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15231476

W, 8-5

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731466
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6-33
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15031431

vs. Twins

W, 6-5

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14721471
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10-28
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14861443

W, 5-4

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14711472
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14901486

L, 6-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731470
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+200
Adjusted team rating14751476

L, 8-4

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751491
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+21+27
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14961542

L, 3-2

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761490
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-40
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14721514

L, 4-1

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781488
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14921502

L, 4-2

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14801486
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+22
Adjusted team rating14761493

at Mets

W, 3-2

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781500
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-21-21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14571503

L, 6-5

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14801498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+27-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15071511

L, 7-5

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14811497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14771532

vs. Rays

W, 7-2

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781516
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15141527

L, 4-3

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14801515
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14961502

L, 3-2

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14811514
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-22-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating14831500

W, 7-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781544
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+26-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15281529

W, 5-3

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761546
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+48
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15011594

W, 5-0

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14721550
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+30+5
Adjusted team rating15111563

L, 4-0

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14741509
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-20-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14541532

W, 4-3

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14721511
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14651540

L, 7-2

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+27+25
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15021557

W, 7-4

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14721511
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14691536

W, 7-4

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14701477
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15021467

W, 7-6

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14691478
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14801461

L, 7-2

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14721475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8+22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-4
Adjusted team rating14881493

vs. Braves

L, 4-3

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731472
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+26+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15231475

L, 4-3

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751471
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14921476

L, 3-1

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14771469
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+20-2
Adjusted team rating15001474

L, 6-1

33%

67%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781581
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14721593

L, 11-8

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14801580
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10-24
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14701580

W, 6-4

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14771582
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+27-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+22
Adjusted team rating15031595

W, 5-3

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751479
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14731492

W, 10-2

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14711484
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14601495

W, 3-0

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14681486
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-4+22
Adjusted team rating14541503

vs. Astros

L, 12-9

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14701580
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2-26
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14961554

L, 5-1

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14721578
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+27-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15231564

L, 8-4

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751576
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0-19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14991557

L, 4-1

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761574
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-19-19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-4
Adjusted team rating14811551

W, 4-3

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751543
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14861537

W, 5-2

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14721546
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14961542

W, 7-6

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14701547
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+31+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15251551

W, 8-7

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14691549
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+20-2
Adjusted team rating14901547

L, 11-6

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14711495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14611527

L, 8-1

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14741492
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+23
Adjusted team rating14631507

at Rays

L, 5-4

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751509
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3+26
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14721559

W, 7-2

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14721512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+28-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15001534

L, 6-5

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731511
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14721536

L, 13-4

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761507
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14751525

L, 7-5

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14911495

W, 4-1

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761515
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6+20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14941535

W, 5-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14741516
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+26+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-4
Adjusted team rating15241526

L, 11-10

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751555
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14931552

W, 10-4

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14711559
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-27-25
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14681534

L, 13-3

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14741556
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8+22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+20+1
Adjusted team rating15021579

L, 8-0

32%

68%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761546
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11+26
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14651596

W, 3-1

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14741548
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+21-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14951555

L, 9-4

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761546
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14741554

L, 5-3

31%

69%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14771545
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-22+26
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14531595

L, 9-5

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14791528
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14891562

L, 3-2

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14801527
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14641550

W, 4-1

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14771530
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+140
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+26
Adjusted team rating14891556

W, 4-1

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751478
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14911470

L, 11-9

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14771476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+260
Adjusted team rating15011479

L, 12-3

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14811526
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15221532

W, 8-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781529
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15161519

W, 3-2

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761530
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+50
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15041580

W, 8-3

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731534
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-27
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-4
Adjusted team rating14831503

L, 4-0

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751521
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2-20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14731525

W, 9-6

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731524
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+16-24
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14891524

L, 6-5

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14741523
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+16-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-4+20
Adjusted team rating14861536

L, 6-4

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751511
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14801532

L, 6-5

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14-41
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14621493

L, 5-2

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5-25
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14711507

vs. Angels

W, 3-1

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14771500
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+15-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15161489

L, 7-3

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14791497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4-22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14991475

W, 3-2

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15071495

vs. Tigers

W, 8-6

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761507
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14871500

W, 6-5

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3-29
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14961479

L, 7-2

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781505
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17+28
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+20-2
Adjusted team rating15151531

W, 8-5

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751485
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7-18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14681491

L, 7-4

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14771483
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14861515

L, 9-1

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14801480
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13+45
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+24
Adjusted team rating14661549

L, 7-2

33%

67%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14821551
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5+27
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14771602

W, 2-1

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14801553
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7-18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14871559

L, 9-4

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14821551
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+21
Adjusted team rating14761555

L, 2-1

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14831498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+80
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14911522

L, 8-5

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14851496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+18+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15031531

L, 2-1

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14871494
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14761503

L, 11-1

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14921520
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15291505

W, 4-3

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14901521
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-30
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15111521

W, 3-1

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14881523
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+18-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15301519

W, 9-6

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14861526
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15+26
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating14951549

W, 9-1

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14821510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14921503

W, 4-2

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14801512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10+33
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15141545

L, 7-0

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14831509
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-3
Adjusted team rating15111492

vs. Astros

L, 10-6

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14861546
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+18+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15281559

L, 7-2

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14881543
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11+22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+20-1
Adjusted team rating15191564

L, 3-1

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14901470
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14751497

W, 8-3

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14871473
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+2+26
Adjusted team rating14941490

W, 2-0

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14851474
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+21
Adjusted team rating14781507

L, 8-1

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14881505
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15081522

W, 6-1

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14851509
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8+30
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14931563

L, 10-5

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14871506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-22-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-4+26
Adjusted team rating14611520

vs. Angels

W, 5-1

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14851505
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15131500

L, 5-0

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14881502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15131511

L, 7-6

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14891501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15331520

W, 4-2

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14871503
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15171507

AL West standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
AstrosAstros101-61
AngelsAngels80-8221.0
RangersRangers78-8423.0
MarinersMariners78-8423.0
AthleticsAthletics75-8726.0

This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest. It updates after each game. Methodology »

For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB »

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