Updated Nov. 2, 2017 at 12:02 AM

2017 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Blue Jays are done for the season.twitter bird

Team rating

Starting pitchers

Pitcher score Adjustment to team ratingAdj. to
team rating
J.A. Happ
J.A. Happ54.8+24
Marcus Stroman
Marcus Stroman53.3+17
Marco Estrada
Marco Estrada50.4+3
Joe Biagini
Joe Biagini45.1-21
Brett Anderson
Brett Anderson43.8-28

Completed games

W, 2-1

33%

67%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951563
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-33-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14621585

L, 2-1

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961562
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+19-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15151583

L, 4-0

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971560
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-23+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14741586

L, 10-7

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991557
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12-20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15111561

W, 9-4

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951561
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+19+44
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15141629

W, 6-4

32%

68%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14921564
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-35+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+21
Adjusted team rating14551589

W, 9-5

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14901559
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+21-20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15351539

L, 5-1

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14921557
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-24+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14921561

W, 8-1

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14871561
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15211567

vs. Royals

L, 1-0

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14891482
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+18-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15311480

L, 15-5

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931478
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-28+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14891494

W, 5-2

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14921479
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+18-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+230
Adjusted team rating15331470

L, 13-7

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14941502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14771532

W, 7-2

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14961531

W, 4-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14901507
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+16-24
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15061507

L, 3-2

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-29+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14591536

L, 2-1

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14921497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15331514

W, 3-2

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-21+29
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14941528

W, 4-3

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14891500
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15171486

vs. Tigers

W, 8-2

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14871469
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+16-18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15271451

W, 5-4

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14861471
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-31-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14791463

L, 5-4

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14871469
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20-24
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15311445

L, 6-1

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14901544
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14761551

L, 3-2

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911543
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14911561

W, 10-4

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14871547
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+18-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+22
Adjusted team rating15031554

L, 5-4

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14881508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-32-23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14561509

W, 7-2

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14851511
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+19-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15041532

L, 1-0

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14861510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-24+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14621551

W, 11-8

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14831513
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14871544

L, 7-1

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14861550
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+18-19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15281531

L, 3-0

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14881548
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-35+43
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14771591

L, 6-5

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14891547
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+21+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15341549

vs. Twins

L, 7-2

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14921494
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14981488

W, 10-9

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15201484

L, 6-1

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14941492
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+19-24
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-2
Adjusted team rating15341466

at Rays

L, 2-0

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-36+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14601527

W, 7-6

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14941496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+26-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15201510

L, 6-5

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+26
Adjusted team rating14891540

at Cubs

L, 6-5

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961542
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14981585

L, 4-3

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971542
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-19+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14781575

L, 7-4

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991540
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20+15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating15171579

vs. Rays

W, 5-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971500
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15151517

W, 3-2

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+24+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15441506

L, 6-4

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15311488

W, 2-1

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971500
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-22-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating14991485

W, 7-1

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14941494
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15351498

W, 7-2

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15051506

L, 4-2

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+21+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15381497

W, 4-0

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14901538
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15221541

L, 11-5

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931536
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15021547

W, 4-2

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911538
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+230
Adjusted team rating15311540

L, 7-6

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14921574
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+22-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15141596

W, 4-3

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14901576
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14961597

L, 16-7

33%

67%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931574
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-180
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+24
Adjusted team rating14741598

W, 5-1

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911453
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15041461

W, 8-4

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14881455
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+24-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15121473

L, 7-6

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14901453
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2-23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14901454

vs. Angels

W, 11-10

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14891507
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4-20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15091487

L, 6-5

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14901506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15011497

L, 7-2

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931503
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15301503

W, 8-4

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+27+21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15421496

W, 3-2

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14901476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15141472

W, 4-1

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14881478
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15021492

W, 4-2

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14861480
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-2
Adjusted team rating14931476

L, 8-1

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14881544
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+18+47
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15061615

L, 2-1

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14901543
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+24-18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15141549

L, 13-3

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931539
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4-20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+22
Adjusted team rating14941541

W, 8-6

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911545
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14-38
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14771531

L, 5-1

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931543
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+16-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15091564

L, 5-4

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951542
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+19-30
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15141536

W, 4-3

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931543
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+22-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating15121566

L, 6-5

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14941489
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14991507

L, 11-1

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981485
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11+36
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14871545

W, 7-2

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951488
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13+20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+7+32
Adjusted team rating15151540

vs. Astros

L, 19-1

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15011586
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+25-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15501576

W, 7-2

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971589
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15381585

L, 12-2

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15011585
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+23-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15481573

W, 7-4

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981588
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13+24
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-3
Adjusted team rating15071609

W, 7-6

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971535
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15021557

W, 4-1

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14941538
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+21+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15151571

L, 6-3

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961536
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+140
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+21
Adjusted team rating15081557

L, 15-1

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15011541
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15071540

L, 7-1

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031539
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14+47
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15131586

L, 7-4

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061536
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5-30
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15351504

L, 2-0

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081484
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+21-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15531478

W, 4-0

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061486
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15381489

L, 3-1

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081484
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+23-1
Adjusted team rating15141486

W, 8-2

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041492
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14901512

L, 3-2

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15051491
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15121534

L, 5-4

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15071489
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+19-29
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+26
Adjusted team rating15241486

L, 11-4

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15101519
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15241534

W, 7-5

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081521
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14911553

L, 6-1

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15111518
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-32
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15001510

W, 7-6

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15101520
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating15171534

W, 7-3

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081487
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+15-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15471472

L, 5-2

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15111485
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15491474

L, 11-4

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15151480
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5+20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-2
Adjusted team rating15361498

vs. Rays

W, 7-6

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15131514
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15191517

L, 8-1

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15181510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-1
Adjusted team rating15571500

W, 4-0

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15141524
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9+32
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15231580

W, 4-2

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121526
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15211563

L, 4-2

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15141524
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+24
Adjusted team rating15051545

W, 7-5

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121478
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14951491

L, 4-1

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15151476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15351494

L, 5-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15161474
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14+26
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-4+24
Adjusted team rating15261524

W, 3-2

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15151535
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15461534

L, 7-0

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15191532
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15281523

W, 7-5

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15171534
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15231545

L, 12-2

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15221528
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+280
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15741526

vs. Reds

W, 5-4

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15211473
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-41+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15041484

W, 6-4

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15201474
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+15+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15591479

W, 17-2

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15151478
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15431472

L, 3-1

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15171510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-19-20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15221490

W, 3-1

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15161512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+27+35
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15671547

W, 7-6

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15141513
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-40-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating14981494

W, 8-4

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15191515

W, 4-3

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15101499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+25
Adjusted team rating14911517

W, 3-1

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081514
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+22+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15301539

L, 7-5

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15101513
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-38-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14721536

L, 5-3

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15111511
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+15+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+22
Adjusted team rating15231543

W, 9-0

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15071473
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15121518

L, 8-4

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15101470
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+21
Adjusted team rating14951494

vs. Braves

L, 9-5

64%

36%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15131467
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+24-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15611462

L, 10-6

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15161464
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-37-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15031455

W, 3-2

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15151524
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15521516

W, 7-2

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121527
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2-25
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15381502

W, 4-0

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15101529
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-20-19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15141510

W, 7-2

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15071532
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+24-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15551513

W, 8-7

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061551
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15151546

L, 6-0

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081549
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-40+26
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14921575

W, 4-2

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061550
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-3
Adjusted team rating15281525

at Rays

W, 2-1

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15051511
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-26-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14791532

L, 6-1

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+27+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15351543

W, 8-4

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041511
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11+15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+24
Adjusted team rating14921550

L, 8-6

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061525
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15111550

L, 11-5

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081523
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-26+25
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14821572

W, 7-1

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15051526
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+21-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating15241536

vs. Rays

W, 3-1

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15371524

W, 4-1

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15011512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15101505

L, 7-4

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031509
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+210
Adjusted team rating15261504

L, 6-4

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15051502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-35-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14701514

L, 8-4

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15071500
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-30+15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+2+26
Adjusted team rating14791541

W, 6-5

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-4+24
Adjusted team rating15221516

L, 2-1

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15071493
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14921504

W, 6-2

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2-21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15021499

L, 5-4

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15051494
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-31-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14741514

W, 8-7

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-27-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-4+21
Adjusted team rating14731504

L, 4-1

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061535
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+15+38
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15451573

W, 3-0

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031538
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-19+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15081541

L, 8-7

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15051536
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2-29
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-2
Adjusted team rating15331505

L, 11-4

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15091504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15411513

W, 2-1

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081505
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15441502

L, 6-4

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15101503
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+15-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15491499

L, 2-1

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15111502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-24+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15111517

L, 2-0

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15131473
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15371475

L, 4-3

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15151472
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+230
Adjusted team rating15511471

at Rays

L, 7-2

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15181510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15351542

L, 3-2

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15191509
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13+23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15321556

L, 10-8

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15211507
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15031523

W, 5-2

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15191509
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating15121528

L, 3-1

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15201499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+2+26
Adjusted team rating15311526

L, 3-2

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15221498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17+21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating15371543

AL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
Red SoxRed Sox93-69
YankeesYankees91-712.0
RaysRays80-8213.0
Blue JaysBlue Jays76-8617.0
OriolesOrioles75-8718.0

This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest. It updates after each game. Methodology »

For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB »

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