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The Braves are done for the season.
Team rating
Starting pitchers
| Pitcher score | Adjustment to team ratingAdj. to team rating | ||
|---|---|---|---|
 | Julio Teheran | 49.8 | +12 |
 | R.A. Dickey | 48.7 | +6 |
 | Luiz Gohara | 48.5 | +6 |
 | Sean Newcomb | 47.8 | +2 |
 | Max Fried | 47.1 | -1 |
 | Lucas Sims | 44.8 | -12 |
Completed games
W, 8-5
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1464 | 1486 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | +13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1463 | 1523 |
L, 10-2
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1467 | 1483 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | +10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1467 | 1517 |
L, 6-5
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1468 | 1482 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | +14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1471 | 1520 |
L, 7-1
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1471 | 1478 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +13 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +20 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1481 | 1495 |
L, 7-1
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1475 | 1462 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | -13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1475 | 1473 |
L, 4-3
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1476 | 1461 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | -7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1478 | 1478 |
L, 3-2
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1477 | 1460 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -3 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1474 | 1490 |
W, 9-2
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1474 | 1463 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -5 | -26 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1466 | 1461 |
L, 2-0
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1476 | 1460 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | -17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1499 | 1443 |
W, 4-2
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1475 | 1461 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +14 | -6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1513 | 1455 |
W, 7-2
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1472 | 1464 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | +7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1497 | 1468 |
W, 3-2
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1470 | 1559 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | -12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1495 | 1547 |
L, 7-3
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1472 | 1557 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -6 | +9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1490 | 1566 |
L, 4-2
38%
62%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1473 | 1556 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | +34 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1501 | 1589 |
L, 5-1
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1477 | 1469 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +14 | -17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1515 | 1452 |
L, 7-3
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1479 | 1467 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | +36 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1507 | 1503 |
W, 3-2
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1478 | 1468 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | -2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +21 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1499 | 1463 |
L, 5-2
38%
62%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1480 | 1556 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | -15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1483 | 1565 |
W, 8-2
29%
71%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1474 | 1561 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -3 | +38 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1471 | 1623 |
W, 8-0
33%
67%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1469 | 1567 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +11 | +10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1479 | 1603 |
W, 10-8
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1467 | 1489 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | +7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1499 | 1496 |
W, 6-5
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1466 | 1490 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1496 | 1493 |
L, 7-1
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1469 | 1487 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | +10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1495 | 1497 |
W, 6-5
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1467 | 1488 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | +14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1493 | 1499 |
W, 5-4
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1466 | 1526 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +13 | +21 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1503 | 1547 |
L, 12-8
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1468 | 1523 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | +10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | +2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1497 | 1535 |
L, 8-2
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1471 | 1520 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +13 | +9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +21 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1505 | 1526 |
W, 5-1
36%
64%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1468 | 1554 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1469 | 1567 |
L, 14-12
35%
65%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1469 | 1553 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1473 | 1578 |
L, 2-0
37%
63%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1470 | 1551 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -3 | -14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1467 | 1561 |
L, 6-2
33%
67%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1471 | 1550 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | +18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1467 | 1592 |
W, 5-2
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1469 | 1445 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1476 | 1470 |
W, 9-1
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1465 | 1449 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | +7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +2 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1476 | 1482 |
L, 6-1
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1468 | 1447 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | +29 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1472 | 1500 |
L, 3-0
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1470 | 1502 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -3 | +12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1491 | 1514 |
L, 7-6
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1471 | 1501 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1499 | 1501 |
W, 5-2
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1469 | 1503 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | +12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1500 | 1512 |
L, 9-6
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1471 | 1510 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +11 | +10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1506 | 1520 |
W, 4-0
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1468 | 1512 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | -18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1493 | 1494 |
L, 6-5
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1470 | 1511 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | -10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1494 | 1499 |
W, 8-1
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1466 | 1454 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | +41 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1495 | 1495 |
L, 11-8
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1469 | 1452 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1500 | 1456 |
L, 5-3
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1471 | 1450 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +14 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +21 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1506 | 1449 |
W, 10-4
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1467 | 1512 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -4 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1463 | 1525 |
L, 17-2
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1471 | 1507 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1475 | 1537 |
W, 4-3
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1470 | 1509 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | -5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1473 | 1528 |
L, 3-0
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1471 | 1507 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +20 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1468 | 1533 |
W, 6-3
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1469 | 1530 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +13 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1482 | 1554 |
L, 6-5
36%
64%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1470 | 1529 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | +19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1473 | 1572 |
L, 8-5
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1471 | 1527 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +11 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1482 | 1540 |
L, 3-2
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1473 | 1453 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1498 | 1457 |
L, 5-2
61%
39%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1476 | 1451 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | -24 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1504 | 1426 |
L, 4-1
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1478 | 1495 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | +9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1506 | 1504 |
W, 7-2
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1475 | 1498 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | +16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1505 | 1514 |
W, 5-3
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1473 | 1500 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +11 | +8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1508 | 1507 |
L, 7-4
36%
64%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1474 | 1599 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1501 | 1605 |
W, 5-3
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1472 | 1601 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | -40 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1497 | 1561 |
L, 3-2
38%
62%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1473 | 1600 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | -16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +21 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1497 | 1582 |
L, 7-6
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1475 | 1456 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +12 | -13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1487 | 1467 |
L, 2-1
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1476 | 1455 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | -5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1484 | 1474 |
L, 4-3
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1477 | 1453 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1477 | 1482 |
L, 10-3
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1482 | 1449 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | -18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1488 | 1457 |
L, 10-3
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1484 | 1521 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -31 | -27 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1453 | 1518 |
W, 8-3
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1481 | 1524 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | -5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1490 | 1543 |
L, 10-2
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1484 | 1521 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | +22 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1491 | 1567 |
L, 5-4
25%
75%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1484 | 1594 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -5 | +49 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1479 | 1667 |
L, 6-2
32%
68%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1486 | 1592 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | +10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1495 | 1626 |
W, 12-3
28%
72%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1479 | 1599 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | +17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1481 | 1640 |
W, 6-3
33%
67%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1475 | 1602 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | -16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -4 | +20 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1479 | 1606 |
L, 8-2
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1478 | 1542 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +11 | -20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1513 | 1522 |
L, 5-1
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1481 | 1539 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | -7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1506 | 1532 |
L, 4-3
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1482 | 1538 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | +9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1514 | 1544 |
W, 7-1
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1478 | 1520 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -3 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1499 | 1520 |
W, 8-5
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1476 | 1522 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +10 | -33 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1510 | 1489 |
W, 4-3
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1475 | 1524 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +11 | -6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +30 | +5 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1516 | 1523 |
L, 10-5
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1477 | 1545 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | -24 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1480 | 1545 |
W, 13-0
34%
66%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1470 | 1553 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | +16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1474 | 1593 |
L, 5-4
29%
71%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1470 | 1552 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | +54 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1477 | 1630 |
W, 5-2
36%
64%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1467 | 1555 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +12 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1476 | 1580 |
L, 10-4
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1470 | 1585 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | -32 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1495 | 1553 |
L, 16-4
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1474 | 1581 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +18 | -12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1514 | 1568 |
W, 4-3
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1472 | 1473 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | +26 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1475 | 1523 |
W, 4-3
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1471 | 1475 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | -7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1476 | 1492 |
W, 3-1
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1469 | 1477 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +20 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1474 | 1500 |
L, 6-0
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1472 | 1438 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1477 | 1463 |
L, 7-4
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1475 | 1436 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -22 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1453 | 1464 |
W, 3-0
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1472 | 1438 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +14 | +10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1484 | 1474 |
L, 7-0
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1476 | 1488 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1509 | 1477 |
W, 3-1
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1475 | 1490 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | -15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1498 | 1475 |
W, 5-4
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1473 | 1491 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1500 | 1493 |
W, 12-11
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1472 | 1479 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +10 | -34 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1506 | 1445 |
W, 5-3
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1471 | 1480 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | +8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1503 | 1488 |
L, 6-3
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1473 | 1478 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +10 | -14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1507 | 1464 |
W, 9-0
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1469 | 1482 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -6 | +12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1487 | 1491 |
W, 5-4
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1467 | 1499 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | -5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1494 | 1494 |
W, 8-7
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1466 | 1500 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +15 | -10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1505 | 1490 |
L, 5-0
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1469 | 1497 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +11 | +20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +23 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1503 | 1516 |
W, 13-2
37%
63%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1463 | 1551 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | -9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1472 | 1566 |
L, 10-5
38%
62%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1465 | 1549 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | -25 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1463 | 1548 |
W, 11-10
33%
67%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1463 | 1551 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +11 | +21 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1471 | 1596 |
L, 2-1
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1464 | 1503 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +10 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1498 | 1503 |
L, 8-1
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1467 | 1499 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -6 | +17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1485 | 1516 |
L, 6-1
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1470 | 1496 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | -22 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1496 | 1474 |
W, 3-2
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1469 | 1498 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | -9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1499 | 1488 |
W, 3-1
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1467 | 1441 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -7 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1484 | 1441 |
W, 14-1
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1463 | 1446 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +12 | +8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1499 | 1454 |
L, 3-1
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1465 | 1444 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +13 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1502 | 1447 |
L, 11-4
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1469 | 1440 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -14 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1477 | 1429 |
W, 13-8
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1466 | 1471 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +13 | -10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1479 | 1485 |
W, 6-5
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1465 | 1473 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -6 | +15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1459 | 1512 |
L, 3-2
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1466 | 1471 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | -6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1466 | 1489 |
L, 2-1
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1467 | 1501 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | -16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1476 | 1509 |
L, 9-3
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1470 | 1499 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -7 | -13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1463 | 1510 |
W, 6-3
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1467 | 1501 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +15 | -2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +20 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1480 | 1519 |
L, 7-1
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1470 | 1496 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -3 | +15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1467 | 1535 |
L, 6-3
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1472 | 1494 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | -17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1476 | 1501 |
W, 2-0
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1470 | 1496 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | -36 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -4 | +20 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1468 | 1480 |
L, 9-4
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1473 | 1494 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -3 | +18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1494 | 1512 |
L, 12-5
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1477 | 1490 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +12 | -18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1513 | 1472 |
W, 6-5
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1476 | 1491 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | -33 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1499 | 1458 |
W, 5-2
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1473 | 1493 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | +22 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1501 | 1513 |
L, 3-2
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1474 | 1547 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -3 | +18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1495 | 1565 |
W, 5-2
36%
64%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1471 | 1550 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -4 | +38 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1491 | 1588 |
W, 7-4
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1469 | 1552 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | -10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1495 | 1540 |
L, 9-0
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1473 | 1507 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +21 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1518 | 1512 |
W, 8-4
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1470 | 1510 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | -12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +21 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1494 | 1495 |
W, 9-5
36%
64%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1467 | 1513 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -5 | +24 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1462 | 1561 |
W, 10-6
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1464 | 1516 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -6 | -37 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1455 | 1503 |
L, 3-1
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1466 | 1484 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | -12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1465 | 1496 |
W, 3-1
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1464 | 1486 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +18 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1482 | 1499 |
W, 8-4
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1461 | 1489 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1461 | 1516 |
L, 4-2
35%
65%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1462 | 1557 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -4 | -18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1458 | 1563 |
L, 8-3
35%
65%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1464 | 1555 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +23 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1462 | 1567 |
L, 6-4
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1465 | 1507 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1490 | 1499 |
L, 5-3
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1467 | 1505 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +21 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1512 | 1511 |
L, 10-0
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1472 | 1501 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1503 | 1505 |
L, 16-5
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1476 | 1508 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | +17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1500 | 1525 |
W, 9-7
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1474 | 1510 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1497 | 1502 |
L, 7-5
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1476 | 1508 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +22 | -28 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +21 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1519 | 1477 |
L, 4-3
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1478 | 1481 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | -19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1481 | 1486 |
W, 11-3
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1473 | 1485 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | -15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1462 | 1494 |
W, 10-8
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1471 | 1488 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | +11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1472 | 1525 |
W, 7-5
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1469 | 1511 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | -4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1468 | 1531 |
W, 8-2
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1465 | 1515 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +21 | -21 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +4 | +29 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1490 | 1523 |
L, 5-2
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1467 | 1465 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | -18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1465 | 1471 |
L, 4-3
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1468 | 1464 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -14 | +17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1454 | 1505 |
L, 4-3
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1470 | 1462 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | +17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +23 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1474 | 1502 |
L, 3-2
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1471 | 1544 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | +17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1494 | 1561 |
L, 14-4
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1475 | 1540 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +30 | -17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1529 | 1523 |
L, 3-1
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1476 | 1538 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -5 | +34 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1495 | 1571 |
W, 5-4
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1475 | 1449 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -16 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1483 | 1451 |
W, 9-2
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1472 | 1452 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | -7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1498 | 1445 |
W, 4-2
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1471 | 1453 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | -5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1494 | 1448 |
W, 5-2
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1469 | 1455 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +32 | +8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +23 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1524 | 1462 |
W, 5-4
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1467 | 1506 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -13 | -4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1454 | 1526 |
L, 8-4
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1469 | 1504 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | +10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +23 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1475 | 1537 |
L, 6-5
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1471 | 1502 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +29 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1500 | 1529 |
L, 6-4
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1472 | 1501 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | -2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1473 | 1523 |
L, 5-4
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1473 | 1500 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -4 | +7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1467 | 1531 |
L, 6-2
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1475 | 1526 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -13 | -9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1462 | 1541 |
W, 3-1
38%
62%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1473 | 1528 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | +7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +2 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1478 | 1561 |
L, 6-0
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1475 | 1526 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +27 | +23 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1499 | 1573 |
NL East standings
| Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | NationalsNationals97-65 | — | ✓ | ✓ | ||
 | MarlinsMarlins77-85 | 20.0 | — | — | ||
 | BravesBraves72-90 | 25.0 | — | — | ||
 | MetsMets70-92 | 27.0 | — | — | ||
 | PhilliesPhillies66-96 | 31.0 | — | — |
This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest. It updates after each game. Methodology »
For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB »
Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
Comments