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The Brewers are done for the season.
Team rating
Starting pitchers
| Pitcher score | Adjustment to team ratingAdj. to team rating | ||
|---|---|---|---|
 | Chase Anderson | 55.4 | +25 |
 | Zach Davies | 51.5 | +6 |
 | Brent Suter | 49.8 | -1 |
 | Junior Guerra | 49.6 | -2 |
 | Aaron Wilkerson | 48.4 | -8 |
 | Brandon Woodruff | 47.8 | -11 |
Completed games
W, 6-1
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1507 | 1518 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -17 | -16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1490 | 1526 |
L, 7-6
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1508 | 1517 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | +12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1508 | 1553 |
W, 5-3
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1507 | 1519 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +23 | -12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1528 | 1531 |
W, 4-3
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1505 | 1456 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | +11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1531 | 1467 |
L, 6-0
62%
38%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1510 | 1451 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1536 | 1452 |
W, 7-6
62%
38%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1509 | 1452 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1544 | 1457 |
L, 5-0
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1512 | 1549 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +21 | +11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1557 | 1560 |
W, 4-3
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1510 | 1551 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -3 | +22 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1531 | 1573 |
L, 5-4
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1511 | 1549 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | -4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1538 | 1545 |
L, 5-3
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1513 | 1548 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | +16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1544 | 1561 |
L, 6-4
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1515 | 1470 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -14 | -2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1501 | 1492 |
W, 1-0
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1514 | 1472 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +18 | +7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1532 | 1503 |
W, 3-0
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1512 | 1474 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -6 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +22 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1503 | 1496 |
W, 10-3
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1508 | 1475 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | +15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1510 | 1514 |
L, 7-4
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1510 | 1472 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +15 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1525 | 1498 |
W, 10-2
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1506 | 1477 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -14 | +14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +21 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1491 | 1512 |
W, 8-2
65%
35%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1504 | 1481 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +19 | -42 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1547 | 1439 |
W, 5-2
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1502 | 1484 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -7 | +18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1519 | 1502 |
L, 7-0
61%
39%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1507 | 1479 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | -14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +23 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1538 | 1463 |
W, 3-1
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1504 | 1538 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +11 | +19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1515 | 1581 |
W, 15-2
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1498 | 1544 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +16 | -12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1514 | 1556 |
W, 2-0
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1496 | 1547 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +12 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +22 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1508 | 1561 |
L, 7-1
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1499 | 1457 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -29 | +40 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1470 | 1521 |
L, 9-3
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1502 | 1454 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +11 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1513 | 1484 |
L, 5-4
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1504 | 1452 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +18 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +22 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1520 | 1475 |
W, 7-2
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1501 | 1563 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -10 | -49 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1515 | 1514 |
L, 3-2
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1502 | 1562 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | +42 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1526 | 1604 |
W, 1-0
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1501 | 1563 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | -19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1533 | 1544 |
W, 6-3
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1498 | 1566 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +12 | +12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1534 | 1575 |
W, 6-5
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1497 | 1518 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +22 | +22 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1543 | 1540 |
L, 10-2
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1500 | 1514 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -23 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1499 | 1518 |
W, 3-2
31%
69%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1498 | 1608 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | +10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1503 | 1642 |
W, 3-0
35%
65%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1495 | 1612 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | -24 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1502 | 1612 |
L, 3-1
36%
64%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1496 | 1610 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +24 | -9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +20 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1520 | 1621 |
L, 4-2
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1498 | 1472 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -23 | -10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1475 | 1486 |
W, 4-3
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1496 | 1474 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1505 | 1504 |
L, 2-0
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1498 | 1472 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1502 | 1498 |
W, 8-4
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1496 | 1507 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +22 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1518 | 1528 |
W, 6-3
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1493 | 1510 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | +11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1493 | 1545 |
L, 8-4
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1495 | 1508 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -17 | +13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1477 | 1545 |
W, 7-6
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1494 | 1490 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +10 | +11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1528 | 1501 |
W, 3-1
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1492 | 1491 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1523 | 1491 |
W, 7-4
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1490 | 1450 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -14 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1500 | 1455 |
W, 6-5
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1489 | 1451 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | +21 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1514 | 1472 |
L, 11-10
62%
38%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1491 | 1449 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +18 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1533 | 1447 |
L, 7-2
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1495 | 1478 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1524 | 1479 |
L, 4-0
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1498 | 1474 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -8 | -25 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1512 | 1447 |
L, 11-4
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1501 | 1471 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | +7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1490 | 1502 |
L, 5-4
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1502 | 1470 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | +31 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1497 | 1525 |
L, 2-1
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1504 | 1507 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +12 | +16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1516 | 1547 |
W, 3-0
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1501 | 1510 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1501 | 1538 |
W, 2-0
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1499 | 1512 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -13 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +21 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1483 | 1538 |
W, 2-1
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1497 | 1513 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1510 | 1512 |
L, 5-4
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1499 | 1512 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | -19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1529 | 1493 |
W, 3-2
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1498 | 1513 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +12 | +16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1536 | 1529 |
L, 4-2
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1499 | 1545 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | -10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1522 | 1535 |
L, 2-1
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1501 | 1544 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | +19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1523 | 1563 |
W, 2-1
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1499 | 1546 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | +16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +21 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1519 | 1561 |
L, 15-2
31%
69%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1502 | 1555 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -14 | +46 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1488 | 1625 |
L, 8-5
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1504 | 1553 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1512 | 1578 |
W, 8-0
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1499 | 1557 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -6 | -58 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +22 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1493 | 1521 |
L, 6-3
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1502 | 1445 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1505 | 1472 |
W, 9-8
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1500 | 1446 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -5 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1495 | 1472 |
L, 6-1
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1503 | 1443 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -10 | +18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +23 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1491 | 1484 |
L, 4-2
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1505 | 1502 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +11 | +21 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1516 | 1547 |
L, 3-2
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1506 | 1500 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -10 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1496 | 1527 |
L, 4-3
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1508 | 1499 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | +15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1512 | 1538 |
L, 4-2
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1509 | 1497 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -4 | -6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1503 | 1515 |
L, 5-2
63%
37%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1512 | 1433 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1525 | 1434 |
W, 3-2
63%
37%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1511 | 1434 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | +18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1544 | 1452 |
W, 9-6
64%
36%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1510 | 1436 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -5 | -5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +30 | +6 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1535 | 1437 |
W, 5-3
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1508 | 1531 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1517 | 1561 |
L, 5-3
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1509 | 1530 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -10 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1499 | 1558 |
W, 9-4
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1506 | 1533 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1508 | 1562 |
W, 11-2
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1501 | 1542 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -7 | -14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1493 | 1552 |
W, 4-0
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1498 | 1478 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -14 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1508 | 1484 |
W, 6-2
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1496 | 1480 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1527 | 1481 |
W, 8-1
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1493 | 1484 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -16 | -2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1501 | 1479 |
L, 10-3
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1497 | 1487 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +11 | +28 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1532 | 1515 |
W, 8-4
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1494 | 1489 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -6 | -18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1512 | 1471 |
W, 3-2
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1493 | 1491 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -14 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1501 | 1488 |
W, 11-3
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1489 | 1459 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | +20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1493 | 1503 |
L, 4-3
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1491 | 1458 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +21 | +11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1512 | 1493 |
L, 8-6
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1492 | 1456 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +22 | +19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +22 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1514 | 1497 |
W, 7-0
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1488 | 1476 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | +9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1477 | 1509 |
L, 3-1
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1490 | 1475 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -15 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1475 | 1498 |
L, 5-4
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1491 | 1473 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1493 | 1500 |
W, 4-2
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1490 | 1492 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +18 | +23 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1532 | 1515 |
W, 4-3
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1489 | 1494 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +26 | -6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1539 | 1488 |
L, 7-3
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1491 | 1491 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -6 | -7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1509 | 1484 |
L, 8-1
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1495 | 1487 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -16 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1503 | 1489 |
W, 2-1
61%
39%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1494 | 1436 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1516 | 1438 |
L, 7-5
66%
34%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1497 | 1434 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +17 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1538 | 1426 |
W, 6-5
65%
35%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1496 | 1435 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +28 | +7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1546 | 1440 |
W, 6-4
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1494 | 1498 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | -21 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1492 | 1501 |
W, 7-6
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1492 | 1499 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -15 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1477 | 1527 |
W, 8-5
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1490 | 1502 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | -23 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1489 | 1503 |
L, 6-0
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1493 | 1499 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -18 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1474 | 1530 |
L, 11-1
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1496 | 1517 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +12 | +20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1508 | 1561 |
L, 3-2
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1498 | 1515 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +29 | -12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1527 | 1527 |
W, 8-6
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1496 | 1517 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | -4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -4 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1490 | 1537 |
L, 9-5
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1498 | 1493 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -12 | +16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1510 | 1509 |
W, 6-3
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1496 | 1495 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1519 | 1487 |
W, 5-2
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1495 | 1497 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | -35 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1526 | 1462 |
L, 7-2
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1498 | 1493 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +33 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1555 | 1493 |
W, 3-0
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1496 | 1570 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -7 | -16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1513 | 1554 |
L, 10-8
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1497 | 1569 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -15 | +9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1506 | 1578 |
L, 2-1
36%
64%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1498 | 1568 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -7 | +46 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +21 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1512 | 1612 |
W, 2-1
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1496 | 1506 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1500 | 1532 |
W, 7-1
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1493 | 1509 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +36 | +26 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1529 | 1559 |
L, 5-4
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1494 | 1508 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -3 | -13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1491 | 1519 |
L, 4-2
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1496 | 1506 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -12 | -30 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +22 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1481 | 1498 |
W, 9-5
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1493 | 1514 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -10 | -28 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1507 | 1486 |
W, 6-1
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1490 | 1517 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | +28 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1513 | 1545 |
L, 4-2
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1492 | 1515 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +38 | -18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1554 | 1497 |
L, 4-0
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1495 | 1512 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -4 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1520 | 1511 |
L, 8-4
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1497 | 1512 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -6 | +7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1515 | 1519 |
L, 4-3
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1499 | 1510 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -7 | -18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +25 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1517 | 1491 |
L, 13-6
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1502 | 1554 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +2 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1509 | 1583 |
W, 6-3
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1499 | 1557 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -8 | -44 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -4 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1487 | 1537 |
W, 4-2
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1497 | 1436 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1496 | 1452 |
W, 3-1
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1496 | 1438 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -10 | +7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1486 | 1469 |
W, 6-2
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1493 | 1440 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -9 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1484 | 1456 |
L, 6-5
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1495 | 1438 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -4 | +20 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1498 | 1462 |
W, 11-9
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1493 | 1510 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -9 | +18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1508 | 1528 |
W, 11-4
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1490 | 1513 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | -29 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1513 | 1484 |
W, 7-4
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1487 | 1515 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -13 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1498 | 1506 |
L, 4-1
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1489 | 1533 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -15 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1498 | 1533 |
W, 7-4
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1487 | 1535 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | -37 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1519 | 1498 |
W, 11-7
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1484 | 1538 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -7 | -5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1501 | 1533 |
W, 6-2
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1482 | 1498 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | -29 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1481 | 1493 |
L, 2-1
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1483 | 1497 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -16 | +10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1467 | 1531 |
L, 4-0
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1485 | 1495 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -18 | -12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +22 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1464 | 1505 |
W, 5-4
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1483 | 1502 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +12 | -14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +2 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1497 | 1514 |
L, 2-1
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1484 | 1501 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -8 | +14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1476 | 1539 |
W, 7-5
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1482 | 1503 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | -7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1482 | 1520 |
W, 4-3
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1481 | 1478 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -19 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1486 | 1481 |
L, 11-3
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1485 | 1473 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -15 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1494 | 1462 |
L, 10-8
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1488 | 1471 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +11 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1525 | 1472 |
W, 9-4
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1485 | 1471 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -5 | -10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1504 | 1461 |
W, 9-1
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1481 | 1475 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | +9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1503 | 1484 |
W, 11-7
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1479 | 1477 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -20 | +12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1483 | 1487 |
L, 6-4
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1481 | 1500 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -15 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1490 | 1504 |
L, 4-1
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1483 | 1497 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1515 | 1500 |
L, 6-3
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1485 | 1495 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | -13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1509 | 1482 |
W, 7-5
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1484 | 1497 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | +21 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +23 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1505 | 1516 |
L, 7-4
30%
70%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1485 | 1566 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -23 | +18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1462 | 1608 |
L, 9-7
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1486 | 1564 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | -49 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1475 | 1539 |
W, 6-3
35%
65%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1483 | 1567 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1487 | 1591 |
W, 4-2
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1481 | 1479 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1479 | 1495 |
L, 7-5
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1483 | 1478 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | +11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1482 | 1513 |
W, 10-4
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1479 | 1482 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -24 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1455 | 1508 |
W, 5-1
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1476 | 1485 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -16 | -5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +22 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1458 | 1502 |
W, 2-0
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1473 | 1513 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1475 | 1537 |
W, 4-3
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1472 | 1515 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | +13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +23 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1471 | 1551 |
L, 7-4
38%
62%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1473 | 1573 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | +14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1500 | 1587 |
L, 11-6
34%
66%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1475 | 1572 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -21 | +23 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1478 | 1595 |
W, 2-1
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1473 | 1573 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -20 | -56 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1477 | 1515 |
L, 2-1
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1475 | 1480 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | -16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1498 | 1464 |
W, 6-1
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1472 | 1483 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -4 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1492 | 1489 |
L, 6-5
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1473 | 1482 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +10 | +29 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1507 | 1511 |
L, 7-5
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1476 | 1480 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +33 | +12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1533 | 1489 |
NL Central standings
| Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | CubsCubs92-70 | — | ✓ | ✓ | ||
 | BrewersBrewers86-76 | 6.0 | — | — | ||
 | CardinalsCardinals83-79 | 9.0 | — | — | ||
 | PiratesPirates75-87 | 17.0 | — | — | ||
 | RedsReds68-94 | 24.0 | — | — |
This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest. It updates after each game. Methodology »
For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB »
Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
Comments