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The Cubs are done for the season.
Team rating
Starting pitchers
| Pitcher score | Adjustment to team ratingAdj. to team rating | ||
|---|---|---|---|
 | Kyle Hendricks | 55.6 | +16 |
 | Jose Quintana | 54.4 | +11 |
 | Jake Arrieta | 53.9 | +8 |
 | Jon Lester | 51.1 | -5 |
Completed games
L, 11-1
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1552 | 1579 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +17 | +30 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1593 | 1609 |
W, 3-2
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1550 | 1581 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1579 | 1583 |
L, 6-1
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1555 | 1576 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +18 | +15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1595 | 1589 |
L, 4-1
38%
62%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1557 | 1574 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -6 | +17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1551 | 1615 |
L, 5-2
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1560 | 1571 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +17 | +32 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +31 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1575 | 1634 |
W, 9-8
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1558 | 1553 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +24 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +21 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1579 | 1573 |
L, 5-0
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1562 | 1548 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | +37 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | +2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1592 | 1587 |
W, 2-1
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1560 | 1550 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +13 | +36 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +23 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1596 | 1585 |
L, 6-3
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1563 | 1547 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -8 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1555 | 1573 |
W, 3-0
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1559 | 1551 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +22 | +35 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +6 | +33 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1587 | 1619 |
L, 3-1
67%
33%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1562 | 1451 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -12 | -4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1574 | 1447 |
W, 9-0
66%
34%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1560 | 1454 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -10 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1574 | 1458 |
W, 5-4
69%
31%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1559 | 1455 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +17 | +10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1598 | 1464 |
W, 2-1
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1558 | 1520 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +21 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1579 | 1547 |
W, 5-1
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1555 | 1522 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -8 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1547 | 1546 |
L, 8-7
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1556 | 1521 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +13 | +19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1569 | 1564 |
W, 10-2
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1552 | 1525 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | +21 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +21 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1539 | 1567 |
W, 5-0
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1549 | 1512 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +11 | +21 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1560 | 1557 |
L, 4-3
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1551 | 1510 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +22 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1573 | 1531 |
W, 5-4
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1549 | 1511 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -4 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1545 | 1538 |
W, 5-3
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1548 | 1513 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +16 | +9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +22 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1561 | 1544 |
L, 8-1
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1552 | 1495 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -4 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1548 | 1521 |
W, 2-1
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1550 | 1496 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -16 | +8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1533 | 1530 |
W, 4-3
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1549 | 1525 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +10 | +12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1583 | 1537 |
W, 4-1
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1547 | 1527 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +19 | -6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1590 | 1521 |
W, 8-2
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1544 | 1530 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -4 | +21 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1564 | 1549 |
W, 14-6
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1541 | 1471 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -21 | +9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1544 | 1480 |
W, 17-5
62%
38%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1538 | 1475 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1560 | 1474 |
W, 8-3
65%
35%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1536 | 1476 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | -17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1569 | 1458 |
L, 3-1
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1538 | 1504 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +19 | +11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1581 | 1515 |
L, 15-2
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1544 | 1498 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -12 | +16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1556 | 1514 |
L, 2-0
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1547 | 1496 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -8 | +12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1561 | 1508 |
W, 8-2
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1544 | 1487 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -3 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1541 | 1514 |
W, 1-0
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1542 | 1489 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | +13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1548 | 1526 |
L, 4-3
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1544 | 1487 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +19 | -13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1563 | 1498 |
L, 12-0
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1550 | 1481 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +21 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1569 | 1507 |
L, 5-1
64%
36%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1554 | 1468 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1567 | 1469 |
W, 14-12
65%
35%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1553 | 1469 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1578 | 1473 |
W, 2-0
63%
37%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1551 | 1470 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -14 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1561 | 1467 |
W, 6-2
67%
33%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1550 | 1471 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +18 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1592 | 1467 |
W, 17-3
63%
37%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1546 | 1483 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | -2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1573 | 1481 |
W, 4-1
64%
36%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1545 | 1485 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +19 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1588 | 1488 |
W, 6-1
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1542 | 1487 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -13 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +21 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1550 | 1491 |
L, 6-3
62%
38%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1545 | 1444 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | -18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1534 | 1450 |
W, 17-2
63%
37%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1541 | 1448 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +19 | -2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1560 | 1470 |
L, 7-1
61%
39%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1546 | 1444 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +10 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1554 | 1474 |
L, 4-2
62%
38%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1548 | 1446 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +16 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1564 | 1476 |
W, 9-3
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1545 | 1449 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -17 | -4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1528 | 1469 |
W, 13-9
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1543 | 1451 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -6 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1537 | 1474 |
W, 6-5
62%
38%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1542 | 1496 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +19 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1585 | 1498 |
W, 4-3
63%
37%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1542 | 1497 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | -19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1575 | 1478 |
W, 7-4
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1540 | 1499 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +15 | +20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1579 | 1517 |
L, 13-10
66%
34%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1543 | 1446 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +13 | +20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1580 | 1466 |
W, 7-6
65%
35%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1542 | 1447 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -10 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1556 | 1447 |
L, 2-1
65%
35%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1544 | 1445 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +18 | +33 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1586 | 1478 |
W, 15-5
66%
34%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1541 | 1448 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +20 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1569 | 1453 |
W, 7-2
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1538 | 1526 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +13 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1551 | 1555 |
L, 6-2
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1541 | 1523 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +15 | -36 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1556 | 1511 |
W, 8-3
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1538 | 1526 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -8 | -2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1529 | 1548 |
L, 3-1
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1540 | 1473 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +19 | +43 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1559 | 1540 |
L, 6-3
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1543 | 1470 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +11 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1554 | 1494 |
W, 5-3
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1542 | 1472 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +14 | -15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -4 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1552 | 1481 |
L, 9-4
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1545 | 1551 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +13 | -39 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1582 | 1512 |
W, 7-4
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1544 | 1552 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -8 | -55 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1560 | 1497 |
L, 4-2
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1546 | 1550 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +19 | -22 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1589 | 1527 |
L, 10-8
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1548 | 1526 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +16 | +27 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1588 | 1553 |
L, 3-0
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1551 | 1523 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +10 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1585 | 1525 |
W, 16-4
62%
38%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1547 | 1527 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +14 | -28 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +25 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1586 | 1499 |
W, 4-2
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1545 | 1499 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -10 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1535 | 1522 |
W, 2-1
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1544 | 1501 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +19 | -2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1563 | 1523 |
L, 2-1
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1546 | 1499 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +16 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +21 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1561 | 1519 |
W, 6-3
62%
38%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1544 | 1456 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +14 | -5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1558 | 1475 |
W, 8-3
63%
37%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1542 | 1458 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +10 | -23 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +23 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1551 | 1458 |
W, 7-2
61%
39%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1540 | 1460 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -9 | +19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1555 | 1479 |
L, 3-1
67%
33%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1543 | 1458 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +21 | +13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1588 | 1469 |
W, 5-3
61%
39%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1542 | 1511 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +18 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1584 | 1508 |
W, 3-2
61%
39%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1541 | 1512 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +11 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1576 | 1501 |
L, 11-4
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1545 | 1507 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +10 | +24 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +23 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1578 | 1528 |
W, 8-2
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1542 | 1478 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -20 | +11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1522 | 1513 |
W, 5-1
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1539 | 1481 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -7 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1532 | 1506 |
W, 4-3
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1538 | 1482 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | +8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1544 | 1514 |
W, 8-0
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1535 | 1474 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +15 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1550 | 1500 |
W, 10-3
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1532 | 1477 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +12 | -4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1544 | 1497 |
W, 9-8
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1531 | 1478 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -16 | +11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +6 | +30 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1521 | 1519 |
L, 14-3
64%
36%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1537 | 1490 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +22 | -7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1583 | 1483 |
L, 4-2
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1539 | 1488 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +11 | +14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1574 | 1502 |
W, 6-1
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1537 | 1491 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -31 | +7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1530 | 1495 |
L, 11-2
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1542 | 1501 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -14 | -7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1552 | 1493 |
W, 7-3
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1540 | 1511 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | -14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1553 | 1497 |
L, 6-5
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1542 | 1509 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +25 | +20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1591 | 1528 |
W, 6-2
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1539 | 1460 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | +15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1543 | 1499 |
L, 5-3
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1541 | 1458 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -31 | +12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1510 | 1494 |
L, 5-0
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1545 | 1455 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -14 | +24 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1529 | 1503 |
W, 5-4
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1543 | 1555 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +23 | -26 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1566 | 1553 |
L, 8-4
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1545 | 1553 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -5 | +11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1540 | 1588 |
L, 6-1
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1548 | 1550 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | +51 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1555 | 1625 |
W, 5-4
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1546 | 1552 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -37 | -4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1506 | 1572 |
L, 4-2
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1548 | 1493 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -17 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1531 | 1518 |
W, 5-3
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1546 | 1495 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +22 | -18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1568 | 1501 |
L, 2-0
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1548 | 1493 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -6 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1542 | 1517 |
W, 11-1
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1544 | 1496 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | -10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1548 | 1510 |
L, 3-2
64%
36%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1546 | 1433 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -37 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1533 | 1434 |
W, 4-0
65%
35%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1545 | 1435 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -20 | +9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1549 | 1444 |
W, 3-2
70%
30%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1544 | 1435 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +24 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1590 | 1439 |
W, 7-1
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1541 | 1490 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -7 | +25 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1534 | 1539 |
L, 4-3
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1542 | 1489 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | +25 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1551 | 1538 |
W, 9-5
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1539 | 1492 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -36 | -7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1503 | 1511 |
L, 9-4
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1542 | 1503 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -21 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1521 | 1519 |
W, 14-3
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1538 | 1507 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +20 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1558 | 1536 |
L, 6-1
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1541 | 1504 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | +8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +21 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1536 | 1533 |
W, 7-5
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1539 | 1530 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +10 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1573 | 1533 |
L, 9-1
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1544 | 1526 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -37 | -9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1531 | 1517 |
L, 5-3
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1546 | 1524 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -22 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1548 | 1513 |
L, 4-1
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1549 | 1521 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +21 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1594 | 1520 |
L, 6-5
63%
37%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1550 | 1486 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | -9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1572 | 1477 |
W, 10-2
64%
36%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1548 | 1489 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | -7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1580 | 1482 |
W, 3-1
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1546 | 1491 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -42 | +24 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1528 | 1512 |
W, 7-6
65%
35%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1545 | 1507 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +24 | -18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1593 | 1489 |
W, 5-3
61%
39%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1544 | 1508 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +23 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1591 | 1513 |
W, 3-2
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1543 | 1509 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -4 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1561 | 1508 |
L, 2-1
63%
37%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1545 | 1439 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1553 | 1463 |
L, 6-2
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1548 | 1436 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -39 | +13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1509 | 1473 |
L, 5-2
68%
32%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1551 | 1432 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +28 | -5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +20 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1578 | 1447 |
L, 9-4
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1554 | 1564 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +29 | +55 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1583 | 1643 |
L, 5-0
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1556 | 1561 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -4 | -12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1552 | 1573 |
L, 4-0
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1559 | 1559 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -4 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1559 | 1587 |
W, 5-1
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1557 | 1498 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -45 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1536 | 1504 |
W, 5-4
66%
34%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1556 | 1499 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +25 | -9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1605 | 1490 |
W, 4-1
62%
38%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1554 | 1500 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +23 | +17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1601 | 1517 |
L, 6-4
65%
35%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1557 | 1498 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | -19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1582 | 1477 |
W, 13-6
61%
39%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1554 | 1502 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | +2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1583 | 1509 |
L, 6-3
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1557 | 1499 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -44 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -4 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1537 | 1487 |
W, 9-5
67%
33%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1555 | 1475 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +23 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1602 | 1479 |
W, 7-5
66%
34%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1554 | 1476 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +27 | +13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1605 | 1489 |
W, 9-5
65%
35%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1552 | 1478 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1581 | 1475 |
L, 5-0
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1556 | 1516 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | -18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1560 | 1522 |
L, 5-3
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1558 | 1514 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +25 | +17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1583 | 1555 |
W, 3-2
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1556 | 1515 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -50 | +8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +23 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1505 | 1546 |
L, 3-0
61%
39%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1559 | 1495 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +24 | -17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1583 | 1502 |
W, 8-1
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1556 | 1498 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | -7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1555 | 1515 |
L, 10-4
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1560 | 1495 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +13 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1572 | 1522 |
L, 5-4
63%
37%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1561 | 1531 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +24 | -16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1609 | 1515 |
L, 11-6
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1565 | 1528 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -51 | -15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1538 | 1513 |
L, 3-2
61%
39%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1566 | 1526 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +24 | +11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1614 | 1536 |
W, 5-4
67%
33%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1566 | 1470 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | -7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1589 | 1463 |
W, 5-4
66%
34%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1565 | 1471 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +12 | +15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1601 | 1486 |
W, 8-3
67%
33%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1563 | 1472 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +26 | +19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1613 | 1491 |
L, 10-2
62%
38%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1568 | 1467 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -45 | -4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +21 | -4 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1544 | 1459 |
L, 6-2
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1571 | 1531 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +20 | -4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1591 | 1551 |
W, 7-4
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1569 | 1533 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | -24 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1568 | 1533 |
L, 5-4
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1571 | 1532 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +15 | -6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1586 | 1550 |
L, 6-5
66%
34%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1573 | 1490 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +29 | -27 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1602 | 1487 |
W, 1-0
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1572 | 1491 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +16 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1588 | 1519 |
W, 14-3
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1567 | 1496 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -48 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1517 | 1522 |
L, 7-5
61%
39%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1569 | 1475 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | -6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1569 | 1493 |
W, 12-8
66%
34%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1568 | 1477 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +16 | -33 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1584 | 1468 |
W, 6-5
63%
37%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1567 | 1478 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +33 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1600 | 1505 |
W, 7-4
70%
30%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1566 | 1485 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +18 | -23 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1608 | 1462 |
W, 9-7
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1564 | 1486 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -49 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1539 | 1475 |
L, 6-3
65%
35%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1567 | 1483 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1591 | 1487 |
L, 6-1
64%
36%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1571 | 1496 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +28 | +26 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1623 | 1522 |
L, 8-7
69%
31%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1574 | 1494 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +14 | -25 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1612 | 1469 |
L, 4-2
68%
32%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1576 | 1491 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +19 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1619 | 1489 |
W, 4-0
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1574 | 1558 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -53 | -16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1545 | 1542 |
L, 2-0
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1576 | 1555 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | -18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | +2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1601 | 1539 |
W, 3-2
62%
38%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1575 | 1556 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +27 | -14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +23 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1625 | 1539 |
W, 7-4
62%
38%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1573 | 1473 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +14 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1587 | 1500 |
W, 11-6
66%
34%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1572 | 1475 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +23 | -21 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1595 | 1478 |
L, 2-1
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1573 | 1473 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -56 | -20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1515 | 1477 |
W, 6-4
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1572 | 1505 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +2 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1574 | 1533 |
W, 2-1
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1571 | 1506 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +13 | -4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +2 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1586 | 1528 |
L, 4-3
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1572 | 1504 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +29 | +24 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1599 | 1552 |
NL Central standings
| Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | CubsCubs92-70 | — | ✓ | ✓ | ||
 | BrewersBrewers86-76 | 6.0 | — | — | ||
 | CardinalsCardinals83-79 | 9.0 | — | — | ||
 | PiratesPirates75-87 | 17.0 | — | — | ||
 | RedsReds68-94 | 24.0 | — | — |
This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest. It updates after each game. Methodology »
For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB »
Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
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