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The Diamondbacks are done for the season.
Team rating
Starting pitchers
| Pitcher score | Adjustment to team ratingAdj. to team rating | ||
|---|---|---|---|
 | Zack Greinke | 54.1 | +14 |
 | Robbie Ray | 53.7 | +12 |
 | Zack Godley | 51.9 | +3 |
 | Taijuan Walker | 49.2 | -9 |
 | Braden Shipley | 43.8 | -35 |
Completed games
L, 3-1
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1537 | 1569 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +17 | +13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1578 | 1582 |
L, 8-5
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1540 | 1566 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +13 | +20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1553 | 1610 |
L, 9-5
33%
67%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1542 | 1564 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -6 | +37 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +30 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1536 | 1631 |
W, 11-8
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1539 | 1509 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +19 | +23 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | +2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1584 | 1534 |
W, 14-2
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1535 | 1482 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +13 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1548 | 1512 |
L, 4-3
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1536 | 1480 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -9 | +13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1527 | 1517 |
L, 2-1
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1538 | 1479 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +22 | -9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1559 | 1494 |
W, 4-3
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1537 | 1464 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -37 | +14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1524 | 1478 |
W, 11-4
66%
34%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1535 | 1466 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +14 | -9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1573 | 1457 |
L, 9-2
64%
36%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1540 | 1461 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | +9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1570 | 1468 |
W, 3-2
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1539 | 1483 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -18 | +11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1545 | 1494 |
L, 12-6
61%
39%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1543 | 1479 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -7 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1560 | 1483 |
W, 13-11
66%
34%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1542 | 1480 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +28 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1594 | 1479 |
W, 13-7
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1539 | 1459 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +17 | +31 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1556 | 1514 |
L, 6-2
65%
35%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1543 | 1455 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | -36 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1549 | 1443 |
L, 4-2
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1545 | 1453 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -21 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +21 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1522 | 1471 |
L, 7-2
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1548 | 1453 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -10 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1538 | 1480 |
W, 2-0
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1547 | 1454 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +20 | +30 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1567 | 1508 |
W, 3-2
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1546 | 1456 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +14 | +14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1557 | 1496 |
W, 7-0
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1543 | 1509 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1568 | 1513 |
W, 8-2
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1540 | 1512 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -22 | +8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1542 | 1520 |
L, 4-2
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1542 | 1510 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -6 | +16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1560 | 1526 |
L, 5-4
62%
38%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1544 | 1508 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +20 | -5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1588 | 1501 |
W, 3-2
67%
33%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1543 | 1463 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +14 | -4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1581 | 1459 |
L, 8-7
62%
38%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1545 | 1461 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | +19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1569 | 1480 |
L, 10-6
65%
35%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1548 | 1458 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -13 | -4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1559 | 1452 |
W, 3-1
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1546 | 1581 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -7 | -9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1539 | 1596 |
W, 3-1
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1544 | 1583 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +19 | -18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1563 | 1589 |
W, 13-0
38%
62%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1537 | 1590 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | +11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +23 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1542 | 1624 |
W, 5-1
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1535 | 1497 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | +12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1533 | 1533 |
W, 6-2
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1532 | 1500 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -13 | +14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1519 | 1538 |
W, 9-5
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1529 | 1502 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -8 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1518 | 1525 |
W, 8-1
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1525 | 1603 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +21 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1570 | 1600 |
W, 6-4
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1523 | 1605 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | -14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1555 | 1591 |
W, 7-6
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1522 | 1606 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | +12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1550 | 1618 |
W, 11-0
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1518 | 1472 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -16 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1526 | 1477 |
W, 2-1
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1517 | 1473 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -8 | +40 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1533 | 1513 |
W, 4-3
64%
36%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1516 | 1474 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +23 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +20 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1559 | 1462 |
W, 3-2
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1514 | 1484 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | -13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1522 | 1495 |
L, 4-2
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1516 | 1482 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | -14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1521 | 1492 |
W, 7-4
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1514 | 1485 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -19 | -18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1495 | 1491 |
W, 3-2
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1513 | 1486 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -8 | -20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1502 | 1490 |
L, 12-5
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1517 | 1488 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -20 | -21 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1497 | 1491 |
L, 5-0
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1520 | 1485 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +27 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1547 | 1508 |
L, 10-3
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1523 | 1481 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | +29 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1526 | 1534 |
W, 4-0
37%
63%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1520 | 1565 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -29 | -7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1491 | 1582 |
L, 9-5
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1522 | 1563 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -7 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +21 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1512 | 1585 |
L, 9-4
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1524 | 1560 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -15 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1533 | 1560 |
W, 2-0
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1523 | 1562 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +23 | +9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1570 | 1568 |
L, 7-2
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1526 | 1538 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | +13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1555 | 1551 |
W, 6-2
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1523 | 1541 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -36 | +15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1511 | 1556 |
L, 8-3
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1526 | 1538 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1548 | 1529 |
L, 8-6
38%
62%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1527 | 1606 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -15 | +15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1536 | 1621 |
L, 3-2
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1528 | 1605 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +24 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1576 | 1608 |
W, 6-3
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1526 | 1608 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | -12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +23 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1556 | 1594 |
L, 6-3
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1528 | 1469 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -36 | +11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1492 | 1504 |
L, 5-4
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1530 | 1468 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | -10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1528 | 1482 |
W, 2-1
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1528 | 1469 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -19 | +43 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -4 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1505 | 1536 |
W, 10-8
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1526 | 1548 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +27 | +16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1553 | 1588 |
W, 3-0
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1523 | 1551 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | +10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1525 | 1585 |
L, 16-4
38%
62%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1527 | 1547 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -28 | +14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +25 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1499 | 1586 |
L, 3-2
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1528 | 1512 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -4 | +10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1524 | 1546 |
W, 7-1
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1525 | 1515 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +23 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1548 | 1531 |
L, 1-0
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1526 | 1513 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | -5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1532 | 1532 |
W, 4-0
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1524 | 1516 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -3 | -17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1518 | 1523 |
W, 10-3
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1521 | 1484 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -27 | -31 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1518 | 1453 |
L, 8-3
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1524 | 1481 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -5 | +9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1543 | 1490 |
W, 10-2
61%
39%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1521 | 1484 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +22 | +9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1567 | 1491 |
L, 6-2
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1524 | 1555 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +10 | +12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1558 | 1567 |
L, 4-3
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1525 | 1553 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -20 | -28 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1529 | 1525 |
W, 6-5
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1524 | 1555 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -3 | +53 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +20 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1541 | 1608 |
W, 12-2
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1519 | 1454 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -30 | +27 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1489 | 1505 |
L, 4-3
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1521 | 1453 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +27 | +9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1548 | 1486 |
W, 11-2
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1517 | 1456 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +11 | +11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1528 | 1491 |
L, 7-1
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1520 | 1478 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1520 | 1499 |
L, 8-5
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1522 | 1476 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -33 | +10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1489 | 1510 |
L, 4-3
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1524 | 1475 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -6 | +11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +5 | +30 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1523 | 1516 |
L, 2-1
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1525 | 1465 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -36 | +13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1513 | 1478 |
L, 7-0
61%
39%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1530 | 1461 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -3 | +12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1551 | 1473 |
W, 6-3
64%
36%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1529 | 1462 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +22 | +12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1573 | 1471 |
L, 5-4
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1530 | 1589 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1539 | 1616 |
L, 1-0
37%
63%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1531 | 1588 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | +12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1529 | 1624 |
L, 4-3
29%
71%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1531 | 1587 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -35 | +44 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +25 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1496 | 1656 |
W, 4-3
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1530 | 1511 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -4 | -2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1550 | 1509 |
W, 6-2
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1528 | 1513 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +21 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1573 | 1518 |
L, 6-3
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1531 | 1511 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +13 | +13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1568 | 1523 |
L, 10-4
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1534 | 1497 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -37 | -2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1521 | 1495 |
L, 4-3
61%
39%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1536 | 1495 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -4 | -14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1556 | 1481 |
W, 6-5
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1535 | 1496 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | +36 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1559 | 1529 |
W, 6-1
70%
30%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1533 | 1430 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +21 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1578 | 1431 |
W, 2-1
66%
34%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1533 | 1431 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -10 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1547 | 1430 |
W, 9-2
69%
31%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1531 | 1433 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +16 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1571 | 1430 |
L, 6-1
64%
36%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1535 | 1429 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -39 | -6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +21 | -4 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1517 | 1419 |
W, 10-3
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1531 | 1528 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -8 | -4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1523 | 1548 |
W, 16-5
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1526 | 1533 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1527 | 1556 |
L, 4-3
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1527 | 1531 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +22 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1547 | 1549 |
W, 5-4
63%
37%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1526 | 1431 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +23 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1549 | 1456 |
W, 5-1
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1524 | 1433 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -10 | +7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1514 | 1464 |
W, 5-4
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1523 | 1434 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -40 | +8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1483 | 1466 |
W, 2-1
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1521 | 1501 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | -26 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1520 | 1499 |
W, 7-6
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1520 | 1502 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +24 | -14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +23 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1542 | 1511 |
W, 11-1
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1517 | 1496 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +20 | +12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1561 | 1508 |
W, 3-2
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1515 | 1498 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -12 | +29 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1527 | 1527 |
L, 8-6
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1517 | 1496 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -4 | -2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -4 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1537 | 1490 |
W, 15-3
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1513 | 1434 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -40 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1497 | 1436 |
W, 7-4
67%
33%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1512 | 1436 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +28 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1564 | 1442 |
W, 10-2
64%
36%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1510 | 1438 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +17 | +14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1549 | 1452 |
L, 6-5
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1511 | 1489 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -26 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1485 | 1514 |
L, 3-0
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1513 | 1487 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -7 | -7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1506 | 1504 |
L, 7-5
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1515 | 1485 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -36 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1479 | 1506 |
W, 3-2
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1514 | 1487 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +25 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1536 | 1500 |
W, 6-5
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1512 | 1490 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -14 | -12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1498 | 1502 |
W, 3-0
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1510 | 1493 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | +19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1519 | 1536 |
L, 4-3
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1511 | 1492 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -13 | -14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1496 | 1502 |
L, 9-5
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1514 | 1493 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -28 | -10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1486 | 1507 |
L, 6-1
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1517 | 1490 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +28 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1545 | 1513 |
W, 4-2
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1515 | 1492 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -18 | +38 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1497 | 1554 |
W, 4-0
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1512 | 1495 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -4 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1511 | 1520 |
W, 8-6
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1510 | 1485 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -12 | +31 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1522 | 1516 |
W, 5-4
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1509 | 1486 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -25 | -37 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1508 | 1449 |
W, 5-1
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1507 | 1488 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +26 | +7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1555 | 1492 |
L, 5-1
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1510 | 1428 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -15 | -6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1495 | 1446 |
W, 9-1
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1507 | 1431 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | +7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1506 | 1462 |
W, 10-1
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1504 | 1434 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | -16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1506 | 1442 |
W, 5-4
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1502 | 1504 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -22 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1504 | 1493 |
W, 5-4
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1501 | 1505 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +28 | -23 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1553 | 1482 |
W, 7-3
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1499 | 1508 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -19 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -4 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1504 | 1503 |
L, 6-4
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1501 | 1487 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | +20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1530 | 1507 |
L, 4-3
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1502 | 1485 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | -25 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1529 | 1460 |
W, 11-4
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1499 | 1488 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -23 | -25 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1500 | 1463 |
W, 2-1
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1498 | 1489 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +22 | +15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1544 | 1502 |
W, 7-1
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1495 | 1507 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -26 | -16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1493 | 1491 |
L, 7-3
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1497 | 1505 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | +38 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +23 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1529 | 1542 |
L, 5-2
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1499 | 1493 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1503 | 1516 |
L, 9-1
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1503 | 1489 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -16 | +9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1487 | 1522 |
W, 6-3
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1501 | 1491 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +19 | -13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -4 | +21 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1516 | 1499 |
L, 4-2
32%
68%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1502 | 1557 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -17 | +31 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1485 | 1612 |
L, 2-1
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1503 | 1556 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1508 | 1572 |
W, 6-3
38%
62%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1500 | 1559 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1503 | 1586 |
W, 2-0
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1498 | 1491 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -20 | -21 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1502 | 1470 |
L, 7-6
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1500 | 1489 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +22 | +14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1546 | 1503 |
L, 3-1
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1502 | 1487 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | -14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1530 | 1470 |
W, 6-2
61%
39%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1500 | 1445 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1526 | 1447 |
L, 8-5
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1503 | 1442 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -26 | -2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1501 | 1440 |
W, 9-3
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1500 | 1445 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -21 | -7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1503 | 1438 |
W, 7-6
63%
37%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1499 | 1446 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +21 | +9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1544 | 1453 |
L, 6-2
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1502 | 1545 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -6 | -9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1520 | 1536 |
W, 11-5
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1499 | 1549 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | -14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1532 | 1535 |
W, 13-5
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1494 | 1553 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1519 | 1542 |
L, 4-1
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1497 | 1445 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -23 | -9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1474 | 1460 |
L, 1-0
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1499 | 1444 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +19 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1518 | 1474 |
W, 11-2
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1495 | 1448 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -9 | -6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +20 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1485 | 1462 |
W, 4-2
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1492 | 1556 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | -14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1501 | 1566 |
W, 3-1
35%
65%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1490 | 1559 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | +17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1493 | 1600 |
L, 8-4
37%
63%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1491 | 1557 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -19 | -16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1472 | 1565 |
L, 7-1
35%
65%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1493 | 1555 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +24 | +48 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +20 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1517 | 1623 |
L, 6-2
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1496 | 1521 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -9 | -45 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1487 | 1500 |
W, 4-3
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1494 | 1523 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | -13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1499 | 1534 |
L, 4-1
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1496 | 1521 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +22 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1496 | 1540 |
W, 3-2
38%
62%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1494 | 1552 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -23 | +32 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1495 | 1584 |
W, 11-2
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1490 | 1556 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +23 | -13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1537 | 1543 |
W, 7-3
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1487 | 1559 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -8 | -13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1503 | 1545 |
W, 9-3
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1484 | 1526 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1514 | 1518 |
W, 8-6
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1482 | 1528 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | -2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1511 | 1526 |
L, 8-4
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1484 | 1526 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -21 | +22 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | +2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1489 | 1550 |
W, 6-5
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1483 | 1527 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +23 | +23 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1530 | 1547 |
NL West standings
| Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | DodgersDodgers104-58 | — | ✓ | ✓ | ||
 | DbacksDiamondbacks93-69 | 11.0 | ✓ | — | ||
 | RockiesRockies87-75 | 17.0 | ✓ | — | ||
 | PadresPadres71-91 | 33.0 | — | — | ||
 | GiantsGiants64-98 | 40.0 | — | — |
This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest. It updates after each game. Methodology »
For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB »
Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
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