Updated Nov. 2, 2017 at 12:02 AM

2017 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Diamondbacks are done for the season.twitter bird

Team rating

Starting pitchers

Pitcher score Adjustment to team ratingAdj. to
team rating
Zack Greinke
Zack Greinke54.1+14
Robbie Ray
Robbie Ray53.7+12
Zack Godley
Zack Godley51.9+3
Taijuan Walker
Taijuan Walker49.2-9
Braden Shipley
Braden Shipley43.8-35

Completed games

L, 3-1

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15371569
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15781582

L, 8-5

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15401566
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13+20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15531610

L, 9-5

33%

67%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15421564
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6+37
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+30
Adjusted team rating15361631

W, 11-8

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15391509
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+19+23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26+2
Adjusted team rating15841534

W, 14-2

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15351482
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15481512

L, 4-3

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15361480
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15271517

L, 2-1

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15381479
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+22-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+24
Adjusted team rating15591494

vs. Giants

W, 4-3

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15371464
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-37+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15241478

W, 11-4

66%

34%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15351466
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15731457

L, 9-2

64%

36%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15401461
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15701468

W, 3-2

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15391483
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15451494

L, 12-6

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15431479
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15601483

W, 13-11

66%

34%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15421480
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+28+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15941479

W, 13-7

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15391459
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17+31
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15561514

L, 6-2

65%

35%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15431455
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6-36
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15491443

L, 4-2

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15451453
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-21-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+21
Adjusted team rating15221471

L, 7-2

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15481453
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15381480

W, 2-0

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15471454
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20+30
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15671508

W, 3-2

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15461456
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+26
Adjusted team rating15571496

W, 7-0

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15431509
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15681513

W, 8-2

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15401512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-22+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15421520

L, 4-2

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15421510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15601526

L, 5-4

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15441508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15881501

vs. Padres

W, 3-2

67%

33%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15431463
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15811459

L, 8-7

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15451461
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15691480

L, 10-6

65%

35%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15481458
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15591452

W, 3-1

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15461581
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15391596

W, 3-1

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15441583
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+19-18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15631589

W, 13-0

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15371590
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+23
Adjusted team rating15421624

W, 5-1

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15351497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15331533

W, 6-2

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15321500
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15191538

W, 9-5

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15291502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+26
Adjusted team rating15181525

W, 8-1

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15251603
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+21-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15701600

W, 6-4

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15231605
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15551591

W, 7-6

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15221606
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+260
Adjusted team rating15501618

vs. Giants

W, 11-0

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15181472
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15261477

W, 2-1

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15171473
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8+40
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15331513

W, 4-3

64%

36%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15161474
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+23-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+20-1
Adjusted team rating15591462

at Mets

W, 3-2

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15141484
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15221495

L, 4-2

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15161482
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15211492

W, 7-4

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15141485
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-19-18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14951491

W, 3-2

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15131486
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8-20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating15021490

L, 12-5

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15171488
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-20-21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14971491

L, 5-0

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15201485
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+27-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15471508

L, 10-3

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15231481
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6+29
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating15261534

W, 4-0

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15201565
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-29-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14911582

L, 9-5

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15221563
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+21
Adjusted team rating15121585

vs. Astros

L, 9-4

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15241560
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-150
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15331560

W, 2-0

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15231562
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+23+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15701568

vs. Cubs

L, 7-2

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15261538
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15551551

W, 6-2

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15231541
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-36+15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15111556

L, 8-3

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15261538
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-1
Adjusted team rating15481529

L, 8-6

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15271606
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15+15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15361621

L, 3-2

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15281605
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+24+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15761608

W, 6-3

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15261608
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+23-2
Adjusted team rating15561594

L, 6-3

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15281469
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-36+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14921504

L, 5-4

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15301468
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15281482

W, 2-1

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15281469
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-19+43
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-4+24
Adjusted team rating15051536

at Cubs

W, 10-8

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15261548
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+27+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15531588

W, 3-0

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15231551
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15251585

L, 16-4

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15271547
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-28+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+25
Adjusted team rating14991586

L, 3-2

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15281512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15241546

W, 7-1

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15251515
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+23-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15481531

L, 1-0

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15261513
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15321532

W, 4-0

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15241516
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating15181523

vs. Braves

W, 10-3

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15211484
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-27-31
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15181453

L, 8-3

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15241481
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15431490

W, 10-2

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15211484
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+22+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15671491

L, 6-2

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15241555
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15581567

L, 4-3

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15251553
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-20-28
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15291525

W, 6-5

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15241555
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3+53
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+200
Adjusted team rating15411608

at Reds

W, 12-2

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15191454
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-30+27
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14891505

L, 4-3

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15211453
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+27+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15481486

W, 11-2

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15171456
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15281491

L, 7-1

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15201478
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15201499

L, 8-5

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15221476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-33+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14891510

L, 4-3

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15241475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+5+30
Adjusted team rating15231516

vs. Reds

L, 2-1

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15251465
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-36+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15131478

L, 7-0

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15301461
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15511473

W, 6-3

64%

36%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15291462
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+22+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-3
Adjusted team rating15731471

L, 5-4

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15301589
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15391616

L, 1-0

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15311588
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15291624

L, 4-3

29%

71%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15311587
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-35+44
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+25
Adjusted team rating14961656

W, 4-3

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15301511
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15501509

W, 6-2

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15281513
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+21+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15731518

L, 6-3

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15311511
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-1
Adjusted team rating15681523

L, 10-4

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15341497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-37-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15211495

L, 4-3

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15361495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15561481

W, 6-5

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15351496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+36
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15591529

W, 6-1

70%

30%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15331430
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+21+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15781431

W, 2-1

66%

34%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15331431
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15471430

W, 9-2

69%

31%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15311433
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+16-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15711430

L, 6-1

64%

36%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15351429
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-39-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-4
Adjusted team rating15171419

W, 10-3

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15311528
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15231548

W, 16-5

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15261533
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15271556

L, 4-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15271531
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+22-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+26
Adjusted team rating15471549

W, 5-4

63%

37%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15261431
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+23+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15491456

W, 5-1

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15241433
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15141464

W, 5-4

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15231434
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-40+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14831466

W, 2-1

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15211501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1-26
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15201499

W, 7-6

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15201502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+24-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+23
Adjusted team rating15421511

W, 11-1

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15171496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15611508

W, 3-2

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15151498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12+29
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15271527

L, 8-6

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15171496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-4
Adjusted team rating15371490

vs. Padres

W, 15-3

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15131434
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-40+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14971436

W, 7-4

67%

33%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121436
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+28+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15641442

W, 10-2

64%

36%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15101438
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+220
Adjusted team rating15491452

L, 6-5

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15111489
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-26+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14851514

L, 3-0

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15131487
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15061504

L, 7-5

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15151485
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-36-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14791506

W, 3-2

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15141487
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+25-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating15361500

W, 6-5

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121490
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14981502

W, 3-0

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15101493
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15191536

L, 4-3

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15111492
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14961502

L, 9-5

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15141493
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-28-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14861507

L, 6-1

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15171490
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+28-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15451513

W, 4-2

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15151492
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18+38
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14971554

W, 4-0

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-4+24
Adjusted team rating15111520

W, 8-6

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15101485
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12+31
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15221516

W, 5-4

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15091486
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-25-37
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15081449

W, 5-1

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15071488
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+26+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-3
Adjusted team rating15551492

L, 5-1

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15101428
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14951446

W, 9-1

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15071431
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15061462

W, 10-1

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041434
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15061442

vs. Mets

W, 5-4

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15021504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-22-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15041493

W, 5-4

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15011505
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+28-23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15531482

W, 7-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-19-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-4
Adjusted team rating15041503

L, 6-4

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15011487
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15301507

L, 4-3

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15021485
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-25
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15291460

W, 11-4

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991488
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-23-25
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15001463

W, 2-1

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981489
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+22+15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15441502

vs. Tigers

W, 7-1

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951507
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-26-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14931491

L, 7-3

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971505
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9+38
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+23-1
Adjusted team rating15291542

L, 5-2

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991493
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15031516

L, 9-1

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031489
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14871522

W, 6-3

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15011491
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+19-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-4+21
Adjusted team rating15161499

L, 4-2

32%

68%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15021557
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17+31
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14851612

L, 2-1

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031556
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15081572

W, 6-3

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15001559
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+26
Adjusted team rating15031586

W, 2-0

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981491
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-20-21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15021470

L, 7-6

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15001489
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+22+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15461503

L, 3-1

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15021487
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15301470

vs. Padres

W, 6-2

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15001445
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15261447

L, 8-5

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031442
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-26-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15011440

W, 9-3

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15001445
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-21-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15031438

W, 7-6

63%

37%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991446
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+21+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15441453

L, 6-2

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15021545
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15201536

W, 11-5

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991549
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15321535

W, 13-5

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14941553
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+220
Adjusted team rating15191542

L, 4-1

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971445
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-23-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14741460

L, 1-0

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991444
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+19+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15181474

W, 11-2

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951448
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+20
Adjusted team rating14851462

W, 4-2

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14921556
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15011566

W, 3-1

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14901559
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14931600

L, 8-4

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911557
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-19-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14721565

L, 7-1

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931555
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+24+48
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+20
Adjusted team rating15171623

L, 6-2

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961521
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9-45
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14871500

W, 4-3

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14941523
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14991534

L, 4-1

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961521
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+22
Adjusted team rating14961540

W, 3-2

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14941552
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-23+32
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14951584

W, 11-2

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14901556
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+23-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15371543

W, 7-3

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14871559
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-1
Adjusted team rating15031545

vs. Giants

W, 9-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14841526
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15141518

W, 8-6

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14821528
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15111526

L, 8-4

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14841526
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-21+22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26+2
Adjusted team rating14891550

W, 6-5

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14831527
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+23+23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15301547

NL West standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
DodgersDodgers104-58
DbacksDiamondbacks93-6911.0
RockiesRockies87-7517.0
PadresPadres71-9133.0
GiantsGiants64-9840.0

This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest. It updates after each game. Methodology »

For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB »

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