Updated Sep. 24, 2017 at 12:05 AM

2017 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Diamondbacks have a >99% chance of making the playoffs.twitter bird

Their team rating is 1539, down 9 points from last week.

NL West standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
DodgersDodgers98-57
DbacksDiamondbacks89-669.0>99%
RockiesRockies83-7215.051%
GiantsGiants61-9437.0
PadresPadres70-8528.0

Upcoming games

Corbin vs. Straily

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15391483
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15451494

vs. Giants

Godley vs. Cueto

64%

36%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15391462
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15691468

Ray vs. Moore

67%

33%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15391462
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15751453

Greinke vs. Samardzija

65%

35%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15391462
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15831474

Walker vs. Duffy

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15391485
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11+29
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+24
Adjusted team rating15271538

Corbin vs. Kennedy

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15391485
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15211502

Godley vs. Junis

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15391485
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15451526

Team rating

Starting pitchers

Pitcher score Adjustment to team ratingAdj. to
team rating
Zack Greinke
Zack Greinke56.6+20
Robbie Ray
Robbie Ray54.9+13
Zack Godley
Zack Godley53.5+6
Taijuan Walker
Taijuan Walker49.8-11
Patrick Corbin
Patrick Corbin48.4-18

Completed games

L, 12-6

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15431479
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15601483

W, 13-11

66%

34%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15421480
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+28+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15941479

W, 13-7

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15391459
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17+31
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15561514

L, 6-2

65%

35%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15431455
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6-36
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15491443

L, 4-2

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15451453
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-21-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+21
Adjusted team rating15221471

L, 7-2

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15481453
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15381480

W, 2-0

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15471454
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20+30
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15671508

W, 3-2

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15461456
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+26
Adjusted team rating15571496

W, 7-0

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15431509
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15681513

W, 8-2

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15401512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-22+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15421520

L, 4-2

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15421510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15601526

L, 5-4

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15441508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15881501

vs. Padres

W, 3-2

67%

33%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15431463
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15811459

L, 8-7

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15451461
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15691480

L, 10-6

65%

35%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15481458
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15591452

W, 3-1

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15461581
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15391596

W, 3-1

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15441583
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+19-18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15631589

W, 13-0

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15371590
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+23
Adjusted team rating15421624

W, 5-1

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15351497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15331533

W, 6-2

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15321500
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15191538

W, 9-5

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15291502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+26
Adjusted team rating15181525

W, 8-1

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15251603
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+21-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15701600

W, 6-4

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15231605
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15551591

W, 7-6

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15221606
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+260
Adjusted team rating15501618

vs. Giants

W, 11-0

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15181472
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15261477

W, 2-1

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15171473
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8+40
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15331513

W, 4-3

64%

36%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15161474
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+23-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+20-1
Adjusted team rating15591462

at Mets

W, 3-2

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15141484
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15221495

L, 4-2

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15161482
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15211492

W, 7-4

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15141485
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-19-18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14951491

W, 3-2

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15131486
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8-20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating15021490

L, 12-5

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15171488
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-20-21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14971491

L, 5-0

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15201485
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+27-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15471508

L, 10-3

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15231481
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6+29
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating15261534

W, 4-0

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15201565
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-29-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14911582

L, 9-5

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15221563
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+21
Adjusted team rating15121585

vs. Astros

L, 9-4

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15241560
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-150
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15331560

W, 2-0

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15231562
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+23+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15701568

vs. Cubs

L, 7-2

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15261538
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15551551

W, 6-2

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15231541
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-36+15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15111556

L, 8-3

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15261538
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-1
Adjusted team rating15481529

L, 8-6

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15271606
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15+15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15361621

L, 3-2

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15281605
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+24+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15761608

W, 6-3

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15261608
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+23-2
Adjusted team rating15561594

L, 6-3

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15281469
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-36+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14921504

L, 5-4

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15301468
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15281482

W, 2-1

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15281469
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-19+43
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-4+24
Adjusted team rating15051536

at Cubs

W, 10-8

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15261548
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+27+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15531588

W, 3-0

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15231551
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15251585

L, 16-4

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15271547
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-28+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+25
Adjusted team rating14991586

L, 3-2

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15281512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15241546

W, 7-1

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15251515
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+23-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15481531

L, 1-0

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15261513
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15321532

W, 4-0

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15241516
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating15181523

vs. Braves

W, 10-3

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15211484
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-27-31
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15181453

L, 8-3

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15241481
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15431490

W, 10-2

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15211484
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+22+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15671491

L, 6-2

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15241555
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15581567

L, 4-3

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15251553
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-20-28
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15291525

W, 6-5

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15241555
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3+53
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+200
Adjusted team rating15411608

at Reds

W, 12-2

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15191454
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-30+27
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14891505

L, 4-3

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15211453
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+27+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15481486

W, 11-2

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15171456
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15281491

L, 7-1

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15201478
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15201499

L, 8-5

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15221476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-33+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14891510

L, 4-3

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15241475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+5+30
Adjusted team rating15231516

vs. Reds

L, 2-1

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15251465
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-36+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15131478

L, 7-0

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15301461
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15511473

W, 6-3

64%

36%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15291462
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+22+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-3
Adjusted team rating15731471

L, 5-4

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15301589
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15391616

L, 1-0

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15311588
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15291624

L, 4-3

29%

71%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15311587
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-35+44
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+25
Adjusted team rating14961656

W, 4-3

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15301511
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15501509

W, 6-2

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15281513
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+21+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15731518

L, 6-3

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15311511
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-1
Adjusted team rating15681523

L, 10-4

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15341497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-37-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15211495

L, 4-3

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15361495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15561481

W, 6-5

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15351496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+36
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15591529

W, 6-1

70%

30%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15331430
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+21+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15781431

W, 2-1

66%

34%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15331431
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15471430

W, 9-2

69%

31%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15311433
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+16-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15711430

L, 6-1

64%

36%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15351429
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-39-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-4
Adjusted team rating15171419

W, 10-3

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15311528
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15231548

W, 16-5

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15261533
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15271556

L, 4-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15271531
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+22-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+26
Adjusted team rating15471549

W, 5-4

63%

37%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15261431
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+23+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15491456

W, 5-1

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15241433
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15141464

W, 5-4

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15231434
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-40+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14831466

W, 2-1

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15211501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1-26
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15201499

W, 7-6

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15201502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+24-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+23
Adjusted team rating15421511

W, 11-1

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15171496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15611508

W, 3-2

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15151498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12+29
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15271527

L, 8-6

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15171496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-4
Adjusted team rating15371490

vs. Padres

W, 15-3

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15131434
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-40+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14971436

W, 7-4

67%

33%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121436
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+28+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15641442

W, 10-2

64%

36%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15101438
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+220
Adjusted team rating15491452

L, 6-5

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15111489
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-26+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14851514

L, 3-0

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15131487
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15061504

L, 7-5

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15151485
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-36-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14791506

W, 3-2

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15141487
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+25-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating15361500

W, 6-5

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121490
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14981502

W, 3-0

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15101493
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15191536

L, 4-3

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15111492
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14961502

L, 9-5

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15141493
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-28-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14861507

L, 6-1

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15171490
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+28-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15451513

W, 4-2

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15151492
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18+38
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14971554

W, 4-0

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-4+24
Adjusted team rating15111520

W, 8-6

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15101485
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12+31
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15221516

W, 5-4

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15091486
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-25-37
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15081449

W, 5-1

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15071488
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+26+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-3
Adjusted team rating15551492

L, 5-1

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15101428
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14951446

W, 9-1

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15071431
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15061462

W, 10-1

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041434
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15061442

vs. Mets

W, 5-4

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15021504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-22-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15041493

W, 5-4

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15011505
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+28-23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15531482

W, 7-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-19-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-4
Adjusted team rating15041503

L, 6-4

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15011487
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15301507

L, 4-3

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15021485
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-25
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15291460

W, 11-4

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991488
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-23-25
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15001463

W, 2-1

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981489
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+22+15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15441502

vs. Tigers

W, 7-1

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951507
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-26-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14931491

L, 7-3

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971505
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9+38
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+23-1
Adjusted team rating15291542

L, 5-2

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991493
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15031516

L, 9-1

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031489
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14871522

W, 6-3

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15011491
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+19-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-4+21
Adjusted team rating15161499

L, 4-2

32%

68%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15021557
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17+31
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14851612

L, 2-1

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031556
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15081572

W, 6-3

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15001559
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+26
Adjusted team rating15031586

W, 2-0

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981491
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-20-21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15021470

L, 7-6

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15001489
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+22+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15461503

L, 3-1

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15021487
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15301470

vs. Padres

W, 6-2

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15001445
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15261447

L, 8-5

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031442
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-26-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15011440

W, 9-3

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15001445
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-21-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15031438

W, 7-6

63%

37%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991446
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+21+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15441453

L, 6-2

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15021545
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15201536

W, 11-5

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991549
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15321535

W, 13-5

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14941553
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+220
Adjusted team rating15191542

L, 4-1

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971445
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-23-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14741460

L, 1-0

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991444
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+19+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15181474

W, 11-2

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951448
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+20
Adjusted team rating14851462

W, 4-2

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14921556
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15011566

W, 3-1

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14901559
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14931600

L, 8-4

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911557
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-19-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14721565

L, 7-1

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931555
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+24+48
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+20
Adjusted team rating15171623

L, 6-2

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961521
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9-45
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14871500

W, 4-3

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14941523
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14991534

L, 4-1

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961521
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+22
Adjusted team rating14961540

W, 3-2

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14941552
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-23+32
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14951584

W, 11-2

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14901556
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+23-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15371543

W, 7-3

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14871559
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-1
Adjusted team rating15031545

vs. Giants

W, 9-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14841526
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15141518

W, 8-6

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14821528
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15111526

L, 8-4

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14841526
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-21+22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26+2
Adjusted team rating14891550

W, 6-5

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14831527
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+23+23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15301547

This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest. It updates after each game. Methodology »

For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB »

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