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The Dodgers are done for the season.
Team rating
Starting pitchers
| Pitcher score | Adjustment to team ratingAdj. to team rating | ||
|---|---|---|---|
 | Clayton Kershaw | 58.4 | +30 |
 | Rich Hill | 55.8 | +18 |
 | Alex Wood | 53.1 | +5 |
 | Yu Darvish | 52.7 | +3 |
Completed games
L, 5-1
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1587 | 1570 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | -4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1620 | 1566 |
W, 3-1
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1584 | 1573 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +17 | +43 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +23 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1624 | 1615 |
L, 13-12
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1586 | 1571 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +34 | +14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1620 | 1609 |
W, 6-2
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1582 | 1575 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1583 | 1598 |
L, 5-3
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1585 | 1572 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +14 | -2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +23 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1598 | 1593 |
L, 7-6
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1587 | 1570 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +16 | +46 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1627 | 1616 |
W, 3-1
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1585 | 1572 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +30 | +17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +29 | +2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1644 | 1591 |
W, 11-1
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1579 | 1552 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +30 | +17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1609 | 1593 |
L, 3-2
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1581 | 1550 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1583 | 1579 |
W, 6-1
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1576 | 1555 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +15 | +18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +22 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1589 | 1595 |
W, 4-1
62%
38%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1574 | 1557 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +17 | -6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1615 | 1551 |
W, 5-2
61%
39%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1571 | 1560 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +32 | +17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +31 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1634 | 1575 |
W, 3-1
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1569 | 1537 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +13 | +17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1582 | 1578 |
W, 8-5
61%
39%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1566 | 1540 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +20 | +13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1610 | 1553 |
W, 9-5
67%
33%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1564 | 1542 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +37 | -6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +30 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1631 | 1536 |
W, 6-3
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1562 | 1511 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -15 | +15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1547 | 1550 |
W, 5-3
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1561 | 1512 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +41 | -6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1602 | 1530 |
L, 9-1
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1565 | 1508 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -16 | -7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1548 | 1527 |
W, 10-0
70%
30%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1562 | 1453 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +14 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1600 | 1457 |
W, 9-2
65%
35%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1560 | 1456 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | +26 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1589 | 1482 |
W, 9-3
72%
28%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1559 | 1457 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | -32 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1590 | 1424 |
W, 3-1
71%
29%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1558 | 1462 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +41 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1623 | 1465 |
L, 2-1
62%
38%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1560 | 1460 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -13 | +29 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1571 | 1489 |
W, 4-2
66%
34%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1559 | 1461 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +13 | +15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +20 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1592 | 1476 |
W, 5-4
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1558 | 1465 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | -13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1547 | 1476 |
L, 7-5
63%
37%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1560 | 1462 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | -16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1564 | 1470 |
L, 6-2
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1563 | 1459 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | +30 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1569 | 1513 |
L, 4-3
70%
30%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1565 | 1457 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +45 | -19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1608 | 1462 |
L, 7-1
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1568 | 1553 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -15 | +32 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1553 | 1609 |
W, 3-2
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1567 | 1555 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +13 | -29 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1580 | 1550 |
W, 7-0
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1563 | 1558 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | -52 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1562 | 1530 |
W, 4-1
63%
37%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1562 | 1457 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | -9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1566 | 1472 |
W, 5-3
66%
34%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1561 | 1458 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +51 | +13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1612 | 1495 |
L, 8-6
61%
39%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1563 | 1456 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -4 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +20 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1557 | 1480 |
L, 8-1
65%
35%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1568 | 1503 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +15 | -4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1607 | 1499 |
L, 6-5
63%
37%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1570 | 1501 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1600 | 1506 |
L, 5-4
63%
37%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1572 | 1499 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | +12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1601 | 1511 |
L, 9-1
71%
29%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1579 | 1493 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +54 | +14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1657 | 1504 |
L, 3-1
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1581 | 1546 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -9 | -7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1596 | 1539 |
L, 3-1
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1583 | 1544 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -18 | +19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1589 | 1563 |
L, 13-0
62%
38%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1590 | 1537 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +11 | +8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +23 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1624 | 1542 |
L, 6-4
64%
36%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1593 | 1458 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | +17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1602 | 1499 |
L, 7-2
68%
32%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1597 | 1453 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +11 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1608 | 1474 |
L, 6-5
62%
38%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1599 | 1451 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -47 | -9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1552 | 1466 |
W, 1-0
70%
30%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1599 | 1452 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +52 | +23 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1649 | 1501 |
L, 8-1
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1603 | 1525 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -3 | +21 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1600 | 1570 |
L, 6-4
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1605 | 1523 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -14 | +8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1591 | 1555 |
L, 7-6
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1606 | 1522 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +12 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1618 | 1550 |
L, 3-2
69%
31%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1608 | 1498 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +10 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1642 | 1503 |
L, 3-0
65%
35%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1612 | 1495 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -24 | +7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1612 | 1502 |
W, 3-1
64%
36%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1610 | 1496 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -9 | +24 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +20 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1621 | 1520 |
W, 5-2
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1609 | 1488 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -18 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1591 | 1518 |
L, 1-0
65%
35%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1611 | 1486 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1617 | 1512 |
W, 8-5
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1609 | 1488 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -41 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1568 | 1517 |
W, 6-5
62%
38%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1608 | 1489 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | +11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1612 | 1524 |
L, 6-1
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1612 | 1479 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -10 | +34 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1602 | 1537 |
W, 3-0
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1610 | 1480 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -20 | +27 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1590 | 1531 |
W, 8-5
67%
33%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1609 | 1482 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | -15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +23 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1614 | 1490 |
W, 5-4
72%
28%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1608 | 1452 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +15 | +30 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1647 | 1482 |
W, 6-1
73%
27%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1607 | 1453 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | +15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1637 | 1466 |
W, 6-4
74%
26%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1606 | 1445 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -10 | -2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1620 | 1443 |
W, 6-3
69%
31%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1605 | 1446 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -20 | +20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1609 | 1466 |
L, 4-3
77%
23%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1608 | 1444 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | -15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | -4 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1635 | 1425 |
W, 8-6
62%
38%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1606 | 1527 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +15 | -15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1621 | 1536 |
W, 3-2
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1605 | 1528 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | +24 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1608 | 1576 |
L, 6-3
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1608 | 1526 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -12 | +7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +23 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1594 | 1556 |
W, 8-0
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1604 | 1491 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -27 | +8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1577 | 1523 |
W, 7-4
63%
37%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1603 | 1493 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +10 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1613 | 1518 |
W, 6-0
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1600 | 1495 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +12 | +41 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +20 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1609 | 1556 |
W, 7-4
64%
36%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1599 | 1474 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1605 | 1501 |
L, 5-3
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1601 | 1472 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -40 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1561 | 1497 |
W, 3-2
62%
38%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1600 | 1473 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -16 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +21 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1582 | 1497 |
W, 3-2
62%
38%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1599 | 1467 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -30 | +40 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1593 | 1507 |
W, 2-1
73%
27%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1598 | 1468 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +12 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1634 | 1465 |
W, 6-4
73%
27%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1598 | 1469 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | -12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1633 | 1457 |
W, 6-5
62%
38%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1597 | 1471 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -35 | +29 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1586 | 1500 |
W, 6-2
67%
33%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1595 | 1473 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -16 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1603 | 1478 |
W, 6-4
70%
30%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1594 | 1474 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -32 | -28 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -4 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1586 | 1442 |
W, 5-4
75%
25%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1594 | 1484 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +49 | -5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1667 | 1479 |
W, 6-2
68%
32%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1592 | 1486 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +10 | +9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1626 | 1495 |
L, 12-3
72%
28%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1599 | 1479 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +17 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1640 | 1481 |
L, 6-3
67%
33%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1602 | 1475 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -16 | +8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +20 | -4 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1606 | 1479 |
W, 9-1
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1600 | 1465 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -21 | +24 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1579 | 1513 |
W, 1-0
70%
30%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1599 | 1465 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +45 | +8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1643 | 1499 |
W, 3-2
62%
38%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1598 | 1494 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1604 | 1522 |
W, 7-1
62%
38%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1596 | 1496 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +15 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1611 | 1524 |
W, 6-4
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1594 | 1498 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -13 | +33 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +5 | +29 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1586 | 1560 |
W, 5-2
70%
30%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1593 | 1499 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +45 | +18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1662 | 1517 |
W, 5-4
63%
37%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1592 | 1500 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | +10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1605 | 1510 |
W, 4-1
64%
36%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1590 | 1502 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -20 | -6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1594 | 1495 |
W, 5-4
61%
39%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1589 | 1530 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | +9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1616 | 1539 |
W, 1-0
63%
37%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1588 | 1531 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +12 | -2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1624 | 1529 |
W, 4-3
71%
29%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1587 | 1531 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +44 | -35 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +25 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1656 | 1496 |
L, 5-3
65%
35%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1590 | 1437 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | +12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1579 | 1473 |
W, 8-0
69%
31%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1588 | 1440 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | -17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1588 | 1447 |
W, 10-4
68%
32%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1586 | 1441 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +11 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1596 | 1464 |
W, 6-2
63%
37%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1584 | 1516 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +42 | -5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1626 | 1535 |
L, 3-2
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1586 | 1514 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -32 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +23 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1553 | 1538 |
W, 4-0
63%
37%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1584 | 1516 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -13 | -15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1595 | 1501 |
L, 4-0
66%
34%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1588 | 1512 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | -10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -4 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1613 | 1498 |
W, 12-6
61%
39%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1586 | 1520 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | +10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1608 | 1530 |
W, 4-0
66%
34%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1584 | 1522 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +41 | +8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1649 | 1530 |
W, 6-1
65%
35%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1582 | 1524 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +12 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1618 | 1513 |
W, 6-3
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1580 | 1494 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -30 | +23 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1574 | 1517 |
W, 8-2
66%
34%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1578 | 1496 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | -6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1602 | 1490 |
W, 12-0
66%
34%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1575 | 1499 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -4 | -20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1595 | 1479 |
W, 10-6
70%
30%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1574 | 1501 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +47 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +20 | -4 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1641 | 1494 |
W, 8-7
62%
38%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1573 | 1462 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -16 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1557 | 1475 |
W, 10-2
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1570 | 1465 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -31 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1539 | 1493 |
W, 3-1
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1568 | 1467 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | +17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +22 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1574 | 1506 |
L, 12-5
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1572 | 1534 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | -17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1579 | 1541 |
W, 6-4
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1570 | 1536 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -6 | +31 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1564 | 1591 |
W, 7-5
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1569 | 1537 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +49 | -14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1616 | 1549 |
W, 9-7
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1568 | 1477 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -28 | +17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1564 | 1494 |
W, 5-4
66%
34%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1567 | 1477 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1596 | 1481 |
W, 7-2
70%
30%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1565 | 1479 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | -27 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | -4 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1597 | 1448 |
W, 2-1
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1564 | 1559 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +48 | +22 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1636 | 1581 |
L, 2-1
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1565 | 1558 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -9 | +39 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1580 | 1597 |
L, 4-2
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1567 | 1556 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -27 | -15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +20 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1560 | 1539 |
L, 3-0
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1570 | 1496 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -16 | -7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1554 | 1513 |
W, 10-8
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1569 | 1497 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | -15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1578 | 1506 |
W, 2-1
64%
36%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1568 | 1498 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +46 | -7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +21 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1612 | 1512 |
L, 2-0
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1570 | 1507 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -6 | -10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1564 | 1521 |
L, 2-1
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1571 | 1506 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -31 | +20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1540 | 1550 |
W, 9-4
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1569 | 1508 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -14 | -14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1555 | 1518 |
W, 5-1
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1566 | 1511 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | +7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -4 | +21 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1571 | 1539 |
W, 9-4
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1564 | 1554 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +55 | +29 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1643 | 1583 |
W, 5-0
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1561 | 1556 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -12 | -4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1573 | 1552 |
W, 4-0
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1559 | 1559 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -4 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1587 | 1559 |
W, 7-3
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1557 | 1517 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -12 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1569 | 1509 |
L, 6-1
62%
38%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1561 | 1513 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +14 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1599 | 1517 |
W, 2-1
67%
33%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1560 | 1514 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +51 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1637 | 1512 |
W, 6-3
62%
38%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1558 | 1477 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -14 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1568 | 1481 |
L, 10-6
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1561 | 1474 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -14 | +26 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1571 | 1500 |
W, 7-2
66%
34%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1560 | 1476 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | -9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1585 | 1467 |
W, 7-2
62%
38%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1558 | 1478 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -31 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | -4 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1549 | 1466 |
W, 6-1
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1555 | 1499 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +48 | +19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1603 | 1542 |
L, 2-1
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1557 | 1497 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +16 | -22 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1573 | 1499 |
L, 8-4
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1560 | 1494 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -13 | -34 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1544 | 1484 |
L, 9-6
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1562 | 1496 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1551 | 1523 |
W, 4-0
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1560 | 1499 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -6 | +9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1554 | 1532 |
W, 6-2
61%
39%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1559 | 1500 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +47 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1606 | 1525 |
L, 10-7
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1561 | 1498 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -24 | -30 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1534 | 1492 |
W, 5-2
62%
38%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1559 | 1491 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -17 | -9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1566 | 1482 |
W, 4-3
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1558 | 1492 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -13 | +20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1569 | 1512 |
W, 12-1
63%
37%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1555 | 1495 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -10 | -15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +25 | -4 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1570 | 1476 |
W, 10-2
69%
31%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1553 | 1445 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +49 | -9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1602 | 1460 |
W, 8-2
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1550 | 1448 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -16 | +8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +1 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1535 | 1480 |
L, 4-1
61%
39%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1553 | 1500 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -12 | -10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1565 | 1490 |
W, 13-5
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1550 | 1503 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -8 | -6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1566 | 1497 |
L, 4-3
66%
34%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1552 | 1501 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +54 | +13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1630 | 1512 |
W, 5-3
64%
36%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1551 | 1468 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -26 | -17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1549 | 1451 |
W, 6-5
65%
35%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1550 | 1469 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -9 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1565 | 1458 |
W, 5-3
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1549 | 1471 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -21 | +18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | -4 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1550 | 1485 |
W, 5-1
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1546 | 1510 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -15 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1531 | 1526 |
L, 4-3
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1547 | 1509 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -13 | +16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1534 | 1549 |
W, 2-1
62%
38%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1546 | 1510 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +55 | -21 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1601 | 1513 |
L, 2-1
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1548 | 1508 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -28 | -35 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +21 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1517 | 1494 |
W, 6-2
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1545 | 1502 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -9 | -6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1536 | 1520 |
L, 11-5
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1549 | 1499 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -14 | +9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1535 | 1532 |
L, 13-5
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1553 | 1494 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +22 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1542 | 1519 |
W, 4-2
68%
32%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1552 | 1486 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +54 | +17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1630 | 1503 |
L, 4-3
63%
37%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1554 | 1484 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -18 | -15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1560 | 1469 |
L, 4-2
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1556 | 1492 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -14 | +9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1566 | 1501 |
L, 3-1
65%
35%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1559 | 1490 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +17 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1600 | 1493 |
W, 8-4
63%
37%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1557 | 1491 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -16 | -19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1565 | 1472 |
W, 7-1
65%
35%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1555 | 1493 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +48 | +24 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +20 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1623 | 1517 |
L, 4-0
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1558 | 1574 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -16 | -53 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1542 | 1545 |
W, 2-0
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1555 | 1576 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -18 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +2 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1539 | 1601 |
L, 3-2
38%
62%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1556 | 1575 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -14 | +27 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +23 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1539 | 1625 |
W, 10-6
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1554 | 1486 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -16 | +24 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1538 | 1534 |
L, 4-2
63%
37%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1556 | 1483 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +51 | +9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1607 | 1516 |
L, 2-1
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1558 | 1482 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -18 | -17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +21 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1537 | 1486 |
W, 10-2
65%
35%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1555 | 1451 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -19 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1560 | 1452 |
W, 3-1
70%
30%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1554 | 1452 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +17 | -7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1595 | 1445 |
L, 4-0
67%
33%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1558 | 1448 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -14 | -6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1568 | 1442 |
W, 14-3
72%
28%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1556 | 1450 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +50 | +14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1630 | 1463 |
NL West standings
| Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | DodgersDodgers104-58 | — | ✓ | ✓ | ||
 | DbacksDiamondbacks93-69 | 11.0 | ✓ | — | ||
 | RockiesRockies87-75 | 17.0 | ✓ | — | ||
 | PadresPadres71-91 | 33.0 | — | — | ||
 | GiantsGiants64-98 | 40.0 | — | — |
This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest. It updates after each game. Methodology »
For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB »
Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
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