Updated Nov. 2, 2017 at 12:02 AM

2017 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Dodgers are done for the season.twitter bird

Team rating

Starting pitchers

Pitcher score Adjustment to team ratingAdj. to
team rating
Clayton Kershaw
Clayton Kershaw58.4+30
Rich Hill
Rich Hill55.8+18
Alex Wood
Alex Wood53.1+5
Yu Darvish
Yu Darvish52.7+3

Completed games

vs. Astros

L, 5-1

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15871570
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16201566

W, 3-1

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15841573
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17+43
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+23-1
Adjusted team rating16241615

L, 13-12

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15861571
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+34+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating16201609

W, 6-2

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15821575
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15831598

L, 5-3

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15851572
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+23
Adjusted team rating15981593

vs. Astros

L, 7-6

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15871570
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+16+46
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16271616

W, 3-1

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15851572
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+30+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+29+2
Adjusted team rating16441591

at Cubs

W, 11-1

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15791552
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+30+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating16091593

L, 3-2

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15811550
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15831579

W, 6-1

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15761555
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+15+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+22
Adjusted team rating15891595

vs. Cubs

W, 4-1

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15741557
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16151551

W, 5-2

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15711560
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+32+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+31-2
Adjusted team rating16341575

W, 3-1

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15691537
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15821578

W, 8-5

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15661540
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16101553

W, 9-5

67%

33%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15641542
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+37-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+300
Adjusted team rating16311536

W, 6-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15621511
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15+15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15471550

W, 5-3

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15611512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+41-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating16021530

L, 9-1

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15651508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+26
Adjusted team rating15481527

vs. Padres

W, 10-0

70%

30%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15621453
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16001457

W, 9-2

65%

35%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15601456
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+26
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15891482

W, 9-3

72%

28%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15591457
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7-32
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-1
Adjusted team rating15901424

vs. Giants

W, 3-1

71%

29%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15581462
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+41+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16231465

L, 2-1

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15601460
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13+29
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15711489

W, 4-2

66%

34%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15591461
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13+15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+200
Adjusted team rating15921476

W, 5-4

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15581465
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15471476

L, 7-5

63%

37%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15601462
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15641470

L, 6-2

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15631459
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6+30
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15691513

L, 4-3

70%

30%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15651457
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+45-19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating16081462

L, 7-1

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15681553
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15+32
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15531609

W, 3-2

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15671555
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13-29
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15801550

W, 7-0

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15631558
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-52
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating15621530

W, 4-1

63%

37%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15621457
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15661472

W, 5-3

66%

34%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15611458
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+51+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating16121495

L, 8-6

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15631456
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+20
Adjusted team rating15571480

L, 8-1

65%

35%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15681503
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+15-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16071499

L, 6-5

63%

37%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15701501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16001506

L, 5-4

63%

37%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15721499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16011511

L, 9-1

71%

29%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15791493
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+54+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating16571504

L, 3-1

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15811546
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15961539

L, 3-1

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15831544
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15891563

L, 13-0

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15901537
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+23-3
Adjusted team rating16241542

L, 6-4

64%

36%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15931458
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating16021499

L, 7-2

68%

32%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15971453
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating16081474

L, 6-5

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15991451
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-47-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15521466

W, 1-0

70%

30%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15991452
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+52+23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+26
Adjusted team rating16491501

L, 8-1

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating16031525
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3+21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating16001570

L, 6-4

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating16051523
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15911555

L, 7-6

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating16061522
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+26
Adjusted team rating16181550

L, 3-2

69%

31%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating16081498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16421503

L, 3-0

65%

35%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating16121495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-24+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16121502

W, 3-1

64%

36%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating16101496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9+24
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+200
Adjusted team rating16211520

W, 5-2

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating16091488
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15911518

L, 1-0

65%

35%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating16111486
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating16171512

W, 8-5

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating16091488
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-41+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15681517

W, 6-5

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating16081489
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating16121524

L, 6-1

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating16121479
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10+34
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating16021537

W, 3-0

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating16101480
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-20+27
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15901531

W, 8-5

67%

33%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating16091482
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+23
Adjusted team rating16141490

W, 5-4

72%

28%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating16081452
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+15+30
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16471482

W, 6-1

73%

27%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating16071453
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-2
Adjusted team rating16371466

vs. Padres

W, 6-4

74%

26%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating16061445
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16201443

W, 6-3

69%

31%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating16051446
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-20+20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16091466

L, 4-3

77%

23%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating16081444
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-4
Adjusted team rating16351425

W, 8-6

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating16061527
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+15-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating16211536

W, 3-2

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating16051528
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+24
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating16081576

L, 6-3

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating16081526
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+23
Adjusted team rating15941556

at Mets

W, 8-0

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating16041491
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-27+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15771523

W, 7-4

63%

37%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating16031493
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating16131518

W, 6-0

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating16001495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12+41
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+20
Adjusted team rating16091556

W, 7-4

64%

36%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15991474
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating16051501

L, 5-3

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating16011472
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-40+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15611497

W, 3-2

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating16001473
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+21
Adjusted team rating15821497

vs. Giants

W, 3-2

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15991467
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-30+40
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15931507

W, 2-1

73%

27%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15981468
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16341465

W, 6-4

73%

27%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15981469
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+260
Adjusted team rating16331457

vs. Twins

W, 6-5

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15971471
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-35+29
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15861500

W, 6-2

67%

33%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15951473
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16031478

W, 6-4

70%

30%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15941474
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-32-28
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-4
Adjusted team rating15861442

vs. Braves

W, 5-4

75%

25%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15941484
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+49-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16671479

W, 6-2

68%

32%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15921486
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16261495

L, 12-3

72%

28%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15991479
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16401481

L, 6-3

67%

33%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating16021475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+20-4
Adjusted team rating16061479

W, 9-1

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating16001465
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-21+24
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15791513

W, 1-0

70%

30%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15991465
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+45+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+26
Adjusted team rating16431499

W, 3-2

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15981494
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating16041522

W, 7-1

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15961496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+15+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating16111524

W, 6-4

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15941498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13+33
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+5+29
Adjusted team rating15861560

vs. Royals

W, 5-2

70%

30%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15931499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+45+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16621517

W, 5-4

63%

37%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15921500
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16051510

W, 4-1

64%

36%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15901502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-20-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-1
Adjusted team rating15941495

W, 5-4

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15891530
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16161539

W, 1-0

63%

37%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15881531
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16241529

W, 4-3

71%

29%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15871531
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+44-35
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+250
Adjusted team rating16561496

L, 5-3

65%

35%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15901437
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15791473

W, 8-0

69%

31%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15881440
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15881447

W, 10-4

68%

32%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15861441
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+24
Adjusted team rating15961464

W, 6-2

63%

37%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15841516
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+42-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating16261535

L, 3-2

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15861514
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-32+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+23
Adjusted team rating15531538

vs. Angels

W, 4-0

63%

37%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15841516
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15951501

L, 4-0

66%

34%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15881512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-4
Adjusted team rating16131498

W, 12-6

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15861520
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16081530

W, 4-0

66%

34%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15841522
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+41+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16491530

W, 6-1

65%

35%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15821524
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating16181513

vs. Mets

W, 6-3

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15801494
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-30+23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15741517

W, 8-2

66%

34%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15781496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16021490

W, 12-0

66%

34%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15751499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4-20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15951479

W, 10-6

70%

30%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15741501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+47-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+20-4
Adjusted team rating16411494

at Reds

W, 8-7

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15731462
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15571475

W, 10-2

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15701465
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-31+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15391493

W, 3-1

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15681467
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+22
Adjusted team rating15741506

L, 12-5

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15721534
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15791541

W, 6-4

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15701536
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6+31
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15641591

W, 7-5

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15691537
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+49-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+26
Adjusted team rating16161549

vs. Reds

W, 9-7

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15681477
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-28+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15641494

W, 5-4

66%

34%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15671477
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15961481

W, 7-2

70%

30%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15651479
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6-27
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-4
Adjusted team rating15971448

W, 2-1

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15641559
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+48+22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16361581

L, 2-1

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15651558
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9+39
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15801597

L, 4-2

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15671556
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-27-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+20-2
Adjusted team rating15601539

L, 3-0

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15701496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15541513

W, 10-8

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15691497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15781506

W, 2-1

64%

36%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15681498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+46-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+21
Adjusted team rating16121512

L, 2-0

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15701507
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15641521

L, 2-1

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15711506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-31+20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15401550

W, 9-4

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15691508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15551518

W, 5-1

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15661511
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-4+21
Adjusted team rating15711539

vs. Cubs

W, 9-4

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15641554
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+55+29
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16431583

W, 5-0

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15611556
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15731552

W, 4-0

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15591559
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-4
Adjusted team rating15871559

W, 7-3

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15571517
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15691509

L, 6-1

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15611513
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15991517

W, 2-1

67%

33%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15601514
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+510
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-2
Adjusted team rating16371512

W, 6-3

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15581477
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15681481

L, 10-6

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15611474
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14+26
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15711500

W, 7-2

66%

34%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15601476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15851467

W, 7-2

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15581478
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-31-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-4
Adjusted team rating15491466

W, 6-1

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15551499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+48+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating16031542

L, 2-1

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15571497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+16-22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15731499

L, 8-4

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15601494
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13-34
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating15441484

L, 9-6

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15621496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15511523

W, 4-0

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15601499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15541532

W, 6-2

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15591500
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+47+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating16061525

L, 10-7

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15611498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-24-30
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating15341492

W, 5-2

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15591491
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15661482

W, 4-3

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15581492
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13+20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15691512

W, 12-1

63%

37%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15551495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+25-4
Adjusted team rating15701476

W, 10-2

69%

31%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15531445
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+49-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating16021460

W, 8-2

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15501448
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+1+24
Adjusted team rating15351480

vs. Giants

L, 4-1

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15531500
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15651490

W, 13-5

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15501503
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15661497

L, 4-3

66%

34%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15521501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+54+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating16301512

W, 5-3

64%

36%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15511468
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-26-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15491451

W, 6-5

65%

35%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15501469
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15651458

W, 5-3

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15491471
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-21+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-4
Adjusted team rating15501485

W, 5-1

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15461510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15311526

L, 4-3

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15471509
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15341549

W, 2-1

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15461510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+55-21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating16011513

L, 2-1

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15481508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-28-35
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+21
Adjusted team rating15171494

W, 6-2

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15451502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15361520

L, 11-5

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15491499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15351532

L, 13-5

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15531494
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+22
Adjusted team rating15421519

W, 4-2

68%

32%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15521486
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+54+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16301503

L, 4-3

63%

37%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15541484
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15601469

L, 4-2

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15561492
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15661501

L, 3-1

65%

35%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15591490
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating16001493

W, 8-4

63%

37%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15571491
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16-19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15651472

W, 7-1

65%

35%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15551493
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+48+24
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+200
Adjusted team rating16231517

at Cubs

L, 4-0

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15581574
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16-53
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15421545

W, 2-0

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15551576
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+2+26
Adjusted team rating15391601

L, 3-2

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15561575
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14+27
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+23
Adjusted team rating15391625

W, 10-6

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15541486
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16+24
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15381534

L, 4-2

63%

37%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15561483
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+51+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating16071516

L, 2-1

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15581482
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+21
Adjusted team rating15371486

vs. Padres

W, 10-2

65%

35%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15551451
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-19+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15601452

W, 3-1

70%

30%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15541452
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15951445

L, 4-0

67%

33%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15581448
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15681442

W, 14-3

72%

28%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15561450
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+50+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-1
Adjusted team rating16301463

NL West standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
DodgersDodgers104-58
DbacksDiamondbacks93-6911.0
RockiesRockies87-7517.0
PadresPadres71-9133.0
GiantsGiants64-9840.0

This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest. It updates after each game. Methodology »

For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB »

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