Updated Oct. 19, 2017 at 12:19 AM

2017 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

Chance of making …
Team
Division
Rating
1-week change
Division SeriesMake Div. Series
League champ.Make league champ.
World SeriesMake W.S.
Win World SeriesWin W.S.
NL West1579
+8
92%50%
AL East1578
+12
68%32%
AL West1564
-8
32%15%
NL Central1552
-6
8%4%
AL Central1597
-5
NL East1551
-2
AL East1550
0
NL West1534
0
NL West1506
0
AL Central1510
0
NL Central1511
0
NL Central1515
0
AL East1506
0
AL Central1477
0
AL West1513
0
AL West1497
0
AL West1507
0
NL East1483
0
AL East1497
0
AL East1474
0
AL West1491
0
NL Central1487
0
NL East1467
0
NL West1448
0
NL East1460
0
NL Central1454
0
AL Central1464
0
NL East1471
0
AL Central1443
0
NL West1466
0
Forecast from

NLCS, Game 5

Chance of winning

DodgersDodgers (3) at Cubs Cubs (1)

Kershaw vs. Quintana

LAD

53%

CHC

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15791552
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+30+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating16091593

ALCS, Game 6

Chance of winning

YankeesYankees (3) at Astros Astros (2)

Severino vs. Verlander

NYY

42%

HOU

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15781564
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14+44
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+23
Adjusted team rating15911631

NLCS, Game 6

Chance of winning

CHC

39%

LAD

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15521579
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+22
Adjusted team rating15581617

ALCS, Game 7

Chance of winning

YankeesYankees (3) at Astros Astros (2)

Sabathia vs. —

NYY

46%

HOU

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15781564
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15811604

NLCS, Game 7

Chance of winning

CHC

39%

LAD

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15521579
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15601619

This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest. It updates after each game. Methodology »

For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB »

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