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The Giants are done for the season.
Team rating
Starting pitchers
| Pitcher score | Adjustment to team ratingAdj. to team rating | ||
|---|---|---|---|
 | Madison Bumgarner | 55.5 | +32 |
 | Jeff Samardzija | 52.1 | +16 |
 | Johnny Cueto | 49.9 | +6 |
 | Chris Stratton | 49.5 | +4 |
 | Matt Moore | 45.1 | -17 |
 | Matt Cain | 43.0 | -27 |
Completed games
W, 5-4
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1465 | 1449 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +11 | -2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1500 | 1447 |
L, 3-2
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1466 | 1448 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -32 | +27 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1458 | 1475 |
W, 8-0
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1463 | 1451 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | -7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +23 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1485 | 1444 |
L, 4-3
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1464 | 1537 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +14 | -37 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1478 | 1524 |
L, 11-4
34%
66%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1466 | 1535 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -9 | +14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1457 | 1573 |
W, 9-2
36%
64%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1461 | 1540 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1468 | 1570 |
L, 3-1
29%
71%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1462 | 1558 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | +41 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1465 | 1623 |
W, 2-1
38%
62%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1460 | 1560 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +29 | -13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1489 | 1571 |
L, 4-2
34%
66%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1461 | 1559 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +15 | +13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +20 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1476 | 1592 |
W, 4-0
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1458 | 1509 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -12 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1470 | 1510 |
W, 4-3
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1457 | 1511 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1492 | 1512 |
W, 7-2
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1453 | 1548 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | -10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1480 | 1538 |
L, 2-0
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1454 | 1547 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +30 | +20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1508 | 1567 |
L, 3-2
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1456 | 1546 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +14 | +14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1496 | 1557 |
L, 4-1
37%
63%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1457 | 1562 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -9 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1472 | 1566 |
L, 5-3
34%
66%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1458 | 1561 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +13 | +51 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1495 | 1612 |
W, 8-6
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1456 | 1563 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | -4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +20 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1480 | 1557 |
L, 8-1
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1460 | 1446 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +35 | -10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1495 | 1460 |
L, 13-1
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1465 | 1440 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +17 | -14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1482 | 1450 |
W, 9-2
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1461 | 1444 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -13 | +15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1447 | 1483 |
W, 11-3
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1457 | 1497 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1465 | 1518 |
L, 9-6
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1458 | 1496 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -15 | -6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1443 | 1514 |
L, 4-3
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1460 | 1495 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1463 | 1523 |
L, 7-3
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1462 | 1519 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +39 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1525 | 1525 |
W, 2-1
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1461 | 1521 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +13 | +15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1498 | 1536 |
L, 11-6
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1463 | 1518 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | -10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1495 | 1508 |
L, 5-2
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1465 | 1516 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -34 | -10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | -4 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1453 | 1502 |
L, 5-0
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1468 | 1449 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -14 | -7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1454 | 1466 |
L, 6-3
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1470 | 1447 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -9 | -5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1461 | 1466 |
W, 3-0
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1468 | 1449 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | +17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +20 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1472 | 1486 |
L, 11-0
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1472 | 1518 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | -16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1477 | 1526 |
L, 2-1
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1473 | 1517 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +40 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1513 | 1533 |
L, 4-3
36%
64%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1474 | 1516 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | +23 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +20 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1462 | 1559 |
W, 4-2
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1472 | 1498 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -10 | -23 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1486 | 1475 |
L, 4-3
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1474 | 1496 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | +9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1504 | 1505 |
W, 2-0
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1472 | 1498 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | +7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1498 | 1502 |
L, 5-2
64%
36%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1475 | 1441 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +41 | -5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1540 | 1436 |
L, 12-9
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1478 | 1439 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -5 | +8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1497 | 1447 |
W, 10-2
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1475 | 1442 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -12 | -19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1487 | 1423 |
W, 5-4
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1473 | 1443 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +10 | +35 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +20 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1503 | 1476 |
L, 8-1
37%
63%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1476 | 1500 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -34 | +10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1442 | 1534 |
W, 9-4
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1472 | 1503 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +44 | +20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1516 | 1547 |
L, 8-3
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1475 | 1501 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1471 | 1526 |
L, 6-2
28%
72%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1476 | 1555 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -18 | +45 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1458 | 1624 |
W, 4-2
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1473 | 1558 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -10 | -38 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1463 | 1544 |
L, 3-1
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1475 | 1556 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -13 | -52 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +1 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1463 | 1530 |
W, 3-1
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1473 | 1540 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +43 | +19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1540 | 1559 |
W, 6-3
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1470 | 1543 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | +11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1494 | 1554 |
L, 5-3
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1472 | 1542 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -15 | +14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -4 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1481 | 1552 |
W, 6-3
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1469 | 1528 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +11 | -36 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1504 | 1492 |
W, 5-4
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1468 | 1530 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -10 | -2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1482 | 1528 |
L, 2-1
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1469 | 1528 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +43 | -19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -4 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1536 | 1505 |
W, 11-2
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1465 | 1474 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | +12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1487 | 1486 |
L, 6-1
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1468 | 1471 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -12 | -21 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +23 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1479 | 1449 |
W, 10-4
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1465 | 1475 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +11 | +24 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1476 | 1523 |
L, 8-5
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1466 | 1473 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -33 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1431 | 1503 |
L, 3-2
38%
62%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1467 | 1599 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +40 | -30 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1507 | 1593 |
L, 2-1
27%
73%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1468 | 1598 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -3 | +12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1465 | 1634 |
L, 6-4
27%
73%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1469 | 1598 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -12 | +9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1457 | 1633 |
W, 2-1
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1467 | 1501 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1499 | 1503 |
W, 11-3
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1463 | 1505 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +42 | +22 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1529 | 1527 |
L, 10-3
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1466 | 1501 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -28 | +8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1462 | 1506 |
L, 5-2
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1469 | 1446 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1491 | 1451 |
W, 5-4
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1468 | 1447 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -12 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1480 | 1449 |
L, 12-9
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1470 | 1444 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +12 | +14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1506 | 1458 |
L, 5-2
62%
38%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1473 | 1441 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +44 | +18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1541 | 1456 |
W, 5-4
38%
62%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1471 | 1541 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -32 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1463 | 1547 |
W, 2-1
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1470 | 1543 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -6 | -6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1488 | 1537 |
L, 5-3
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1471 | 1541 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -14 | -27 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1479 | 1513 |
L, 7-1
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1475 | 1444 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +17 | +9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1492 | 1477 |
L, 5-3
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1477 | 1442 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +46 | +17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1523 | 1483 |
W, 5-4
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1476 | 1443 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +12 | -6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +7 | +29 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1495 | 1466 |
L, 10-8
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1478 | 1496 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +17 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1519 | 1502 |
L, 5-4
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1479 | 1494 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +17 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1520 | 1497 |
L, 6-1
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1482 | 1491 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | +30 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +20 | -4 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1491 | 1517 |
L, 6-2
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1484 | 1488 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1473 | 1504 |
W, 5-4
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1483 | 1490 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -12 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1471 | 1506 |
L, 5-3
35%
65%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1484 | 1489 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -37 | +38 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1447 | 1553 |
W, 5-3
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1482 | 1489 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +15 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1497 | 1517 |
W, 2-1
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1480 | 1491 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -12 | -9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1468 | 1506 |
W, 13-5
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1476 | 1496 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +18 | +7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1492 | 1527 |
W, 5-3
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1474 | 1512 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -13 | -9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1485 | 1503 |
W, 4-3
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1472 | 1514 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -38 | -5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1458 | 1509 |
W, 9-2
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1468 | 1518 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +13 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1505 | 1520 |
L, 8-2
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1472 | 1498 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -9 | -27 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1487 | 1471 |
L, 5-2
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1474 | 1496 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +16 | +25 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1514 | 1521 |
L, 11-4
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1478 | 1493 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -6 | +10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +20 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1492 | 1501 |
L, 12-11
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1479 | 1472 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -34 | +10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1445 | 1506 |
L, 5-3
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1480 | 1471 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | +8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1488 | 1503 |
W, 6-3
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1478 | 1473 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -14 | +10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1464 | 1507 |
L, 9-0
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1482 | 1469 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +12 | -6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1491 | 1487 |
L, 7-5
38%
62%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1483 | 1530 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -8 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1475 | 1559 |
L, 5-1
37%
63%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1485 | 1529 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -35 | -12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1450 | 1541 |
L, 10-8
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1486 | 1527 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +14 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1500 | 1550 |
L, 10-9
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1487 | 1526 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -10 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +21 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1474 | 1546 |
L, 7-2
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1491 | 1479 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +17 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1532 | 1471 |
L, 8-1
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1495 | 1475 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -8 | +19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1513 | 1494 |
W, 13-8
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1492 | 1484 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -36 | -7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1480 | 1477 |
L, 3-2
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1493 | 1482 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1526 | 1474 |
L, 4-0
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1496 | 1479 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -13 | +39 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +20 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1503 | 1515 |
W, 9-5
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1493 | 1498 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +16 | -12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1509 | 1510 |
L, 6-3
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1495 | 1496 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -8 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1487 | 1519 |
L, 5-2
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1497 | 1495 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -35 | +7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1462 | 1526 |
W, 7-2
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1493 | 1498 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | +33 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1493 | 1555 |
L, 9-7
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1495 | 1438 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -10 | +10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1485 | 1472 |
L, 5-3
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1498 | 1435 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +16 | -4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1514 | 1455 |
W, 10-0
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1493 | 1440 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -15 | +15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +23 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1476 | 1478 |
L, 3-1
35%
65%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1494 | 1554 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -34 | +35 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1484 | 1589 |
L, 6-3
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1496 | 1552 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | -15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1524 | 1537 |
L, 3-0
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1498 | 1550 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -12 | -6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -4 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1510 | 1540 |
W, 7-1
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1496 | 1470 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +15 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1535 | 1467 |
W, 6-3
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1494 | 1472 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -17 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1501 | 1476 |
L, 2-0
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1496 | 1470 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -36 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +20 | -4 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1480 | 1468 |
L, 5-1
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1498 | 1557 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | -45 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1504 | 1536 |
L, 5-4
34%
66%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1499 | 1556 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -9 | +25 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1490 | 1605 |
L, 4-1
38%
62%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1500 | 1554 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +17 | +23 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1517 | 1601 |
W, 6-4
35%
65%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1498 | 1557 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -19 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1477 | 1582 |
L, 8-3
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1500 | 1512 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -32 | -17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1468 | 1519 |
W, 3-1
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1498 | 1514 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | +14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1496 | 1552 |
W, 6-5
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1496 | 1515 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | -6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1483 | 1535 |
L, 6-1
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1499 | 1555 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +19 | +48 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1542 | 1603 |
W, 2-1
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1497 | 1557 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -22 | +16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1499 | 1573 |
W, 8-4
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1494 | 1560 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -34 | -13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1484 | 1544 |
W, 8-3
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1491 | 1481 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1513 | 1486 |
W, 3-1
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1489 | 1482 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | -4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1502 | 1478 |
W, 3-2
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1488 | 1483 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +19 | +12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1531 | 1495 |
L, 3-2
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1490 | 1482 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -23 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +20 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1487 | 1479 |
W, 6-5
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1488 | 1517 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -34 | -25 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1454 | 1516 |
L, 6-1
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1490 | 1514 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | -5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1491 | 1533 |
L, 4-3
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1491 | 1513 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | +16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1477 | 1553 |
L, 4-0
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1494 | 1480 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +19 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1513 | 1508 |
L, 14-2
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1499 | 1475 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -14 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1485 | 1500 |
L, 13-3
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1503 | 1471 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -29 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1472 | 1495 |
W, 4-1
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1500 | 1553 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -10 | -12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1490 | 1565 |
L, 13-5
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1503 | 1550 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -6 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1497 | 1566 |
W, 4-3
34%
66%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1501 | 1552 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +13 | +54 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1512 | 1630 |
L, 5-2
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1504 | 1447 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -20 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1508 | 1436 |
L, 12-4
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1508 | 1442 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -31 | +8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1501 | 1450 |
W, 4-3
61%
39%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1507 | 1443 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -12 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1519 | 1439 |
L, 5-1
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1510 | 1546 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -8 | -15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1526 | 1531 |
W, 4-3
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1509 | 1547 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +16 | -13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1549 | 1534 |
L, 2-1
38%
62%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1510 | 1546 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -21 | +55 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1513 | 1601 |
W, 2-1
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1508 | 1548 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -35 | -28 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +21 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1494 | 1517 |
L, 8-0
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1512 | 1490 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -9 | -25 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1503 | 1489 |
L, 12-3
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1516 | 1486 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -3 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1513 | 1510 |
L, 6-5
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1518 | 1485 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +21 | +9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +23 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1538 | 1517 |
L, 2-0
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1520 | 1476 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +26 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1546 | 1505 |
W, 2-1
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1518 | 1477 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -42 | -15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1474 | 1488 |
L, 4-3
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1520 | 1482 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | -4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1533 | 1478 |
L, 5-0
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1524 | 1478 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1549 | 1480 |
W, 8-2
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1521 | 1481 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +19 | +22 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1564 | 1503 |
L, 3-1
62%
38%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1524 | 1479 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +27 | +11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1575 | 1487 |
W, 6-2
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1521 | 1496 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -45 | -9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1500 | 1487 |
L, 4-3
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1523 | 1494 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -13 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1534 | 1499 |
W, 4-1
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1521 | 1496 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -3 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1540 | 1496 |
W, 5-3
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1519 | 1452 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +21 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1540 | 1475 |
L, 2-1
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1521 | 1450 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +28 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1549 | 1480 |
L, 7-6
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1523 | 1449 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -40 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +23 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1481 | 1475 |
L, 9-3
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1526 | 1484 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -8 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1518 | 1514 |
L, 8-6
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1528 | 1482 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1526 | 1511 |
W, 8-4
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1526 | 1484 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +22 | -21 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +2 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1550 | 1489 |
L, 6-5
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1527 | 1483 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +23 | +23 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1547 | 1530 |
NL West standings
| Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | DodgersDodgers104-58 | — | ✓ | ✓ | ||
 | DbacksDiamondbacks93-69 | 11.0 | ✓ | — | ||
 | RockiesRockies87-75 | 17.0 | ✓ | — | ||
 | PadresPadres71-91 | 33.0 | — | — | ||
 | GiantsGiants64-98 | 40.0 | — | — |
This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest. It updates after each game. Methodology »
For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB »
Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
Comments