Updated Sep. 24, 2017 at 12:05 AM

2017 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Giants have a 0% chance of making the playoffs.twitter bird

Their team rating is 1462, up 9 points from last week.

NL West standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
DodgersDodgers98-57
DbacksDiamondbacks89-669.0>99%
RockiesRockies83-7215.051%
GiantsGiants61-9437.0
PadresPadres70-8528.0

Upcoming games

Stratton vs. Kershaw

29%

71%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14621558
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+41
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14651623

Cueto vs. Godley

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14621539
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14681569

Moore vs. Ray

33%

67%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14621539
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14531575

Samardzija vs. Greinke

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14621539
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12+20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14741583

vs. Padres

Bumgarner vs. Lyles

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14621460
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+31-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+230
Adjusted team rating15161451

Stratton vs. Chacin

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14621460
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14891483

Cueto vs. Perdomo

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14621460
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14941456

Team rating

Starting pitchers

Pitcher score Adjustment to team ratingAdj. to
team rating
Madison Bumgarner
Madison Bumgarner55.5+31
Jeff Samardzija
Jeff Samardzija51.5+12
Johnny Cueto
Johnny Cueto50.7+8
Chris Stratton
Chris Stratton49.7+3
Matt Moore
Matt Moore47.0-9

Completed games

W, 2-1

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14601560
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+29-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14891571

L, 4-2

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14611559
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+15+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+20
Adjusted team rating14761592

W, 4-0

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14581509
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14701510

W, 4-3

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14571511
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-1
Adjusted team rating14921512

W, 7-2

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14531548
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14801538

L, 2-0

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14541547
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+30+20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15081567

L, 3-2

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14561546
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-3
Adjusted team rating14961557

L, 4-1

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14571562
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14721566

L, 5-3

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14581561
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13+51
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14951612

W, 8-6

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14561563
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+20-2
Adjusted team rating14801557

L, 8-1

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14601446
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+35-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14951460

L, 13-1

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14651440
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14821450

W, 9-2

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14611444
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13+15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+24
Adjusted team rating14471483

W, 11-3

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14571497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14651518

L, 9-6

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14581496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14431514

L, 4-3

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14601495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14631523

L, 7-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14621519
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+39+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15251525

W, 2-1

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14611521
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13+15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14981536

L, 11-6

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14631518
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14951508

L, 5-2

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14651516
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-34-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-4
Adjusted team rating14531502

L, 5-0

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14681449
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14541466

L, 6-3

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14701447
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14611466

W, 3-0

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14681449
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+20
Adjusted team rating14721486

L, 11-0

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14721518
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14771526

L, 2-1

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731517
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+40-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15131533

L, 4-3

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14741516
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11+23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+20
Adjusted team rating14621559

W, 4-2

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14721498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10-23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14861475

L, 4-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14741496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15041505

W, 2-0

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14721498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating14981502

L, 5-2

64%

36%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751441
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+41-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15401436

L, 12-9

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781439
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14971447

W, 10-2

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751442
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12-19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14871423

W, 5-4

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731443
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10+35
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+20-2
Adjusted team rating15031476

L, 8-1

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761500
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-34+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14421534

W, 9-4

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14721503
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+44+20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15161547

L, 8-3

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14711526

L, 6-2

28%

72%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761555
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18+45
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14581624

W, 4-2

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731558
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10-38
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14631544

L, 3-1

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751556
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13-52
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+1+26
Adjusted team rating14631530

vs. Cubs

W, 3-1

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731540
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+43+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15401559

W, 6-3

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14701543
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14941554

L, 5-3

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14721542
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-4
Adjusted team rating14811552

W, 6-3

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14691528
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11-36
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15041492

W, 5-4

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14681530
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14821528

L, 2-1

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14691528
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+43-19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-4
Adjusted team rating15361505

W, 11-2

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14651474
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14871486

L, 6-1

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14681471
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12-21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+23-1
Adjusted team rating14791449

W, 10-4

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14651475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11+24
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14761523

L, 8-5

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14661473
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-33+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14311503

L, 3-2

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14671599
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+40-30
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15071593

L, 2-1

27%

73%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14681598
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14651634

L, 6-4

27%

73%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14691598
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+26
Adjusted team rating14571633

W, 2-1

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14671501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14991503

W, 11-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14631505
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+42+22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15291527

L, 10-3

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14661501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-28+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating14621506

vs. Padres

L, 5-2

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14691446
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14911451

W, 5-4

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14681447
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14801449

L, 12-9

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14701444
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15061458

L, 5-2

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731441
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+44+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15411456

W, 5-4

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14711541
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-32+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14631547

W, 2-1

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14701543
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14881537

L, 5-3

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14711541
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14-27
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-1
Adjusted team rating14791513

L, 7-1

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751444
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14921477

L, 5-3

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14771442
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+46+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15231483

W, 5-4

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761443
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+7+29
Adjusted team rating14951466

L, 10-8

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15191502

L, 5-4

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14791494
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15201497

L, 6-1

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14821491
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11+30
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+20-4
Adjusted team rating14911517

L, 6-2

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14841488
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14731504

W, 5-4

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14831490
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14711506

L, 5-3

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14841489
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-37+38
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+26
Adjusted team rating14471553

W, 5-3

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14821489
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+15+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14971517

W, 2-1

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14801491
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14681506

W, 13-5

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+18+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14921527

W, 5-3

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14741512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14851503

W, 4-3

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14721514
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-38-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14581509

W, 9-2

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14681518
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15051520

vs. Mets

L, 8-2

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14721498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9-27
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14871471

L, 5-2

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14741496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+16+25
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15141521

L, 11-4

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781493
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+20-2
Adjusted team rating14921501

L, 12-11

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14791472
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-34+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14451506

L, 5-3

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14801471
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14881503

W, 6-3

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781473
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14641507

L, 9-0

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14821469
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14911487

L, 7-5

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14831530
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14751559

L, 5-1

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14851529
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-35-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14501541

L, 10-8

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14861527
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15001550

L, 10-9

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14871526
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+21
Adjusted team rating14741546

vs. Royals

L, 7-2

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911479
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15321471

L, 8-1

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+260
Adjusted team rating15131494

vs. Twins

W, 13-8

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14921484
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-36-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14801477

L, 3-2

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931482
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15261474

L, 4-0

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961479
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13+39
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+20-3
Adjusted team rating15031515

W, 9-5

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+16-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15091510

L, 6-3

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14871519

L, 5-2

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-35+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14621526

W, 7-2

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+33
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14931555

L, 9-7

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951438
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14851472

L, 5-3

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981435
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+16-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15141455

W, 10-0

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931440
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15+15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+23
Adjusted team rating14761478

L, 3-1

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14941554
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-34+35
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14841589

L, 6-3

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961552
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15241537

L, 3-0

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981550
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-4
Adjusted team rating15101540

vs. Braves

W, 7-1

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961470
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+15-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15351467

W, 6-3

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14941472
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15011476

L, 2-0

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961470
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-36+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+20-4
Adjusted team rating14801468

at Cubs

L, 5-1

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981557
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6-45
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15041536

L, 5-4

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991556
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9+25
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14901605

L, 4-1

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15001554
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17+23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15171601

W, 6-4

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981557
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-19+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14771582

L, 8-3

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15001512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-32-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14681519

W, 3-1

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981514
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14961552

W, 6-5

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961515
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+26
Adjusted team rating14831535

L, 6-1

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991555
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+19+48
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15421603

W, 2-1

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971557
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-22+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14991573

W, 8-4

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14941560
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-34-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating14841544

vs. Reds

W, 8-3

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911481
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15131486

W, 3-1

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14891482
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15021478

W, 3-2

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14881483
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+19+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15311495

L, 3-2

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14901482
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-23-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+20-2
Adjusted team rating14871479

at Mets

W, 6-5

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14881517
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-34-25
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14541516

L, 6-1

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14901514
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14911533

L, 4-3

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911513
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14771553

at Reds

L, 4-0

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14941480
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+19+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15131508

L, 14-2

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14851500

L, 13-3

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031471
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-290
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14721495

W, 4-1

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15001553
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14901565

L, 13-5

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031550
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14971566

W, 4-3

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15011552
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13+54
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating15121630

vs. Padres

L, 5-2

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041447
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-20-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15081436

L, 12-4

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081442
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-31+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15011450

W, 4-3

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15071443
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15191439

L, 5-1

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15101546
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15261531

W, 4-3

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15091547
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+16-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15491534

L, 2-1

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15101546
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-21+55
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15131601

W, 2-1

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081548
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-35-28
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-3
Adjusted team rating14941517

L, 8-0

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121490
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9-25
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15031489

L, 12-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15161486
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-30
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15131510

L, 6-5

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15181485
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+21+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+23
Adjusted team rating15381517

L, 2-0

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15201476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+26+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15461505

W, 2-1

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15181477
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-42-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+26
Adjusted team rating14741488

L, 4-3

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15201482
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15331478

L, 5-0

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15241478
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15491480

W, 8-2

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15211481
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+19+22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15641503

L, 3-1

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15241479
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+27+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15751487

W, 6-2

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15211496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-45-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15001487

L, 4-3

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15231494
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15341499

W, 4-1

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15211496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-3
Adjusted team rating15401496

W, 5-3

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15191452
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+21-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15401475

L, 2-1

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15211450
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+28+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15491480

L, 7-6

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15231449
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-40+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+23
Adjusted team rating14811475

L, 9-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15261484
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15181514

L, 8-6

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15281482
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15261511

W, 8-4

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15261484
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+22-21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+2+26
Adjusted team rating15501489

L, 6-5

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15271483
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+23+23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating15471530

This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest. It updates after each game. Methodology »

For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB »

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