Updated Nov. 2, 2017 at 12:02 AM

2017 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Giants are done for the season.twitter bird

Team rating

Starting pitchers

Pitcher score Adjustment to team ratingAdj. to
team rating
Madison Bumgarner
Madison Bumgarner55.5+32
Jeff Samardzija
Jeff Samardzija52.1+16
Johnny Cueto
Johnny Cueto49.9+6
Chris Stratton
Chris Stratton49.5+4
Matt Moore
Matt Moore45.1-17
Matt Cain
Matt Cain43.0-27

Completed games

vs. Padres

W, 5-4

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14651449
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15001447

L, 3-2

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14661448
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-32+27
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14581475

W, 8-0

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14631451
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+230
Adjusted team rating14851444

L, 4-3

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14641537
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14-37
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14781524

L, 11-4

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14661535
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14571573

W, 9-2

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14611540
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14681570

L, 3-1

29%

71%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14621558
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+41
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14651623

W, 2-1

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14601560
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+29-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14891571

L, 4-2

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14611559
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+15+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+20
Adjusted team rating14761592

W, 4-0

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14581509
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14701510

W, 4-3

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14571511
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-1
Adjusted team rating14921512

W, 7-2

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14531548
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14801538

L, 2-0

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14541547
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+30+20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15081567

L, 3-2

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14561546
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-3
Adjusted team rating14961557

L, 4-1

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14571562
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14721566

L, 5-3

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14581561
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13+51
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14951612

W, 8-6

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14561563
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+20-2
Adjusted team rating14801557

L, 8-1

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14601446
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+35-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14951460

L, 13-1

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14651440
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14821450

W, 9-2

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14611444
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13+15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+24
Adjusted team rating14471483

W, 11-3

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14571497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14651518

L, 9-6

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14581496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14431514

L, 4-3

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14601495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14631523

L, 7-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14621519
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+39+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15251525

W, 2-1

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14611521
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13+15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14981536

L, 11-6

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14631518
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14951508

L, 5-2

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14651516
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-34-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-4
Adjusted team rating14531502

L, 5-0

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14681449
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14541466

L, 6-3

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14701447
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14611466

W, 3-0

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14681449
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+20
Adjusted team rating14721486

L, 11-0

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14721518
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14771526

L, 2-1

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731517
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+40-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15131533

L, 4-3

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14741516
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11+23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+20
Adjusted team rating14621559

W, 4-2

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14721498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10-23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14861475

L, 4-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14741496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15041505

W, 2-0

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14721498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating14981502

L, 5-2

64%

36%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751441
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+41-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15401436

L, 12-9

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781439
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14971447

W, 10-2

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751442
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12-19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14871423

W, 5-4

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731443
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10+35
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+20-2
Adjusted team rating15031476

L, 8-1

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761500
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-34+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14421534

W, 9-4

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14721503
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+44+20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15161547

L, 8-3

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14711526

L, 6-2

28%

72%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761555
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18+45
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14581624

W, 4-2

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731558
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10-38
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14631544

L, 3-1

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751556
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13-52
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+1+26
Adjusted team rating14631530

vs. Cubs

W, 3-1

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731540
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+43+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15401559

W, 6-3

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14701543
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14941554

L, 5-3

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14721542
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-4
Adjusted team rating14811552

W, 6-3

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14691528
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11-36
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15041492

W, 5-4

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14681530
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14821528

L, 2-1

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14691528
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+43-19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-4
Adjusted team rating15361505

W, 11-2

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14651474
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14871486

L, 6-1

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14681471
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12-21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+23-1
Adjusted team rating14791449

W, 10-4

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14651475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11+24
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14761523

L, 8-5

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14661473
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-33+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14311503

L, 3-2

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14671599
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+40-30
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15071593

L, 2-1

27%

73%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14681598
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14651634

L, 6-4

27%

73%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14691598
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+26
Adjusted team rating14571633

W, 2-1

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14671501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14991503

W, 11-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14631505
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+42+22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15291527

L, 10-3

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14661501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-28+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating14621506

vs. Padres

L, 5-2

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14691446
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14911451

W, 5-4

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14681447
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14801449

L, 12-9

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14701444
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15061458

L, 5-2

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731441
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+44+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15411456

W, 5-4

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14711541
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-32+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14631547

W, 2-1

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14701543
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14881537

L, 5-3

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14711541
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14-27
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-1
Adjusted team rating14791513

L, 7-1

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751444
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14921477

L, 5-3

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14771442
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+46+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15231483

W, 5-4

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761443
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+7+29
Adjusted team rating14951466

L, 10-8

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15191502

L, 5-4

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14791494
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15201497

L, 6-1

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14821491
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11+30
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+20-4
Adjusted team rating14911517

L, 6-2

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14841488
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14731504

W, 5-4

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14831490
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14711506

L, 5-3

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14841489
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-37+38
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+26
Adjusted team rating14471553

W, 5-3

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14821489
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+15+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14971517

W, 2-1

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14801491
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14681506

W, 13-5

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+18+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14921527

W, 5-3

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14741512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14851503

W, 4-3

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14721514
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-38-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14581509

W, 9-2

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14681518
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15051520

vs. Mets

L, 8-2

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14721498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9-27
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14871471

L, 5-2

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14741496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+16+25
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15141521

L, 11-4

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781493
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+20-2
Adjusted team rating14921501

L, 12-11

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14791472
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-34+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14451506

L, 5-3

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14801471
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14881503

W, 6-3

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781473
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14641507

L, 9-0

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14821469
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14911487

L, 7-5

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14831530
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14751559

L, 5-1

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14851529
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-35-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14501541

L, 10-8

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14861527
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15001550

L, 10-9

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14871526
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+21
Adjusted team rating14741546

vs. Royals

L, 7-2

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911479
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15321471

L, 8-1

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+260
Adjusted team rating15131494

vs. Twins

W, 13-8

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14921484
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-36-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14801477

L, 3-2

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931482
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15261474

L, 4-0

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961479
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13+39
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+20-3
Adjusted team rating15031515

W, 9-5

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+16-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15091510

L, 6-3

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14871519

L, 5-2

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-35+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14621526

W, 7-2

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+33
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14931555

L, 9-7

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951438
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14851472

L, 5-3

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981435
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+16-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15141455

W, 10-0

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931440
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15+15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+23
Adjusted team rating14761478

L, 3-1

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14941554
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-34+35
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14841589

L, 6-3

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961552
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15241537

L, 3-0

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981550
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-4
Adjusted team rating15101540

vs. Braves

W, 7-1

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961470
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+15-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15351467

W, 6-3

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14941472
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15011476

L, 2-0

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961470
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-36+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+20-4
Adjusted team rating14801468

at Cubs

L, 5-1

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981557
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6-45
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15041536

L, 5-4

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991556
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9+25
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14901605

L, 4-1

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15001554
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17+23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15171601

W, 6-4

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981557
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-19+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14771582

L, 8-3

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15001512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-32-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14681519

W, 3-1

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981514
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14961552

W, 6-5

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961515
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+26
Adjusted team rating14831535

L, 6-1

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991555
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+19+48
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15421603

W, 2-1

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971557
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-22+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14991573

W, 8-4

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14941560
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-34-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating14841544

vs. Reds

W, 8-3

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911481
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15131486

W, 3-1

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14891482
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15021478

W, 3-2

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14881483
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+19+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15311495

L, 3-2

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14901482
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-23-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+20-2
Adjusted team rating14871479

at Mets

W, 6-5

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14881517
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-34-25
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14541516

L, 6-1

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14901514
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14911533

L, 4-3

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911513
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14771553

at Reds

L, 4-0

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14941480
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+19+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15131508

L, 14-2

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14851500

L, 13-3

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031471
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-290
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14721495

W, 4-1

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15001553
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14901565

L, 13-5

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031550
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14971566

W, 4-3

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15011552
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13+54
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating15121630

vs. Padres

L, 5-2

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041447
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-20-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15081436

L, 12-4

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081442
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-31+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15011450

W, 4-3

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15071443
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15191439

L, 5-1

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15101546
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15261531

W, 4-3

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15091547
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+16-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15491534

L, 2-1

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15101546
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-21+55
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15131601

W, 2-1

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081548
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-35-28
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-3
Adjusted team rating14941517

L, 8-0

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121490
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9-25
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15031489

L, 12-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15161486
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-30
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15131510

L, 6-5

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15181485
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+21+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+23
Adjusted team rating15381517

L, 2-0

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15201476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+26+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15461505

W, 2-1

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15181477
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-42-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+26
Adjusted team rating14741488

L, 4-3

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15201482
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15331478

L, 5-0

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15241478
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15491480

W, 8-2

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15211481
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+19+22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15641503

L, 3-1

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15241479
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+27+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15751487

W, 6-2

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15211496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-45-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15001487

L, 4-3

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15231494
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15341499

W, 4-1

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15211496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-3
Adjusted team rating15401496

W, 5-3

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15191452
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+21-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15401475

L, 2-1

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15211450
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+28+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15491480

L, 7-6

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15231449
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-40+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+23
Adjusted team rating14811475

L, 9-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15261484
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15181514

L, 8-6

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15281482
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15261511

W, 8-4

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15261484
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+22-21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+2+26
Adjusted team rating15501489

L, 6-5

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15271483
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+23+23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating15471530

NL West standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
DodgersDodgers104-58
DbacksDiamondbacks93-6911.0
RockiesRockies87-7517.0
PadresPadres71-9133.0
GiantsGiants64-9840.0

This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest. It updates after each game. Methodology »

For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB »

Comments