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The Indians are done for the season.
Team rating
Starting pitchers
| Pitcher score | Adjustment to team ratingAdj. to team rating | ||
|---|---|---|---|
 | Corey Kluber | 63.3 | +33 |
 | Carlos Carrasco | 58.9 | +12 |
 | Trevor Bauer | 53.4 | -14 |
 | Danny Salazar | 52.4 | -19 |
 | Josh Tomlin | 50.0 | -30 |
Completed games
L, 5-2
68%
32%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1602 | 1566 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +37 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1663 | 1567 |
L, 7-3
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1605 | 1562 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | +17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1594 | 1603 |
L, 1-0
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1607 | 1560 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | +9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1615 | 1593 |
W, 9-8
70%
30%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1606 | 1561 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +45 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1675 | 1563 |
W, 4-0
61%
39%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1604 | 1563 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -17 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +31 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1618 | 1560 |
W, 3-1
68%
32%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1603 | 1465 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -34 | -5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1593 | 1460 |
L, 2-1
77%
23%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1605 | 1462 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +49 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1678 | 1466 |
W, 10-1
73%
27%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1604 | 1464 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -20 | -25 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1608 | 1437 |
W, 5-2
63%
37%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1602 | 1512 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | +27 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1629 | 1539 |
W, 4-2
62%
38%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1601 | 1514 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -23 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1602 | 1516 |
L, 8-6
66%
34%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1603 | 1511 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -29 | -28 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | +1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1596 | 1484 |
W, 4-2
67%
33%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1602 | 1505 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +53 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1655 | 1534 |
W, 11-4
61%
39%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1600 | 1508 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | -10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1603 | 1522 |
L, 3-1
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1602 | 1506 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -20 | +7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1579 | 1537 |
W, 4-1
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1600 | 1517 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -23 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1577 | 1545 |
W, 6-5
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1599 | 1518 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -28 | -7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1571 | 1535 |
W, 6-3
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1597 | 1520 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -14 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1581 | 1552 |
W, 3-2
72%
28%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1596 | 1480 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +51 | +28 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1671 | 1508 |
W, 8-4
69%
31%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1595 | 1481 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1626 | 1486 |
L, 4-3
67%
33%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1597 | 1479 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -17 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1604 | 1478 |
W, 3-2
64%
36%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1596 | 1480 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -30 | +15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1590 | 1492 |
W, 5-3
71%
29%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1595 | 1464 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -15 | -19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1604 | 1445 |
W, 2-0
77%
23%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1594 | 1465 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +46 | -14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1664 | 1451 |
W, 11-0
71%
29%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1592 | 1467 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1621 | 1466 |
W, 3-2
64%
36%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1591 | 1501 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -17 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1598 | 1501 |
W, 4-2
61%
39%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1590 | 1502 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -29 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1585 | 1508 |
W, 5-0
63%
37%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1588 | 1504 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -16 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1594 | 1503 |
W, 11-2
74%
26%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1586 | 1446 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +48 | -18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1634 | 1452 |
W, 5-1
66%
34%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1585 | 1447 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1587 | 1470 |
W, 9-4
64%
36%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1583 | 1449 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -14 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1569 | 1470 |
W, 5-3
65%
35%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1582 | 1450 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -18 | -18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1562 | 1456 |
W, 11-1
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1578 | 1473 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -29 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1549 | 1494 |
W, 5-2
70%
30%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1577 | 1475 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +47 | -23 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1624 | 1476 |
W, 10-0
61%
39%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1574 | 1478 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -19 | -26 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1555 | 1476 |
W, 3-2
63%
37%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1573 | 1479 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | -23 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +23 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1572 | 1479 |
W, 9-4
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1570 | 1540 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -24 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1546 | 1563 |
W, 2-1
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1569 | 1541 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -18 | -26 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +2 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1553 | 1541 |
W, 6-2
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1567 | 1543 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +48 | +15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1613 | 1582 |
W, 12-0
64%
36%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1563 | 1493 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -3 | -12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1584 | 1481 |
W, 4-0
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1561 | 1495 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -20 | +7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1565 | 1502 |
W, 4-0
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1559 | 1497 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -26 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1557 | 1498 |
W, 13-6
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1555 | 1564 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -14 | +49 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1565 | 1613 |
L, 6-1
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1559 | 1560 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +48 | -2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1631 | 1558 |
L, 9-1
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1564 | 1555 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | -39 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1588 | 1516 |
W, 5-4
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1562 | 1556 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -17 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +21 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1566 | 1550 |
L, 7-4
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1565 | 1493 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -3 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1562 | 1523 |
W, 5-0
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1562 | 1496 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -17 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1545 | 1525 |
W, 10-1
61%
39%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1559 | 1499 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +48 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +22 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1605 | 1525 |
L, 4-2
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1561 | 1479 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -28 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1533 | 1506 |
W, 9-3
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1559 | 1482 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -4 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +2 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1557 | 1500 |
W, 8-1
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1556 | 1485 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -9 | -17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +23 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1544 | 1491 |
W, 7-3
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1553 | 1553 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -16 | -36 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +22 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1534 | 1539 |
W, 4-3
61%
39%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1552 | 1501 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +51 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1603 | 1522 |
W, 3-0
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1550 | 1503 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -22 | +17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1528 | 1544 |
W, 5-0
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1547 | 1506 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -8 | +8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1539 | 1538 |
L, 4-1
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1549 | 1504 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -7 | -15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1539 | 1513 |
L, 3-2
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1551 | 1511 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -17 | -12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1558 | 1499 |
W, 4-1
64%
36%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1550 | 1512 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +50 | +14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1626 | 1525 |
L, 8-1
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1553 | 1534 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -5 | +16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1572 | 1550 |
L, 2-1
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1555 | 1532 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -9 | -4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1570 | 1528 |
W, 7-2
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1552 | 1535 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -17 | -18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1559 | 1517 |
W, 5-1
62%
38%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1551 | 1536 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +48 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +23 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1622 | 1536 |
L, 12-10
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1552 | 1539 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | +56 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1557 | 1619 |
L, 6-2
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1555 | 1536 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -13 | -41 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1539 | 1519 |
L, 3-1
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1557 | 1451 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -25 | +19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1532 | 1494 |
W, 5-4
66%
34%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1556 | 1452 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +49 | +17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1605 | 1493 |
W, 9-3
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1554 | 1455 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | -12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1541 | 1467 |
W, 2-1
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1552 | 1504 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -22 | -6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1554 | 1498 |
W, 10-4
61%
39%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1550 | 1506 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | -7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1579 | 1499 |
W, 11-7
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1548 | 1508 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -5 | -12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1567 | 1494 |
W, 6-2
62%
38%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1547 | 1449 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -27 | +9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1544 | 1456 |
W, 8-1
65%
35%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1544 | 1488 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +47 | +18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1615 | 1506 |
W, 2-1
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1543 | 1490 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -18 | +24 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1549 | 1514 |
W, 13-3
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1539 | 1493 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -20 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1541 | 1494 |
L, 5-4
62%
38%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1541 | 1471 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | -32 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1547 | 1463 |
L, 2-1
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1543 | 1470 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -6 | -6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1537 | 1488 |
W, 5-3
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1541 | 1471 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -27 | -14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +22 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1513 | 1479 |
L, 7-3
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1544 | 1478 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -15 | +26 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1529 | 1528 |
L, 5-3
63%
37%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1546 | 1476 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +48 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1594 | 1501 |
L, 5-0
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1550 | 1472 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | +9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +5 | +30 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1563 | 1511 |
L, 5-3
64%
36%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1552 | 1486 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +48 | +38 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1624 | 1524 |
W, 4-0
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1550 | 1488 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -10 | +19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1564 | 1507 |
W, 11-2
65%
35%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1548 | 1491 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | -21 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1580 | 1469 |
W, 11-2
61%
39%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1545 | 1446 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -31 | +11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1538 | 1457 |
L, 6-2
66%
34%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1548 | 1442 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1561 | 1444 |
L, 1-0
73%
27%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1551 | 1440 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +48 | +8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +25 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1624 | 1446 |
W, 11-8
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1549 | 1491 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | +27 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1538 | 1542 |
W, 4-1
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1547 | 1493 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +13 | -25 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1560 | 1492 |
L, 7-4
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1549 | 1490 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -28 | -24 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +1 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1522 | 1492 |
W, 5-1
65%
35%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1548 | 1524 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +44 | -17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1616 | 1507 |
W, 5-3
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1546 | 1526 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -12 | +42 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1558 | 1568 |
L, 2-1
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1547 | 1524 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -15 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1556 | 1526 |
W, 15-9
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1545 | 1527 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +23 | +16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1592 | 1541 |
L, 4-0
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1548 | 1479 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -26 | +35 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1546 | 1514 |
L, 4-2
70%
30%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1550 | 1476 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +40 | -13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1614 | 1463 |
L, 5-0
65%
35%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1554 | 1472 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -12 | -10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1564 | 1459 |
W, 6-3
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1552 | 1483 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -15 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1537 | 1509 |
W, 5-1
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1550 | 1485 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +20 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1570 | 1508 |
L, 6-5
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1552 | 1483 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -22 | -4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1530 | 1503 |
W, 12-0
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1548 | 1487 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +33 | +26 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1578 | 1537 |
W, 5-2
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1546 | 1475 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -14 | -13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1532 | 1486 |
W, 6-2
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1544 | 1477 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -16 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1528 | 1490 |
W, 9-3
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1541 | 1480 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -15 | -17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1526 | 1487 |
W, 8-1
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1538 | 1483 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +21 | -10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1556 | 1497 |
W, 12-5
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1534 | 1572 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -17 | +7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1541 | 1579 |
L, 6-4
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1536 | 1570 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +31 | -6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1591 | 1564 |
L, 7-5
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1537 | 1569 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -14 | +49 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1549 | 1616 |
W, 4-2
62%
38%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1536 | 1477 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +22 | +20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1582 | 1497 |
L, 5-3
61%
39%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1538 | 1475 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -12 | -2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1550 | 1473 |
W, 7-3
65%
35%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1537 | 1476 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +31 | +7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +23 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1591 | 1480 |
L, 8-1
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1540 | 1518 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -13 | -13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1527 | 1529 |
L, 11-3
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1544 | 1514 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -16 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +23 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1527 | 1541 |
W, 8-0
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1540 | 1473 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -13 | -6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1527 | 1491 |
L, 12-5
64%
36%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1545 | 1468 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +24 | -20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1569 | 1472 |
L, 4-0
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1548 | 1466 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -15 | +12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1530 | 1504 |
W, 8-0
68%
32%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1546 | 1476 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +26 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1596 | 1465 |
L, 3-1
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1548 | 1474 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -17 | +21 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1555 | 1495 |
W, 9-4
61%
39%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1546 | 1476 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -16 | -2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1554 | 1474 |
W, 5-3
69%
31%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1545 | 1477 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +26 | -22 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1595 | 1453 |
W, 10-1
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1542 | 1471 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -17 | +18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1549 | 1489 |
L, 5-2
61%
39%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1545 | 1468 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | +13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1558 | 1481 |
L, 6-4
63%
37%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1547 | 1466 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | +7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1562 | 1473 |
L, 4-3
62%
38%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1549 | 1473 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -18 | -2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1553 | 1469 |
W, 8-7
61%
39%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1548 | 1474 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +26 | -2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1574 | 1496 |
L, 5-1
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1550 | 1471 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -17 | +12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1530 | 1507 |
W, 8-6
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1548 | 1564 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -12 | -18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1536 | 1570 |
W, 3-0
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1546 | 1567 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -22 | -22 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1524 | 1569 |
W, 5-3
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1544 | 1569 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -18 | -13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +23 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1525 | 1579 |
L, 7-4
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1546 | 1510 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1559 | 1511 |
L, 6-4
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1548 | 1508 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -9 | +14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1563 | 1522 |
W, 8-7
61%
39%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1547 | 1509 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +30 | +21 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1601 | 1527 |
W, 8-3
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1545 | 1485 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -23 | +10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1546 | 1495 |
L, 4-1
64%
36%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1548 | 1482 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -24 | -35 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1548 | 1447 |
L, 1-0
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1549 | 1480 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -18 | +42 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1555 | 1520 |
L, 8-7
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1551 | 1506 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -5 | -15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1546 | 1515 |
W, 6-0
62%
38%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1549 | 1508 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +26 | -40 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1575 | 1492 |
L, 4-2
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1550 | 1506 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -22 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +21 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1525 | 1528 |
W, 1-0
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1549 | 1459 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -30 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1519 | 1489 |
W, 3-1
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1548 | 1461 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -22 | +10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1526 | 1495 |
L, 3-1
62%
38%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1550 | 1458 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | -16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1548 | 1466 |
W, 3-2
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1549 | 1506 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +25 | -20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1574 | 1510 |
L, 5-2
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1551 | 1504 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +31 | +38 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1582 | 1566 |
L, 7-1
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1555 | 1501 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -16 | -9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1538 | 1516 |
W, 12-4
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1551 | 1527 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -23 | -14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1552 | 1513 |
W, 4-3
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1550 | 1528 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -4 | -13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1570 | 1515 |
L, 3-1
62%
38%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1552 | 1525 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +21 | -9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1597 | 1515 |
W, 4-3
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1551 | 1552 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +31 | -13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1606 | 1539 |
W, 7-6
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1550 | 1553 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -16 | +12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1558 | 1565 |
L, 4-2
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1552 | 1551 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -24 | +26 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1552 | 1576 |
L, 6-2
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1555 | 1474 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | -2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1553 | 1496 |
W, 7-0
64%
36%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1552 | 1476 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +16 | -28 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1568 | 1472 |
W, 3-0
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1551 | 1478 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +27 | +19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +23 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1576 | 1520 |
W, 6-2
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1548 | 1481 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -16 | +41 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +2 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1534 | 1548 |
W, 11-4
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1545 | 1484 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -23 | -7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1522 | 1501 |
W, 3-1
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1543 | 1486 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | -10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1540 | 1500 |
L, 4-1
65%
35%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1546 | 1505 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +19 | -24 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1589 | 1481 |
W, 13-6
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1543 | 1508 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +32 | +47 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1599 | 1555 |
L, 7-6
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1545 | 1506 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -13 | -10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1556 | 1495 |
L, 10-4
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1549 | 1475 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -16 | +12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1557 | 1487 |
L, 2-1
64%
36%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1551 | 1473 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -6 | -2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1569 | 1471 |
W, 2-1
69%
31%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1550 | 1474 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +13 | -30 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1585 | 1444 |
L, 3-2
62%
38%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1552 | 1494 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +32 | -23 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1584 | 1495 |
L, 11-2
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1556 | 1490 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -13 | +23 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1543 | 1537 |
L, 7-3
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1559 | 1487 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -13 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1545 | 1503 |
W, 9-6
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1557 | 1508 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -6 | +14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1551 | 1546 |
W, 4-3
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1556 | 1509 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +11 | -7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1567 | 1526 |
W, 8-5
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1554 | 1511 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +36 | +32 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1587 | 1567 |
AL Central standings
| Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | IndiansIndians102-60 | — | ✓ | ✓ | ||
 | TwinsTwins85-77 | 17.0 | ✓ | — | ||
 | RoyalsRoyals80-82 | 22.0 | — | — | ||
 | White SoxWhite Sox67-95 | 35.0 | — | — | ||
 | TigersTigers64-98 | 38.0 | — | — |
This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest. It updates after each game. Methodology »
For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB »
Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
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