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The Mariners are done for the season.
Team rating
Starting pitchers
| Pitcher score | Adjustment to team ratingAdj. to team rating | ||
|---|---|---|---|
 | James Paxton | 55.4 | +36 |
 | Erasmo Ramirez | 49.6 | +8 |
 | Felix Hernandez | 49.1 | +6 |
 | Mike Leake | 49.0 | +5 |
 | Andrew Moore | 45.7 | -10 |
 | Marco Gonzales | 43.0 | -23 |
Completed games
L, 6-2
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1509 | 1510 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +32 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1541 | 1535 |
W, 6-4
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1507 | 1512 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -10 | -7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1497 | 1529 |
L, 6-5
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1508 | 1511 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -22 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +20 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1486 | 1534 |
L, 6-5
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1510 | 1489 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +12 | +9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1522 | 1522 |
W, 6-3
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1508 | 1491 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +33 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1541 | 1521 |
W, 7-1
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1504 | 1494 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1505 | 1507 |
L, 4-2
33%
67%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1505 | 1602 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | +53 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1534 | 1655 |
L, 11-4
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1508 | 1600 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -10 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1522 | 1603 |
W, 3-1
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1506 | 1602 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | -20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1537 | 1579 |
L, 4-2
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1508 | 1515 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +37 | +20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1569 | 1535 |
L, 8-6
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1510 | 1513 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | +11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1542 | 1524 |
L, 3-1
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1512 | 1510 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | -5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1537 | 1504 |
L, 7-1
35%
65%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1514 | 1550 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -7 | +39 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1507 | 1613 |
L, 8-6
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1516 | 1548 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +11 | +17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1527 | 1589 |
L, 5-2
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1518 | 1546 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +42 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +21 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1558 | 1570 |
W, 10-4
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1514 | 1515 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | +16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1519 | 1555 |
W, 8-1
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1510 | 1519 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | -5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1508 | 1538 |
W, 10-3
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1506 | 1523 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -24 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1482 | 1552 |
L, 5-3
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1507 | 1522 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | +19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -4 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1505 | 1565 |
L, 5-3
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1509 | 1517 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +10 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1543 | 1519 |
W, 8-1
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1506 | 1521 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -12 | -5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1518 | 1516 |
W, 4-3
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1504 | 1522 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -3 | -4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1527 | 1517 |
L, 5-3
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1506 | 1562 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | +9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1519 | 1571 |
L, 3-1
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1507 | 1561 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | +33 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1532 | 1594 |
L, 6-2
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1509 | 1558 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +12 | +21 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -4 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1545 | 1575 |
W, 10-2
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1506 | 1467 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -16 | -2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1514 | 1465 |
W, 7-6
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1505 | 1468 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -18 | -4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1511 | 1464 |
W, 3-2
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1504 | 1469 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -4 | +9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1522 | 1477 |
L, 8-7
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1505 | 1512 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1512 | 1525 |
L, 4-0
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1507 | 1509 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +11 | +24 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1518 | 1557 |
L, 7-6
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1509 | 1508 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -18 | -19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +22 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1489 | 1511 |
L, 10-1
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1512 | 1540 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -12 | +8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1500 | 1572 |
L, 6-3
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1513 | 1538 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -20 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1493 | 1565 |
W, 2-1
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1512 | 1540 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +22 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1514 | 1564 |
W, 9-6
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1510 | 1471 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +10 | +11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1520 | 1506 |
L, 4-0
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1512 | 1468 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -18 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1494 | 1493 |
W, 6-5
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1511 | 1470 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -10 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1499 | 1494 |
L, 3-0
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1513 | 1493 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -21 | -9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1492 | 1508 |
W, 7-6
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1512 | 1494 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | -9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1515 | 1509 |
W, 7-1
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1508 | 1498 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | -2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +21 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1512 | 1517 |
W, 7-6
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1507 | 1499 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -13 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1518 | 1496 |
W, 3-1
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1505 | 1500 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -12 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1517 | 1492 |
L, 11-3
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1509 | 1496 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -15 | +15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1518 | 1508 |
L, 4-2
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1511 | 1516 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | +11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1539 | 1527 |
L, 6-3
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1514 | 1514 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1539 | 1511 |
L, 6-5
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1515 | 1512 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -15 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1524 | 1501 |
L, 6-3
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1518 | 1509 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +45 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +21 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1584 | 1510 |
W, 6-3
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1516 | 1473 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -14 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1502 | 1486 |
W, 7-6
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1515 | 1474 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1520 | 1503 |
L, 9-1
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1519 | 1502 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | -26 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1523 | 1500 |
W, 8-7
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1517 | 1503 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -13 | +25 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +2 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1506 | 1554 |
W, 5-2
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1515 | 1505 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +41 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1556 | 1532 |
L, 6-4
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1517 | 1503 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -15 | -20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +21 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1500 | 1504 |
L, 5-1
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1520 | 1503 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | -2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1528 | 1525 |
W, 8-7
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1518 | 1504 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | -23 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1522 | 1505 |
W, 6-4
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1516 | 1506 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | +19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -4 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1515 | 1549 |
W, 9-1
61%
39%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1514 | 1497 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +38 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1576 | 1501 |
W, 3-2
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1512 | 1499 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -18 | +39 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1518 | 1538 |
L, 7-5
61%
39%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1514 | 1496 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | -18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1548 | 1475 |
L, 4-0
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1516 | 1537 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -16 | +53 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1524 | 1590 |
W, 6-5
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1515 | 1538 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1545 | 1539 |
W, 4-0
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1513 | 1541 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +34 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1571 | 1538 |
L, 6-4
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1515 | 1531 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -15 | -19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1524 | 1512 |
W, 6-5
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1513 | 1533 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1545 | 1537 |
L, 5-1
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1516 | 1530 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | +10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1529 | 1540 |
L, 4-1
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1518 | 1528 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | +11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +20 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1540 | 1536 |
W, 4-1
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1515 | 1591 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +31 | -16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1546 | 1599 |
L, 6-2
36%
64%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1517 | 1589 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -10 | -7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1507 | 1606 |
W, 9-7
34%
66%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1515 | 1592 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +10 | +19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1522 | 1635 |
W, 7-6
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1513 | 1467 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | -10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1513 | 1481 |
W, 4-3
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1512 | 1468 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1514 | 1481 |
W, 4-2
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1511 | 1469 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +27 | -20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +5 | +30 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1543 | 1479 |
W, 4-0
61%
39%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1509 | 1474 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | -20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1532 | 1454 |
L, 4-3
61%
39%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1511 | 1472 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | -7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1540 | 1465 |
W, 7-2
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1508 | 1475 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +25 | +27 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1557 | 1502 |
L, 7-4
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1511 | 1472 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1536 | 1469 |
L, 9-6
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1514 | 1499 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +14 | +23 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1552 | 1522 |
L, 7-3
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1516 | 1496 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | +17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1541 | 1513 |
L, 3-1
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1519 | 1494 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +21 | -4 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1541 | 1496 |
W, 5-3
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1517 | 1512 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +20 | -14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1537 | 1522 |
L, 4-0
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1519 | 1509 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | -6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1519 | 1527 |
W, 10-0
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1515 | 1514 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +10 | -6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1524 | 1532 |
L, 5-4
65%
35%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1517 | 1434 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1545 | 1437 |
L, 8-2
69%
31%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1522 | 1429 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +20 | +8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1568 | 1434 |
L, 8-2
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1525 | 1579 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +11 | -20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1560 | 1559 |
L, 5-2
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1527 | 1577 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | +23 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1552 | 1600 |
W, 13-3
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1522 | 1582 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | -24 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1551 | 1555 |
W, 9-6
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1521 | 1495 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1545 | 1492 |
W, 7-5
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1519 | 1497 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +23 | +26 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1566 | 1523 |
W, 5-4
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1518 | 1498 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +10 | -20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1552 | 1478 |
W, 6-2
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1516 | 1500 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | -14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +20 | -4 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1537 | 1482 |
W, 7-3
37%
63%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1513 | 1523 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -18 | +39 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1495 | 1586 |
L, 10-4
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1515 | 1520 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -13 | -9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1502 | 1535 |
L, 10-4
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1519 | 1517 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +30 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1546 | 1546 |
L, 6-2
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1521 | 1480 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +16 | -5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1537 | 1499 |
W, 6-4
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1519 | 1482 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | +45 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1519 | 1551 |
L, 20-7
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1525 | 1476 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -15 | -13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1510 | 1487 |
W, 14-3
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1520 | 1481 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -19 | -5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +20 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1498 | 1496 |
L, 4-0
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1524 | 1514 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +32 | +9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1580 | 1523 |
L, 4-2
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1526 | 1512 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +13 | +9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1563 | 1521 |
W, 4-2
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1524 | 1514 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -3 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1545 | 1505 |
L, 2-1
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1526 | 1478 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -16 | -17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1534 | 1461 |
W, 6-5
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1525 | 1479 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -21 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1528 | 1476 |
W, 12-3
65%
35%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1522 | 1481 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +35 | -4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1583 | 1476 |
W, 7-1
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1519 | 1509 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1550 | 1514 |
W, 9-2
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1516 | 1513 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -6 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1534 | 1517 |
W, 12-4
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1512 | 1517 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -15 | +10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1521 | 1525 |
L, 6-3
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1514 | 1509 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -15 | -12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1523 | 1497 |
W, 5-0
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1512 | 1512 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +34 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +21 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1567 | 1515 |
W, 10-4
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1508 | 1515 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | +11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1513 | 1550 |
W, 6-5
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1507 | 1517 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -3 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -4 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1500 | 1542 |
W, 5-0
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1503 | 1540 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -21 | -2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1482 | 1562 |
L, 6-0
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1506 | 1537 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -5 | -34 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1501 | 1527 |
L, 3-0
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1508 | 1536 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -13 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1493 | 1566 |
W, 4-2
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1505 | 1553 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | -15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1509 | 1562 |
L, 5-1
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1507 | 1551 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1507 | 1567 |
L, 10-1
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1511 | 1548 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -10 | -19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +23 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1499 | 1552 |
L, 8-1
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1515 | 1484 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -9 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1530 | 1486 |
L, 16-1
62%
38%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1523 | 1476 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -9 | -26 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1538 | 1450 |
L, 2-1
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1524 | 1474 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -6 | +25 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1542 | 1499 |
W, 5-4
64%
36%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1524 | 1475 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -10 | -33 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1538 | 1439 |
W, 4-0
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1521 | 1475 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -20 | -2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1525 | 1473 |
L, 9-6
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1524 | 1473 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -24 | +16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1524 | 1489 |
W, 6-5
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1523 | 1474 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -7 | +16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +20 | -4 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1536 | 1486 |
L, 3-2
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1524 | 1515 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -8 | +13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1516 | 1552 |
L, 7-2
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1527 | 1512 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -25 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1502 | 1538 |
L, 4-0
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1529 | 1510 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -19 | -20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1510 | 1514 |
L, 7-2
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1532 | 1507 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -17 | +24 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1513 | 1555 |
W, 11-6
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1529 | 1466 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -7 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1522 | 1487 |
W, 10-9
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1528 | 1467 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | +16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1525 | 1509 |
W, 4-3
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1526 | 1506 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -38 | -28 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1512 | 1478 |
W, 8-2
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1523 | 1509 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -24 | -13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1523 | 1496 |
L, 3-1
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1525 | 1507 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | +35 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -4 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1538 | 1538 |
W, 11-3
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1522 | 1503 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | -16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1544 | 1487 |
W, 8-7
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1521 | 1504 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1543 | 1505 |
L, 6-4
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1523 | 1502 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +29 | +9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1574 | 1509 |
L, 12-4
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1527 | 1551 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -14 | -23 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1513 | 1552 |
L, 4-3
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1528 | 1550 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -13 | -4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1515 | 1570 |
W, 3-1
38%
62%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1525 | 1552 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -9 | +21 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1515 | 1597 |
W, 2-1
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1524 | 1505 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -6 | +35 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1518 | 1564 |
W, 8-0
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1520 | 1508 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +24 | -6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1544 | 1526 |
L, 19-9
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1525 | 1504 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | -23 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +23 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1522 | 1504 |
W, 11-1
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1520 | 1492 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -15 | +13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1505 | 1529 |
L, 4-3
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1521 | 1490 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1521 | 1511 |
L, 3-1
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1523 | 1488 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -4 | +18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1519 | 1530 |
L, 9-6
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1526 | 1486 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +26 | -15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1549 | 1495 |
W, 10-5
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1523 | 1508 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | -9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1548 | 1499 |
L, 5-0
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1527 | 1505 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -17 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1534 | 1508 |
W, 6-1
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1524 | 1508 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | -5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -4 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1537 | 1499 |
W, 8-7
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1523 | 1510 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | +14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1547 | 1524 |
W, 5-0
62%
38%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1521 | 1512 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +19 | -33 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1564 | 1479 |
W, 2-1
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1519 | 1513 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | -6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1544 | 1504 |
L, 10-5
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1522 | 1540 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -13 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1533 | 1532 |
L, 7-5
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1524 | 1538 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -7 | -13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1541 | 1525 |
W, 6-0
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1522 | 1541 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +15 | -20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +21 | -4 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1558 | 1517 |
L, 10-9
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1523 | 1507 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | +16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1524 | 1547 |
L, 5-4
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1524 | 1505 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1524 | 1532 |
L, 5-1
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1527 | 1503 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | -16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +22 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1513 | 1509 |
W, 4-2
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1525 | 1550 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -4 | -12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1521 | 1562 |
L, 5-3
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1526 | 1548 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +11 | -21 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1537 | 1551 |
L, 2-1
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1528 | 1547 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | +10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1530 | 1581 |
L, 3-0
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1529 | 1545 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | +15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -4 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1525 | 1584 |
AL West standings
| Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | AstrosAstros101-61 | — | ✓ | ✓ | ||
 | AngelsAngels80-82 | 21.0 | — | — | ||
 | RangersRangers78-84 | 23.0 | — | — | ||
 | MarinersMariners78-84 | 23.0 | — | — | ||
 | AthleticsAthletics75-87 | 26.0 | — | — |
This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest. It updates after each game. Methodology »
For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB »
Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
Comments