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The Marlins are done for the season.
Team rating
Starting pitchers
| Pitcher score | Adjustment to team ratingAdj. to team rating | ||
|---|---|---|---|
 | Odrisamer Despaigne | 48.0 | +14 |
 | Jose Urena | 47.3 | +11 |
 | Dan Straily | 46.6 | +8 |
 | Dillon Peters | 45.7 | +4 |
 | Adam Conley | 43.6 | -6 |
Completed games
L, 8-5
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1486 | 1464 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +13 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1523 | 1463 |
W, 10-2
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1483 | 1467 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +10 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1517 | 1467 |
W, 6-5
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1482 | 1468 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +14 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1520 | 1471 |
W, 7-1
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1478 | 1471 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -3 | +13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +20 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1495 | 1481 |
L, 15-9
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1481 | 1506 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -3 | +23 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1478 | 1553 |
L, 6-0
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1483 | 1503 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +17 | +11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1500 | 1538 |
W, 5-4
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1482 | 1505 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +21 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1481 | 1527 |
L, 3-2
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1483 | 1539 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +11 | -18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1494 | 1545 |
W, 12-6
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1479 | 1543 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | -7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1483 | 1560 |
L, 13-11
34%
66%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1480 | 1542 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | +28 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1479 | 1594 |
W, 9-2
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1477 | 1467 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +14 | -2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1515 | 1465 |
W, 5-4
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1476 | 1468 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1502 | 1471 |
W, 13-1
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1471 | 1473 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | -5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1502 | 1465 |
L, 10-3
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1475 | 1508 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +15 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1514 | 1510 |
W, 7-4
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1472 | 1510 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | +15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1498 | 1525 |
L, 10-2
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1477 | 1506 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +14 | -14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +21 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1512 | 1491 |
L, 10-0
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1482 | 1455 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +15 | -19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1497 | 1460 |
L, 8-1
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1485 | 1451 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +12 | +27 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1497 | 1502 |
L, 9-8
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1487 | 1450 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +14 | -16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1500 | 1458 |
L, 10-8
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1489 | 1467 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | +8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1496 | 1499 |
L, 6-5
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1490 | 1466 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1493 | 1496 |
W, 7-1
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1487 | 1469 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +10 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1497 | 1495 |
L, 6-5
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1488 | 1467 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +14 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1499 | 1493 |
L, 8-1
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1491 | 1564 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +14 | +8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1529 | 1572 |
L, 2-1
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1492 | 1563 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | +19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1516 | 1582 |
L, 7-2
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1495 | 1560 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | -33 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1525 | 1524 |
L, 3-1
65%
35%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1498 | 1446 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | -23 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1530 | 1423 |
W, 10-9
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1497 | 1447 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +20 | +31 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1541 | 1478 |
L, 2-1
64%
36%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1499 | 1445 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | -17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1529 | 1428 |
L, 3-2
63%
37%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1501 | 1443 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +21 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1525 | 1432 |
L, 4-0
37%
63%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1503 | 1564 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | +14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1510 | 1602 |
L, 8-3
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1505 | 1561 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | -48 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1503 | 1537 |
L, 11-2
34%
66%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1508 | 1559 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | +43 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1514 | 1626 |
W, 6-2
65%
35%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1506 | 1451 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +20 | -9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1550 | 1442 |
W, 2-1
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1505 | 1452 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | +21 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1527 | 1473 |
W, 8-6
62%
38%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1504 | 1454 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +21 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1533 | 1451 |
W, 9-8
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1502 | 1445 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | -19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1507 | 1450 |
L, 8-0
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1507 | 1440 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -14 | -12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1493 | 1452 |
W, 7-4
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1505 | 1442 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | -12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1513 | 1454 |
W, 12-8
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1503 | 1444 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +16 | +32 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +1 | +22 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1520 | 1498 |
W, 6-4
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1501 | 1488 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | +41 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1501 | 1553 |
L, 8-1
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1504 | 1484 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | -16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1507 | 1492 |
W, 3-1
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1503 | 1486 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -14 | -12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1488 | 1498 |
W, 8-1
63%
37%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1500 | 1476 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +10 | -34 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1534 | 1442 |
L, 9-4
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1503 | 1472 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +20 | +44 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1547 | 1516 |
W, 8-3
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1501 | 1475 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1526 | 1471 |
W, 5-3
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1499 | 1509 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | +18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1528 | 1527 |
W, 4-3
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1498 | 1510 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -15 | -7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1507 | 1503 |
W, 6-3
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1496 | 1513 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +11 | +8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +21 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1528 | 1520 |
L, 3-2
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1497 | 1555 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +17 | -21 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1514 | 1558 |
L, 10-1
38%
62%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1500 | 1552 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | +11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1505 | 1587 |
W, 7-3
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1497 | 1555 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | -37 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1500 | 1542 |
L, 3-2
32%
68%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1498 | 1554 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -4 | +45 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +21 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1491 | 1620 |
W, 4-1
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1495 | 1478 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1504 | 1506 |
L, 7-2
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1498 | 1475 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +16 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1514 | 1505 |
L, 5-3
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1500 | 1473 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | +11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1507 | 1508 |
W, 7-0
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1496 | 1554 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | -32 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1518 | 1522 |
W, 7-6
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1495 | 1556 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | +46 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1528 | 1602 |
L, 1-0
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1496 | 1554 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1523 | 1555 |
L, 6-4
61%
39%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1498 | 1439 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +18 | +27 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1540 | 1466 |
W, 7-3
61%
39%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1496 | 1441 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | +9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1529 | 1450 |
W, 7-4
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1495 | 1442 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | +12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1520 | 1454 |
W, 4-1
61%
39%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1493 | 1444 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +21 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1518 | 1440 |
W, 22-10
38%
62%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1487 | 1516 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | +36 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1493 | 1576 |
L, 10-4
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1489 | 1513 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +26 | +17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1515 | 1554 |
W, 4-0
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1486 | 1516 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | -12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +21 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1486 | 1525 |
L, 6-3
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1489 | 1446 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -19 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1470 | 1473 |
W, 5-4
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1487 | 1448 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1492 | 1475 |
W, 3-1
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1486 | 1450 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | +10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1486 | 1484 |
L, 10-3
67%
33%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1491 | 1438 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +31 | -15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1546 | 1423 |
L, 5-2
62%
38%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1494 | 1435 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1520 | 1435 |
W, 6-5
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1493 | 1436 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -19 | +7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1498 | 1440 |
L, 3-2
38%
62%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1494 | 1598 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1522 | 1604 |
L, 7-1
38%
62%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1496 | 1596 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | +15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1524 | 1611 |
L, 6-4
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1498 | 1594 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +33 | -13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +29 | +5 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1560 | 1586 |
W, 10-8
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1496 | 1478 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | +17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1502 | 1519 |
W, 5-4
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1494 | 1479 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | +17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1497 | 1520 |
W, 6-1
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1491 | 1482 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +30 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -4 | +20 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1517 | 1491 |
L, 4-3
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1493 | 1501 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -21 | -12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1472 | 1513 |
W, 9-6
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1490 | 1504 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | +9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1496 | 1537 |
W, 5-2
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1488 | 1506 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1493 | 1529 |
L, 14-6
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1491 | 1503 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -12 | -13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1477 | 1514 |
W, 10-3
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1487 | 1497 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +28 | +11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1515 | 1532 |
L, 8-4
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1489 | 1494 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -18 | -6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1471 | 1512 |
L, 3-2
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1491 | 1493 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | -14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +22 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1488 | 1501 |
L, 6-3
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1493 | 1504 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1519 | 1507 |
L, 8-0
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1497 | 1500 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -14 | +22 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1507 | 1522 |
W, 6-3
61%
39%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1495 | 1502 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +29 | -28 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1550 | 1472 |
W, 4-2
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1493 | 1548 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | -17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1518 | 1531 |
L, 5-3
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1495 | 1546 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -18 | +22 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1501 | 1568 |
W, 2-0
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1493 | 1548 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | -6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1517 | 1542 |
L, 11-1
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1496 | 1544 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -10 | +7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1510 | 1548 |
W, 2-1
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1495 | 1552 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +26 | +48 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1545 | 1600 |
L, 12-3
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1499 | 1548 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | -5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1527 | 1543 |
W, 8-7
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1497 | 1549 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -14 | -15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +21 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1504 | 1531 |
L, 5-4
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1499 | 1467 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -5 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1494 | 1494 |
L, 8-7
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1500 | 1466 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -10 | +15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1490 | 1505 |
W, 5-0
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1497 | 1469 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +20 | +11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +23 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1516 | 1503 |
W, 11-6
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1495 | 1471 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | -10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1527 | 1461 |
W, 8-1
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1492 | 1474 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -8 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +23 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1507 | 1463 |
L, 3-1
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1493 | 1487 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -9 | +22 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1484 | 1533 |
L, 7-6
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1495 | 1486 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +23 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1518 | 1511 |
W, 12-7
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1492 | 1489 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -3 | -32 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1489 | 1481 |
W, 7-1
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1488 | 1493 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +22 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1489 | 1520 |
W, 6-5
37%
63%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1486 | 1550 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -9 | -2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1477 | 1572 |
L, 10-2
36%
64%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1489 | 1548 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -7 | +8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1482 | 1580 |
L, 3-1
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1491 | 1546 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +24 | -42 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1512 | 1528 |
W, 6-5
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1489 | 1511 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | -26 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1514 | 1485 |
W, 3-0
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1487 | 1513 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -7 | -7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1504 | 1506 |
W, 7-5
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1485 | 1515 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -3 | -36 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1506 | 1479 |
L, 3-2
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1487 | 1514 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | +25 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1500 | 1536 |
W, 10-2
62%
38%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1484 | 1443 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +24 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1532 | 1448 |
W, 7-2
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1481 | 1445 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -13 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1492 | 1450 |
W, 4-1
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1479 | 1447 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -9 | +10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1494 | 1454 |
W, 9-2
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1475 | 1505 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | +14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1499 | 1519 |
L, 5-2
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1478 | 1503 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1505 | 1505 |
W, 8-5
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1476 | 1505 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +27 | -12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1525 | 1491 |
L, 4-1
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1478 | 1475 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -8 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1470 | 1491 |
W, 11-9
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1476 | 1477 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | -2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1479 | 1501 |
L, 6-3
38%
62%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1477 | 1558 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | -14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1481 | 1568 |
W, 10-6
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1474 | 1561 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +26 | -14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1500 | 1571 |
L, 7-2
34%
66%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1476 | 1560 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -9 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1467 | 1585 |
L, 7-2
38%
62%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1478 | 1558 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -8 | -31 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -4 | +22 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1466 | 1549 |
L, 3-0
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1480 | 1567 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | +17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1505 | 1584 |
L, 12-2
36%
64%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1483 | 1564 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | +29 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1496 | 1593 |
L, 7-2
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1485 | 1561 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +20 | -20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1529 | 1538 |
W, 3-1
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1484 | 1466 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -12 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1496 | 1465 |
L, 3-1
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1486 | 1464 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | +18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1499 | 1482 |
L, 8-4
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1489 | 1461 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1516 | 1461 |
L, 7-5
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1491 | 1514 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -9 | +8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1506 | 1522 |
L, 6-5
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1492 | 1512 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +18 | -19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1534 | 1493 |
L, 9-4
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1495 | 1509 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | +17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +21 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1520 | 1523 |
W, 7-0
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1491 | 1517 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -4 | -19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1487 | 1522 |
L, 11-3
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1495 | 1514 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | -29 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1497 | 1509 |
L, 8-7
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1496 | 1512 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -9 | -35 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +23 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1484 | 1500 |
L, 5-1
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1499 | 1509 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +20 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1519 | 1525 |
W, 10-6
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1496 | 1512 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | -7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +22 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1499 | 1527 |
L, 3-1
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1498 | 1510 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | -4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1511 | 1506 |
L, 4-2
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1500 | 1508 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | +12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1531 | 1517 |
W, 10-3
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1496 | 1500 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -8 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1512 | 1489 |
L, 4-0
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1499 | 1497 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +19 | +14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1542 | 1511 |
L, 12-2
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1504 | 1492 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +13 | +24 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +21 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1538 | 1515 |
L, 3-2
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1506 | 1469 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -12 | +18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1494 | 1511 |
L, 7-4
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1508 | 1467 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | -5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +1 | +29 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1517 | 1491 |
W, 7-3
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1506 | 1448 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | -4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1495 | 1468 |
W, 6-3
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1504 | 1450 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +13 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1517 | 1473 |
L, 5-3
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1506 | 1448 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +13 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1518 | 1464 |
L, 10-5
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1508 | 1523 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -9 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1499 | 1548 |
W, 5-0
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1505 | 1527 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | -17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1508 | 1534 |
L, 6-1
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1508 | 1524 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -5 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -4 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1499 | 1537 |
W, 4-2
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1506 | 1527 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +11 | -6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1541 | 1521 |
W, 5-4
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1504 | 1528 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +13 | +11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1541 | 1539 |
W, 3-2
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1503 | 1530 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -7 | +28 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1520 | 1558 |
L, 9-8
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1504 | 1528 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | -16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1536 | 1509 |
L, 5-4
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1506 | 1467 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -4 | -13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1526 | 1454 |
W, 8-4
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1504 | 1469 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +10 | +7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +23 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1537 | 1475 |
L, 5-2
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1506 | 1520 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -7 | +25 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1499 | 1569 |
W, 8-1
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1502 | 1524 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | -13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1511 | 1535 |
W, 7-2
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1499 | 1527 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | -16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1503 | 1535 |
W, 4-3
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1497 | 1546 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -5 | -19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1492 | 1551 |
L, 6-4
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1498 | 1544 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +17 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +2 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1517 | 1571 |
L, 4-2
36%
64%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1500 | 1543 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -12 | +15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1485 | 1582 |
NL East standings
| Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | NationalsNationals97-65 | — | ✓ | ✓ | ||
 | MarlinsMarlins77-85 | 20.0 | — | — | ||
 | BravesBraves72-90 | 25.0 | — | — | ||
 | MetsMets70-92 | 27.0 | — | — | ||
 | PhilliesPhillies66-96 | 31.0 | — | — |
This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest. It updates after each game. Methodology »
For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB »
Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
Comments