Updated Nov. 2, 2017 at 12:02 AM

2017 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Mets are done for the season.twitter bird

Team rating

Starting pitchers

Pitcher score Adjustment to team ratingAdj. to
team rating
Noah Syndergaard
Noah Syndergaard56.5+50
Jacob deGrom
Jacob deGrom54.0+38
Seth Lugo
Seth Lugo47.9+10
Rafael Montero
Rafael Montero44.4-7
Robert Gsellman
Robert Gsellman43.7-10
Matt Harvey
Matt Harvey42.7-15
Chris Flexen
Chris Flexen40.1-27

Completed games

L, 11-0

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14661465
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+51-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15171476

W, 7-4

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14631468
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14741487

L, 6-2

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14661465
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-120
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+1+26
Adjusted team rating14551491

vs. Braves

W, 7-1

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14621475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-130
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14731475

W, 4-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14611476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14781478

W, 3-2

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14601477
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14901474

L, 9-2

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14631474
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-26-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating14611466

L, 3-2

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14641557
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+39+35
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15271592

L, 4-3

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14651556
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+55+33
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15441589

W, 7-6

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14641557
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10-59
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+23-3
Adjusted team rating14771495

L, 9-2

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14671477
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14651515

L, 5-4

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14681476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14711502

L, 13-1

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731471
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14651502

W, 5-1

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14691477
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14521515

W, 7-3

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14671479
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+36+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15031507

L, 3-2

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14681478
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+21
Adjusted team rating14631499

at Cubs

L, 14-6

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14711541
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9-21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14801544

L, 17-5

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751538
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14741560

L, 8-3

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761536
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+26
Adjusted team rating14581569

vs. Reds

L, 10-5

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14801453
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+32+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15361460

W, 6-1

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781456
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14971457

W, 5-1

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761457
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6-34
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15061423

W, 7-2

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731460
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating14971469

W, 6-3

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14711452
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14791439

L, 9-1

64%

36%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14771446
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+43-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15441444

W, 11-7

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14741449
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-3
Adjusted team rating14921447

L, 8-6

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751557
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-21-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14541567

L, 4-1

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14771556
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+30
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14801580

L, 12-8

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781554
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+26
Adjusted team rating14781582

at Reds

L, 7-2

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14821450
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+42+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15241478

W, 2-0

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14801452
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-130
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14671476

L, 14-4

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14841448
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+26
Adjusted team rating14701483

L, 5-4

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14851558
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0-20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14851562

W, 6-5

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14841560
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-20-47
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14641537

L, 9-4

32%

68%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14851558
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14681596

W, 4-2

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14831560
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+38-38
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+21
Adjusted team rating15191543

L, 3-2

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14841514
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14951522

W, 4-2

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14821516
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14921521

L, 7-4

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14851514
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18-19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14911495

L, 3-2

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14861513
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-20-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating14901502

L, 6-4

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14881501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+410
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15531501

W, 8-1

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14841504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14921507

L, 3-1

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14861503
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-1
Adjusted team rating14981488

L, 7-5

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14881537
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15201550

L, 5-3

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14901535
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-21-19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+23-1
Adjusted team rating14921515

L, 5-4

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911534
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+43+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15341563

L, 4-2

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14921533
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-21-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+24
Adjusted team rating14701540

W, 6-2

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14901452
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14-22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14761454

L, 3-1

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14921450
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+29
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14991503

W, 7-6

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14901451
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14911462

W, 10-0

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14871455
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+400
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+21
Adjusted team rating15261476

L, 5-1

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14891504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18-20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14951484

W, 5-4

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14881505
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-1
Adjusted team rating15011495

L, 8-0

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911604
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8-27
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15231577

L, 7-4

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931603
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15181613

L, 6-0

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951600
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+41+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+20-3
Adjusted team rating15561609

L, 5-4

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961511
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-19+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14771551

W, 10-5

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931514
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14841536

L, 5-4

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14941513
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+22
Adjusted team rating15001520

L, 9-1

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971514
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+38
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15011576

L, 3-2

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+39-18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15381518

W, 7-5

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961514
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+26
Adjusted team rating14751548

L, 7-5

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981448
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14971473

L, 6-3

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15011445
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11+21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15121490

W, 6-5

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991447
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15041483

W, 5-3

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981448
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+34-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-4+22
Adjusted team rating15281456

L, 3-2

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15001478
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-21-21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15031457

W, 6-5

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981480
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11+27
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15111507

W, 7-5

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971481
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15321477

W, 3-2

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951509
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15191515

W, 7-3

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931511
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+33-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15501507

L, 5-0

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-22-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14981497

L, 6-3

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15161495

L, 13-4

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+21+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15481506

W, 9-3

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15001507
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15201510

W, 14-2

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961511
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+27+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+30+5
Adjusted team rating15531528

L, 6-0

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991503
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+280
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15271527

L, 4-1

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15011501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14911514

W, 6-5

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15001502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+30+31
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+2+24
Adjusted team rating15321557

L, 11-4

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031552
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-26
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15041550

L, 3-2

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041551
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+23+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+21
Adjusted team rating15251584

L, 7-1

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081434
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-24-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15081424

W, 7-6

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15071435
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15211440

W, 2-1

67%

33%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061436
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+27-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-2
Adjusted team rating15541428

W, 6-3

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041493
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15071519

W, 8-0

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15001497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+22-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15221507

L, 6-3

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15021495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-28+29
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+26
Adjusted team rating14721550

W, 8-2

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981472
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-27-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14711487

W, 5-2

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961474
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+25+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15211514

W, 11-4

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931478
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+20
Adjusted team rating15011492

L, 6-3

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14941580
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+23-30
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15171574

L, 8-2

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961578
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-60
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14901602

L, 12-0

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991575
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-20-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14791595

L, 10-6

30%

70%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15011574
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3+47
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-4+20
Adjusted team rating14941641

W, 5-1

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981552
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+16-28
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15381524

L, 7-4

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15001550
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15331567

L, 7-2

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031547
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+22+44
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15491591

L, 8-3

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061545
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15151535

vs. Cubs

W, 9-4

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031542
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8-21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15191521

L, 14-3

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15071538
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15361558

W, 6-1

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041541
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-3
Adjusted team rating15331536

W, 2-1

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031464
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15031498

W, 8-1

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991467
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15161485

W, 6-1

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961470
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-22+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14741496

L, 3-2

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981469
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+24
Adjusted team rating14881499

W, 4-3

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961507
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+36
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15011567

L, 10-8

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981505
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+19-25
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+26
Adjusted team rating15161506

L, 11-1

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031491
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15191486

W, 4-2

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15011492
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-23-30
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15021462

L, 12-7

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041489
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15211500

L, 2-1

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15321500

L, 7-1

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15091493
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+26+36
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15591529

W, 5-4

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081494
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15191491

W, 4-2

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-30-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-3
Adjusted team rating14981481

W, 7-2

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041494
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9-30
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14951488

L, 5-4

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15051493
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15071534

W, 8-1

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15011497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+23-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+22
Adjusted team rating15221510

vs. Padres

L, 4-3

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031430
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-32+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14951439

L, 6-5

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15051428
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-31-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14981426

W, 9-3

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15021431
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-2
Adjusted team rating15181443

vs. Angels

L, 12-5

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-24-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15061491

W, 7-5

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15051502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15291486

W, 3-0

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-2
Adjusted team rating15421500

L, 5-4

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14931504

L, 5-4

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15051501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-23+28
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14821553

L, 7-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1-19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-4+24
Adjusted team rating15031504

L, 11-9

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15101493
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+18-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15281508

L, 11-4

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15131490
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-29-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14841513

L, 7-4

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15151487
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+24
Adjusted team rating15061498

vs. Giants

L, 6-5

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15171488
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-25-34
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15161454

W, 6-1

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15141490
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15331491

W, 4-3

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15131491
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+16-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15531477

L, 7-0

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15171491
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-19-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15221487

W, 11-3

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15141495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-29+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15091497

W, 8-7

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-35-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+23-3
Adjusted team rating15001484

W, 16-5

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+170
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15251500

L, 9-7

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15101474
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15021497

W, 7-5

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-28+22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+21
Adjusted team rating14771519

L, 23-5

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15141553
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+29-19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15431558

W, 5-3

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121555
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14991597

W, 7-5

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15091558
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13+35
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+20
Adjusted team rating15201613

vs. Braves

L, 7-5

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15111469
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15311468

L, 8-2

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15151465
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-21+21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+29+4
Adjusted team rating15231490

L, 6-3

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15171549
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17+35
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15241584

L, 3-1

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15191547
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15551533

L, 4-3

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15201545
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15381543

L, 6-4

66%

34%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15231460
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+27-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15741458

W, 5-4

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15221461
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-25-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15211459

L, 6-2

63%

37%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15251457
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18-21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+230
Adjusted team rating15301436

L, 4-2

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15271506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15211541

L, 5-4

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15281504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15391541

L, 3-2

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15301503
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+28-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15581520

W, 9-8

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15281504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating15091536

W, 5-4

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15271458
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-20+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15071483

W, 14-4

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15231462
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15161487

W, 4-3

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15221464
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+24
Adjusted team rating15311504

W, 5-2

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15201506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+25-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15691499

L, 8-1

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15241502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15351511

L, 7-2

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15271499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15351503

vs. Braves

W, 6-2

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15261475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15411462

L, 3-1

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15281473
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26+2
Adjusted team rating15611478

W, 6-0

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15261475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+23+27
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15731499

NL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
NationalsNationals97-65
MarlinsMarlins77-8520.0
BravesBraves72-9025.0
MetsMets70-9227.0
PhilliesPhillies66-9631.0

This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest. It updates after each game. Methodology »

For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB »

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