Updated Sep. 24, 2017 at 12:05 AM

2017 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Mets have a 0% chance of making the playoffs.twitter bird

Their team rating is 1464, down 5 points from last week.

NL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
NationalsNationals93-61
BravesBraves70-8322.5
MetsMets66-8827.0
MarlinsMarlins73-8120.0
PhilliesPhillies61-9432.5

Upcoming games

deGrom vs. Scherzer

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14641557
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+39+35
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15271592

vs. Braves

Lugo vs. Sims

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14641476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating14941469

Montero vs. Fried

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14641476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14831474

Flexen vs. Dickey

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14641476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-26+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14621480

Gsellman vs. Newcomb

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14641476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14761478

Harvey vs. Lively

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14641460
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-100
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+1+26
Adjusted team rating14551486

deGrom vs. Alvarez

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14641460
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+39-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15031480

Lugo vs. Pivetta

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14641460
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14701467

Team rating

Starting pitchers

Pitcher score Adjustment to team ratingAdj. to
team rating
Jacob deGrom
Jacob deGrom53.7+39
Seth Lugo
Seth Lugo46.8+6
Rafael Montero
Rafael Montero44.5-5
Matt Harvey
Matt Harvey43.4-10
Robert Gsellman
Robert Gsellman43.0-12
Chris Flexen
Chris Flexen40.0-26

Completed games

L, 4-3

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14651556
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+55+33
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15441589

W, 7-6

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14641557
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10-59
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+23-3
Adjusted team rating14771495

L, 9-2

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14671477
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14651515

L, 5-4

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14681476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14711502

L, 13-1

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731471
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14651502

W, 5-1

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14691477
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14521515

W, 7-3

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14671479
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+36+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15031507

L, 3-2

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14681478
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+21
Adjusted team rating14631499

at Cubs

L, 14-6

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14711541
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9-21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14801544

L, 17-5

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751538
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14741560

L, 8-3

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761536
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+26
Adjusted team rating14581569

vs. Reds

L, 10-5

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14801453
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+32+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15361460

W, 6-1

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781456
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14971457

W, 5-1

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761457
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6-34
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15061423

W, 7-2

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731460
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating14971469

W, 6-3

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14711452
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14791439

L, 9-1

64%

36%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14771446
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+43-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15441444

W, 11-7

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14741449
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-3
Adjusted team rating14921447

L, 8-6

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751557
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-21-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14541567

L, 4-1

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14771556
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+30
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14801580

L, 12-8

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781554
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+26
Adjusted team rating14781582

at Reds

L, 7-2

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14821450
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+42+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15241478

W, 2-0

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14801452
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-130
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14671476

L, 14-4

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14841448
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+26
Adjusted team rating14701483

L, 5-4

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14851558
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0-20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14851562

W, 6-5

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14841560
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-20-47
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14641537

L, 9-4

32%

68%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14851558
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14681596

W, 4-2

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14831560
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+38-38
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+21
Adjusted team rating15191543

L, 3-2

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14841514
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14951522

W, 4-2

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14821516
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14921521

L, 7-4

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14851514
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18-19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14911495

L, 3-2

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14861513
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-20-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating14901502

L, 6-4

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14881501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+410
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15531501

W, 8-1

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14841504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14921507

L, 3-1

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14861503
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-1
Adjusted team rating14981488

L, 7-5

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14881537
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15201550

L, 5-3

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14901535
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-21-19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+23-1
Adjusted team rating14921515

L, 5-4

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911534
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+43+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15341563

L, 4-2

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14921533
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-21-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+24
Adjusted team rating14701540

W, 6-2

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14901452
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14-22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14761454

L, 3-1

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14921450
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+29
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14991503

W, 7-6

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14901451
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14911462

W, 10-0

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14871455
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+400
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+21
Adjusted team rating15261476

L, 5-1

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14891504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18-20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14951484

W, 5-4

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14881505
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-1
Adjusted team rating15011495

L, 8-0

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911604
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8-27
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15231577

L, 7-4

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931603
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15181613

L, 6-0

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951600
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+41+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+20-3
Adjusted team rating15561609

L, 5-4

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961511
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-19+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14771551

W, 10-5

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931514
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14841536

L, 5-4

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14941513
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+22
Adjusted team rating15001520

L, 9-1

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971514
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+38
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15011576

L, 3-2

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+39-18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15381518

W, 7-5

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961514
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+26
Adjusted team rating14751548

L, 7-5

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981448
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14971473

L, 6-3

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15011445
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11+21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15121490

W, 6-5

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991447
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15041483

W, 5-3

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981448
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+34-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-4+22
Adjusted team rating15281456

L, 3-2

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15001478
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-21-21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15031457

W, 6-5

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981480
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11+27
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15111507

W, 7-5

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971481
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15321477

W, 3-2

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951509
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15191515

W, 7-3

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931511
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+33-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15501507

L, 5-0

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-22-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14981497

L, 6-3

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15161495

L, 13-4

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+21+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15481506

W, 9-3

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15001507
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15201510

W, 14-2

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961511
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+27+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+30+5
Adjusted team rating15531528

L, 6-0

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991503
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+280
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15271527

L, 4-1

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15011501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14911514

W, 6-5

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15001502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+30+31
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+2+24
Adjusted team rating15321557

L, 11-4

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031552
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-26
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15041550

L, 3-2

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041551
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+23+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+21
Adjusted team rating15251584

L, 7-1

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081434
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-24-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15081424

W, 7-6

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15071435
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15211440

W, 2-1

67%

33%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061436
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+27-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-2
Adjusted team rating15541428

W, 6-3

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041493
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15071519

W, 8-0

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15001497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+22-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15221507

L, 6-3

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15021495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-28+29
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+26
Adjusted team rating14721550

W, 8-2

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981472
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-27-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14711487

W, 5-2

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961474
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+25+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15211514

W, 11-4

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931478
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+20
Adjusted team rating15011492

L, 6-3

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14941580
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+23-30
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15171574

L, 8-2

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961578
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-60
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14901602

L, 12-0

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991575
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-20-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14791595

L, 10-6

30%

70%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15011574
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3+47
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-4+20
Adjusted team rating14941641

W, 5-1

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981552
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+16-28
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15381524

L, 7-4

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15001550
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15331567

L, 7-2

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031547
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+22+44
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15491591

L, 8-3

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061545
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15151535

vs. Cubs

W, 9-4

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031542
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8-21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15191521

L, 14-3

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15071538
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15361558

W, 6-1

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041541
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-3
Adjusted team rating15331536

W, 2-1

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031464
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15031498

W, 8-1

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991467
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15161485

W, 6-1

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961470
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-22+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14741496

L, 3-2

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981469
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+24
Adjusted team rating14881499

W, 4-3

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961507
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+36
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15011567

L, 10-8

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981505
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+19-25
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+26
Adjusted team rating15161506

L, 11-1

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031491
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15191486

W, 4-2

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15011492
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-23-30
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15021462

L, 12-7

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041489
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15211500

L, 2-1

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15321500

L, 7-1

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15091493
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+26+36
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15591529

W, 5-4

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081494
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15191491

W, 4-2

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-30-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-3
Adjusted team rating14981481

W, 7-2

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041494
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9-30
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14951488

L, 5-4

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15051493
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15071534

W, 8-1

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15011497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+23-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+22
Adjusted team rating15221510

vs. Padres

L, 4-3

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031430
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-32+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14951439

L, 6-5

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15051428
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-31-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14981426

W, 9-3

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15021431
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-2
Adjusted team rating15181443

vs. Angels

L, 12-5

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-24-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15061491

W, 7-5

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15051502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15291486

W, 3-0

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-2
Adjusted team rating15421500

L, 5-4

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14931504

L, 5-4

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15051501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-23+28
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14821553

L, 7-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1-19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-4+24
Adjusted team rating15031504

L, 11-9

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15101493
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+18-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15281508

L, 11-4

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15131490
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-29-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14841513

L, 7-4

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15151487
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+24
Adjusted team rating15061498

vs. Giants

L, 6-5

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15171488
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-25-34
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15161454

W, 6-1

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15141490
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15331491

W, 4-3

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15131491
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+16-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15531477

L, 7-0

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15171491
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-19-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15221487

W, 11-3

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15141495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-29+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15091497

W, 8-7

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-35-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+23-3
Adjusted team rating15001484

W, 16-5

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+170
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15251500

L, 9-7

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15101474
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15021497

W, 7-5

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-28+22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+21
Adjusted team rating14771519

L, 23-5

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15141553
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+29-19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15431558

W, 5-3

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121555
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14991597

W, 7-5

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15091558
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13+35
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+20
Adjusted team rating15201613

vs. Braves

L, 7-5

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15111469
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15311468

L, 8-2

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15151465
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-21+21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+29+4
Adjusted team rating15231490

L, 6-3

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15171549
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17+35
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15241584

L, 3-1

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15191547
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15551533

L, 4-3

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15201545
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15381543

L, 6-4

66%

34%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15231460
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+27-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15741458

W, 5-4

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15221461
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-25-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15211459

L, 6-2

63%

37%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15251457
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18-21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+230
Adjusted team rating15301436

L, 4-2

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15271506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15211541

L, 5-4

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15281504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15391541

L, 3-2

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15301503
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+28-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15581520

W, 9-8

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15281504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating15091536

W, 5-4

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15271458
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-20+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15071483

W, 14-4

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15231462
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15161487

W, 4-3

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15221464
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+24
Adjusted team rating15311504

W, 5-2

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15201506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+25-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15691499

L, 8-1

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15241502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15351511

L, 7-2

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15271499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15351503

vs. Braves

W, 6-2

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15261475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15411462

L, 3-1

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15281473
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26+2
Adjusted team rating15611478

W, 6-0

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15261475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+23+27
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15731499

This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest. It updates after each game. Methodology »

For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB »

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