Updated Nov. 2, 2017 at 12:02 AM

2017 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Phillies are done for the season.twitter bird

Team rating

Starting pitchers

Pitcher score Adjustment to team ratingAdj. to
team rating
Aaron Nola
Aaron Nola55.1+32
Ben Lively
Ben Lively48.40
Henderson Alvarez
Henderson Alvarez46.6-9
Nick Pivetta
Nick Pivetta46.4-9
Jake Thompson
Jake Thompson46.0-11
Mark Leiter Jr.
Mark Leiter Jr.44.9-16

Completed games

vs. Mets

W, 11-0

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14651466
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13+51
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14761517

L, 7-4

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14681463
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14871474

W, 6-2

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14651466
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26+1
Adjusted team rating14911455

W, 7-5

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14631557
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14761548

W, 4-1

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14601560
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14701571

L, 3-1

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14621558
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+31-30
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-1
Adjusted team rating15141527

W, 2-0

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14601476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14431499

L, 4-2

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14611475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14551513

L, 7-2

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14641472
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14681497

L, 5-4

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14651558
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14761547

W, 7-5

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14621560
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14701564

W, 6-2

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14591563
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+30+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15131569

W, 4-3

30%

70%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14571565
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-19+45
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating14621608

L, 6-3

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14591479
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14801486

W, 5-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14571481
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14901488

L, 4-0

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14601479
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating14721470

W, 10-0

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14551482
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-19+15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14601497

W, 8-1

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14511485
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+27+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15021497

W, 9-8

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14501487
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-1
Adjusted team rating14581500

L, 3-2

29%

71%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14501566
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14551613

W, 5-4

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14481568
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12-48
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14361544

L, 11-10

24%

76%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14491568
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13+42
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14361634

L, 4-3

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14501567
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+27-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+21
Adjusted team rating14751572

at Mets

L, 6-3

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14521471
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14391479

W, 9-1

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14461477
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2+43
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14441544

L, 11-7

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14491474
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+21
Adjusted team rating14471492

W, 3-1

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14461498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-23+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14231530

L, 10-9

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14471497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+31+20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14781541

W, 2-1

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14451499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14281529

W, 3-2

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14431501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+21
Adjusted team rating14321525

vs. Braves

L, 5-2

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14451469
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14701476

L, 9-1

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14491465
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26+2
Adjusted team rating14821476

W, 6-1

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14471468
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+29+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15001472

vs. Cubs

W, 6-3

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14441545
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14501534

L, 17-2

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14481541
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14701560

W, 7-1

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14441546
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating14741554

L, 9-8

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14451502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-19+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14501507

W, 8-0

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14401507
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14521493

L, 7-4

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14421505
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14541513

L, 12-8

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14441503
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+32+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22+1
Adjusted team rating14981520

W, 5-2

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14411475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5+41
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14361540

W, 12-9

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14391478
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14471497

L, 10-2

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14421475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-19-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14231487

L, 5-4

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14431473
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+35+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+20
Adjusted team rating14761503

L, 3-0

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14451449
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14291459

L, 8-4

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14471447
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5+22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14421493

L, 7-4

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14491445
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-4+23
Adjusted team rating14501465

vs. Mets

L, 6-2

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14521490
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-22-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14541476

W, 3-1

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14501492
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+29+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15031499

L, 7-6

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14511490
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14621491

L, 10-0

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14551487
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+40
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-1
Adjusted team rating14761526

W, 3-2

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14531473
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14571498

W, 5-2

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14511476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-24+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+26
Adjusted team rating14261504

W, 3-2

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14491514
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+25-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14741527

L, 8-5

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14501513
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14431544

L, 4-3

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14511512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14471533

L, 5-4

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14521511
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14561543

L, 7-0

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14551509
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14411527

L, 7-1

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14571506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+24-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-4+22
Adjusted team rating14771520

vs. Braves

W, 7-6

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14561475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14671487

W, 2-1

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14551476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14741484

W, 4-3

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14531477
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+50
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14821477

W, 10-3

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14491482
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-2
Adjusted team rating14571488

vs. Astros

W, 9-0

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14431593
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+22+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14891596

L, 5-0

33%

67%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14451591
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14551577

L, 13-4

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14471589
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-1
Adjusted team rating14721587

W, 6-3

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14451502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14721505

L, 9-8

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14461500
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14721495

W, 6-1

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14431503
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+18-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+23-2
Adjusted team rating14841491

W, 10-3

33%

67%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14381491
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15+31
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14231546

W, 5-2

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14351494
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14351520

L, 6-5

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14361493
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7-19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14401498

W, 5-2

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14331512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14341525

L, 3-2

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14341511
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+18+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14521544

L, 9-6

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14361510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+6+30
Adjusted team rating14371535

vs. Padres

W, 7-1

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14321446
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14601456

L, 2-1

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14341445
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14721459

L, 4-3

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14351443
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating14541434

L, 6-3

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14371488
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14621481

L, 5-2

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14391486
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14571487

L, 3-0

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14411485
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5+24
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14601509

W, 4-0

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14381487
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+23-2
Adjusted team rating14711503

at Mets

W, 7-1

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14341508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10-24
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14241508

L, 7-6

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14351507
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14401521

L, 2-1

33%

67%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14361506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6+27
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+21
Adjusted team rating14281554

W, 5-4

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14341517
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14371545

W, 8-2

31%

69%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14291522
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8+20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+26
Adjusted team rating14341568

L, 6-1

30%

70%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14301533
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14311578

L, 2-1

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14311533
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14301547

L, 9-2

31%

69%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14331531
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14301571

W, 6-1

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14291535
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6-39
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-4+21
Adjusted team rating14191517

W, 5-1

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14251498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+40
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14541538

L, 7-6

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14271497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0-20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14511477

L, 8-1

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14301494
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26+1
Adjusted team rating14551500

L, 5-4

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14311526
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14561549

L, 5-1

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14331524
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14641514

L, 5-4

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14341523
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8-40
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14661483

W, 1-0

31%

69%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14321539
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10+44
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14461583

L, 7-3

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14341537
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5-19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-2
Adjusted team rating14611516

L, 4-3

32%

68%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14351536
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14361568

L, 6-5

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14361536
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14411556

L, 6-5

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14371498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14451510

L, 7-0

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14391496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9+27
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14301547

L, 3-2

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14401495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6-23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+22
Adjusted team rating14441494

L, 3-1

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14411467
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14411484

L, 14-1

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14461463
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14541499

W, 3-1

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14441465
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14471502

W, 11-4

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14401469
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+22
Adjusted team rating14291477

vs. Giants

W, 9-7

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14381495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14721485

W, 5-3

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14351498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14551514

L, 10-0

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14401493
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+15-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+23-2
Adjusted team rating14781476

L, 10-2

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14431484
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+24
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14481532

L, 7-2

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14451481
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14501492

L, 4-1

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14471479
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14541494

vs. Reds

L, 8-4

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14491476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14581492

W, 4-3

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14481477
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14851470

L, 5-2

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14501475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14781478

W, 2-1

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14491514
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14751524

L, 7-2

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14511511
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14891510

L, 8-2

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14541508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-100
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14681508

L, 8-1

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14581505
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11-24
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-2
Adjusted team rating14911479

L, 1-0

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14591492
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14571502

L, 6-3

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14611490
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14631532

W, 7-2

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14581494
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11-20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14661498

L, 8-4

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14591517
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-19-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14401530

L, 9-3

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14621514
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3-23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14591515

L, 5-1

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14631513
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11+32
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+26
Adjusted team rating14731571

L, 6-5

30%

70%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14641556
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+37
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14661617

W, 4-3

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14621558
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14741568

L, 6-4

31%

69%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14631557
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-19+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+3+29
Adjusted team rating14471587

L, 11-6

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14661529
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14871522

L, 10-9

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14671528
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+16-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-2
Adjusted team rating15091525

W, 6-5

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14651562
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15011560

L, 6-2

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14681559
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1-35
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14911524

L, 4-2

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14691558
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-2
Adjusted team rating14731574

at Cubs

L, 5-4

33%

67%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14701566
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14631589

L, 5-4

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14711565
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+15+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14861601

L, 8-3

33%

67%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14721563
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+19+26
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14911613

W, 10-2

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14671568
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4-45
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-4+21
Adjusted team rating14591544

L, 5-3

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14681551
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17-26
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14511549

L, 6-5

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14691550
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14581565

L, 5-3

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14711549
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+18-21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-4+22
Adjusted team rating14851550

W, 3-2

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14691506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+18-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15111494

W, 7-4

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14671508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+29+1
Adjusted team rating14911517

vs. Braves

W, 5-2

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14651467
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14711465

W, 4-3

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14641468
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15051454

W, 4-3

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14621470
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+23-3
Adjusted team rating15021474

at Mets

W, 6-4

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14601523
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2+27
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14581574

L, 5-4

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14611522
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2-25
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14591521

W, 6-2

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14571525
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-21-18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+23
Adjusted team rating14361530

L, 6-4

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14591537
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+18-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14771548

W, 4-2

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14561539
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+15+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14711564

L, 3-2

32%

68%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14571539
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+26
Adjusted team rating14531583

vs. Mets

L, 5-4

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14581527
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14831507

L, 14-4

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14621523
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14871516

L, 4-3

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14641522
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+16+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-1
Adjusted team rating15041531

W, 4-3

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14621539
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14971556

W, 17-3

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14561545
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6-57
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14741488

L, 7-6

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14571544
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+32
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-2
Adjusted team rating14821574

at Reds

L, 7-4

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14591466
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14631481

L, 2-0

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14611465
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+15+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+2+26
Adjusted team rating14781498

W, 4-3

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14591466
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14681491

NL East standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
NationalsNationals97-65
MarlinsMarlins77-8520.0
BravesBraves72-9025.0
MetsMets70-9227.0
PhilliesPhillies66-9631.0

This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest. It updates after each game. Methodology »

For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB »

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