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The Pirates are done for the season.
Team rating
Starting pitchers
| Pitcher score | Adjustment to team ratingAdj. to team rating | ||
|---|---|---|---|
 | Gerrit Cole | 51.6 | +13 |
 | Trevor Williams | 51.4 | +12 |
 | Jameson Taillon | 50.3 | +7 |
 | Chad Kuhl | 49.2 | +2 |
 | Ivan Nova | 47.6 | -6 |
 | Steven Brault | 46.2 | -13 |
Completed games
W, 11-8
35%
65%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1483 | 1554 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -4 | +8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1479 | 1586 |
W, 4-1
31%
69%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1480 | 1558 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | +36 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1482 | 1618 |
L, 6-1
34%
66%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1482 | 1556 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +13 | +31 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1495 | 1611 |
L, 5-4
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1483 | 1555 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -5 | -60 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +22 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1476 | 1517 |
W, 5-3
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1481 | 1483 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | +16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1507 | 1499 |
W, 10-1
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1477 | 1488 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | +29 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1512 | 1517 |
W, 4-1
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1474 | 1528 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | -13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1498 | 1515 |
W, 11-6
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1471 | 1531 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +16 | +10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1511 | 1541 |
L, 4-3
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1472 | 1530 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -4 | -6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1494 | 1522 |
W, 6-4
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1470 | 1515 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | -14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1492 | 1501 |
L, 1-0
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1472 | 1514 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | +18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1503 | 1532 |
L, 3-0
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1474 | 1512 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | -6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1496 | 1503 |
L, 5-2
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1476 | 1460 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +18 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1494 | 1486 |
L, 2-1
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1478 | 1459 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -8 | +8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1470 | 1491 |
L, 4-2
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1479 | 1457 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +22 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1487 | 1479 |
L, 8-2
35%
65%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1481 | 1504 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -42 | +19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1439 | 1547 |
L, 5-2
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1484 | 1502 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +18 | -7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1502 | 1519 |
W, 7-0
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1479 | 1507 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -14 | +8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +23 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1463 | 1538 |
L, 7-0
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1482 | 1528 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -7 | -13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1475 | 1539 |
L, 4-3
38%
62%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1483 | 1527 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | +22 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1490 | 1573 |
L, 4-1
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1484 | 1525 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | +8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +20 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1488 | 1553 |
L, 8-2
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1487 | 1544 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1514 | 1541 |
L, 1-0
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1489 | 1542 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +13 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1526 | 1548 |
W, 4-3
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1487 | 1544 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -13 | +19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1498 | 1563 |
W, 12-0
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1481 | 1550 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | +21 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1507 | 1569 |
W, 3-1
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1479 | 1454 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | +9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1509 | 1463 |
W, 5-0
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1477 | 1456 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | +9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1503 | 1465 |
L, 7-3
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1479 | 1453 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +17 | +43 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1520 | 1494 |
L, 17-3
37%
63%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1483 | 1546 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1481 | 1573 |
L, 4-1
36%
64%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1485 | 1545 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | +19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1488 | 1588 |
L, 6-1
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1487 | 1542 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | -13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +21 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1491 | 1550 |
W, 5-2
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1485 | 1450 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | +10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1487 | 1484 |
W, 1-0
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1483 | 1451 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +11 | +39 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1494 | 1514 |
L, 9-5
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1486 | 1449 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1488 | 1477 |
L, 5-2
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1488 | 1609 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | -18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1518 | 1591 |
W, 1-0
35%
65%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1486 | 1611 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1512 | 1617 |
L, 8-5
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1488 | 1609 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | -41 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1517 | 1568 |
L, 6-5
38%
62%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1489 | 1608 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +11 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1524 | 1612 |
W, 6-3
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1486 | 1525 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | -13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1513 | 1512 |
W, 6-4
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1484 | 1527 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1511 | 1526 |
L, 11-10
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1486 | 1526 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +10 | +21 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1520 | 1547 |
L, 11-7
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1488 | 1523 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1515 | 1513 |
L, 7-6
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1490 | 1494 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +11 | +10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1501 | 1528 |
L, 3-1
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1491 | 1492 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1491 | 1523 |
L, 7-1
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1494 | 1494 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | +17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1498 | 1535 |
L, 7-2
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1497 | 1491 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | -10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1506 | 1505 |
W, 4-2
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1495 | 1493 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | +21 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1497 | 1538 |
W, 7-5
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1493 | 1495 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | -7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1502 | 1512 |
L, 10-0
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1497 | 1491 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | +28 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +22 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1498 | 1541 |
W, 6-3
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1495 | 1493 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | -14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1522 | 1479 |
W, 3-0
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1493 | 1495 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | -14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1522 | 1479 |
W, 5-4
62%
38%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1492 | 1452 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | -17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1520 | 1435 |
L, 5-2
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1495 | 1449 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +12 | +12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1531 | 1461 |
W, 10-6
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1493 | 1451 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | +8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1524 | 1457 |
W, 6-0
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1490 | 1449 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | +9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1514 | 1458 |
L, 5-2
62%
38%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1493 | 1446 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | -6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1522 | 1440 |
L, 9-1
62%
38%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1498 | 1441 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +13 | +7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1533 | 1447 |
W, 7-1
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1495 | 1454 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +10 | -15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1505 | 1463 |
L, 4-2
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1498 | 1451 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +10 | +7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1508 | 1482 |
L, 3-2
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1499 | 1450 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1498 | 1478 |
L, 2-1
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1501 | 1467 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | +8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1503 | 1499 |
L, 11-3
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1505 | 1463 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +22 | +42 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1527 | 1529 |
W, 10-3
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1501 | 1466 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | -28 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1506 | 1462 |
L, 13-3
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1506 | 1512 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +11 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1517 | 1533 |
L, 7-3
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1508 | 1510 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -5 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1503 | 1538 |
W, 13-5
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1503 | 1515 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1499 | 1541 |
W, 4-2
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1502 | 1505 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +21 | +11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1547 | 1516 |
W, 3-2
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1500 | 1506 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | -10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1527 | 1496 |
W, 4-3
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1499 | 1508 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +15 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1538 | 1512 |
W, 4-2
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1497 | 1509 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -6 | -4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1515 | 1503 |
W, 4-3
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1496 | 1507 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | +23 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1522 | 1530 |
L, 4-0
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1499 | 1504 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +24 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1547 | 1508 |
W, 5-2
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1497 | 1506 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +31 | +6 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1530 | 1512 |
W, 14-3
36%
64%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1490 | 1537 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -7 | +22 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1483 | 1583 |
W, 4-2
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1488 | 1539 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +14 | +11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1502 | 1574 |
L, 6-1
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1491 | 1537 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | -31 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1495 | 1530 |
W, 6-3
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1488 | 1437 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -7 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1481 | 1462 |
W, 5-2
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1486 | 1439 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | -6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1487 | 1457 |
W, 3-0
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1485 | 1441 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +24 | -5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1509 | 1460 |
L, 4-0
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1487 | 1438 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +18 | +10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +23 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1503 | 1471 |
L, 5-3
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1489 | 1482 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | +15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1517 | 1497 |
L, 2-1
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1491 | 1480 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -9 | -12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1506 | 1468 |
L, 13-5
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1496 | 1476 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | +18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1527 | 1492 |
W, 4-0
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1493 | 1509 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +22 | +21 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1539 | 1530 |
W, 6-2
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1491 | 1511 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +19 | -12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1534 | 1499 |
L, 4-2
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1493 | 1510 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -3 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +23 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1513 | 1510 |
L, 8-4
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1495 | 1491 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -7 | +9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1488 | 1524 |
W, 7-3
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1492 | 1494 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1499 | 1522 |
W, 4-3
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1491 | 1495 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +22 | -17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +21 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1511 | 1499 |
L, 4-2
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1492 | 1490 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +23 | +18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1515 | 1532 |
L, 4-3
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1494 | 1489 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -6 | +26 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1488 | 1539 |
W, 7-3
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1491 | 1491 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -7 | -6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1484 | 1509 |
W, 8-1
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1487 | 1495 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | -16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1489 | 1503 |
L, 7-1
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1490 | 1541 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +25 | -7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1539 | 1534 |
W, 4-3
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1489 | 1542 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +25 | +9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1538 | 1551 |
L, 9-5
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1492 | 1539 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -7 | -36 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1511 | 1503 |
L, 5-1
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1494 | 1524 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -6 | -10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1512 | 1514 |
W, 5-2
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1492 | 1526 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1517 | 1530 |
W, 7-2
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1489 | 1529 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +25 | -6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1538 | 1521 |
W, 3-1
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1487 | 1493 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +22 | -9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1533 | 1484 |
W, 7-6
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1486 | 1495 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | +23 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1511 | 1518 |
L, 12-7
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1489 | 1492 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -32 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1481 | 1489 |
L, 7-1
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1493 | 1488 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1520 | 1489 |
L, 9-6
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1494 | 1502 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -9 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1485 | 1532 |
L, 6-5
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1496 | 1501 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +21 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1517 | 1526 |
W, 11-1
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1491 | 1503 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -5 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1486 | 1519 |
L, 4-2
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1492 | 1501 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -30 | -23 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1462 | 1502 |
W, 12-7
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1489 | 1504 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +11 | -7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1500 | 1521 |
L, 6-5
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1490 | 1512 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -12 | -14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1502 | 1498 |
L, 3-0
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1493 | 1510 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +19 | +9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1536 | 1519 |
W, 4-3
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1492 | 1511 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -14 | -13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1502 | 1496 |
L, 7-2
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1494 | 1504 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -30 | -9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1488 | 1495 |
W, 5-4
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1493 | 1505 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +17 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1534 | 1507 |
L, 8-1
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1497 | 1501 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -9 | +23 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1510 | 1522 |
W, 9-4
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1494 | 1473 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +18 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1512 | 1494 |
W, 12-5
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1490 | 1477 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -18 | +12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1472 | 1513 |
L, 6-5
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1491 | 1476 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -33 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1458 | 1499 |
L, 5-2
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1493 | 1473 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +22 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1513 | 1501 |
W, 1-0
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1492 | 1459 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -14 | -2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1502 | 1457 |
W, 6-3
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1490 | 1461 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +18 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1532 | 1463 |
L, 7-2
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1494 | 1458 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -20 | +11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1498 | 1466 |
W, 10-4
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1489 | 1556 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -36 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1477 | 1555 |
W, 6-1
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1487 | 1559 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +20 | -59 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1531 | 1500 |
L, 8-4
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1489 | 1557 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -9 | +16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1502 | 1573 |
W, 6-4
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1487 | 1501 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +20 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1507 | 1530 |
W, 4-3
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1485 | 1502 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -25 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1460 | 1529 |
L, 11-4
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1488 | 1499 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -25 | -23 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1463 | 1500 |
L, 2-1
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1489 | 1498 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +15 | +22 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1502 | 1544 |
L, 5-2
38%
62%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1491 | 1559 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -9 | -17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1482 | 1566 |
L, 4-3
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1492 | 1558 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +20 | -13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1512 | 1569 |
L, 12-1
37%
63%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1495 | 1555 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -15 | -10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -4 | +25 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1476 | 1570 |
L, 6-2
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1498 | 1482 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -29 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1493 | 1481 |
W, 2-1
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1497 | 1483 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +10 | -16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1531 | 1467 |
W, 4-0
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1495 | 1485 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -12 | -18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1505 | 1464 |
L, 4-2
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1497 | 1469 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +21 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1518 | 1498 |
L, 7-2
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1500 | 1465 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +22 | -21 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1522 | 1468 |
W, 12-3
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1495 | 1470 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -31 | +10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1464 | 1504 |
L, 4-3
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1497 | 1469 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +22 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1502 | 1488 |
L, 10-3
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1500 | 1496 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1489 | 1512 |
W, 4-0
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1497 | 1499 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +14 | +19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1511 | 1542 |
W, 12-2
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1492 | 1504 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +24 | +13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +21 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1515 | 1538 |
W, 6-5
34%
66%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1490 | 1573 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -27 | +29 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1487 | 1602 |
L, 1-0
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1491 | 1572 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | +16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1519 | 1588 |
L, 14-3
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1496 | 1567 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | -48 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1522 | 1517 |
W, 2-1
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1495 | 1520 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +10 | -20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1529 | 1500 |
L, 11-5
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1499 | 1516 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +26 | +11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1549 | 1527 |
W, 6-3
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1496 | 1519 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -28 | +12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +23 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1491 | 1531 |
L, 2-1
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1497 | 1495 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | -10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1499 | 1509 |
L, 2-1
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1499 | 1494 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1501 | 1522 |
L, 2-1
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1500 | 1493 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +21 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1506 | 1513 |
W, 6-1
36%
64%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1496 | 1571 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +26 | +28 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1522 | 1623 |
W, 8-7
31%
69%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1494 | 1574 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -25 | +14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1469 | 1612 |
W, 4-2
32%
68%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1491 | 1576 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | +19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1489 | 1619 |
L, 4-3
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1492 | 1535 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -3 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1487 | 1548 |
L, 9-2
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1496 | 1480 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +10 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1530 | 1480 |
L, 6-2
63%
37%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1500 | 1477 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +26 | -15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1550 | 1462 |
L, 7-1
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1504 | 1473 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -14 | +13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1514 | 1483 |
W, 6-5
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1502 | 1471 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | +29 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1529 | 1500 |
W, 6-4
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1501 | 1472 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1523 | 1473 |
W, 5-4
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1500 | 1473 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | -4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1531 | 1467 |
L, 3-0
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1501 | 1538 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +21 | +22 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +2 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1524 | 1586 |
L, 5-3
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1503 | 1536 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | +20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1507 | 1580 |
NL Central standings
| Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | CubsCubs92-70 | — | ✓ | ✓ | ||
 | BrewersBrewers86-76 | 6.0 | — | — | ||
 | CardinalsCardinals83-79 | 9.0 | — | — | ||
 | PiratesPirates75-87 | 17.0 | — | — | ||
 | RedsReds68-94 | 24.0 | — | — |
This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest. It updates after each game. Methodology »
For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB »
Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
Comments