Updated Sep. 24, 2017 at 12:05 AM

2017 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Pirates have a 0% chance of making the playoffs.twitter bird

Their team rating is 1474, down 2 points from last week.

NL Central standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
CubsCubs86-68>99%97%
BrewersBrewers82-734.529%<1%
CardinalsCardinals81-735.021%2%
RedsReds66-8920.5
PiratesPirates70-8516.5

Upcoming games

Taillon vs. Gant

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14741528
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14981515

Kuhl vs. Gausman

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14741484
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+28
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+260
Adjusted team rating15031512

Williams vs. Miley

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14741484
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15071473

Brault vs. Jackson

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14741557
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2-62
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+22
Adjusted team rating14701517

Nova vs. Strasburg

31%

69%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14741557
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4+30
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14701611

Cole vs. Scherzer

32%

68%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14741557
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14+35
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14881616

Taillon vs. Gonzalez

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14741557
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14741592

Team rating

Starting pitchers

Pitcher score Adjustment to team ratingAdj. to
team rating
Gerrit Cole
Gerrit Cole51.7+14
Trevor Williams
Trevor Williams50.7+9
Chad Kuhl
Chad Kuhl49.4+3
Jameson Taillon
Jameson Taillon48.8+0
Steven Brault
Steven Brault48.3-2
Ivan Nova
Ivan Nova47.8-4
Tyler Glasnow
Tyler Glasnow39.2-45

Completed games

W, 11-6

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14711531
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+16+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15111541

L, 4-3

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14721530
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-2
Adjusted team rating14941522

W, 6-4

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14701515
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14921501

L, 1-0

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14721514
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15031532

L, 3-0

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14741512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-3
Adjusted team rating14961503

at Reds

L, 5-2

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761460
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+18+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14941486

L, 2-1

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781459
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14701491

L, 4-2

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14791457
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+80
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+22
Adjusted team rating14871479

L, 8-2

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14811504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-42+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14391547

L, 5-2

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14841502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+18-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15021519

W, 7-0

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14791507
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+23
Adjusted team rating14631538

L, 7-0

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14821528
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14751539

L, 4-3

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14831527
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14901573

L, 4-1

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14841525
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+20
Adjusted team rating14881553

vs. Cubs

L, 8-2

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14871544
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15141541

L, 1-0

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14891542
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15261548

W, 4-3

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14871544
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14981563

W, 12-0

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14811550
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15071569

vs. Reds

W, 3-1

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14791454
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15091463

W, 5-0

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14771456
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15031465

L, 7-3

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14791453
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17+43
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15201494

at Cubs

L, 17-3

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14831546
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14811573

L, 4-1

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14851545
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14881588

L, 6-1

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14871542
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+21
Adjusted team rating14911550

at Reds

W, 5-2

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14851450
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14871484

W, 1-0

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14831451
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11+39
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14941514

L, 9-5

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14861449
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14881477

L, 5-2

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14881609
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6-18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15181591

W, 1-0

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14861611
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15121617

L, 8-5

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14881609
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5-41
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15171568

L, 6-5

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14891608
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15241612

W, 6-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14861525
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15131512

W, 6-4

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14841527
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15111526

L, 11-10

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14861526
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10+21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15201547

L, 11-7

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14881523
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-2
Adjusted team rating15151513

L, 7-6

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14901494
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15011528

L, 3-1

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911492
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+26
Adjusted team rating14911523

L, 7-1

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14941494
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14981535

L, 7-2

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971491
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15061505

W, 4-2

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951493
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14971538

W, 7-5

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15021512

L, 10-0

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971491
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+28
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+22
Adjusted team rating14981541

vs. Tigers

W, 6-3

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951493
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15221479

W, 3-0

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15221479

vs. Padres

W, 5-4

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14921452
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15201435

L, 5-2

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951449
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15311461

W, 10-6

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931451
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15241457

vs. Reds

W, 6-0

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14901449
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15141458

L, 5-2

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931446
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15221440

L, 9-1

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981441
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-1
Adjusted team rating15331447

W, 7-1

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951454
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15051463

L, 4-2

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981451
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15081482

L, 3-2

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991450
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14981478

L, 2-1

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15011467
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15031499

L, 11-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15051463
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+22+42
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15271529

W, 10-3

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15011466
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8-28
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating15061462

L, 13-3

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15171533

L, 7-3

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15031538

W, 13-5

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031515
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+26
Adjusted team rating14991541

W, 4-2

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15021505
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+21+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15471516

W, 3-2

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15001506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15271496

W, 4-3

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+15+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15381512

W, 4-2

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971509
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15151503

W, 4-3

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961507
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15221530

L, 4-0

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+24+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15471508

W, 5-2

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+31+6
Adjusted team rating15301512

at Cubs

W, 14-3

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14901537
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7+22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14831583

W, 4-2

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14881539
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15021574

L, 6-1

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911537
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7-31
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14951530

W, 6-3

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14881437
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14811462

W, 5-2

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14861439
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14871457

W, 3-0

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14851441
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+24-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15091460

L, 4-0

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14871438
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+18+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+23
Adjusted team rating15031471

vs. Giants

L, 5-3

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14891482
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15171497

L, 2-1

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911480
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15061468

L, 13-5

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15271492

vs. Rays

W, 4-0

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931509
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+22+21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15391530

W, 6-2

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911511
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+19-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15341499

L, 4-2

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+23-1
Adjusted team rating15131510

L, 8-4

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951491
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14881524

W, 7-3

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14921494
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14991522

W, 4-3

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+22-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+21
Adjusted team rating15111499

L, 4-2

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14921490
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+23+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15151532

L, 4-3

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14941489
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6+26
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14881539

W, 7-3

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911491
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14841509

W, 8-1

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14871495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14891503

vs. Cubs

L, 7-1

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14901541
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+25-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15391534

W, 4-3

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14891542
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+25+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15381551

L, 9-5

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14921539
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7-36
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+260
Adjusted team rating15111503

L, 5-1

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14941524
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15121514

W, 5-2

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14921526
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15171530

W, 7-2

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14891529
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+25-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15381521

W, 3-1

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14871493
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+22-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15331484

W, 7-6

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14861495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15111518

L, 12-7

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14891492
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-32-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14811489

L, 7-1

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931488
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-2
Adjusted team rating15201489

L, 9-6

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14941502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14851532

L, 6-5

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+21-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+26
Adjusted team rating15171526

at Mets

W, 11-1

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911503
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14861519

L, 4-2

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14921501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-30-23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14621502

W, 12-7

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14891504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15001521

L, 6-5

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14901512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15021498

L, 3-0

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+19+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15361519

W, 4-3

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14921511
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15021496

vs. Mets

L, 7-2

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14941504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-30-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14881495

W, 5-4

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931505
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15341507

L, 8-1

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9+23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-2
Adjusted team rating15101522

W, 9-4

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14941473
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+18-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15121494

W, 12-5

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14901477
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14721513

L, 6-5

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-33-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14581499

L, 5-2

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931473
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+22+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating15131501

W, 1-0

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14921459
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15021457

W, 6-3

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14901461
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+18+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15321463

L, 7-2

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14941458
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-20+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating14981466

W, 10-4

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14891556
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-36-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14771555

W, 6-1

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14871559
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20-59
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15311500

L, 8-4

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14891557
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+220
Adjusted team rating15021573

W, 6-4

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14871501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15071530

W, 4-3

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14851502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-25+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14601529

L, 11-4

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14881499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-25-23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14631500

L, 2-1

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14891498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+15+22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating15021544

L, 5-2

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911559
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14821566

L, 4-3

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14921558
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15121569

L, 12-1

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951555
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-4+25
Adjusted team rating14761570

L, 6-2

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981482
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-29-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14931481

W, 2-1

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971483
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15311467

W, 4-0

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951485
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12-18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-3
Adjusted team rating15051464

at Reds

L, 4-2

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971469
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+21+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15181498

L, 7-2

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15001465
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+22-21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15221468

W, 12-3

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951470
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-31+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14641504

L, 4-3

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971469
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+22
Adjusted team rating15021488

L, 10-3

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15001496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14891512

W, 4-0

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15111542

W, 12-2

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14921504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+24+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+21
Adjusted team rating15151538

vs. Cubs

W, 6-5

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14901573
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-27+29
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14871602

L, 1-0

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911572
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15191588

L, 14-3

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961567
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2-48
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15221517

W, 2-1

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951520
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10-20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15291500

L, 11-5

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991516
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+26+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15491527

W, 6-3

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961519
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-28+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+230
Adjusted team rating14911531

L, 2-1

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14991509

L, 2-1

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991494
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15011522

L, 2-1

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15001493
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+21
Adjusted team rating15061513

at Cubs

W, 6-1

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961571
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+26+28
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15221623

W, 8-7

31%

69%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14941574
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-25+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14691612

W, 4-2

32%

68%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911576
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14891619

L, 4-3

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14921535
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14871548

vs. Reds

L, 9-2

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961480
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+100
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15301480

L, 6-2

63%

37%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15001477
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+26-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15501462

L, 7-1

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041473
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15141483

vs. Braves

W, 6-5

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15021471
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+29
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15291500

W, 6-4

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15011472
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15231473

W, 5-4

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15001473
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15311467

L, 3-0

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15011538
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+21+22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+2+26
Adjusted team rating15241586

L, 5-3

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031536
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6+20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating15071580

This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest. It updates after each game. Methodology »

For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB »

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