Updated Nov. 2, 2017 at 12:02 AM

2017 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Pirates are done for the season.twitter bird

Team rating

Starting pitchers

Pitcher score Adjustment to team ratingAdj. to
team rating
Gerrit Cole
Gerrit Cole51.6+13
Trevor Williams
Trevor Williams51.4+12
Jameson Taillon
Jameson Taillon50.3+7
Chad Kuhl
Chad Kuhl49.2+2
Ivan Nova
Ivan Nova47.6-6
Steven Brault
Steven Brault46.2-13

Completed games

W, 11-8

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14831554
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14791586

W, 4-1

31%

69%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14801558
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+36
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14821618

L, 6-1

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14821556
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13+31
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14951611

L, 5-4

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14831555
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5-60
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+22
Adjusted team rating14761517

W, 5-3

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14811483
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15071499

W, 10-1

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14771488
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9+29
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+260
Adjusted team rating15121517

W, 4-1

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14741528
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14981515

W, 11-6

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14711531
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+16+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15111541

L, 4-3

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14721530
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-2
Adjusted team rating14941522

W, 6-4

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14701515
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14921501

L, 1-0

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14721514
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15031532

L, 3-0

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14741512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-3
Adjusted team rating14961503

at Reds

L, 5-2

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761460
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+18+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14941486

L, 2-1

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781459
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14701491

L, 4-2

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14791457
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+80
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+22
Adjusted team rating14871479

L, 8-2

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14811504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-42+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14391547

L, 5-2

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14841502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+18-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15021519

W, 7-0

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14791507
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+23
Adjusted team rating14631538

L, 7-0

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14821528
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14751539

L, 4-3

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14831527
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14901573

L, 4-1

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14841525
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+20
Adjusted team rating14881553

vs. Cubs

L, 8-2

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14871544
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15141541

L, 1-0

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14891542
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15261548

W, 4-3

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14871544
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14981563

W, 12-0

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14811550
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15071569

vs. Reds

W, 3-1

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14791454
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15091463

W, 5-0

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14771456
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15031465

L, 7-3

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14791453
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17+43
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15201494

at Cubs

L, 17-3

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14831546
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14811573

L, 4-1

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14851545
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14881588

L, 6-1

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14871542
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+21
Adjusted team rating14911550

at Reds

W, 5-2

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14851450
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14871484

W, 1-0

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14831451
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11+39
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14941514

L, 9-5

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14861449
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14881477

L, 5-2

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14881609
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6-18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15181591

W, 1-0

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14861611
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15121617

L, 8-5

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14881609
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5-41
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15171568

L, 6-5

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14891608
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15241612

W, 6-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14861525
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15131512

W, 6-4

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14841527
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15111526

L, 11-10

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14861526
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10+21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15201547

L, 11-7

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14881523
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-2
Adjusted team rating15151513

L, 7-6

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14901494
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15011528

L, 3-1

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911492
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+26
Adjusted team rating14911523

L, 7-1

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14941494
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14981535

L, 7-2

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971491
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15061505

W, 4-2

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951493
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14971538

W, 7-5

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15021512

L, 10-0

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971491
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+28
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+22
Adjusted team rating14981541

vs. Tigers

W, 6-3

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951493
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15221479

W, 3-0

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15221479

vs. Padres

W, 5-4

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14921452
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15201435

L, 5-2

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951449
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15311461

W, 10-6

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931451
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15241457

vs. Reds

W, 6-0

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14901449
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15141458

L, 5-2

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931446
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15221440

L, 9-1

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981441
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-1
Adjusted team rating15331447

W, 7-1

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951454
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15051463

L, 4-2

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981451
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15081482

L, 3-2

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991450
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14981478

L, 2-1

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15011467
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15031499

L, 11-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15051463
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+22+42
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15271529

W, 10-3

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15011466
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8-28
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating15061462

L, 13-3

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15171533

L, 7-3

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15031538

W, 13-5

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031515
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+26
Adjusted team rating14991541

W, 4-2

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15021505
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+21+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15471516

W, 3-2

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15001506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15271496

W, 4-3

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+15+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15381512

W, 4-2

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971509
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15151503

W, 4-3

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961507
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15221530

L, 4-0

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+24+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15471508

W, 5-2

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+31+6
Adjusted team rating15301512

at Cubs

W, 14-3

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14901537
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7+22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14831583

W, 4-2

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14881539
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15021574

L, 6-1

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911537
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7-31
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14951530

W, 6-3

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14881437
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14811462

W, 5-2

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14861439
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14871457

W, 3-0

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14851441
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+24-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15091460

L, 4-0

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14871438
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+18+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+23
Adjusted team rating15031471

vs. Giants

L, 5-3

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14891482
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15171497

L, 2-1

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911480
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15061468

L, 13-5

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15271492

vs. Rays

W, 4-0

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931509
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+22+21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15391530

W, 6-2

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911511
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+19-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15341499

L, 4-2

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+23-1
Adjusted team rating15131510

L, 8-4

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951491
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14881524

W, 7-3

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14921494
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14991522

W, 4-3

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+22-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+21
Adjusted team rating15111499

L, 4-2

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14921490
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+23+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15151532

L, 4-3

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14941489
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6+26
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14881539

W, 7-3

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911491
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14841509

W, 8-1

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14871495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14891503

vs. Cubs

L, 7-1

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14901541
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+25-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15391534

W, 4-3

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14891542
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+25+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15381551

L, 9-5

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14921539
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7-36
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+260
Adjusted team rating15111503

L, 5-1

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14941524
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15121514

W, 5-2

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14921526
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15171530

W, 7-2

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14891529
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+25-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15381521

W, 3-1

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14871493
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+22-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15331484

W, 7-6

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14861495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15111518

L, 12-7

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14891492
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-32-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14811489

L, 7-1

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931488
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-2
Adjusted team rating15201489

L, 9-6

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14941502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14851532

L, 6-5

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+21-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+26
Adjusted team rating15171526

at Mets

W, 11-1

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911503
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14861519

L, 4-2

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14921501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-30-23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14621502

W, 12-7

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14891504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15001521

L, 6-5

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14901512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15021498

L, 3-0

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+19+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15361519

W, 4-3

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14921511
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15021496

vs. Mets

L, 7-2

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14941504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-30-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14881495

W, 5-4

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931505
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15341507

L, 8-1

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9+23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-2
Adjusted team rating15101522

W, 9-4

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14941473
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+18-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15121494

W, 12-5

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14901477
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14721513

L, 6-5

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-33-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14581499

L, 5-2

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931473
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+22+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating15131501

W, 1-0

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14921459
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15021457

W, 6-3

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14901461
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+18+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15321463

L, 7-2

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14941458
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-20+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating14981466

W, 10-4

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14891556
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-36-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14771555

W, 6-1

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14871559
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20-59
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15311500

L, 8-4

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14891557
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+220
Adjusted team rating15021573

W, 6-4

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14871501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15071530

W, 4-3

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14851502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-25+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14601529

L, 11-4

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14881499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-25-23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14631500

L, 2-1

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14891498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+15+22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating15021544

L, 5-2

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911559
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14821566

L, 4-3

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14921558
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15121569

L, 12-1

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951555
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-4+25
Adjusted team rating14761570

L, 6-2

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981482
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-29-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14931481

W, 2-1

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971483
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15311467

W, 4-0

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951485
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12-18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-3
Adjusted team rating15051464

at Reds

L, 4-2

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971469
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+21+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15181498

L, 7-2

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15001465
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+22-21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15221468

W, 12-3

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951470
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-31+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14641504

L, 4-3

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971469
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+22
Adjusted team rating15021488

L, 10-3

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15001496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14891512

W, 4-0

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15111542

W, 12-2

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14921504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+24+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+21
Adjusted team rating15151538

vs. Cubs

W, 6-5

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14901573
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-27+29
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14871602

L, 1-0

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911572
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15191588

L, 14-3

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961567
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2-48
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15221517

W, 2-1

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951520
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10-20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15291500

L, 11-5

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991516
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+26+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15491527

W, 6-3

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961519
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-28+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+230
Adjusted team rating14911531

L, 2-1

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14991509

L, 2-1

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991494
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15011522

L, 2-1

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15001493
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+21
Adjusted team rating15061513

at Cubs

W, 6-1

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961571
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+26+28
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15221623

W, 8-7

31%

69%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14941574
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-25+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14691612

W, 4-2

32%

68%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911576
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14891619

L, 4-3

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14921535
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14871548

vs. Reds

L, 9-2

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961480
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+100
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15301480

L, 6-2

63%

37%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15001477
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+26-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15501462

L, 7-1

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041473
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15141483

vs. Braves

W, 6-5

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15021471
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+29
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15291500

W, 6-4

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15011472
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15231473

W, 5-4

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15001473
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15311467

L, 3-0

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15011538
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+21+22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+2+26
Adjusted team rating15241586

L, 5-3

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031536
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6+20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating15071580

NL Central standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
CubsCubs92-70
BrewersBrewers86-766.0
CardinalsCardinals83-799.0
PiratesPirates75-8717.0
RedsReds68-9424.0

This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest. It updates after each game. Methodology »

For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB »

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