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The Rays are done for the season.
Team rating
Starting pitchers
| Pitcher score | Adjustment to team ratingAdj. to team rating | ||
|---|---|---|---|
 | Alex Cobb | 52.6 | +10 |
 | Blake Snell | 52.1 | +8 |
 | Chris Archer | 51.5 | +5 |
 | Jacob Faria | 50.2 | -2 |
 | Jake Odorizzi | 49.9 | -3 |
 | Matt Andriese | 47.7 | -13 |
Completed games
W, 6-0
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1503 | 1477 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | +26 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1528 | 1503 |
W, 4-3
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1501 | 1478 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1529 | 1484 |
W, 7-0
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1498 | 1481 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -3 | -9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +21 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1516 | 1471 |
W, 9-6
37%
63%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1495 | 1563 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1501 | 1591 |
L, 6-1
33%
67%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1497 | 1561 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | +25 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1486 | 1610 |
L, 6-1
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1499 | 1559 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1506 | 1580 |
L, 9-4
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1502 | 1484 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | -22 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1509 | 1486 |
W, 9-6
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1500 | 1487 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -10 | -5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1490 | 1506 |
W, 8-3
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1497 | 1490 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +12 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1509 | 1506 |
L, 3-1
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1499 | 1488 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -14 | +7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1482 | 1519 |
W, 8-1
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1495 | 1552 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | -4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1521 | 1548 |
L, 2-1
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1496 | 1550 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | -16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1530 | 1533 |
W, 3-2
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1494 | 1555 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -12 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1506 | 1552 |
L, 3-1
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1496 | 1553 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +15 | -22 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1535 | 1531 |
L, 13-6
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1499 | 1550 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -12 | +42 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1513 | 1589 |
L, 3-2
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1500 | 1550 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +10 | -26 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1510 | 1524 |
W, 2-1
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1499 | 1552 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | +7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1500 | 1559 |
L, 5-1
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1501 | 1550 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -10 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1488 | 1546 |
W, 4-1
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1498 | 1551 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +13 | -23 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1511 | 1552 |
L, 9-0
34%
66%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1501 | 1549 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -5 | +41 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1496 | 1614 |
L, 9-3
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1503 | 1546 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +16 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1518 | 1571 |
L, 10-6
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1506 | 1500 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1531 | 1504 |
W, 2-1
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1505 | 1501 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -20 | -21 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1509 | 1480 |
W, 11-4
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1502 | 1504 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | +9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +21 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1531 | 1510 |
L, 6-2
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1504 | 1447 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -3 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1501 | 1475 |
L, 5-4
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1506 | 1446 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +22 | +27 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1528 | 1497 |
W, 3-1
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1504 | 1447 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | -4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +22 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1504 | 1465 |
W, 5-3
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1502 | 1487 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -20 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1482 | 1515 |
L, 6-2
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1505 | 1484 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1512 | 1512 |
W, 12-0
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1499 | 1490 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -22 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +21 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1475 | 1508 |
W, 3-2
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1498 | 1516 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +21 | +14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1519 | 1554 |
L, 6-4
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1499 | 1514 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | -18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1497 | 1520 |
W, 7-3
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1496 | 1517 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -17 | -6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1476 | 1535 |
W, 2-0
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1495 | 1496 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | -36 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1527 | 1460 |
L, 7-6
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1496 | 1494 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -10 | +26 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1510 | 1520 |
W, 6-5
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1495 | 1496 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +19 | -6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1540 | 1489 |
W, 3-0
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1493 | 1513 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -9 | -21 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1508 | 1492 |
L, 7-6
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1494 | 1512 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -9 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1509 | 1515 |
L, 7-1
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1498 | 1508 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +21 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1517 | 1512 |
L, 5-3
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1500 | 1497 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +17 | -6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1517 | 1515 |
L, 3-2
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1501 | 1496 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | +24 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1506 | 1544 |
W, 6-4
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1499 | 1498 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | +9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1488 | 1531 |
L, 2-1
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1500 | 1497 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -12 | -22 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1485 | 1499 |
L, 4-3
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1501 | 1552 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -3 | +51 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1522 | 1603 |
L, 3-0
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1503 | 1550 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +17 | -22 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1544 | 1528 |
L, 5-0
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1506 | 1547 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1538 | 1539 |
W, 4-1
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1504 | 1549 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -15 | -7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1513 | 1539 |
L, 8-2
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1507 | 1547 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | -13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1520 | 1534 |
L, 2-0
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1508 | 1545 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -6 | +49 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1528 | 1593 |
W, 2-1
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1507 | 1504 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +16 | +12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1547 | 1516 |
L, 3-0
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1510 | 1501 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1538 | 1501 |
L, 2-0
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1512 | 1499 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | -13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +21 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1538 | 1483 |
W, 5-3
34%
66%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1509 | 1576 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -12 | +10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1497 | 1610 |
W, 3-0
31%
69%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1506 | 1580 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -12 | +28 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1494 | 1632 |
W, 6-4
38%
62%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1504 | 1582 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +19 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1523 | 1607 |
L, 14-7
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1506 | 1579 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +14 | -7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +21 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1517 | 1593 |
W, 5-3
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1504 | 1541 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1510 | 1564 |
L, 5-4
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1505 | 1539 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -13 | -25 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1492 | 1538 |
L, 6-1
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1507 | 1537 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1496 | 1563 |
L, 6-5
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1509 | 1536 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +17 | +9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1523 | 1569 |
W, 5-1
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1507 | 1485 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +11 | -7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1542 | 1478 |
W, 5-4
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1505 | 1486 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | -12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1535 | 1474 |
L, 5-0
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1509 | 1483 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -14 | +10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1519 | 1490 |
L, 6-5
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1510 | 1514 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -8 | -5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1526 | 1509 |
L, 4-3
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1512 | 1513 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +16 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1552 | 1502 |
L, 4-3
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1513 | 1511 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +10 | +36 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1545 | 1544 |
L, 7-2
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1516 | 1478 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +11 | +12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1527 | 1514 |
W, 4-3
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1515 | 1480 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -13 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1502 | 1496 |
W, 3-2
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1514 | 1481 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -12 | -22 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1500 | 1483 |
L, 4-3
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1515 | 1502 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +16 | -6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1531 | 1520 |
W, 6-3
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1513 | 1504 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | -7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1522 | 1521 |
W, 2-1
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1512 | 1505 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +11 | -7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +5 | +30 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1528 | 1528 |
W, 5-3
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1510 | 1547 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +18 | +7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1552 | 1554 |
W, 1-0
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1508 | 1549 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | -13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1536 | 1536 |
L, 8-3
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1511 | 1546 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -5 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1530 | 1546 |
W, 4-1
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1508 | 1549 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +10 | +50 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +21 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1539 | 1596 |
L, 7-3
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1511 | 1540 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -14 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1497 | 1553 |
W, 6-5
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1509 | 1542 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +20 | +25 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1528 | 1591 |
L, 7-1
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1512 | 1480 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1519 | 1510 |
W, 10-3
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1508 | 1484 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -4 | +23 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1504 | 1531 |
W, 6-4
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1507 | 1486 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +22 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1511 | 1497 |
L, 4-0
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1509 | 1493 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +21 | +22 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1530 | 1539 |
L, 6-2
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1511 | 1491 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -12 | +19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1499 | 1534 |
W, 4-2
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1510 | 1493 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +23 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1510 | 1513 |
L, 8-5
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1512 | 1481 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | -6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1535 | 1475 |
L, 8-3
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1516 | 1478 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | +24 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1547 | 1502 |
W, 15-5
62%
38%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1513 | 1481 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +25 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1564 | 1480 |
W, 8-3
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1510 | 1463 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -9 | +20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1525 | 1483 |
W, 6-5
63%
37%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1509 | 1464 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | -22 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1531 | 1442 |
L, 7-3
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1512 | 1461 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | +17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +21 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1533 | 1475 |
W, 9-1
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1509 | 1504 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | -25 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1508 | 1503 |
W, 3-2
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1507 | 1505 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +25 | +31 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1532 | 1560 |
L, 13-4
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1511 | 1501 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | -5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1511 | 1520 |
L, 5-3
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1513 | 1500 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -3 | +24 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1508 | 1548 |
L, 7-6
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1514 | 1513 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | -18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1517 | 1519 |
W, 8-1
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1510 | 1518 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -9 | +17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +22 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1500 | 1557 |
W, 5-4
62%
38%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1509 | 1475 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +26 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1559 | 1472 |
L, 7-2
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1512 | 1472 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | +28 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1534 | 1500 |
W, 6-5
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1511 | 1473 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1536 | 1472 |
W, 13-4
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1507 | 1476 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -6 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1525 | 1475 |
W, 7-5
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1506 | 1478 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1533 | 1477 |
W, 3-1
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1504 | 1479 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -16 | -10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1512 | 1469 |
L, 4-2
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1507 | 1477 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +25 | +17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1554 | 1493 |
L, 7-1
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1509 | 1519 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | +7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1514 | 1550 |
L, 9-2
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1513 | 1516 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | -6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1517 | 1534 |
L, 12-4
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1517 | 1512 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +10 | -15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1525 | 1521 |
W, 7-5
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1515 | 1513 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +20 | -18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1535 | 1519 |
L, 9-5
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1518 | 1511 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -4 | -32 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1514 | 1503 |
W, 10-8
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1516 | 1512 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +21 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1518 | 1530 |
W, 8-6
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1514 | 1488 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | -23 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1514 | 1489 |
L, 5-3
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1516 | 1487 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +10 | -12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1526 | 1499 |
W, 5-2
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1514 | 1489 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +15 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +23 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1526 | 1511 |
W, 4-0
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1512 | 1507 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -8 | -17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1528 | 1490 |
W, 5-2
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1510 | 1509 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1540 | 1508 |
L, 4-0
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1513 | 1506 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | +9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1541 | 1515 |
L, 3-2
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1515 | 1504 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +12 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1551 | 1500 |
L, 3-2
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1516 | 1529 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +15 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1555 | 1531 |
W, 9-5
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1513 | 1532 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -5 | +11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1532 | 1543 |
W, 5-4
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1512 | 1533 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +23 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1540 | 1519 |
W, 7-4
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1510 | 1546 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1511 | 1559 |
W, 6-4
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1508 | 1548 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +14 | -9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1522 | 1563 |
L, 8-7
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1509 | 1547 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +21 | +30 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1527 | 1601 |
W, 11-2
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1504 | 1535 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -7 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1497 | 1548 |
L, 6-3
34%
66%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1505 | 1533 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -15 | +47 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1490 | 1604 |
W, 5-4
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1503 | 1535 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | +7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +21 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1499 | 1563 |
L, 6-0
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1507 | 1460 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +13 | +15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1544 | 1475 |
W, 12-1
63%
37%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1504 | 1463 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +16 | -14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1544 | 1449 |
L, 7-6
64%
36%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1506 | 1461 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -5 | -33 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1525 | 1428 |
L, 7-3
61%
39%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1509 | 1458 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -10 | -6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1523 | 1449 |
L, 2-1
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1511 | 1505 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -3 | -26 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1532 | 1479 |
W, 6-1
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1508 | 1508 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +11 | +27 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1543 | 1535 |
L, 8-4
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1511 | 1504 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +15 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1550 | 1492 |
W, 5-1
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1509 | 1499 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -8 | +20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1525 | 1519 |
L, 10-6
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1512 | 1496 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -7 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1527 | 1499 |
W, 3-1
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1510 | 1498 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -4 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1506 | 1511 |
W, 4-2
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1508 | 1500 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +12 | +7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1517 | 1531 |
L, 3-1
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1510 | 1503 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +14 | +10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1524 | 1537 |
L, 4-1
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1512 | 1501 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -7 | -15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1505 | 1510 |
W, 7-4
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1509 | 1503 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -5 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +21 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1504 | 1526 |
L, 5-4
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1511 | 1508 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | +16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1510 | 1548 |
W, 2-0
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1508 | 1511 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -17 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1491 | 1539 |
L, 6-3
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1511 | 1508 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +18 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1526 | 1531 |
L, 6-4
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1512 | 1550 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -6 | -18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1530 | 1532 |
W, 6-3
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1510 | 1552 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -5 | -16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1529 | 1536 |
L, 6-3
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1512 | 1550 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1534 | 1536 |
W, 8-1
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1509 | 1504 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | -4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1537 | 1500 |
W, 8-7
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1508 | 1505 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +19 | -23 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1551 | 1482 |
W, 5-1
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1505 | 1508 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -8 | +29 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +21 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1518 | 1536 |
L, 4-3
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1507 | 1535 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -4 | -18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1503 | 1541 |
L, 7-5
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1508 | 1534 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1511 | 1555 |
L, 2-1
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1509 | 1533 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +10 | +34 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1519 | 1591 |
W, 10-5
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1506 | 1536 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +24 | +18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1528 | 1578 |
L, 3-2
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1507 | 1511 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -12 | -26 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1495 | 1509 |
L, 8-4
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1509 | 1508 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -6 | -18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +2 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1505 | 1516 |
L, 8-1
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1513 | 1505 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | +7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +22 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1512 | 1534 |
W, 7-2
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1510 | 1518 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | +17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1542 | 1535 |
W, 3-2
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1509 | 1519 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +23 | +13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1556 | 1532 |
W, 10-8
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1507 | 1521 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -8 | -18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1523 | 1503 |
L, 5-2
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1509 | 1519 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -5 | -4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1528 | 1512 |
W, 4-1
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1507 | 1507 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | +10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1532 | 1517 |
L, 5-0
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1510 | 1504 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +11 | +11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | +2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1547 | 1517 |
W, 7-3
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1508 | 1506 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +21 | +31 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1553 | 1534 |
AL East standings
| Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | Red SoxRed Sox93-69 | — | ✓ | ✓ | ||
 | YankeesYankees91-71 | 2.0 | ✓ | — | ||
 | RaysRays80-82 | 13.0 | — | — | ||
 | Blue JaysBlue Jays76-86 | 17.0 | — | — | ||
 | OriolesOrioles75-87 | 18.0 | — | — |
This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest. It updates after each game. Methodology »
For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB »
Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
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