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The Red Sox are done for the season.
Team rating
Starting pitchers
| Pitcher score | Adjustment to team ratingAdj. to team rating | ||
|---|---|---|---|
 | Chris Sale | 58.9 | +32 |
 | Eduardo Rodriguez | 52.4 | +1 |
 | Drew Pomeranz | 52.2 | +1 |
 | Rick Porcello | 48.3 | -18 |
 | Doug Fister | 48.1 | -19 |
 | Hector Velazquez | 46.9 | -24 |
Completed games
L, 5-4
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1552 | 1570 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -18 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1558 | 1576 |
W, 10-3
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1546 | 1576 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -17 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1551 | 1575 |
L, 8-2
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1549 | 1572 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | +15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1554 | 1611 |
L, 8-2
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1553 | 1569 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +37 | +42 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +3 | +27 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1593 | 1638 |
L, 4-3
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1555 | 1567 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -34 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1545 | 1570 |
W, 6-3
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1552 | 1569 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1577 | 1570 |
L, 3-2
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1554 | 1568 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -19 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1559 | 1572 |
L, 12-2
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1559 | 1563 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -4 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1587 | 1561 |
W, 10-7
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1557 | 1499 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -20 | +12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1561 | 1511 |
L, 9-4
66%
34%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1561 | 1495 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +44 | +19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1629 | 1514 |
L, 6-4
68%
32%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1564 | 1492 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | -35 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +21 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1589 | 1455 |
W, 5-4
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1562 | 1453 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -25 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1537 | 1476 |
W, 5-0
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1560 | 1456 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -4 | +11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1556 | 1491 |
W, 5-4
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1559 | 1457 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -19 | +17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1540 | 1498 |
W, 9-0
62%
38%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1556 | 1491 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +38 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1594 | 1507 |
W, 1-0
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1555 | 1492 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | +21 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1559 | 1537 |
W, 10-8
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1553 | 1494 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -18 | +31 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +22 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1532 | 1547 |
L, 3-2
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1555 | 1494 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -3 | -12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1552 | 1506 |
W, 3-1
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1553 | 1496 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -22 | +15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1531 | 1535 |
W, 13-6
61%
39%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1550 | 1499 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +42 | -12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1589 | 1513 |
W, 6-2
63%
37%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1548 | 1480 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1572 | 1480 |
L, 7-3
63%
37%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1552 | 1477 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -15 | -12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1561 | 1465 |
W, 11-1
61%
39%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1549 | 1480 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -7 | +14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1568 | 1492 |
L, 4-1
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1551 | 1498 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -23 | +13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1552 | 1511 |
W, 9-0
66%
34%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1549 | 1501 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +41 | -5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1614 | 1496 |
W, 9-3
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1546 | 1503 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | +16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1571 | 1518 |
W, 6-1
61%
39%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1544 | 1490 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -17 | -14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1551 | 1476 |
W, 3-2
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1543 | 1491 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -6 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1561 | 1491 |
L, 10-4
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1547 | 1487 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -15 | +18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1554 | 1503 |
L, 9-2
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1551 | 1539 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +47 | +13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1598 | 1576 |
L, 5-1
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1553 | 1536 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | +12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1554 | 1572 |
W, 4-1
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1550 | 1539 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -25 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1525 | 1569 |
L, 6-2
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1553 | 1536 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -4 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1547 | 1563 |
W, 7-1
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1550 | 1486 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -19 | +18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1531 | 1528 |
W, 3-0
66%
34%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1548 | 1488 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +43 | -35 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1591 | 1477 |
W, 6-5
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1547 | 1489 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | +21 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1549 | 1534 |
L, 2-1
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1549 | 1507 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -29 | -4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1544 | 1503 |
L, 7-0
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1553 | 1502 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | +13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1575 | 1515 |
L, 16-3
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1559 | 1496 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | +7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +21 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1569 | 1503 |
L, 13-6
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1564 | 1555 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +49 | -14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1613 | 1565 |
W, 6-1
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1560 | 1559 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | +48 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1558 | 1631 |
W, 9-1
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1555 | 1564 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -39 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1516 | 1588 |
L, 5-4
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1556 | 1562 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -3 | -17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +21 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1550 | 1566 |
W, 5-1
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1554 | 1539 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -12 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1566 | 1544 |
L, 4-3
64%
36%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1556 | 1537 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +55 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1635 | 1537 |
W, 9-6
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1554 | 1539 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1579 | 1540 |
W, 5-4
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1553 | 1524 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | +11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1575 | 1535 |
W, 10-4
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1550 | 1527 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -13 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1561 | 1515 |
L, 7-3
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1553 | 1553 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -36 | -16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1539 | 1534 |
W, 3-2
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1552 | 1534 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +52 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1604 | 1559 |
W, 10-5
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1548 | 1537 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | +22 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1548 | 1583 |
L, 5-4
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1550 | 1536 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -6 | -20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +22 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1543 | 1538 |
W, 8-2
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1547 | 1507 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -13 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1534 | 1520 |
W, 2-0
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1545 | 1508 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +49 | -6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1593 | 1528 |
W, 6-3
63%
37%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1544 | 1447 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -35 | -9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1533 | 1438 |
W, 4-1
70%
30%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1543 | 1448 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | -24 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1568 | 1424 |
W, 3-2
62%
38%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1542 | 1449 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -6 | +25 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1560 | 1474 |
W, 9-5
63%
37%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1540 | 1451 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -8 | +18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1558 | 1466 |
W, 12-10
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1539 | 1552 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +56 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1619 | 1557 |
W, 6-2
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1536 | 1555 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -41 | -13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1519 | 1539 |
L, 5-3
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1538 | 1509 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1561 | 1510 |
W, 9-8
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1537 | 1510 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -3 | -15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1558 | 1495 |
L, 4-2
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1539 | 1508 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -9 | +7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1552 | 1514 |
W, 4-0
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1537 | 1516 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +53 | -16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1590 | 1524 |
L, 6-5
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1538 | 1515 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1539 | 1545 |
L, 4-0
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1541 | 1513 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | +34 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1538 | 1571 |
L, 3-2
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1542 | 1507 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -9 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1533 | 1528 |
L, 7-3
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1545 | 1504 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +12 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1557 | 1520 |
W, 6-2
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1543 | 1506 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +51 | -4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -4 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1590 | 1528 |
L, 8-6
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1545 | 1491 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -38 | -14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1531 | 1477 |
W, 5-1
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1543 | 1493 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -3 | +16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1564 | 1509 |
W, 5-4
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1542 | 1495 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -30 | +19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1536 | 1514 |
L, 4-3
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1543 | 1493 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | +22 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1566 | 1512 |
W, 3-0
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1541 | 1533 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1571 | 1535 |
L, 3-0
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1544 | 1531 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -10 | +7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1558 | 1538 |
L, 4-1
62%
38%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1547 | 1528 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +47 | +7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1618 | 1535 |
W, 5-4
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1545 | 1529 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +30 | +7 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1574 | 1539 |
L, 5-3
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1547 | 1510 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | +18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1554 | 1552 |
L, 1-0
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1549 | 1508 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -13 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1536 | 1536 |
W, 8-3
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1546 | 1511 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | -5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1546 | 1530 |
L, 4-1
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1549 | 1508 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +50 | +10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +21 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1596 | 1539 |
L, 8-2
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1552 | 1517 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -32 | -15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1520 | 1526 |
W, 11-4
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1548 | 1521 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | +42 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1552 | 1587 |
W, 7-5
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1546 | 1522 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -14 | -10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +21 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1529 | 1533 |
W, 15-1
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1541 | 1501 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | -18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1540 | 1507 |
W, 7-1
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1539 | 1503 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +47 | -14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1586 | 1513 |
W, 7-4
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1536 | 1506 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -30 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1504 | 1535 |
W, 6-3
63%
37%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1535 | 1481 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | -14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1562 | 1467 |
L, 4-1
61%
39%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1538 | 1478 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -12 | -5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1550 | 1473 |
W, 9-2
61%
39%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1535 | 1481 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -3 | -4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1556 | 1477 |
W, 4-1
66%
34%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1534 | 1482 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +48 | +9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1606 | 1488 |
L, 4-2
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1536 | 1510 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -29 | -7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1531 | 1503 |
L, 6-3
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1538 | 1508 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | -9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1565 | 1499 |
W, 9-4
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1536 | 1510 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | +8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +23 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1548 | 1516 |
L, 6-4
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1538 | 1488 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -3 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1535 | 1515 |
W, 8-3
61%
39%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1536 | 1490 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +48 | -10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1584 | 1504 |
L, 4-2
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1537 | 1488 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -33 | -7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +21 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1501 | 1502 |
W, 6-5
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1536 | 1576 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | -23 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1544 | 1577 |
L, 7-1
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1539 | 1573 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -6 | -32 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1533 | 1565 |
W, 2-1
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1537 | 1574 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -6 | -18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1528 | 1582 |
L, 1-0
69%
31%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1539 | 1432 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +44 | -10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1583 | 1446 |
W, 7-3
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1537 | 1434 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -19 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +22 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1516 | 1461 |
W, 4-3
68%
32%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1536 | 1435 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1568 | 1436 |
W, 6-5
66%
34%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1536 | 1436 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -4 | +8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1556 | 1441 |
L, 8-3
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1539 | 1499 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | -6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1561 | 1493 |
W, 11-3
61%
39%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1536 | 1501 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +41 | +25 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1601 | 1526 |
W, 5-3
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1535 | 1503 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -16 | -30 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1541 | 1470 |
L, 9-1
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1539 | 1536 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +12 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1551 | 1563 |
L, 8-0
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1542 | 1533 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -3 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1539 | 1561 |
W, 5-4
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1541 | 1534 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -5 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1536 | 1558 |
W, 7-3
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1539 | 1503 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +39 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1578 | 1529 |
W, 5-2
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1536 | 1505 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | +21 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1545 | 1550 |
L, 3-2
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1538 | 1503 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1537 | 1528 |
L, 7-5
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1540 | 1502 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1544 | 1529 |
W, 4-1
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1538 | 1488 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -8 | -17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1530 | 1495 |
W, 13-7
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1535 | 1491 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +45 | +23 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1580 | 1538 |
L, 5-4
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1537 | 1489 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | -9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1542 | 1504 |
L, 5-0
61%
39%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1540 | 1503 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | -21 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1562 | 1482 |
W, 6-0
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1537 | 1506 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -34 | -5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1527 | 1501 |
W, 3-0
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1536 | 1508 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | -13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1566 | 1493 |
W, 6-2
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1534 | 1515 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -10 | -33 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1548 | 1482 |
W, 9-4
63%
37%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1532 | 1517 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +50 | -5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1606 | 1512 |
W, 11-6
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1530 | 1520 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | -20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1554 | 1499 |
W, 12-3
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1526 | 1481 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | +17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1532 | 1522 |
L, 8-3
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1529 | 1478 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -10 | +14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1519 | 1516 |
L, 3-2
61%
39%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1530 | 1476 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +50 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1580 | 1504 |
L, 8-3
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1534 | 1473 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -27 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -4 | +21 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1503 | 1483 |
W, 5-4
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1532 | 1517 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1537 | 1547 |
W, 6-3
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1530 | 1519 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1532 | 1548 |
L, 11-2
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1535 | 1504 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | -7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1548 | 1497 |
W, 6-3
66%
34%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1533 | 1505 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +47 | -15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1604 | 1490 |
L, 5-4
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1535 | 1503 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +21 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1563 | 1499 |
W, 4-1
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1533 | 1489 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | -15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1533 | 1498 |
L, 7-4
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1535 | 1487 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -37 | +8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1498 | 1519 |
L, 11-7
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1538 | 1484 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -5 | -7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1533 | 1501 |
W, 17-6
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1534 | 1480 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +46 | +48 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1580 | 1552 |
W, 11-1
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1530 | 1484 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1534 | 1500 |
L, 4-3
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1531 | 1483 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | -10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1526 | 1497 |
L, 8-3
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1535 | 1506 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -30 | -19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1529 | 1487 |
W, 4-2
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1533 | 1508 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -7 | -2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1550 | 1506 |
W, 5-2
62%
38%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1532 | 1509 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +43 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1599 | 1513 |
L, 5-2
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1534 | 1507 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | +18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1560 | 1523 |
W, 6-2
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1531 | 1571 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -4 | +20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1551 | 1591 |
L, 7-4
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1533 | 1569 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -24 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1533 | 1568 |
W, 5-4
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1532 | 1571 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -6 | +15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1550 | 1586 |
L, 3-0
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1534 | 1521 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +43 | +17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1601 | 1538 |
L, 3-1
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1536 | 1519 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | -18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +27 | +3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1566 | 1504 |
W, 6-2
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1534 | 1511 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -7 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1527 | 1539 |
L, 4-2
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1536 | 1509 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -19 | -17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1517 | 1516 |
L, 2-0
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1537 | 1508 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -6 | +11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +22 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1529 | 1541 |
W, 4-1
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1535 | 1506 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +38 | +15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1573 | 1545 |
L, 3-0
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1538 | 1503 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | -19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1541 | 1508 |
W, 8-7
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1536 | 1505 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -29 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1505 | 1533 |
W, 4-3
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1535 | 1507 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -18 | -4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1541 | 1503 |
W, 7-5
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1534 | 1508 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -3 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1555 | 1511 |
W, 2-1
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1533 | 1509 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +34 | +10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1591 | 1519 |
L, 10-5
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1536 | 1506 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +18 | +24 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1578 | 1528 |
W, 4-3
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1535 | 1492 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1548 | 1487 |
L, 12-5
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1539 | 1497 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -12 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1551 | 1497 |
W, 8-1
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1536 | 1500 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | +9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +21 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1546 | 1509 |
L, 2-1
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1537 | 1506 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +27 | +46 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1564 | 1576 |
W, 7-5
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1536 | 1507 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +20 | -9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1556 | 1522 |
L, 4-1
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1538 | 1505 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | -23 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1527 | 1506 |
L, 6-5
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1539 | 1504 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -10 | +28 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +22 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1528 | 1554 |
W, 3-0
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1538 | 1501 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +22 | +21 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | +2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1586 | 1524 |
W, 5-3
61%
39%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1536 | 1503 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +20 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1580 | 1507 |
AL East standings
| Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | Red SoxRed Sox93-69 | — | ✓ | ✓ | ||
 | YankeesYankees91-71 | 2.0 | ✓ | — | ||
 | RaysRays80-82 | 13.0 | — | — | ||
 | Blue JaysBlue Jays76-86 | 17.0 | — | — | ||
 | OriolesOrioles75-87 | 18.0 | — | — |
This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest. It updates after each game. Methodology »
For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB »
Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
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