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The Reds are done for the season.
Team rating
Starting pitchers
| Pitcher score | Adjustment to team ratingAdj. to team rating | ||
|---|---|---|---|
 | Sal Romano | 48.7 | +10 |
 | Robert Stephenson | 48.7 | +10 |
 | Deck McGuire | 47.6 | +4 |
 | Homer Bailey | 47.5 | +4 |
 | Jackson Stephens | 46.9 | +1 |
Completed games
W, 3-1
33%
67%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1451 | 1562 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -4 | -12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1447 | 1574 |
L, 9-0
34%
66%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1454 | 1560 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | -10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1458 | 1574 |
L, 5-4
31%
69%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1455 | 1559 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +10 | +17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +22 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1464 | 1598 |
L, 4-3
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1456 | 1505 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +11 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1467 | 1531 |
W, 6-0
38%
62%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1451 | 1510 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1452 | 1536 |
L, 7-6
38%
62%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1452 | 1509 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | +9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1457 | 1544 |
L, 5-4
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1453 | 1562 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | -25 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1476 | 1537 |
L, 5-0
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1456 | 1560 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +11 | -4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1491 | 1556 |
L, 5-4
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1457 | 1559 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +17 | -19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1498 | 1540 |
L, 8-5
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1459 | 1528 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | +17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1485 | 1545 |
L, 9-2
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1461 | 1525 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -13 | +17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1472 | 1542 |
L, 8-7
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1463 | 1524 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | -21 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1492 | 1503 |
W, 5-2
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1460 | 1476 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | +18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1486 | 1494 |
W, 2-1
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1459 | 1478 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1491 | 1470 |
W, 4-2
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1457 | 1479 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | +8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1479 | 1487 |
L, 5-2
31%
69%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1458 | 1529 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -35 | +10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1423 | 1563 |
W, 6-0
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1454 | 1533 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | -20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1462 | 1537 |
L, 13-4
35%
65%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1457 | 1530 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | +14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1465 | 1570 |
W, 10-5
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1453 | 1480 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | +32 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1460 | 1536 |
L, 6-1
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1456 | 1478 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | -5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1457 | 1497 |
L, 5-1
38%
62%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1457 | 1476 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -34 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1423 | 1506 |
L, 7-2
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1460 | 1473 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +12 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1469 | 1497 |
W, 7-1
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1457 | 1499 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +40 | -29 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1521 | 1470 |
W, 9-3
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1454 | 1502 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | +11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1484 | 1513 |
W, 5-4
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1452 | 1504 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | +18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1475 | 1520 |
L, 3-1
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1454 | 1479 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1463 | 1509 |
L, 5-0
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1456 | 1477 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1465 | 1503 |
W, 7-3
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1453 | 1479 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +43 | +17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1494 | 1520 |
W, 7-2
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1450 | 1482 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | +42 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1478 | 1524 |
L, 2-0
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1452 | 1480 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | -13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1476 | 1467 |
W, 14-4
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1448 | 1484 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | -14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1483 | 1470 |
L, 5-2
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1450 | 1485 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +10 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1484 | 1487 |
L, 1-0
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1451 | 1483 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +39 | +11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1514 | 1494 |
W, 9-5
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1449 | 1486 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1477 | 1488 |
W, 4-2
38%
62%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1446 | 1548 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | +16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1476 | 1564 |
L, 9-3
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1449 | 1545 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -4 | -17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1469 | 1528 |
L, 13-9
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1451 | 1543 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | -6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1474 | 1537 |
L, 8-1
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1454 | 1466 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +41 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1495 | 1495 |
W, 11-8
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1452 | 1469 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | +7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1456 | 1500 |
W, 5-3
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1450 | 1471 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | +14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +21 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1449 | 1506 |
W, 13-10
34%
66%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1446 | 1543 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +20 | +13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1466 | 1580 |
L, 7-6
35%
65%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1447 | 1542 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | -10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1447 | 1556 |
W, 2-1
35%
65%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1445 | 1544 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +33 | +18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1478 | 1586 |
L, 15-5
34%
66%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1448 | 1541 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | +8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +20 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1453 | 1569 |
L, 7-4
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1450 | 1490 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | -14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1455 | 1500 |
L, 6-5
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1451 | 1489 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +21 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1472 | 1514 |
W, 11-10
38%
62%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1449 | 1491 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | +18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1447 | 1533 |
W, 10-3
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1446 | 1447 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +33 | +20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1503 | 1467 |
W, 8-3
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1443 | 1450 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1472 | 1454 |
L, 7-3
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1446 | 1447 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +10 | -4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1480 | 1443 |
W, 11-3
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1442 | 1451 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | +23 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1469 | 1472 |
L, 13-4
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1446 | 1512 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1478 | 1504 |
L, 4-1
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1448 | 1510 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +33 | +9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1505 | 1519 |
W, 3-2
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1447 | 1512 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -4 | -9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1465 | 1501 |
L, 6-0
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1449 | 1490 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1458 | 1514 |
W, 5-2
38%
62%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1446 | 1493 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -6 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1440 | 1522 |
W, 9-1
38%
62%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1441 | 1498 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | +13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +22 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1447 | 1533 |
W, 6-4
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1439 | 1498 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +27 | +18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1466 | 1540 |
L, 7-3
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1441 | 1496 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | +9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1450 | 1529 |
L, 7-4
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1442 | 1495 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +12 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1454 | 1520 |
L, 4-1
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1444 | 1493 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +21 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1440 | 1518 |
L, 9-5
34%
66%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1446 | 1535 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +10 | +13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1456 | 1572 |
L, 4-2
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1447 | 1533 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +27 | -4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +22 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1472 | 1551 |
L, 6-2
38%
62%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1449 | 1547 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | -27 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1456 | 1544 |
W, 6-3
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1446 | 1489 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | -19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1473 | 1470 |
L, 5-4
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1448 | 1487 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1475 | 1492 |
L, 3-1
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1450 | 1486 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +10 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1484 | 1486 |
L, 12-2
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1454 | 1519 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +27 | -30 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1505 | 1489 |
W, 4-3
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1453 | 1521 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | +27 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1486 | 1548 |
L, 11-2
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1456 | 1517 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +11 | +11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1491 | 1528 |
L, 6-1
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1459 | 1555 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +27 | +8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1510 | 1563 |
L, 14-4
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1463 | 1551 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +14 | -31 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1501 | 1520 |
L, 10-7
37%
63%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1464 | 1550 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +22 | +53 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1510 | 1603 |
L, 5-0
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1467 | 1547 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +29 | +7 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1505 | 1553 |
W, 2-1
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1465 | 1525 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +13 | -36 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1478 | 1513 |
W, 7-0
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1461 | 1530 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +12 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1473 | 1551 |
L, 6-3
36%
64%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1462 | 1529 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +12 | +22 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +22 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1471 | 1573 |
W, 6-3
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1459 | 1508 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1464 | 1536 |
L, 5-3
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1461 | 1507 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +29 | +14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1490 | 1545 |
W, 8-1
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1457 | 1511 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +12 | -13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1469 | 1522 |
L, 5-3
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1458 | 1510 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +14 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +21 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1469 | 1528 |
L, 6-2
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1460 | 1539 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +15 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1499 | 1543 |
W, 5-3
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1458 | 1541 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +12 | -31 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1494 | 1510 |
W, 5-0
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1455 | 1545 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +24 | -14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1503 | 1529 |
L, 11-3
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1459 | 1489 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +20 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1503 | 1493 |
W, 4-3
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1458 | 1491 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +11 | +21 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1493 | 1512 |
W, 8-6
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1456 | 1492 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +19 | +22 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1497 | 1514 |
L, 8-2
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1459 | 1493 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +28 | -22 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1484 | 1495 |
W, 6-2
38%
62%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1455 | 1556 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +21 | -21 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1476 | 1559 |
L, 18-3
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1460 | 1551 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +27 | -28 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1487 | 1547 |
L, 6-5
34%
66%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1461 | 1550 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +11 | +17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +23 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1471 | 1590 |
L, 8-3
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1463 | 1510 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +20 | -9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1483 | 1525 |
L, 6-5
37%
63%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1464 | 1509 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -22 | -2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1442 | 1531 |
W, 7-3
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1461 | 1512 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +17 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +21 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1475 | 1533 |
L, 8-7
38%
62%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1462 | 1573 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | -16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1475 | 1557 |
L, 10-2
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1465 | 1570 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | -31 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1493 | 1539 |
L, 3-1
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1467 | 1568 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +17 | +8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1506 | 1574 |
L, 4-2
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1469 | 1433 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -25 | +9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1444 | 1466 |
L, 6-2
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1472 | 1430 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +20 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1492 | 1456 |
L, 9-3
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1475 | 1426 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -5 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1469 | 1453 |
L, 9-7
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1477 | 1568 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +17 | -28 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1494 | 1564 |
L, 5-4
34%
66%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1477 | 1567 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1481 | 1596 |
L, 7-2
30%
70%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1479 | 1565 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -27 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -4 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1448 | 1597 |
W, 5-2
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1477 | 1497 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +12 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1513 | 1503 |
W, 6-4
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1475 | 1499 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -4 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1495 | 1504 |
W, 13-1
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1470 | 1504 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +13 | -5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1507 | 1499 |
W, 4-2
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1468 | 1506 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | +24 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1495 | 1528 |
L, 13-8
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1471 | 1466 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -10 | +13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1485 | 1479 |
L, 6-5
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1473 | 1465 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +15 | -6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1512 | 1459 |
W, 3-2
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1471 | 1466 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -6 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1489 | 1466 |
L, 5-4
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1473 | 1521 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +11 | -41 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1484 | 1504 |
L, 6-4
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1474 | 1520 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | +15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1479 | 1559 |
L, 17-2
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1478 | 1515 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -4 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1472 | 1543 |
W, 8-4
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1476 | 1449 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +16 | -15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1492 | 1458 |
L, 4-3
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1477 | 1448 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -7 | +13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1470 | 1485 |
W, 5-2
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1475 | 1450 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1478 | 1478 |
W, 4-3
38%
62%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1473 | 1549 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | -18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +22 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1469 | 1553 |
L, 8-7
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1474 | 1548 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | +26 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1496 | 1574 |
W, 5-1
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1471 | 1550 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +12 | -17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1507 | 1530 |
L, 6-4
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1473 | 1503 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1496 | 1495 |
W, 12-8
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1470 | 1506 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1498 | 1505 |
L, 12-6
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1474 | 1502 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | +11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1498 | 1510 |
L, 9-5
33%
67%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1475 | 1555 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | +23 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1479 | 1602 |
L, 7-5
34%
66%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1476 | 1554 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +13 | +27 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1489 | 1605 |
L, 9-5
35%
65%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1478 | 1552 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1475 | 1581 |
L, 8-3
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1481 | 1491 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | -2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1486 | 1513 |
L, 3-1
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1482 | 1489 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -4 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1478 | 1502 |
L, 3-2
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1483 | 1488 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +12 | +19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1495 | 1531 |
W, 3-2
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1482 | 1490 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | -23 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +20 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1479 | 1487 |
W, 5-3
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1480 | 1536 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | -5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1510 | 1531 |
L, 10-4
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1483 | 1533 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -18 | +21 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1489 | 1552 |
W, 4-0
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1480 | 1494 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | +19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1508 | 1513 |
W, 14-2
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1475 | 1499 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | -14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1500 | 1485 |
W, 13-3
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1471 | 1503 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | -29 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1495 | 1472 |
W, 4-2
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1469 | 1497 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | +21 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1498 | 1518 |
W, 7-2
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1465 | 1500 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -21 | +22 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1468 | 1522 |
L, 12-3
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1470 | 1495 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +10 | -31 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1504 | 1464 |
W, 4-3
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1469 | 1497 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -3 | +8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1488 | 1502 |
W, 5-4
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1467 | 1505 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +2 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1472 | 1537 |
L, 7-5
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1469 | 1504 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +10 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1479 | 1533 |
L, 9-4
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1471 | 1485 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -10 | -5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1461 | 1504 |
L, 9-1
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1475 | 1481 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | -2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1484 | 1503 |
L, 11-7
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1477 | 1479 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +12 | -20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1487 | 1483 |
W, 7-5
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1475 | 1569 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -6 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1493 | 1569 |
L, 12-8
34%
66%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1477 | 1568 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -33 | +16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1468 | 1584 |
L, 6-5
37%
63%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1478 | 1567 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | +33 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1505 | 1600 |
L, 2-1
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1479 | 1506 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1505 | 1503 |
L, 2-0
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1481 | 1504 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | -5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1511 | 1499 |
W, 9-3
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1477 | 1508 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -5 | +16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1498 | 1524 |
L, 4-2
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1479 | 1481 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -8 | -2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1495 | 1479 |
W, 7-5
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1478 | 1483 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +11 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1513 | 1482 |
L, 10-4
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1482 | 1479 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | -24 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1508 | 1455 |
L, 5-1
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1485 | 1476 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -5 | -16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1502 | 1458 |
W, 9-2
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1480 | 1496 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | +10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1480 | 1530 |
W, 6-2
37%
63%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1477 | 1500 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -15 | +26 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1462 | 1550 |
W, 7-1
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1473 | 1504 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +13 | -14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1483 | 1514 |
W, 8-0
38%
62%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1468 | 1504 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | +26 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1466 | 1554 |
L, 10-4
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1471 | 1501 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | -14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1473 | 1511 |
W, 2-0
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1469 | 1503 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -8 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1459 | 1519 |
W, 7-4
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1466 | 1459 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -9 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1481 | 1463 |
W, 2-0
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1465 | 1461 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | +15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | +2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1498 | 1478 |
L, 4-3
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1466 | 1459 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | +11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1491 | 1468 |
NL Central standings
| Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | CubsCubs92-70 | — | ✓ | ✓ | ||
 | BrewersBrewers86-76 | 6.0 | — | — | ||
 | CardinalsCardinals83-79 | 9.0 | — | — | ||
 | PiratesPirates75-87 | 17.0 | — | — | ||
 | RedsReds68-94 | 24.0 | — | — |
This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest. It updates after each game. Methodology »
For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB »
Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
Comments