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The Rockies are done for the season.
Team rating
Starting pitchers
| Pitcher score | Adjustment to team ratingAdj. to team rating | ||
|---|---|---|---|
 | Jon Gray | 54.3 | +17 |
 | Tyler Anderson | 54.0 | +15 |
 | Chad Bettis | 50.7 | 0 |
 | Tyler Chatwood | 50.4 | -1 |
 | German Marquez | 50.1 | -3 |
Completed games
L, 11-8
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1509 | 1539 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +23 | +19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +2 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1534 | 1584 |
L, 6-3
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1511 | 1562 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +15 | -15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1550 | 1547 |
L, 5-3
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1512 | 1561 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -6 | +41 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1530 | 1602 |
W, 9-1
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1508 | 1565 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -7 | -16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1527 | 1548 |
W, 15-9
61%
39%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1506 | 1481 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +23 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1553 | 1478 |
W, 6-0
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1503 | 1483 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +11 | +17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1538 | 1500 |
L, 5-4
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1505 | 1482 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +21 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1527 | 1481 |
W, 8-4
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1502 | 1460 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | -4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1503 | 1480 |
L, 5-0
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1505 | 1456 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -4 | +20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1501 | 1500 |
W, 4-1
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1503 | 1458 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +23 | -7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1526 | 1475 |
L, 3-0
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1506 | 1456 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +12 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1516 | 1479 |
L, 4-0
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1509 | 1458 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | -12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1510 | 1470 |
L, 4-3
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1511 | 1457 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | +9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1512 | 1492 |
L, 4-3
62%
38%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1512 | 1451 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +19 | +20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1555 | 1471 |
W, 16-0
63%
37%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1508 | 1455 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1541 | 1452 |
W, 6-1
61%
39%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1506 | 1457 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | -4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +21 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1527 | 1452 |
L, 7-0
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1509 | 1543 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1513 | 1568 |
L, 8-2
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1512 | 1540 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | -22 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1520 | 1542 |
W, 4-2
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1510 | 1542 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +16 | -6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1526 | 1560 |
W, 5-4
38%
62%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1508 | 1544 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -5 | +20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1501 | 1588 |
W, 8-1
35%
65%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1503 | 1568 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -4 | +15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1499 | 1607 |
W, 6-5
37%
63%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1501 | 1570 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1506 | 1600 |
W, 5-4
37%
63%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1499 | 1572 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +12 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1511 | 1601 |
W, 9-1
29%
71%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1493 | 1579 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +14 | +54 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1504 | 1657 |
L, 11-3
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1497 | 1457 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -3 | +8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1518 | 1465 |
W, 9-6
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1496 | 1458 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -6 | -15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1514 | 1443 |
W, 4-3
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1495 | 1460 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1523 | 1463 |
L, 5-1
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1497 | 1535 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +12 | -2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1533 | 1533 |
L, 6-2
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1500 | 1532 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +14 | -13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1538 | 1519 |
L, 9-5
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1502 | 1529 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -3 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1525 | 1518 |
L, 6-2
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1505 | 1476 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | +42 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1536 | 1518 |
W, 7-3
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1503 | 1478 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | +29 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1536 | 1507 |
L, 4-3
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1504 | 1477 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | -23 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +21 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1514 | 1451 |
W, 3-0
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1502 | 1470 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +12 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1514 | 1491 |
W, 7-6
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1501 | 1471 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1501 | 1499 |
L, 5-2
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1503 | 1469 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +12 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1512 | 1500 |
W, 3-2
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1502 | 1499 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +11 | -4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1513 | 1519 |
L, 6-4
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1503 | 1497 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | -2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1492 | 1519 |
L, 3-2
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1505 | 1496 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | +20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1513 | 1542 |
L, 8-4
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1507 | 1496 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -3 | +22 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1528 | 1518 |
L, 6-3
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1510 | 1493 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +11 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1545 | 1493 |
W, 8-4
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1508 | 1495 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +13 | -17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1545 | 1477 |
L, 10-4
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1512 | 1467 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | -4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1525 | 1463 |
W, 17-2
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1507 | 1471 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1537 | 1475 |
L, 4-3
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1509 | 1470 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -5 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1528 | 1473 |
W, 3-0
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1507 | 1471 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +20 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1533 | 1468 |
L, 5-3
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1509 | 1499 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +18 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1527 | 1528 |
L, 4-3
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1510 | 1498 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -7 | -15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1503 | 1507 |
L, 6-3
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1513 | 1496 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | +11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +21 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1520 | 1528 |
W, 3-2
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1511 | 1551 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -12 | -17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1499 | 1558 |
L, 4-1
36%
64%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1512 | 1550 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +14 | +50 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1525 | 1626 |
L, 3-2
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1514 | 1449 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | +25 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1527 | 1474 |
W, 8-5
64%
36%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1513 | 1450 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | -7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1544 | 1443 |
W, 4-3
62%
38%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1512 | 1451 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -3 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1533 | 1447 |
W, 5-4
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1511 | 1496 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +16 | -19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1551 | 1477 |
L, 10-5
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1514 | 1493 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | -9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1536 | 1484 |
W, 5-4
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1513 | 1494 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -15 | +7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1520 | 1500 |
L, 3-1
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1515 | 1552 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | -61 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1520 | 1515 |
W, 10-6
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1512 | 1555 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | -30 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1512 | 1549 |
W, 4-2
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1510 | 1558 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +11 | -22 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +2 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1523 | 1562 |
L, 10-5
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1512 | 1514 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -8 | +19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1504 | 1557 |
L, 3-2
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1513 | 1512 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | +7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1518 | 1543 |
L, 8-2
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1516 | 1509 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -6 | -12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +22 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1507 | 1519 |
W, 13-3
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1512 | 1506 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -3 | +11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1533 | 1517 |
W, 7-3
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1510 | 1508 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | -5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1538 | 1503 |
L, 13-5
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1515 | 1503 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1541 | 1499 |
W, 18-4
64%
36%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1511 | 1445 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | -7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1540 | 1438 |
W, 9-7
61%
39%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1510 | 1446 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -5 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1529 | 1450 |
W, 9-6
62%
38%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1508 | 1447 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +20 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1529 | 1448 |
W, 13-4
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1504 | 1503 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | +21 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1506 | 1548 |
L, 9-3
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1507 | 1500 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | -4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1510 | 1520 |
L, 14-2
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1511 | 1496 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +12 | +27 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +5 | +30 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1528 | 1553 |
W, 10-0
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1507 | 1473 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -16 | +26 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1515 | 1499 |
L, 5-4
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1509 | 1472 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | +30 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1533 | 1502 |
W, 12-4
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1506 | 1475 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | -6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1528 | 1468 |
L, 6-3
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1508 | 1459 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1536 | 1464 |
W, 5-3
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1507 | 1461 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +14 | +29 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1545 | 1490 |
L, 8-1
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1511 | 1457 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -13 | +12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1522 | 1469 |
W, 5-3
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1510 | 1458 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -3 | +14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +21 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1528 | 1469 |
L, 4-3
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1511 | 1530 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | -4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1509 | 1550 |
L, 6-2
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1513 | 1528 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | +21 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1518 | 1573 |
W, 6-3
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1511 | 1531 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +13 | +13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1523 | 1568 |
L, 5-3
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1512 | 1474 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -9 | -13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1503 | 1485 |
L, 4-3
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1514 | 1472 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -5 | -38 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1509 | 1458 |
L, 9-2
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1518 | 1468 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | +13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1520 | 1505 |
L, 12-6
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1520 | 1586 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +10 | -2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1530 | 1608 |
L, 4-0
34%
66%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1522 | 1584 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | +41 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1530 | 1649 |
L, 6-1
35%
65%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1524 | 1582 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -8 | +12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1513 | 1618 |
L, 10-3
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1528 | 1531 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -4 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1548 | 1523 |
L, 16-5
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1533 | 1526 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1556 | 1527 |
W, 4-3
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1531 | 1527 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -8 | +22 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1549 | 1547 |
W, 7-5
62%
38%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1530 | 1483 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1559 | 1475 |
W, 5-1
63%
37%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1529 | 1485 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -12 | -35 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1541 | 1450 |
W, 10-8
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1527 | 1486 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | +14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1550 | 1500 |
W, 10-9
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1526 | 1487 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | -10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +21 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1546 | 1474 |
W, 5-1
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1524 | 1494 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -10 | -6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1514 | 1512 |
L, 5-2
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1526 | 1492 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1530 | 1517 |
L, 7-2
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1529 | 1489 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -6 | +25 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1521 | 1538 |
L, 7-5
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1530 | 1539 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | +10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1533 | 1573 |
W, 9-1
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1526 | 1544 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -9 | -37 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1517 | 1531 |
W, 5-3
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1524 | 1546 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | -22 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1513 | 1548 |
W, 4-1
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1521 | 1549 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | +21 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1520 | 1594 |
W, 8-1
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1518 | 1540 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -13 | -13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1529 | 1527 |
W, 11-3
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1514 | 1544 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | -16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +23 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1541 | 1527 |
W, 3-1
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1513 | 1440 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -15 | -7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1498 | 1457 |
W, 10-1
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1509 | 1444 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1510 | 1473 |
L, 8-5
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1512 | 1441 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1509 | 1467 |
W, 6-3
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1509 | 1514 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -12 | -15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1497 | 1523 |
L, 5-0
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1512 | 1512 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | +34 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +21 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1515 | 1567 |
L, 10-4
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1515 | 1508 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +11 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1550 | 1513 |
L, 6-5
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1517 | 1507 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -4 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1542 | 1500 |
W, 8-4
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1515 | 1513 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1537 | 1516 |
L, 3-0
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1517 | 1510 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -15 | -16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1526 | 1494 |
W, 10-0
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1512 | 1515 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -6 | +18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +20 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1526 | 1530 |
L, 2-1
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1514 | 1449 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +10 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1524 | 1475 |
W, 7-2
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1511 | 1451 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | +14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1510 | 1489 |
W, 8-2
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1508 | 1454 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | -10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1508 | 1468 |
W, 8-1
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1505 | 1458 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -24 | +11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +22 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1479 | 1491 |
W, 6-4
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1503 | 1473 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -8 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1495 | 1496 |
L, 12-8
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1506 | 1470 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1505 | 1498 |
W, 12-6
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1502 | 1474 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +11 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +22 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1510 | 1498 |
L, 2-0
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1504 | 1477 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | -23 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1504 | 1478 |
W, 5-1
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1501 | 1480 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | +45 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +2 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1501 | 1551 |
W, 7-3
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1499 | 1483 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -7 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +23 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1491 | 1498 |
W, 9-6
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1496 | 1562 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1523 | 1551 |
L, 4-0
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1499 | 1560 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | -6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1532 | 1554 |
L, 6-2
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1500 | 1559 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | +47 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1525 | 1606 |
W, 10-7
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1498 | 1561 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -30 | -24 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1492 | 1534 |
W, 3-0
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1495 | 1559 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -17 | +24 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1502 | 1583 |
L, 8-1
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1498 | 1556 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -7 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1515 | 1555 |
W, 10-4
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1495 | 1560 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | +13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1522 | 1572 |
W, 5-2
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1493 | 1499 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1516 | 1503 |
W, 9-1
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1489 | 1503 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | -16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1522 | 1487 |
L, 6-3
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1491 | 1501 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -13 | +19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +21 | -4 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1499 | 1516 |
W, 3-2
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1490 | 1449 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -8 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1482 | 1474 |
W, 11-3
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1486 | 1453 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1493 | 1474 |
L, 6-2
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1489 | 1450 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1493 | 1471 |
L, 2-0
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1491 | 1498 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -21 | -20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1470 | 1502 |
W, 7-6
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1489 | 1500 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +14 | +22 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1503 | 1546 |
W, 3-1
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1487 | 1502 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -14 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1470 | 1530 |
L, 16-5
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1491 | 1553 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1523 | 1542 |
L, 11-4
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1494 | 1550 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1525 | 1549 |
L, 15-12
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1496 | 1548 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -16 | -17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1504 | 1531 |
W, 8-4
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1494 | 1550 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +12 | -67 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -4 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1530 | 1479 |
W, 8-0
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1490 | 1512 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -25 | -9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1489 | 1503 |
W, 12-3
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1486 | 1516 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1510 | 1513 |
W, 6-5
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1485 | 1518 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | +21 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +23 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1517 | 1538 |
L, 4-2
32%
68%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1486 | 1552 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +17 | +54 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1503 | 1630 |
W, 4-3
37%
63%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1484 | 1554 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -15 | -18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1469 | 1560 |
W, 4-3
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1482 | 1520 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -4 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1478 | 1533 |
W, 5-0
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1478 | 1524 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1480 | 1549 |
L, 8-2
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1481 | 1521 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +22 | +19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1503 | 1564 |
W, 3-1
38%
62%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1479 | 1524 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +11 | +27 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1487 | 1575 |
L, 6-0
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1482 | 1451 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -8 | -2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1498 | 1449 |
W, 3-2
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1481 | 1452 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | -2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1494 | 1450 |
L, 5-3
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1483 | 1450 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1509 | 1439 |
L, 10-6
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1486 | 1554 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +24 | -16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1534 | 1538 |
W, 4-2
37%
63%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1483 | 1556 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | +51 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1516 | 1607 |
W, 2-1
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1482 | 1558 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -17 | -18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +21 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1486 | 1537 |
W, 2-1
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1480 | 1475 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -16 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1464 | 1498 |
L, 6-1
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1483 | 1472 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | -4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1489 | 1492 |
W, 6-5
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1482 | 1473 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +29 | +10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1511 | 1507 |
W, 7-5
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1480 | 1476 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +12 | +33 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1489 | 1533 |
NL West standings
| Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | DodgersDodgers104-58 | — | ✓ | ✓ | ||
 | DbacksDiamondbacks93-69 | 11.0 | ✓ | — | ||
 | RockiesRockies87-75 | 17.0 | ✓ | — | ||
 | PadresPadres71-91 | 33.0 | — | — | ||
 | GiantsGiants64-98 | 40.0 | — | — |
This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest. It updates after each game. Methodology »
For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB »
Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
Comments