Updated Sep. 24, 2017 at 12:05 AM

2017 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Rockies have a 51% chance of making the playoffs.twitter bird

Their team rating is 1502, down 10 points from last week.

NL West standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
DodgersDodgers98-57
DbacksDiamondbacks89-669.0>99%
RockiesRockies83-7215.051%
GiantsGiants61-9437.0
PadresPadres70-8528.0

Upcoming games

Marquez vs. Perdomo

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15021460
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15031480

Chatwood vs. Despaigne

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15021483
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-3
Adjusted team rating15231482

Anderson vs. Urena

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15021483
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15361501

Gray vs. Conley

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15021483
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+24-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15501481

Bettis vs. Kershaw

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15021558
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5+41
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-1
Adjusted team rating15231598

Marquez vs. Darvish

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15021558
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15271565

Chatwood vs. Wood

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15021558
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15261565

Team rating

Starting pitchers

Pitcher score Adjustment to team ratingAdj. to
team rating
Jon Gray
Jon Gray55.5+24
Tyler Anderson
Tyler Anderson52.5+10
German Marquez
German Marquez50.5+1
Tyler Chatwood
Tyler Chatwood50.30
Chad Bettis
Chad Bettis49.2-5

Completed games

L, 5-0

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15051456
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4+20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15011500

W, 4-1

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031458
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+23-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15261475

L, 3-0

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061456
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating15161479

L, 4-0

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15091458
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15101470

L, 4-3

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15111457
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+26
Adjusted team rating15121492

vs. Padres

L, 4-3

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121451
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+19+20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15551471

W, 16-0

63%

37%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081455
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15411452

W, 6-1

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061457
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-1
Adjusted team rating15271452

L, 7-0

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15091543
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15131568

L, 8-2

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121540
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8-22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15201542

W, 4-2

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15101542
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+16-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15261560

W, 5-4

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081544
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5+20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating15011588

W, 8-1

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031568
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4+15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14991607

W, 6-5

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15011570
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15061600

W, 5-4

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991572
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15111601

W, 9-1

29%

71%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931579
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14+54
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating15041657

vs. Giants

L, 11-3

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971457
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15181465

W, 9-6

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961458
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15141443

W, 4-3

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951460
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15231463

L, 5-1

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971535
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15331533

L, 6-2

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15001532
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15381519

L, 9-5

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15021529
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-3
Adjusted team rating15251518

vs. Tigers

L, 6-2

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15051476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7+42
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15361518

W, 7-3

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031478
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9+29
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15361507

L, 4-3

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041477
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-3
Adjusted team rating15141451

W, 3-0

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15021470
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15141491

W, 7-6

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15011471
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15011499

L, 5-2

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031469
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+26
Adjusted team rating15121500

W, 3-2

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15021499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15131519

L, 6-4

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14921519

L, 3-2

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15051496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9+20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+26
Adjusted team rating15131542

L, 8-4

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15071496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3+22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15281518

L, 6-3

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15101493
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+110
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15451493

W, 8-4

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-1
Adjusted team rating15451477

vs. Braves

L, 10-4

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121467
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15251463

W, 17-2

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15071471
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15371475

L, 4-3

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15091470
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15281473

W, 3-0

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15071471
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+60
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+20-3
Adjusted team rating15331468

L, 5-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15091499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+18+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15271528

L, 4-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15101498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15031507

L, 6-3

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15131496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+21
Adjusted team rating15201528

W, 3-2

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15111551
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14991558

L, 4-1

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121550
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14+50
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+26
Adjusted team rating15251626

L, 3-2

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15141449
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11+25
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15271474

W, 8-5

64%

36%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15131450
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15441443

W, 4-3

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121451
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15331447

vs. Mets

W, 5-4

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15111496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+16-19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15511477

L, 10-5

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15141493
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15361484

W, 5-4

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15131494
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-1
Adjusted team rating15201500

L, 3-1

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15151552
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5-61
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15201515

W, 10-6

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121555
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0-30
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15121549

W, 4-2

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15101558
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11-22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+2+26
Adjusted team rating15231562

L, 10-5

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121514
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15041557

L, 3-2

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15131512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15181543

L, 8-2

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15161509
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+22
Adjusted team rating15071519

W, 13-3

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15331517

W, 7-3

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15101508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15381503

L, 13-5

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15151503
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-3
Adjusted team rating15411499

vs. Padres

W, 18-4

64%

36%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15111445
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15401438

W, 9-7

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15101446
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15291450

W, 9-6

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081447
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+20-3
Adjusted team rating15291448

at Mets

W, 13-4

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041503
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15061548

L, 9-3

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15071500
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15101520

L, 14-2

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15111496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12+27
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+5+30
Adjusted team rating15281553

W, 10-0

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15071473
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16+26
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15151499

L, 5-4

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15091472
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+30
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15331502

W, 12-4

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-1
Adjusted team rating15281468

vs. Reds

L, 6-3

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081459
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15361464

W, 5-3

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15071461
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14+29
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15451490

L, 8-1

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15111457
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15221469

W, 5-3

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15101458
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-3
Adjusted team rating15281469

L, 4-3

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15111530
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15091550

L, 6-2

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15131528
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15181573

W, 6-3

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15111531
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+24
Adjusted team rating15231568

L, 5-3

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121474
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15031485

L, 4-3

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15141472
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5-38
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15091458

L, 9-2

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15181468
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating15201505

L, 12-6

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15201586
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15301608

L, 4-0

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15221584
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8+41
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15301649

L, 6-1

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15241582
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating15131618

L, 10-3

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15281531
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15481523

L, 16-5

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15331526
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15561527

W, 4-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15311527
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8+22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-2
Adjusted team rating15491547

vs. Giants

W, 7-5

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15301483
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15591475

W, 5-1

63%

37%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15291485
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12-35
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15411450

W, 10-8

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15271486
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15501500

W, 10-9

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15261487
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-3
Adjusted team rating15461474

W, 5-1

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15241494
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15141512

L, 5-2

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15261492
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15301517

L, 7-2

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15291489
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6+25
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating15211538

at Cubs

L, 7-5

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15301539
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15331573

W, 9-1

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15261544
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9-37
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15171531

W, 5-3

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15241546
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15131548

W, 4-1

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15211549
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating15201594

W, 8-1

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15181540
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15291527

W, 11-3

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15141544
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+23-1
Adjusted team rating15411527

W, 3-1

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15131440
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14981457

W, 10-1

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15091444
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15101473

L, 8-5

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121441
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality00
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+26
Adjusted team rating15091467

W, 6-3

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15091514
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14971523

L, 5-0

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6+34
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+21
Adjusted team rating15151567

L, 10-4

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15151508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15501513

L, 6-5

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15171507
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-4
Adjusted team rating15421500

W, 8-4

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15151513
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15371516

L, 3-0

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15171510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15261494

W, 10-0

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15121515
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+20-3
Adjusted team rating15261530

L, 2-1

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15141449
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15241475

W, 7-2

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15111451
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15101489

W, 8-2

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081454
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15081468

W, 8-1

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15051458
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-24+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+22
Adjusted team rating14791491

at Reds

W, 6-4

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031473
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14951496

L, 12-8

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061470
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15051498

W, 12-6

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15021474
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+22
Adjusted team rating15101498

L, 2-0

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15041477
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0-23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15041478

W, 5-1

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15011480
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2+45
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+2+26
Adjusted team rating15011551

W, 7-3

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991483
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+23
Adjusted team rating14911498

W, 9-6

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961562
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15231551

L, 4-0

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991560
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15321554

L, 6-2

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15001559
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+47
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15251606

W, 10-7

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981561
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-30-24
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating14921534

vs. Cubs

W, 3-0

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951559
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17+24
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15021583

L, 8-1

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981556
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15151555

W, 10-4

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951560
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-1
Adjusted team rating15221572

W, 5-2

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15161503

W, 9-1

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14891503
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15221487

L, 6-3

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-4
Adjusted team rating14991516

W, 3-2

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14901449
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14821474

W, 11-3

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14861453
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14931474

L, 6-2

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14891450
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14931471

L, 2-0

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-21-20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14701502

W, 7-6

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14891500
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14+22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15031546

W, 3-1

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14871502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14701530

L, 16-5

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911553
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15231542

L, 11-4

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14941550
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15251549

L, 15-12

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961548
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15041531

W, 8-4

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14941550
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12-67
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-4
Adjusted team rating15301479

vs. Giants

W, 8-0

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14901512
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-25-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14891503

W, 12-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14861516
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15101513

W, 6-5

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14851518
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9+21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+23-1
Adjusted team rating15171538

L, 4-2

32%

68%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14861552
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17+54
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15031630

W, 4-3

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14841554
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15-18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14691560

W, 4-3

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14821520
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14781533

W, 5-0

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781524
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14801549

L, 8-2

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14811521
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+22+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15031564

W, 3-1

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14791524
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11+27
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14871575

vs. Padres

L, 6-0

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14821451
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14981449

W, 3-2

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14811452
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14941450

L, 5-3

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14831450
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15091439

L, 10-6

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14861554
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+24-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15341538

W, 4-2

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14831556
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9+51
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15161607

W, 2-1

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14821558
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17-18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-3
Adjusted team rating14861537

W, 2-1

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14801475
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14641498

L, 6-1

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14831472
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14891492

W, 6-5

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14821473
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+29+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15111507

W, 7-5

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14801476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12+33
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14891533

This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest. It updates after each game. Methodology »

For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB »

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