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The Royals are done for the season.
Team rating
Starting pitchers
| Pitcher score | Adjustment to team ratingAdj. to team rating | ||
|---|---|---|---|
 | Danny Duffy | 53.5 | +26 |
 | Jake Junis | 51.1 | +15 |
 | Jason Vargas | 48.1 | +1 |
 | Jason Hammel | 47.2 | -3 |
 | Ian Kennedy | 46.7 | -5 |
Completed games
L, 14-2
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1482 | 1535 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | +13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1512 | 1548 |
W, 4-3
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1480 | 1536 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +13 | -9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1517 | 1527 |
W, 2-1
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1479 | 1538 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -9 | +22 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1494 | 1559 |
L, 4-1
64%
36%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1481 | 1441 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +29 | -5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1534 | 1436 |
W, 7-4
61%
39%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1480 | 1443 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -5 | -19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1499 | 1424 |
W, 2-1
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1479 | 1444 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | -12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +21 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1505 | 1431 |
L, 11-3
38%
62%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1482 | 1557 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +18 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +22 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1497 | 1579 |
L, 8-1
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1485 | 1458 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -7 | +16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1478 | 1498 |
W, 8-2
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1482 | 1460 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +30 | -34 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1512 | 1450 |
L, 7-6
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1484 | 1459 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +21 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1482 | 1482 |
W, 1-0
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1482 | 1489 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | +18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1480 | 1531 |
W, 15-5
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1478 | 1493 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +16 | -28 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1494 | 1489 |
L, 5-2
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1479 | 1492 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -9 | +18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +23 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1470 | 1533 |
L, 3-2
28%
72%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1480 | 1596 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +28 | +51 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1508 | 1671 |
L, 8-4
31%
69%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1481 | 1595 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | +7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1486 | 1626 |
W, 4-3
33%
67%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1479 | 1597 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | -17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1478 | 1604 |
L, 3-2
36%
64%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1480 | 1596 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +15 | -30 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1492 | 1590 |
L, 5-3
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1482 | 1454 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -20 | +11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1486 | 1465 |
W, 4-3
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1481 | 1455 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | -31 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1494 | 1424 |
L, 11-3
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1486 | 1450 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +10 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1520 | 1451 |
W, 11-3
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1482 | 1504 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -5 | -18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1501 | 1486 |
W, 5-2
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1480 | 1506 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +14 | +7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1518 | 1513 |
L, 8-5
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1482 | 1504 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -6 | +26 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1500 | 1530 |
L, 4-2
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1484 | 1503 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -15 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +21 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1490 | 1500 |
W, 13-2
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1479 | 1473 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +11 | -16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1490 | 1481 |
L, 13-2
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1484 | 1469 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | -18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1486 | 1475 |
W, 7-6
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1483 | 1470 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +13 | -2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1493 | 1492 |
W, 5-4
38%
62%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1481 | 1506 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -8 | +27 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1473 | 1557 |
L, 17-0
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1486 | 1501 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -5 | -5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1481 | 1520 |
W, 7-6
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1485 | 1502 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | -16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1493 | 1510 |
L, 5-3
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1487 | 1502 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | -20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1515 | 1482 |
W, 6-2
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1484 | 1505 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | +7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1512 | 1512 |
L, 12-0
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1490 | 1499 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -3 | -22 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +21 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1508 | 1475 |
L, 12-0
36%
64%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1493 | 1563 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -12 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1481 | 1584 |
L, 4-0
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1495 | 1561 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | -20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1502 | 1565 |
L, 4-0
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1497 | 1559 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | -26 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1498 | 1557 |
L, 3-2
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1499 | 1502 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -4 | +11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1519 | 1513 |
W, 6-4
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1497 | 1503 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1519 | 1492 |
W, 3-2
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1496 | 1505 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +20 | +9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1542 | 1513 |
W, 7-4
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1493 | 1565 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1523 | 1562 |
L, 5-0
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1496 | 1562 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | -17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1525 | 1545 |
L, 10-1
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1499 | 1559 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | +48 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1525 | 1605 |
W, 7-6
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1498 | 1468 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +21 | +11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1519 | 1503 |
L, 10-8
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1500 | 1466 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | -7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1508 | 1483 |
W, 6-2
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1497 | 1469 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | -12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -4 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1482 | 1481 |
W, 14-6
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1494 | 1456 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | -15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1498 | 1465 |
W, 5-4
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1492 | 1457 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | -23 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1496 | 1458 |
L, 6-3
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1495 | 1455 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +21 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1514 | 1479 |
L, 8-6
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1496 | 1526 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | +11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1502 | 1561 |
L, 8-5
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1498 | 1524 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -19 | -9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +22 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1477 | 1537 |
L, 10-3
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1502 | 1520 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1535 | 1519 |
L, 11-3
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1506 | 1516 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | +16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1536 | 1529 |
W, 9-1
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1502 | 1519 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -26 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1500 | 1523 |
L, 8-7
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1503 | 1517 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +25 | -13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | +2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1554 | 1506 |
L, 5-2
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1505 | 1515 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | +41 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1532 | 1556 |
W, 6-4
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1503 | 1517 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -20 | -15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +21 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1504 | 1500 |
L, 6-0
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1507 | 1491 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | +12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1516 | 1527 |
L, 7-2
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1509 | 1488 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | +15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1518 | 1527 |
L, 2-1
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1511 | 1486 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +22 | -5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +21 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1531 | 1502 |
W, 5-3
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1509 | 1538 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1510 | 1561 |
L, 9-8
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1510 | 1537 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -15 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1495 | 1558 |
W, 4-2
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1508 | 1539 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | -9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +22 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1514 | 1552 |
W, 16-2
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1502 | 1492 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1509 | 1508 |
W, 3-1
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1500 | 1494 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +21 | +30 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1521 | 1548 |
W, 5-3
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1498 | 1496 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | +22 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +21 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1495 | 1539 |
W, 5-4
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1497 | 1459 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -16 | -10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1505 | 1449 |
W, 7-2
61%
39%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1495 | 1461 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +10 | -7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1529 | 1454 |
W, 7-6
62%
38%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1494 | 1462 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +11 | -19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1529 | 1443 |
W, 16-4
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1489 | 1497 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +22 | +39 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1535 | 1536 |
W, 4-3
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1488 | 1499 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -5 | +19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1507 | 1518 |
L, 9-3
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1491 | 1495 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -10 | -22 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1505 | 1473 |
L, 10-2
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1496 | 1490 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +16 | -25 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1536 | 1462 |
W, 4-3
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1495 | 1525 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | +33 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1527 | 1558 |
L, 1-0
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1496 | 1524 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +17 | +19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1537 | 1543 |
L, 5-3
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1498 | 1522 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -6 | -13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +30 | +7 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1522 | 1516 |
L, 5-2
30%
70%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1499 | 1593 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +18 | +45 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1517 | 1662 |
L, 5-4
37%
63%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1500 | 1592 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +10 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1510 | 1605 |
L, 4-1
36%
64%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1502 | 1590 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -6 | -20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1495 | 1594 |
W, 9-6
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1499 | 1514 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +23 | +14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1522 | 1552 |
W, 7-3
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1496 | 1516 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +17 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1513 | 1541 |
W, 3-1
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1494 | 1519 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -4 | +21 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1496 | 1541 |
W, 6-2
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1492 | 1477 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | -2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1505 | 1475 |
L, 10-5
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1495 | 1473 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1517 | 1473 |
W, 11-6
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1492 | 1476 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -13 | +10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1503 | 1486 |
W, 8-1
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1489 | 1479 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +19 | +37 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +21 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1529 | 1513 |
L, 7-3
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1491 | 1488 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -24 | +35 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1467 | 1547 |
W, 8-2
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1487 | 1492 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | -4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1488 | 1512 |
L, 5-3
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1489 | 1491 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -15 | +27 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +22 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1473 | 1540 |
L, 8-2
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1492 | 1504 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -4 | -14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1512 | 1490 |
W, 3-2
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1491 | 1505 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +19 | +7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1534 | 1512 |
W, 5-4
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1489 | 1507 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -29 | +19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1486 | 1524 |
W, 6-4
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1488 | 1538 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1515 | 1535 |
L, 8-3
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1490 | 1536 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -10 | +48 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1504 | 1584 |
W, 4-2
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1488 | 1537 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -7 | -33 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +21 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1502 | 1501 |
W, 7-3
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1485 | 1508 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +20 | -5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1505 | 1527 |
L, 9-0
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1488 | 1504 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -27 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1461 | 1527 |
W, 3-1
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1486 | 1506 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | -13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1485 | 1517 |
W, 7-2
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1483 | 1510 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -14 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1467 | 1531 |
W, 7-2
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1479 | 1491 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -8 | +17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1471 | 1532 |
W, 8-1
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1475 | 1495 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +19 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1494 | 1513 |
W, 8-3
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1472 | 1429 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -25 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1447 | 1455 |
W, 12-6
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1469 | 1433 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | +10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1471 | 1467 |
L, 6-3
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1471 | 1430 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -10 | +7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +22 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1458 | 1459 |
L, 6-1
34%
66%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1473 | 1581 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -15 | +17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1482 | 1598 |
W, 7-5
36%
64%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1470 | 1584 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +19 | +32 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1513 | 1616 |
W, 9-7
38%
62%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1468 | 1586 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -15 | -24 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1477 | 1562 |
L, 7-3
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1470 | 1584 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | -25 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1496 | 1557 |
L, 8-0
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1473 | 1540 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -6 | -13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1491 | 1527 |
W, 12-5
36%
64%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1468 | 1545 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -20 | +24 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1472 | 1569 |
W, 4-0
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1466 | 1548 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +12 | -15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1504 | 1530 |
L, 6-5
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1467 | 1496 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | -26 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1498 | 1470 |
W, 1-0
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1466 | 1498 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -16 | +30 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1474 | 1528 |
L, 10-7
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1468 | 1496 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -17 | -4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +21 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1472 | 1490 |
L, 10-1
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1471 | 1542 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +18 | -17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1489 | 1549 |
W, 5-2
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1468 | 1545 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +13 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1481 | 1558 |
W, 6-4
37%
63%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1466 | 1547 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1473 | 1562 |
L, 3-0
36%
64%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1467 | 1528 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -20 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1447 | 1544 |
W, 6-2
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1464 | 1532 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +18 | -13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1482 | 1543 |
L, 4-2
37%
63%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1465 | 1530 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +14 | +14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +21 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1476 | 1565 |
L, 8-4
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1468 | 1478 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +13 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1481 | 1491 |
W, 6-4
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1466 | 1480 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -19 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +2 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1449 | 1495 |
L, 4-3
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1467 | 1479 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1465 | 1504 |
W, 5-1
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1464 | 1536 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +12 | -10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1500 | 1526 |
L, 11-7
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1466 | 1533 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +19 | +15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1509 | 1548 |
L, 7-1
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1469 | 1531 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -18 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1477 | 1527 |
W, 9-8
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1467 | 1514 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -37 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1454 | 1516 |
W, 4-3
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1466 | 1515 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -3 | +8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1487 | 1523 |
W, 3-2
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1464 | 1517 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | +17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +21 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1493 | 1533 |
W, 6-0
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1460 | 1507 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +15 | +13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1475 | 1544 |
L, 12-1
37%
63%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1463 | 1504 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -14 | +16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1449 | 1544 |
W, 7-6
36%
64%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1461 | 1506 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -33 | -5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1428 | 1525 |
W, 7-3
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1458 | 1509 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -6 | -10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1449 | 1523 |
L, 1-0
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1459 | 1549 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | -30 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1489 | 1519 |
L, 3-1
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1461 | 1548 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +10 | -22 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1495 | 1526 |
W, 3-1
38%
62%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1458 | 1550 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -16 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1466 | 1548 |
L, 8-3
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1461 | 1486 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +18 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1503 | 1488 |
W, 6-1
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1459 | 1488 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -10 | -29 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1473 | 1459 |
L, 6-0
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1462 | 1485 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +12 | +21 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1498 | 1506 |
W, 6-1
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1459 | 1488 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +10 | -23 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1493 | 1462 |
L, 7-5
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1461 | 1479 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -13 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | +2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1474 | 1473 |
L, 6-4
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1463 | 1477 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +17 | -17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1504 | 1460 |
L, 5-2
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1465 | 1484 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -12 | +17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1453 | 1525 |
L, 10-5
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1468 | 1481 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +17 | -25 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1485 | 1480 |
L, 12-1
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1472 | 1477 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +10 | +17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1479 | 1518 |
L, 5-2
35%
65%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1473 | 1511 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -14 | +29 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1459 | 1564 |
L, 2-1
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1474 | 1509 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +13 | -40 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1487 | 1493 |
L, 6-2
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1476 | 1508 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -9 | +10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1467 | 1542 |
L, 1-0
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1478 | 1506 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +12 | -32 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +20 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1488 | 1494 |
W, 2-0
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1476 | 1520 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | +26 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1505 | 1546 |
L, 2-1
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1477 | 1518 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -15 | -42 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1488 | 1474 |
W, 1-0
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1476 | 1499 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1509 | 1491 |
W, 3-2
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1474 | 1500 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -7 | +14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1491 | 1514 |
W, 7-1
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1471 | 1503 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +12 | -13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1507 | 1487 |
W, 3-1
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1470 | 1490 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | -15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1497 | 1475 |
L, 8-3
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1473 | 1487 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -9 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | +2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1490 | 1494 |
L, 2-0
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1474 | 1485 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +12 | -5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +21 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1507 | 1478 |
L, 5-4
35%
65%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1475 | 1540 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -5 | +12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1470 | 1576 |
W, 7-3
36%
64%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1472 | 1544 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +14 | +19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1486 | 1587 |
W, 5-1
36%
64%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1468 | 1547 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | -6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1466 | 1565 |
L, 5-3
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1470 | 1482 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -8 | -4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1462 | 1502 |
L, 9-1
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1473 | 1478 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +12 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +2 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1487 | 1504 |
L, 7-1
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1476 | 1476 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +13 | +30 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1487 | 1530 |
AL Central standings
| Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | IndiansIndians102-60 | — | ✓ | ✓ | ||
 | TwinsTwins85-77 | 17.0 | ✓ | — | ||
 | RoyalsRoyals80-82 | 22.0 | — | — | ||
 | White SoxWhite Sox67-95 | 35.0 | — | — | ||
 | TigersTigers64-98 | 38.0 | — | — |
This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest. It updates after each game. Methodology »
For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB »
Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
Comments