Updated Nov. 2, 2017 at 12:02 AM

2017 MLB Predictions

Updated after every game.

The Royals are done for the season.twitter bird

Team rating

Starting pitchers

Pitcher score Adjustment to team ratingAdj. to
team rating
Danny Duffy
Danny Duffy53.5+26
Jake Junis
Jake Junis51.1+15
Jason Vargas
Jason Vargas48.1+1
Jason Hammel
Jason Hammel47.2-3
Ian Kennedy
Ian Kennedy46.7-5

Completed games

L, 14-2

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14821535
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15121548

W, 4-3

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14801536
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15171527

W, 2-1

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14791538
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9+22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-1
Adjusted team rating14941559

vs. Tigers

L, 4-1

64%

36%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14811441
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+29-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15341436

W, 7-4

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14801443
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5-19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14991424

W, 2-1

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14791444
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-1
Adjusted team rating15051431

L, 11-3

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14821557
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+180
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+22
Adjusted team rating14971579

L, 8-1

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14851458
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14781498

W, 8-2

59%

41%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14821460
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+30-34
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15121450

L, 7-6

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14841459
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+21
Adjusted team rating14821482

W, 1-0

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14821489
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14801531

W, 15-5

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781493
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+16-28
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14941489

L, 5-2

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14791492
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9+18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+23
Adjusted team rating14701533

L, 3-2

28%

72%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14801596
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+28+51
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15081671

L, 8-4

31%

69%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14811595
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14861626

W, 4-3

33%

67%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14791597
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14781604

L, 3-2

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14801596
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+15-30
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14921590

L, 5-3

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14821454
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-20+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14861465

W, 4-3

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14811455
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-31
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14941424

L, 11-3

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14861450
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10+3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating15201451

vs. Twins

W, 11-3

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14821504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5-18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15011486

W, 5-2

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14801506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15181513

L, 8-5

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14821504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6+26
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15001530

L, 4-2

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14841503
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-150
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-3
Adjusted team rating14901500

W, 13-2

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14791473
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14901481

L, 13-2

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14841469
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2-18
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14861475

W, 7-6

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14831470
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14931492

W, 5-4

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14811506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8+27
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14731557

L, 17-0

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14861501
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14811520

W, 7-6

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14851502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8-16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14931510

vs. Rays

L, 5-3

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14871502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4-20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15151482

W, 6-2

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14841505
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15121512

L, 12-0

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14901499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3-22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-2
Adjusted team rating15081475

L, 12-0

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931563
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14811584

L, 4-0

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951561
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7-20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15021565

L, 4-0

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971559
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4-26
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14981557

L, 3-2

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991502
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15191513

W, 6-4

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971503
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-2-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15191492

W, 3-2

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961505
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20+9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-1
Adjusted team rating15421513

W, 7-4

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14931565
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15231562

L, 5-0

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961562
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15251545

L, 10-1

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991559
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4+48
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+22-2
Adjusted team rating15251605

W, 7-6

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981468
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+21+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15191503

L, 10-8

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15001466
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15081483

W, 6-2

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971469
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-4+24
Adjusted team rating14821481

W, 14-6

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14941456
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14981465

W, 5-4

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14921457
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+4-23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14961458

L, 6-3

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951455
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+210
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating15141479

L, 8-6

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961526
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6+11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15021561

L, 8-5

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981524
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-19-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+22
Adjusted team rating14771537

L, 10-3

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15021520
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15351519

L, 11-3

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15061516
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15361529

W, 9-1

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15021519
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-26+4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15001523

L, 8-7

57%

43%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031517
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+25-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26+2
Adjusted team rating15541506

L, 5-2

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15051515
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3+41
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15321556

W, 6-4

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15031517
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-20-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-2
Adjusted team rating15041500

L, 6-0

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15071491
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15161527

L, 7-2

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15091488
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9+15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15181527

L, 2-1

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15111486
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+22-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+21
Adjusted team rating15311502

W, 5-3

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15091538
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15101561

L, 9-8

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15101537
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14951558

W, 4-2

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15081539
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7-9
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+22
Adjusted team rating15141552

W, 16-2

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15021492
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15091508

W, 3-1

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15001494
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+21+30
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15211548

W, 5-3

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+21
Adjusted team rating14951539

W, 5-4

58%

42%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14971459
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15051449

W, 7-2

61%

39%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951461
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10-7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15291454

W, 7-6

62%

38%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14941462
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+11-19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15291443

vs. Tigers

W, 16-4

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14891497
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+22+39
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15351536

W, 4-3

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14881499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15071518

L, 9-3

55%

45%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10-22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15051473

L, 10-2

60%

40%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961490
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+16-25
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15361462

W, 4-3

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951525
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8+33
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15271558

L, 1-0

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961524
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15371543

L, 5-3

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14981522
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+30+7
Adjusted team rating15221516

L, 5-2

30%

70%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991593
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+18+45
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15171662

L, 5-4

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15001592
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15101605

L, 4-1

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating15021590
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6-20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+24
Adjusted team rating14951594

W, 9-6

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14991514
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+23+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15221552

W, 7-3

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14961516
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15131541

W, 3-1

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14941519
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-4+21
Adjusted team rating14961541

vs. Twins

W, 6-2

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14921477
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-11-2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15051475

L, 10-5

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14951473
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-20
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15171473

W, 11-6

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14921476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15031486

W, 8-1

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14891479
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+19+37
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-3
Adjusted team rating15291513

L, 7-3

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911488
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-24+35
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14671547

W, 8-2

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14871492
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14881512

L, 5-3

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14891491
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15+27
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-1+22
Adjusted team rating14731540

L, 8-2

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14921504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-4-14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15121490

W, 3-2

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14911505
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+19+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15341512

W, 5-4

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14891507
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-29+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-2
Adjusted team rating14861524

W, 6-4

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14881538
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15151535

L, 8-3

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14901536
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10+48
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15041584

W, 4-2

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14881537
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7-33
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-3
Adjusted team rating15021501

W, 7-3

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14851508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+20-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating15051527

L, 9-0

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14881504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-27-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14611527

W, 3-1

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14861506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-1-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14851517

W, 7-2

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14831510
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14671531

W, 7-2

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14791491
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14711532

W, 8-1

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751495
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+19-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+26
Adjusted team rating14941513

W, 8-3

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14721429
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-25+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14471455

W, 12-6

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14691433
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14711467

L, 6-3

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14711430
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10+7
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+22
Adjusted team rating14581459

vs. Astros

L, 6-1

34%

66%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731581
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14821598

W, 7-5

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14701584
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+19+32
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15131616

W, 9-7

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14681586
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15-24
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14771562

L, 7-3

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14701584
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+2-25
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-2
Adjusted team rating14961557

L, 8-0

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731540
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14911527

W, 12-5

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14681545
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-20+24
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14721569

W, 4-0

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14661548
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-3
Adjusted team rating15041530

vs. Tigers

L, 6-5

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14671496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7-26
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14981470

W, 1-0

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14661498
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16+30
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14741528

L, 10-7

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14681496
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-17-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-2
Adjusted team rating14721490

L, 10-1

42%

58%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14711542
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+18-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14891549

W, 5-2

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14681545
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14811558

W, 6-4

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14661547
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+7-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+26
Adjusted team rating14731562

L, 3-0

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14671528
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-20-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14471544

W, 6-2

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14641532
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+18-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14821543

L, 4-2

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14651530
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+21
Adjusted team rating14761565

L, 8-4

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14681478
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14811491

W, 6-4

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14661480
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-19-11
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+2+26
Adjusted team rating14491495

L, 4-3

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14671479
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality0+1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14651504

W, 5-1

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14641536
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15001526

L, 11-7

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14661533
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+19+15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15091548

L, 7-1

43%

57%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14691531
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-18-3
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-1
Adjusted team rating14771527

W, 9-8

41%

59%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14671514
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-37+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14541516

W, 4-3

45%

55%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14661515
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-3+8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14871523

W, 3-2

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14641517
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+8+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-1
Adjusted team rating14931533

at Rays

W, 6-0

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14601507
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+15+13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14751544

L, 12-1

37%

63%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14631504
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14+16
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14491544

W, 7-6

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14611506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-33-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14281525

W, 7-3

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14581509
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-6-10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14491523

L, 1-0

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14591549
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+6-30
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14891519

L, 3-1

46%

54%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14611548
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10-22
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14951526

W, 3-1

38%

62%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14581550
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-16-1
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-1
Adjusted team rating14661548

L, 8-3

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14611486
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+18+2
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15031488

W, 6-1

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14591488
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-10-29
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14731459

L, 6-0

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14621485
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12+21
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14981506

W, 6-1

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14591488
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10-23
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating14931462

vs. Twins

L, 7-5

50%

50%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14611479
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-13-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26+2
Adjusted team rating14741473

L, 6-4

56%

44%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14631477
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17-17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15041460

L, 5-2

40%

60%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14651484
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-12+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14531525

L, 10-5

51%

49%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14681481
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+17-25
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14851480

L, 12-1

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14721477
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+10+17
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14791518

L, 5-2

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731511
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-14+29
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14591564

L, 2-1

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14741509
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13-40
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14871493

L, 6-2

39%

61%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761508
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9+10
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14671542

L, 1-0

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14781506
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12-32
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+20
Adjusted team rating14881494

vs. Giants

W, 2-0

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761520
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+5+26
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15051546

L, 2-1

52%

48%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14771518
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-15-42
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26-2
Adjusted team rating14881474

vs. Angels

W, 1-0

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761499
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+9-8
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating15091491

W, 3-2

47%

53%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14741500
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-7+14
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14911514

W, 7-1

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14711503
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12-13
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+24-3
Adjusted team rating15071487

W, 3-1

53%

47%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14701490
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+3-15
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+240
Adjusted team rating14971475

L, 8-3

49%

51%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731487
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-9+5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+26+2
Adjusted team rating14901494

L, 2-0

54%

46%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14741485
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+12-5
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+21-2
Adjusted team rating15071478

L, 5-4

35%

65%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14751540
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-5+12
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14701576

W, 7-3

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14721544
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+14+19
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14861587

W, 5-1

36%

64%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14681547
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+1-6
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-3+24
Adjusted team rating14661565

L, 5-3

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14701482
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality-8-4
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest0+24
Adjusted team rating14621502

L, 9-1

48%

52%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14731478
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+120
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest+2+26
Adjusted team rating14871504

L, 7-1

44%

56%

Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating

Team rating14761476
Pitcher adjustmentAdjust for pitcher quality+13+30
Home field, travel and restAdjust for home field, travel and rest-2+24
Adjusted team rating14871530

AL Central standings

Games backChance to
make playoffs
Make playoffsChance to
win division
Win division
IndiansIndians102-60
TwinsTwins85-7717.0
RoyalsRoyals80-8222.0
White SoxWhite Sox67-9535.0
TigersTigers64-9838.0

This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest. It updates after each game. Methodology »

For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB »

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