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The Tigers are done for the season.
Team rating
Starting pitchers
| Pitcher score | Adjustment to team ratingAdj. to team rating | ||
|---|---|---|---|
 | Matthew Boyd | 47.1 | -1 |
 | Daniel Norris | 47.1 | -2 |
 | Anibal Sanchez | 45.4 | -9 |
 | Jordan Zimmermann | 44.0 | -16 |
 | Buck Farmer | 42.6 | -22 |
Completed games
L, 5-1
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1445 | 1510 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | -28 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1434 | 1506 |
W, 3-2
34%
66%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1443 | 1512 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -25 | -4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1418 | 1532 |
L, 6-3
37%
63%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1444 | 1511 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +21 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1444 | 1537 |
W, 4-1
36%
64%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1441 | 1481 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -5 | +29 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1436 | 1534 |
L, 7-4
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1443 | 1480 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -19 | -5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1424 | 1499 |
L, 2-1
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1444 | 1479 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -12 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +21 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1431 | 1505 |
L, 10-4
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1446 | 1509 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -22 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1448 | 1515 |
L, 10-4
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1449 | 1506 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | +27 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1472 | 1533 |
L, 7-3
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1451 | 1504 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1473 | 1510 |
L, 12-1
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1455 | 1500 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -20 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1459 | 1499 |
L, 3-2
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1456 | 1486 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -17 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1463 | 1489 |
L, 9-8
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1458 | 1484 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -13 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1469 | 1483 |
L, 8-3
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1461 | 1482 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -19 | -14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1466 | 1466 |
W, 12-0
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1456 | 1463 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -10 | -30 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1470 | 1433 |
L, 10-4
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1460 | 1459 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -7 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1477 | 1461 |
W, 3-2
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1458 | 1460 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -21 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1461 | 1457 |
L, 17-7
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1463 | 1455 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -5 | -10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +23 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1481 | 1442 |
L, 5-3
29%
71%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1464 | 1595 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -19 | -15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1445 | 1604 |
L, 2-0
23%
77%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1465 | 1594 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -14 | +46 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1451 | 1664 |
L, 11-0
29%
71%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1467 | 1592 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1466 | 1621 |
L, 8-2
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1469 | 1487 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -18 | +16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1451 | 1527 |
L, 5-4
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1471 | 1486 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -8 | -31 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1463 | 1479 |
W, 5-4
38%
62%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1469 | 1487 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -24 | +20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1445 | 1531 |
L, 13-2
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1473 | 1479 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -16 | +11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1481 | 1490 |
W, 13-2
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1469 | 1484 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -18 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1475 | 1486 |
L, 7-6
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1470 | 1483 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | +13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1492 | 1493 |
L, 11-1
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1473 | 1578 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -3 | -29 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1494 | 1549 |
L, 5-2
30%
70%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1475 | 1577 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -23 | +47 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1476 | 1624 |
L, 10-0
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1478 | 1574 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -26 | -19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1476 | 1555 |
L, 3-2
37%
63%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1479 | 1573 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -23 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +23 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1479 | 1572 |
W, 6-2
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1476 | 1505 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +42 | +7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1518 | 1536 |
L, 7-3
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1478 | 1503 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +29 | +9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1507 | 1536 |
W, 4-3
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1477 | 1504 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -23 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +21 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1451 | 1514 |
L, 7-1
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1480 | 1450 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -22 | -5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1458 | 1469 |
W, 6-3
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1477 | 1452 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -27 | +32 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1450 | 1508 |
L, 3-2
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1478 | 1451 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +42 | +20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1518 | 1495 |
W, 10-6
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1476 | 1542 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +32 | -22 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1532 | 1520 |
L, 10-2
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1479 | 1540 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -18 | +15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1485 | 1555 |
L, 13-4
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1482 | 1536 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -17 | +9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1491 | 1544 |
W, 6-1
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1479 | 1612 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +34 | -10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1537 | 1602 |
L, 3-0
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1480 | 1610 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +27 | -20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1531 | 1590 |
L, 8-5
33%
67%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1482 | 1609 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -15 | +7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +23 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1490 | 1614 |
L, 12-6
36%
64%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1484 | 1516 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -17 | +29 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1467 | 1569 |
L, 10-4
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1487 | 1513 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +37 | -15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1524 | 1522 |
L, 6-2
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1489 | 1511 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +29 | -17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1515 | 1518 |
L, 6-4
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1491 | 1483 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -16 | +31 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1499 | 1514 |
W, 12-11
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1490 | 1484 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -12 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1502 | 1487 |
L, 9-4
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1493 | 1481 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -20 | -10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1497 | 1469 |
L, 7-5
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1495 | 1493 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -7 | +9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1512 | 1502 |
W, 10-0
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1491 | 1497 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +28 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1541 | 1498 |
L, 6-3
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1493 | 1495 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -14 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1479 | 1522 |
L, 3-0
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1495 | 1493 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -14 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1479 | 1522 |
L, 12-3
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1499 | 1492 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1488 | 1513 |
L, 5-2
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1501 | 1490 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | -13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1490 | 1501 |
W, 5-2
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1498 | 1492 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +24 | +16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1522 | 1532 |
W, 7-5
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1496 | 1494 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -16 | -10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1478 | 1508 |
W, 2-0
36%
64%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1494 | 1539 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -21 | +9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1473 | 1572 |
W, 4-3
37%
63%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1492 | 1541 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -12 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1480 | 1571 |
L, 7-3
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1494 | 1539 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +29 | +15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1521 | 1578 |
W, 13-1
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1488 | 1585 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +22 | +10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1534 | 1595 |
W, 5-3
36%
64%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1486 | 1588 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -17 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1493 | 1593 |
L, 6-5
32%
68%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1487 | 1587 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -24 | +33 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1489 | 1620 |
L, 16-2
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1492 | 1502 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -8 | +7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1508 | 1509 |
L, 3-1
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1494 | 1500 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +30 | +21 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1548 | 1521 |
L, 5-3
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1496 | 1498 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +22 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +21 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1539 | 1495 |
W, 9-6
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1493 | 1476 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -19 | +12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1474 | 1512 |
L, 6-5
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1495 | 1475 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -20 | -13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1475 | 1486 |
W, 6-3
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1492 | 1477 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -9 | +34 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1481 | 1537 |
L, 16-4
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1497 | 1489 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +39 | +22 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1536 | 1535 |
L, 4-3
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1499 | 1488 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +19 | -5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1518 | 1507 |
W, 9-3
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1495 | 1491 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -22 | -10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1473 | 1505 |
W, 10-2
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1490 | 1496 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -25 | +16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1462 | 1536 |
W, 6-5
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1489 | 1494 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -6 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1507 | 1499 |
W, 11-1
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1485 | 1498 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +36 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1545 | 1487 |
L, 7-2
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1488 | 1495 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +20 | +13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +32 | +7 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1540 | 1515 |
W, 5-3
36%
64%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1486 | 1552 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +38 | +48 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1524 | 1624 |
L, 4-0
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1488 | 1550 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +19 | -10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1507 | 1564 |
L, 11-2
35%
65%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1491 | 1548 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -21 | +8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1469 | 1580 |
W, 6-2
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1488 | 1484 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -8 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1504 | 1473 |
L, 5-4
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1490 | 1483 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -8 | -12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1506 | 1471 |
W, 5-3
65%
35%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1489 | 1484 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +38 | -37 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1553 | 1447 |
L, 11-8
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1491 | 1549 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +27 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1542 | 1538 |
L, 4-1
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1493 | 1547 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -25 | +13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1492 | 1560 |
W, 7-4
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1490 | 1549 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -24 | -28 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | +1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1492 | 1522 |
W, 7-3
61%
39%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1488 | 1491 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +35 | -24 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1547 | 1467 |
L, 8-2
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1492 | 1487 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -4 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1512 | 1488 |
W, 5-3
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1491 | 1489 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +27 | -15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1540 | 1473 |
W, 7-5
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1489 | 1440 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -20 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1469 | 1468 |
L, 7-3
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1492 | 1437 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -15 | -4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1477 | 1457 |
L, 1-0
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1493 | 1435 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +31 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +22 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1521 | 1458 |
L, 9-6
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1495 | 1521 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -3 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1492 | 1545 |
L, 7-5
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1497 | 1519 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +26 | +23 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1523 | 1566 |
L, 5-4
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1498 | 1518 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -20 | +10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1478 | 1552 |
L, 6-2
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1500 | 1516 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -14 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -4 | +20 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1482 | 1537 |
L, 9-1
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1504 | 1509 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -25 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1503 | 1508 |
L, 3-2
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1505 | 1507 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +31 | +25 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1560 | 1532 |
W, 13-4
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1501 | 1511 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -5 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1520 | 1511 |
W, 5-3
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1500 | 1513 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +24 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1548 | 1508 |
L, 2-1
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1501 | 1521 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -26 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1499 | 1520 |
L, 7-6
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1502 | 1520 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -14 | +24 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +23 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1511 | 1542 |
W, 8-3
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1499 | 1539 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -6 | -2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1493 | 1561 |
L, 11-3
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1501 | 1536 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +25 | +41 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1526 | 1601 |
L, 5-3
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1503 | 1535 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -30 | -16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +22 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1470 | 1541 |
L, 11-4
61%
39%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1507 | 1497 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +36 | -6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1567 | 1491 |
W, 4-0
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1505 | 1500 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -25 | -10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1504 | 1490 |
L, 5-3
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1507 | 1498 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -5 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1528 | 1485 |
W, 7-4
62%
38%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1505 | 1479 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +31 | -4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1560 | 1475 |
W, 10-1
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1501 | 1483 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -33 | +10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1492 | 1493 |
W, 15-5
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1498 | 1486 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +38 | +7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +23 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1559 | 1493 |
W, 6-5
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1496 | 1467 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -26 | +7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1470 | 1498 |
L, 1-0
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1498 | 1466 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +30 | -16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1528 | 1474 |
W, 10-7
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1496 | 1468 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -4 | -17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +21 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1490 | 1472 |
L, 7-3
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1498 | 1487 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -30 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1468 | 1515 |
W, 4-3
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1496 | 1489 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -39 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1457 | 1519 |
L, 3-0
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1499 | 1486 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +38 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1537 | 1502 |
L, 8-2
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1502 | 1483 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -24 | -20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +22 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1475 | 1485 |
L, 7-6
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1503 | 1562 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +36 | -22 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1539 | 1564 |
W, 6-3
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1500 | 1565 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -9 | -17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1491 | 1572 |
L, 6-2
31%
69%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1502 | 1563 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -29 | +20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1473 | 1607 |
L, 1-0
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1503 | 1562 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +36 | -23 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1536 | 1563 |
L, 5-2
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1505 | 1518 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -22 | +36 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1507 | 1554 |
W, 9-3
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1502 | 1520 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +36 | -9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1562 | 1511 |
L, 5-3
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1504 | 1518 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -7 | -40 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1521 | 1475 |
W, 6-5
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1503 | 1513 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -30 | +21 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1497 | 1534 |
W, 5-4
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1501 | 1514 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +36 | -6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1561 | 1508 |
L, 13-11
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1503 | 1512 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -16 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1509 | 1514 |
L, 4-1
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1506 | 1497 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +37 | -25 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1543 | 1496 |
W, 4-3
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1504 | 1498 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -10 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1494 | 1523 |
L, 7-0
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1507 | 1495 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -29 | +7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1478 | 1526 |
W, 7-1
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1504 | 1498 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +31 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +22 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1533 | 1521 |
L, 7-1
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1507 | 1495 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -16 | -26 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1491 | 1493 |
W, 7-3
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1505 | 1497 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +38 | +9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +23 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1542 | 1529 |
L, 8-6
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1507 | 1476 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -7 | -13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1500 | 1487 |
L, 6-5
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1508 | 1475 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -29 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1479 | 1496 |
W, 7-2
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1505 | 1478 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +28 | +17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +20 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1531 | 1515 |
L, 3-2
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1506 | 1549 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -20 | +25 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1510 | 1574 |
W, 5-2
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1504 | 1551 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +38 | +31 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1566 | 1582 |
W, 7-1
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1501 | 1555 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -9 | -16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1516 | 1538 |
W, 7-3
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1498 | 1491 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -26 | +20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1496 | 1511 |
L, 6-4
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1500 | 1488 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +31 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1555 | 1487 |
L, 7-3
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1503 | 1485 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -20 | -30 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1507 | 1455 |
L, 2-1
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1505 | 1524 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +35 | -6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1564 | 1518 |
L, 8-0
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1508 | 1520 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -6 | +24 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1526 | 1544 |
W, 19-9
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1504 | 1525 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -23 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +23 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1504 | 1522 |
W, 13-4
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1500 | 1479 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +28 | -10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1528 | 1493 |
W, 5-4
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1499 | 1481 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -20 | -10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1479 | 1495 |
L, 6-3
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1501 | 1478 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +37 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1535 | 1508 |
L, 8-1
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1504 | 1509 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -4 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1500 | 1537 |
L, 8-7
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1505 | 1508 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -23 | +19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1482 | 1551 |
L, 5-1
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1508 | 1505 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +29 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +21 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1536 | 1518 |
W, 4-1
35%
65%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1505 | 1546 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -24 | +19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1481 | 1589 |
L, 13-6
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1508 | 1543 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +47 | +32 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1555 | 1599 |
W, 7-6
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1506 | 1545 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -10 | -13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1495 | 1556 |
L, 11-5
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1510 | 1483 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -22 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1512 | 1480 |
W, 5-3
62%
38%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1509 | 1484 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +27 | -7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1560 | 1477 |
W, 2-1
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1507 | 1485 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -32 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1499 | 1486 |
W, 2-1
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1506 | 1537 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +46 | +27 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1576 | 1564 |
L, 7-5
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1507 | 1536 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -9 | +20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1522 | 1556 |
W, 4-1
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1505 | 1538 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -23 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1506 | 1527 |
W, 6-5
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1504 | 1539 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +28 | -10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1554 | 1528 |
L, 11-2
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1508 | 1471 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -25 | -32 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +2 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1485 | 1465 |
W, 6-3
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1506 | 1473 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +47 | +28 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1551 | 1525 |
AL Central standings
| Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | IndiansIndians102-60 | — | ✓ | ✓ | ||
 | TwinsTwins85-77 | 17.0 | ✓ | — | ||
 | RoyalsRoyals80-82 | 22.0 | — | — | ||
 | White SoxWhite Sox67-95 | 35.0 | — | — | ||
 | TigersTigers64-98 | 38.0 | — | — |
This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest. It updates after each game. Methodology »
For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB »
Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
Comments