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The Twins are done for the season.
Team rating
Starting pitchers
| Pitcher score | Adjustment to team ratingAdj. to team rating | ||
|---|---|---|---|
 | Ervin Santana | 52.9 | +23 |
 | Jose Berrios | 49.3 | +6 |
 | Kyle Gibson | 48.7 | +4 |
 | Adalberto Mejia | 48.1 | +1 |
 | Aaron Slegers | 47.5 | -2 |
 | Bartolo Colon | 43.0 | -23 |
Completed games
L, 8-4
37%
63%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1512 | 1561 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +28 | +24 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1539 | 1611 |
W, 5-1
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1510 | 1445 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -28 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1506 | 1434 |
L, 3-2
66%
34%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1512 | 1443 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -4 | -25 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1532 | 1418 |
W, 6-3
63%
37%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1511 | 1444 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +21 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1537 | 1444 |
L, 5-2
37%
63%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1512 | 1602 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +27 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1539 | 1629 |
L, 4-2
38%
62%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1514 | 1601 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | -23 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1516 | 1602 |
W, 8-6
34%
66%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1511 | 1603 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -28 | -29 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +1 | +22 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1484 | 1596 |
W, 10-4
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1509 | 1446 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | -22 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1515 | 1448 |
W, 10-4
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1506 | 1449 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +27 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1533 | 1472 |
W, 7-3
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1504 | 1451 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | -2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1510 | 1473 |
W, 12-1
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1500 | 1455 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | -20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1499 | 1459 |
L, 11-3
32%
68%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1502 | 1559 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -23 | +25 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1479 | 1608 |
L, 5-2
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1504 | 1558 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | -4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1512 | 1578 |
L, 2-1
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1505 | 1556 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +27 | -27 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1529 | 1553 |
W, 13-7
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1502 | 1494 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | -17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1532 | 1477 |
L, 7-2
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1506 | 1491 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1531 | 1496 |
L, 4-3
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1507 | 1490 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -24 | +16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1507 | 1506 |
W, 3-2
61%
39%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1506 | 1491 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | -29 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1536 | 1459 |
W, 3-1
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1505 | 1458 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +23 | +28 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1552 | 1486 |
W, 16-0
62%
38%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1501 | 1462 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | -22 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1528 | 1439 |
L, 11-3
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1504 | 1482 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -18 | -5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1486 | 1501 |
L, 5-2
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1506 | 1480 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | +14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1513 | 1518 |
W, 8-5
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1504 | 1482 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +26 | -6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1530 | 1500 |
W, 4-2
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1503 | 1484 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | -15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +21 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1500 | 1490 |
W, 10-6
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1500 | 1506 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1504 | 1531 |
L, 2-1
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1501 | 1505 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -21 | -20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1480 | 1509 |
L, 11-4
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1504 | 1502 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | +8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +21 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1510 | 1531 |
L, 5-4
62%
38%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1506 | 1481 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +27 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1557 | 1473 |
W, 17-0
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1501 | 1486 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -5 | -5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1520 | 1481 |
L, 7-6
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1502 | 1485 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -16 | +8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1510 | 1493 |
W, 5-4
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1501 | 1449 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -24 | +24 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1501 | 1473 |
W, 11-1
64%
36%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1498 | 1452 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | -25 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1525 | 1427 |
W, 6-4
66%
34%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1497 | 1453 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +28 | -16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +23 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1548 | 1437 |
W, 7-2
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1494 | 1492 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -6 | -18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1488 | 1498 |
L, 10-9
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1495 | 1491 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1484 | 1520 |
W, 6-1
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1492 | 1494 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -24 | +19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +21 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1466 | 1534 |
L, 5-1
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1495 | 1448 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | -27 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1499 | 1445 |
L, 4-3
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1496 | 1446 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +26 | -17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1522 | 1453 |
W, 4-1
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1494 | 1448 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -10 | -2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1484 | 1470 |
W, 10-2
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1490 | 1452 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -13 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1477 | 1481 |
L, 7-6
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1492 | 1451 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -7 | +31 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +21 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1483 | 1503 |
W, 12-5
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1488 | 1517 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -21 | -20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1491 | 1497 |
W, 5-0
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1485 | 1520 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | +27 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1508 | 1547 |
W, 10-3
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1481 | 1523 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +29 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1534 | 1526 |
W, 4-2
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1479 | 1561 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | -28 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1506 | 1533 |
L, 9-3
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1482 | 1559 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -8 | -4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | +2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1500 | 1557 |
L, 8-1
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1485 | 1556 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -17 | -9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +23 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1491 | 1544 |
W, 6-4
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1483 | 1491 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +31 | -16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1514 | 1499 |
L, 12-11
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1484 | 1490 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | -12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1487 | 1502 |
W, 9-4
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1481 | 1493 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -10 | -20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1469 | 1497 |
W, 7-2
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1478 | 1495 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1479 | 1524 |
W, 4-0
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1474 | 1498 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -25 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +22 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1447 | 1512 |
W, 11-4
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1471 | 1501 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1502 | 1490 |
W, 5-4
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1470 | 1502 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +31 | -2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1525 | 1497 |
W, 6-5
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1469 | 1507 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | -27 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1498 | 1480 |
L, 4-1
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1470 | 1505 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -10 | +21 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1484 | 1526 |
W, 8-4
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1468 | 1508 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -29 | -15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1463 | 1493 |
L, 4-1
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1470 | 1505 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +10 | -14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +20 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1500 | 1488 |
W, 5-2
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1468 | 1453 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +27 | -2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1495 | 1475 |
L, 3-0
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1470 | 1451 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | +20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1473 | 1497 |
L, 6-5
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1471 | 1472 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -28 | -10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1443 | 1486 |
L, 5-4
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1472 | 1471 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +14 | -5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1486 | 1490 |
W, 6-3
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1470 | 1473 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | -18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +20 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1476 | 1475 |
L, 6-5
38%
62%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1471 | 1597 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +29 | -35 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1500 | 1586 |
L, 6-2
33%
67%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1473 | 1595 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | -16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1478 | 1603 |
L, 6-4
30%
70%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1474 | 1594 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -28 | -32 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -4 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1442 | 1586 |
L, 9-6
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1476 | 1493 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +12 | -19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1512 | 1474 |
W, 6-5
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1475 | 1495 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -13 | -20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1486 | 1475 |
L, 6-3
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1477 | 1492 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +34 | -9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1537 | 1481 |
W, 6-1
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1474 | 1531 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | -2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1499 | 1529 |
L, 6-3
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1476 | 1529 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -27 | -13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1473 | 1516 |
W, 4-2
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1474 | 1531 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | -7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +21 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1503 | 1521 |
L, 5-3
30%
70%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1475 | 1591 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -14 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1461 | 1612 |
W, 4-2
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1473 | 1593 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +37 | -29 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1510 | 1588 |
L, 10-5
33%
67%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1474 | 1592 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | -10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +6 | +30 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1487 | 1612 |
L, 11-5
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1478 | 1475 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -9 | -1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1493 | 1474 |
L, 5-1
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1481 | 1472 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | -7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1510 | 1465 |
W, 9-6
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1479 | 1474 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -3 | +14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1500 | 1488 |
W, 6-4
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1477 | 1476 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | +19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1505 | 1493 |
L, 2-1
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1479 | 1506 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +32 | -14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1535 | 1492 |
W, 5-4
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1477 | 1508 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -12 | -10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1489 | 1498 |
W, 9-5
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1474 | 1510 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | -4 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1500 | 1511 |
L, 6-2
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1477 | 1492 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1475 | 1505 |
W, 10-5
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1473 | 1495 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | -2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1473 | 1517 |
L, 11-6
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1476 | 1492 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +10 | -13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1486 | 1503 |
L, 8-1
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1479 | 1489 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +37 | +19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +21 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1513 | 1529 |
L, 6-3
37%
63%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1481 | 1535 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -14 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1467 | 1562 |
W, 4-1
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1478 | 1538 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -5 | -12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1473 | 1550 |
L, 9-2
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1481 | 1535 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -4 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1477 | 1556 |
L, 4-1
34%
66%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1482 | 1534 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +9 | +48 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1488 | 1606 |
W, 4-0
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1479 | 1548 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +35 | -26 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1514 | 1546 |
W, 4-2
30%
70%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1476 | 1550 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -13 | +40 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1463 | 1614 |
W, 5-0
35%
65%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1472 | 1554 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -10 | -12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +22 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1459 | 1564 |
L, 9-0
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1476 | 1482 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -18 | +21 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1482 | 1503 |
W, 4-2
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1474 | 1484 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1502 | 1488 |
W, 9-7
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1473 | 1485 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +42 | -6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1541 | 1478 |
L, 5-2
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1475 | 1546 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -13 | -14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1486 | 1532 |
L, 6-2
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1477 | 1544 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | -16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1490 | 1528 |
L, 9-3
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1480 | 1541 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -17 | -15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1487 | 1526 |
L, 8-1
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1483 | 1538 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -10 | +21 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1497 | 1556 |
W, 6-2
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1480 | 1521 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -5 | +16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1499 | 1537 |
L, 6-4
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1482 | 1519 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +45 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1551 | 1519 |
W, 20-7
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1476 | 1525 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -13 | -15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1487 | 1510 |
L, 14-3
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1481 | 1520 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -5 | -19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +20 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1496 | 1498 |
L, 13-8
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1484 | 1492 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -7 | -36 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1477 | 1480 |
W, 3-2
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1482 | 1493 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -8 | +9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1474 | 1526 |
W, 4-0
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1479 | 1496 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +39 | -13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +20 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1515 | 1503 |
W, 2-1
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1478 | 1526 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -17 | -16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1461 | 1534 |
L, 6-5
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1479 | 1525 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -3 | -21 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1476 | 1528 |
L, 12-3
35%
65%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1481 | 1522 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -4 | +35 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1476 | 1583 |
W, 3-2
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1480 | 1499 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -9 | -6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1471 | 1517 |
L, 7-2
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1483 | 1496 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +48 | +12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1531 | 1532 |
W, 11-5
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1479 | 1500 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -21 | +7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1458 | 1531 |
W, 4-2
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1476 | 1503 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -8 | -14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -4 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1464 | 1513 |
L, 17-6
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1480 | 1574 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | -25 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1503 | 1549 |
L, 7-2
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1483 | 1572 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | -26 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1496 | 1546 |
L, 16-8
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1487 | 1567 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +47 | -20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1558 | 1544 |
L, 8-6
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1488 | 1514 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -23 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1489 | 1514 |
W, 5-3
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1487 | 1516 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -12 | +10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1499 | 1526 |
L, 5-2
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1489 | 1514 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | +15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +23 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1511 | 1526 |
W, 4-3
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1487 | 1506 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | +11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1476 | 1541 |
W, 2-0
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1485 | 1508 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +43 | +17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1528 | 1549 |
W, 14-7
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1480 | 1512 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -18 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1459 | 1528 |
W, 8-4
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1478 | 1468 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | +13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1491 | 1481 |
L, 6-4
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1480 | 1466 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | -19 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | +2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1495 | 1449 |
W, 4-3
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1479 | 1467 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1504 | 1465 |
W, 2-0
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1477 | 1504 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -23 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1478 | 1504 |
L, 5-1
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1480 | 1501 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +45 | -2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | +2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1551 | 1501 |
L, 7-3
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1483 | 1499 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -8 | -7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +23 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1498 | 1491 |
L, 8-3
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1485 | 1545 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +10 | -23 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1495 | 1546 |
W, 4-1
36%
64%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1482 | 1548 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -35 | -24 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1447 | 1548 |
W, 1-0
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1480 | 1549 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +42 | -18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1520 | 1555 |
W, 7-6
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1479 | 1481 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -5 | +7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +2 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1476 | 1514 |
W, 7-2
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1476 | 1484 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +10 | -28 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +23 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1486 | 1479 |
L, 17-6
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1480 | 1534 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +48 | +46 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1552 | 1580 |
L, 11-1
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1484 | 1530 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -8 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1500 | 1534 |
W, 4-3
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1483 | 1531 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -10 | -2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1497 | 1526 |
L, 8-5
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1485 | 1475 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -18 | -7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1491 | 1468 |
W, 7-4
54%
46%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1483 | 1477 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | +9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1515 | 1486 |
W, 9-1
62%
38%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1480 | 1480 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +45 | -13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1549 | 1466 |
W, 7-5
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1479 | 1461 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -8 | -13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +2 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1473 | 1474 |
W, 6-4
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1477 | 1463 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -17 | +17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1460 | 1504 |
L, 14-3
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1480 | 1507 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | +13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1487 | 1544 |
W, 8-1
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1477 | 1510 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +43 | -31 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1520 | 1503 |
W, 3-2
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1475 | 1512 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -10 | -13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1462 | 1523 |
L, 13-4
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1479 | 1500 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -10 | +28 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1493 | 1528 |
L, 5-4
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1481 | 1499 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -10 | -20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1495 | 1479 |
W, 6-3
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1478 | 1501 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | +37 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1508 | 1535 |
L, 6-2
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1481 | 1548 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +41 | -16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | +2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1548 | 1534 |
L, 11-4
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1484 | 1545 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -7 | -23 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1501 | 1522 |
L, 3-1
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1486 | 1543 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -10 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1500 | 1540 |
L, 3-1
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1488 | 1478 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | -26 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1513 | 1452 |
W, 6-0
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1485 | 1480 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +34 | +22 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1543 | 1502 |
L, 2-1
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1486 | 1479 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | -14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +21 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1496 | 1462 |
W, 11-5
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1483 | 1510 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -3 | -22 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1480 | 1512 |
L, 5-3
38%
62%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1484 | 1509 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -7 | +27 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1477 | 1560 |
L, 2-1
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1485 | 1507 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | -32 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1486 | 1499 |
W, 4-1
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1483 | 1476 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +32 | +22 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1515 | 1522 |
L, 6-2
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1485 | 1474 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -7 | +14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1478 | 1512 |
W, 3-1
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1484 | 1476 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -5 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1477 | 1497 |
W, 5-3
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1482 | 1470 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -4 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1502 | 1462 |
W, 9-1
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1478 | 1473 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | +12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | +2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1504 | 1487 |
W, 7-1
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1476 | 1476 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +30 | +13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1530 | 1487 |
AL Central standings
| Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | IndiansIndians102-60 | — | ✓ | ✓ | ||
 | TwinsTwins85-77 | 17.0 | ✓ | — | ||
 | RoyalsRoyals80-82 | 22.0 | — | — | ||
 | White SoxWhite Sox67-95 | 35.0 | — | — | ||
 | TigersTigers64-98 | 38.0 | — | — |
This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest. It updates after each game. Methodology »
For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB »
Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
Comments