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The White Sox are done for the season.
Team rating
Starting pitchers
| Pitcher score | Adjustment to team ratingAdj. to team rating | ||
|---|---|---|---|
 | Lucas Giolito | 51.5 | +22 |
 | Carson Fulmer | 48.8 | +9 |
 | Reynaldo Lopez | 46.6 | -1 |
 | Chris Volstad | 46.5 | -2 |
 | James Shields | 45.6 | -6 |
 | Dylan Covey | 41.3 | -26 |
 | Mike Pelfrey | 40.0 | -32 |
Completed games
L, 3-1
32%
68%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1465 | 1603 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -5 | -34 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1460 | 1593 |
W, 2-1
23%
77%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1462 | 1605 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | +49 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1466 | 1678 |
L, 10-1
27%
73%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1464 | 1604 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -25 | -20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1437 | 1608 |
W, 5-4
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1462 | 1513 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -30 | -5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1456 | 1508 |
W, 6-4
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1460 | 1515 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -3 | +28 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1481 | 1543 |
L, 9-3
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1463 | 1512 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1488 | 1513 |
W, 4-2
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1461 | 1514 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -12 | -7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1473 | 1504 |
W, 8-1
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1458 | 1485 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +16 | -7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1498 | 1478 |
L, 8-2
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1460 | 1482 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -34 | +30 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1450 | 1512 |
W, 7-6
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1459 | 1484 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +21 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1482 | 1482 |
W, 3-1
32%
68%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1456 | 1554 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | +16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1460 | 1594 |
L, 4-3
31%
69%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1457 | 1553 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -12 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1445 | 1580 |
L, 3-1
34%
66%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1458 | 1552 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +13 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1470 | 1584 |
L, 12-0
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1463 | 1456 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -30 | -10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1433 | 1470 |
W, 10-4
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1459 | 1460 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | -7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1461 | 1477 |
L, 3-2
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1460 | 1458 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -3 | -21 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1457 | 1461 |
W, 17-7
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1455 | 1463 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -10 | -5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +23 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1442 | 1481 |
W, 5-3
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1454 | 1482 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +11 | -20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1465 | 1486 |
L, 4-3
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1455 | 1481 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -31 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1424 | 1494 |
W, 11-3
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1450 | 1486 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | +10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1451 | 1520 |
W, 8-1
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1446 | 1460 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -10 | +35 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1460 | 1495 |
W, 13-1
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1440 | 1465 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -14 | +17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1450 | 1482 |
L, 9-2
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1444 | 1461 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +15 | -13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1483 | 1447 |
L, 11-2
26%
74%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1446 | 1586 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -18 | +48 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1452 | 1634 |
L, 5-1
34%
66%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1447 | 1585 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1470 | 1587 |
L, 9-4
36%
64%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1449 | 1583 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -3 | -14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1470 | 1569 |
L, 5-3
35%
65%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1450 | 1582 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -18 | -18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1456 | 1562 |
W, 6-2
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1447 | 1504 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1475 | 1501 |
W, 5-4
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1446 | 1506 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +27 | +22 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1497 | 1528 |
L, 3-1
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1447 | 1504 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -4 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1465 | 1504 |
L, 5-4
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1449 | 1501 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +24 | -24 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1473 | 1501 |
L, 11-1
36%
64%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1452 | 1498 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -25 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1427 | 1525 |
L, 6-4
34%
66%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1453 | 1497 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -16 | +28 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +23 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1437 | 1548 |
W, 7-1
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1450 | 1480 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -5 | -22 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1469 | 1458 |
L, 6-3
58%
42%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1452 | 1477 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +32 | -27 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1508 | 1450 |
W, 3-2
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1451 | 1478 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +20 | +42 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1495 | 1518 |
W, 5-1
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1448 | 1495 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -27 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1445 | 1499 |
W, 4-3
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1446 | 1496 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -17 | +26 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1453 | 1522 |
L, 4-1
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1448 | 1494 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | -10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1470 | 1484 |
L, 10-2
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1452 | 1490 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +5 | -13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1481 | 1477 |
W, 7-6
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1451 | 1492 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +31 | -7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +21 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1503 | 1483 |
W, 3-2
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1449 | 1520 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +18 | -10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1467 | 1534 |
L, 17-7
36%
64%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1452 | 1517 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -22 | -13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1430 | 1528 |
W, 4-3
34%
66%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1450 | 1519 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -20 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1430 | 1546 |
L, 9-8
38%
62%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1451 | 1518 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | -6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1450 | 1536 |
L, 5-4
28%
72%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1452 | 1608 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +30 | +15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1482 | 1647 |
L, 6-1
27%
73%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1453 | 1607 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +15 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1466 | 1637 |
L, 14-6
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1456 | 1494 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -15 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1465 | 1498 |
L, 5-4
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1457 | 1492 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -23 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1458 | 1496 |
W, 6-3
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1455 | 1495 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | 0 | +21 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1479 | 1514 |
W, 3-2
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1453 | 1567 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +28 | -2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1505 | 1565 |
W, 7-1
36%
64%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1449 | 1572 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +10 | +14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1483 | 1586 |
W, 8-5
30%
70%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1445 | 1575 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -14 | +26 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +23 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1454 | 1600 |
L, 6-3
37%
63%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1447 | 1544 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -9 | -35 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1438 | 1533 |
L, 4-1
30%
70%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1448 | 1543 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -24 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1424 | 1568 |
L, 3-2
38%
62%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1449 | 1542 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +25 | -6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1474 | 1560 |
L, 9-5
37%
63%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1451 | 1540 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +18 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1466 | 1558 |
L, 5-1
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1453 | 1491 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -16 | +13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1461 | 1504 |
L, 8-4
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1455 | 1488 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -6 | +24 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1473 | 1512 |
W, 7-6
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1453 | 1490 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -23 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1454 | 1490 |
W, 3-1
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1451 | 1557 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +19 | -25 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1494 | 1532 |
L, 5-4
34%
66%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1452 | 1556 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +17 | +49 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1493 | 1605 |
L, 9-3
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1455 | 1554 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -12 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1467 | 1541 |
L, 6-3
38%
62%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1456 | 1544 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -5 | +14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1475 | 1558 |
L, 8-3
37%
63%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1458 | 1542 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -23 | +10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +23 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1458 | 1551 |
L, 7-2
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1460 | 1540 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +19 | -9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1479 | 1555 |
W, 3-1
33%
67%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1458 | 1543 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +13 | +21 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1469 | 1588 |
L, 5-4
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1459 | 1497 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -10 | -16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1449 | 1505 |
L, 7-2
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1461 | 1495 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -7 | +10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1454 | 1529 |
L, 7-6
38%
62%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1462 | 1494 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -19 | +11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1443 | 1529 |
L, 9-1
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1465 | 1600 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +24 | -21 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1513 | 1579 |
L, 1-0
30%
70%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1465 | 1599 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +8 | +45 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | -1 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1499 | 1643 |
L, 7-6
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1467 | 1513 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -10 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1481 | 1513 |
L, 4-3
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1468 | 1512 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | +2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1481 | 1514 |
L, 4-2
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1469 | 1511 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -20 | +27 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +30 | +5 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1479 | 1543 |
L, 10-0
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1473 | 1507 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +26 | -16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1499 | 1515 |
W, 5-4
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1472 | 1509 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +30 | 0 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1502 | 1533 |
L, 12-4
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1475 | 1506 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -6 | -2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1468 | 1528 |
L, 7-4
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1477 | 1470 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -10 | +8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1467 | 1502 |
L, 7-6
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1478 | 1469 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -17 | -13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1461 | 1480 |
W, 7-2
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1475 | 1472 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +22 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -4 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1493 | 1488 |
W, 6-5
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1474 | 1524 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +32 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1530 | 1529 |
L, 10-4
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1477 | 1521 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -7 | +10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1494 | 1531 |
W, 8-7
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1475 | 1522 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -7 | -7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1492 | 1513 |
W, 4-3
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1473 | 1536 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -20 | -10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1477 | 1526 |
L, 12-3
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1478 | 1532 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +22 | -2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1524 | 1530 |
W, 4-3
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1476 | 1533 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +28 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1528 | 1534 |
L, 6-5
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1477 | 1532 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | -2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1500 | 1527 |
L, 5-3
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1479 | 1475 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | -2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1492 | 1473 |
L, 10-2
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1484 | 1471 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -13 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1495 | 1460 |
L, 3-0
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1486 | 1468 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -5 | -10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | -4 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1503 | 1454 |
W, 9-0
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1482 | 1476 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +21 | -18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1503 | 1482 |
L, 4-2
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1484 | 1474 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | +4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1488 | 1502 |
L, 9-7
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1485 | 1473 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -6 | +42 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1478 | 1541 |
L, 7-3
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1487 | 1508 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -15 | +15 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1472 | 1547 |
W, 5-2
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1485 | 1511 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | +14 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1474 | 1549 |
W, 11-4
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1480 | 1515 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +20 | -5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -2 | +26 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1498 | 1536 |
W, 5-2
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1478 | 1488 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +1 | -3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1503 | 1485 |
L, 10-6
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1481 | 1485 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | +28 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1509 | 1513 |
W, 6-1
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1478 | 1488 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -7 | +8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1495 | 1496 |
W, 10-7
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1476 | 1490 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -8 | +7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1490 | 1494 |
L, 4-2
38%
62%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1477 | 1536 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +20 | +22 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1497 | 1582 |
W, 5-3
39%
61%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1475 | 1538 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | -12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1473 | 1550 |
L, 7-3
35%
65%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1476 | 1537 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | +31 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +23 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1480 | 1591 |
L, 7-5
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1478 | 1506 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | +3 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1477 | 1533 |
L, 3-1
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1479 | 1504 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -10 | -16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1469 | 1512 |
W, 4-2
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1477 | 1507 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +17 | +25 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -1 | +22 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1493 | 1554 |
L, 7-4
38%
62%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1479 | 1505 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -4 | +31 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1475 | 1560 |
L, 10-1
50%
50%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1483 | 1501 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +10 | -33 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1493 | 1492 |
L, 15-5
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1486 | 1498 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | +38 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +23 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1493 | 1559 |
L, 4-1
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1488 | 1538 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -17 | -8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1495 | 1530 |
L, 13-7
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1491 | 1535 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +23 | +45 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1538 | 1580 |
W, 5-4
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1489 | 1537 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -9 | +8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1504 | 1542 |
W, 7-3
57%
43%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1487 | 1498 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +4 | -30 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1515 | 1468 |
L, 4-3
59%
41%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1489 | 1496 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +6 | -39 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1519 | 1457 |
W, 3-0
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1486 | 1499 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -8 | +38 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1502 | 1537 |
W, 8-2
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1483 | 1502 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -20 | -24 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +22 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1485 | 1475 |
L, 8-6
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1485 | 1510 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +31 | -12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1516 | 1522 |
L, 5-4
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1486 | 1509 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -37 | -25 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1449 | 1508 |
L, 5-1
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1488 | 1507 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | +26 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +22 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1492 | 1555 |
W, 8-1
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1484 | 1515 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | -9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1486 | 1530 |
W, 16-1
38%
62%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1476 | 1523 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -26 | -9 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1450 | 1538 |
W, 2-1
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1474 | 1524 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +25 | -6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1499 | 1542 |
L, 5-4
36%
64%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1475 | 1524 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -33 | -10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1439 | 1538 |
L, 12-8
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1478 | 1502 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +13 | +10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1491 | 1536 |
L, 7-6
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1479 | 1501 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | -4 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1482 | 1521 |
L, 5-3
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1480 | 1499 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -24 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -4 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1452 | 1512 |
W, 9-3
65%
35%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1478 | 1440 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +25 | -18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1527 | 1422 |
W, 5-4
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1477 | 1442 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -35 | +6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1466 | 1448 |
L, 6-3
61%
39%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1480 | 1439 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +18 | +8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1522 | 1444 |
L, 7-6
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1481 | 1479 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +7 | -5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | +2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1514 | 1476 |
L, 7-2
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1484 | 1476 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -28 | +10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +23 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1479 | 1486 |
L, 4-0
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1486 | 1512 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +25 | +8 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1511 | 1544 |
L, 6-5
36%
64%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1487 | 1511 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -31 | +20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1456 | 1555 |
L, 4-2
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1489 | 1510 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +13 | +5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +22 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1499 | 1537 |
W, 8-3
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1486 | 1461 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +2 | +18 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1488 | 1503 |
L, 6-1
48%
52%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1488 | 1459 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -29 | -10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1459 | 1473 |
W, 6-0
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1485 | 1462 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +21 | +12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1506 | 1498 |
L, 6-1
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1488 | 1459 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -23 | +10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1462 | 1493 |
L, 7-3
52%
48%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1491 | 1498 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +20 | -26 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1511 | 1496 |
W, 6-4
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1488 | 1500 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -1 | +31 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1487 | 1555 |
W, 7-3
43%
57%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1485 | 1503 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -30 | -20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1455 | 1507 |
W, 5-2
60%
40%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1484 | 1465 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +17 | -12 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1525 | 1453 |
W, 10-5
49%
51%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1481 | 1468 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -25 | +17 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1480 | 1485 |
W, 12-1
56%
44%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1477 | 1472 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +17 | +10 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -3 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1518 | 1479 |
W, 6-2
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1474 | 1555 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | -2 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1496 | 1553 |
L, 7-0
36%
64%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1476 | 1552 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -28 | +16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1472 | 1568 |
L, 3-0
42%
58%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1478 | 1551 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +19 | +27 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +23 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1520 | 1576 |
L, 9-1
38%
62%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1480 | 1516 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -11 | +16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1469 | 1556 |
W, 4-1
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1478 | 1519 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +10 | -23 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1488 | 1520 |
L, 7-4
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1480 | 1517 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +3 | -20 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1480 | 1521 |
W, 3-1
41%
59%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1478 | 1488 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -26 | +1 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1452 | 1513 |
L, 6-0
44%
56%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1480 | 1485 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +22 | +34 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1502 | 1543 |
W, 2-1
45%
55%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1479 | 1486 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -14 | -11 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | -3 | +21 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1462 | 1496 |
W, 10-4
40%
60%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1475 | 1549 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +12 | -16 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1487 | 1557 |
W, 2-1
36%
64%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1473 | 1551 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -2 | -6 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +24 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1471 | 1569 |
L, 2-1
31%
69%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1474 | 1550 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -30 | +13 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | 0 | +22 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1444 | 1585 |
L, 4-1
51%
49%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1476 | 1483 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +22 | +32 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1522 | 1515 |
W, 6-2
55%
45%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1474 | 1485 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +14 | -7 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | 0 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1512 | 1478 |
L, 3-1
53%
47%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1476 | 1484 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -3 | -5 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1497 | 1477 |
W, 11-2
47%
53%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1471 | 1508 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | -32 | -25 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +26 | +2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1465 | 1485 |
L, 6-3
46%
54%
Chance of winning calculated from adjusted team rating
| Team rating | 1473 | 1506 | ||
| Pitcher adjustment | Adjust for pitcher quality | +28 | +47 | |
| Home field, travel and rest | Adjust for home field, travel and rest | +24 | -2 | |
| Adjusted team rating | 1525 | 1551 |
AL Central standings
| Games back | Chance to make playoffs | Make playoffs | Chance to win division | Win division | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | IndiansIndians102-60 | — | ✓ | ✓ | ||
 | TwinsTwins85-77 | 17.0 | ✓ | — | ||
 | RoyalsRoyals80-82 | 22.0 | — | — | ||
 | White SoxWhite Sox67-95 | 35.0 | — | — | ||
 | TigersTigers64-98 | 38.0 | — | — |
This forecast is based on 100,000 simulations of the season and accounts for starting pitchers, travel distance and rest. It updates after each game. Methodology »
For historical team ratings, see the Complete History Of MLB »
Design and development by Jay Boice and Gus Wezerek. Statistical model by Jay Boice and Nate Silver.
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