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UPDATED 1:27 AM EDT | Apr 26, 2017

2016-17 NBA Predictions

Based on “CARM-Elo,” a mix of team Elo ratings and our CARMELO player projections. Updated after every game.

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Games on Apr. 26, 2017

First Round
Game 5
Game 5
Away team
2-2ATL2-22-2CHI2-2XXXXX
Pre-game win probabilities
Pre-game CARM-Elo point spread
28%
28%
-
-
-
-
-
72%
-6
72%
-5.5
-
-
-
-
-
Home team
2-2WSH2-22-2BOS2-2XXXXX
*If necessary
GameAway
Pre-game probabilities
Pre-game
CARM-Elo spread
Home
52-2ATL
28%
 
72%
-6
WSH2-2
 
52-2CHI
28%
 
72%
-5.5
BOS2-2
 
X
NaN%
 
NaN%
 
X
 
X
NaN%
 
NaN%
 
X
 
X
NaN%
 
NaN%
 
X
 
X
NaN%
 
NaN%
 
X
 
X
NaN%
 
NaN%
 
X
 

Team-by-team forecast

Forecast from
Chance of making ...
ELOCarm-ELO1-Week ChangeTeamConf.Conf. SemisConf. FinalsFinalsWin Title
17931813
+18
Warriors4-0West89%77%70%
16531652
-18
Spurs3-2West92%57%10%8%
16211625
+8
Rockets4-1West41%6%4%
15871590
+32
Celtics2-2East69%45%26%4%
15881590
+6
Raptors3-2East84%45%23%4%
16251617
+6
Jazz3-2West77%9%5%4%
15681565
+16
Cavaliers4-0East49%22%3%
15681564
-23
Wizards2-2East70%31%16%2%
16281633
-6
Clippers2-3West23%3%2%1%
15181522
-32
Bulls2-2East31%16%7%<1%
14981489
+23
Hawks2-2East30%9%3%<1%
15151515
-6
Bucks2-3East16%6%2%<1%
14911488
+18
Grizzlies2-3West8%2%<1%<1%
15401543
-18
Trail Blazers0-4West
15231517
-8
Thunder1-4West
15021497
-16
Pacers0-4East
15691555
+0
HeatEast
15521533
+0
NuggetsWest
14821489
+0
PelicansWest
14631472
+0
TimberwolvesWest
14631462
+0
HornetsEast
14411436
+0
PistonsEast
14201421
+0
MavericksWest
13931395
+0
KingsWest
13741379
+0
KnicksEast
13671370
+0
LakersWest
13721370
+0
NetsEast
13521355
+0
MagicEast
13381348
+0
76ersEast
13401337
+0
SunsWest

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