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UPDATED 5:58 PM EST | Feb 26, 2017

2016-17 NBA Predictions

Based on “CARM-Elo,” a mix of team Elo ratings and our CARMELO player projections. Updated after every game.

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Games on Feb. 26, 2017

Away team
PHXSAMEMUTABOSPORNOCHAXXXXXX
Pre-game win probabilities
Pre-game CARM-Elo point spread
26%
80%
-8.5
42%
38%
54%
-1
27%
16%
18%
-
-
-
-
-
-
74%
-6.5
20%
58%
-2
62%
-3
46%
73%
-6
84%
-10
82%
-9
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home team
MILLALDENWSHDETTOROKCLACXXXXXX
live
live
live
live
*If necessary
GameAway
Pre-game probabilities
Pre-game
CARM-Elo spread
Home
PHX
26%
 
74%
-6.5
MIL
 
SA
80%
-8.5
20%
 
LAL
 
MEM
42%
 
58%
-2
DEN
live
UTA
38%
 
62%
-3
WSH
live
BOS
54%
-1
46%
 
DET
live
POR
27%
 
73%
-6
TOR
live
NO
16%
 
84%
-10
OKC
 
CHA
18%
 
82%
-9
LAC
 
X
NaN%
 
NaN%
 
X
 
X
NaN%
 
NaN%
 
X
 
X
NaN%
 
NaN%
 
X
 
X
NaN%
 
NaN%
 
X
 
X
NaN%
 
NaN%
 
X
 
X
NaN%
 
NaN%
 
X
 

Team-by-team forecast

Forecast from
Avg. Simulated SeasonAvg. SimulationPlayoff Chances
ELOCarm-ELO1-Week ChangeTeamConferenceRecordProj. RecordPoint Diff/GMake PlayoffsMake Play-offsTop SeedWin Title
17761807
+3
Warriors49-9West68-14+12.293%56%
17091703
+14
Spurs45-13West63-19+8.2>99%7%16%
16251628
+19
Rockets42-18West56-26+6.1>99%<1%4%
16221612
-32
Cavaliers40-17East55-27+4.5>99%69%7%
16001602
-9
Celtics37-21East53-29+3.3>99%28%4%
16001597
+12
Jazz36-22West50-32+4.1>99%<1%3%
15831590
-11
Clippers35-23West50-32+3.4>99%<1%2%
16041589
-13
Wizards34-22East48-34+2.3>99%3%3%
15681574
-11
Grizzlies34-25West48-34+1.6>99%<1%1%
15461557
+9
Raptors34-24East48-34+3.7>99%1%2%
15561546
+4
Thunder33-25West46-36+0.7>99%<1%<1%
15171520
+38
Bulls30-29East42-40+0.288%<1%<1%
15451520
+29
Heat27-32East40-42+0.259%<1%<1%
14931485
-7
Nuggets26-32West38-44-0.846%<1%<1%
14841484
+10
Trail Blazers24-33West37-45-1.732%<1%
14601477
+5
Timberwolves23-36West32-50-1.62%<1%
14771475
+14
Hornets25-33East37-45+0.123%<1%<1%
14861474
+5
Pistons28-30East40-42-0.457%<1%<1%
14641466
+1
Mavericks23-35West34-48-1.96%<1%
14791465
+2
Pacers30-29East40-42-1.459%<1%<1%
14661461
-9
Bucks26-31East37-45-0.722%<1%<1%
14541454
-8
Kings25-34West35-47-2.514%<1%
14631448
-33
Hawks32-26East43-39-1.389%<1%<1%
14001417
+10
76ers22-36East31-51-4.7<1%<1%<1%
14041412
-25
Pelicans23-36West31-51-4.11%<1%
14011407
+0
Knicks24-35East33-49-3.52%<1%<1%
13861386
+3
Magic22-38East30-52-5.6<1%<1%<1%
13711373
-6
Suns18-41West26-56-5.2<1%<1%
13551365
-10
Lakers19-41West27-55-6.2<1%<1%
12491245
-4
Nets9-49East14-68-9.2<1%<1%

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