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UPDATED 12:15 AM EDT | Mar 26, 2017

2016-17 NBA Predictions

Based on “CARM-Elo,” a mix of team Elo ratings and our CARMELO player projections. Updated after every game.

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Games on Mar. 26, 2017

Away team
BKNPHXCHIOKCSACMIAPHIMEMNOPORXXXX
Pre-game win probabilities
Pre-game CARM-Elo point spread
22%
19%
28%
28%
17%
26%
29%
12%
25%
59%
-2
-
-
-
-
78%
-8
81%
-9
72%
-5.5
72%
-6
83%
-9.5
74%
-6.5
71%
-5.5
88%
-12
75%
-6.5
41%
-
-
-
-
Home team
ATLCHAMILHOULACBOSINDGSDENLALXXXX
*If necessary
GameAway
Pre-game probabilities
Pre-game
CARM-Elo spread
Home
BKN
22%
 
78%
-8
ATL
 
PHX
19%
 
81%
-9
CHA
 
CHI
28%
 
72%
-5.5
MIL
 
OKC
28%
 
72%
-6
HOU
 
SAC
17%
 
83%
-9.5
LAC
 
MIA
26%
 
74%
-6.5
BOS
 
PHI
29%
 
71%
-5.5
IND
 
MEM
12%
 
88%
-12
GS
 
NO
25%
 
75%
-6.5
DEN
 
POR
59%
-2
41%
 
LAL
 
X
NaN%
 
NaN%
 
X
 
X
NaN%
 
NaN%
 
X
 
X
NaN%
 
NaN%
 
X
 
X
NaN%
 
NaN%
 
X
 

Team-by-team forecast

Forecast from
Avg. Simulated SeasonAvg. SimulationPlayoff Chances
ELOCarm-ELO1-Week ChangeTeamConferenceRecordProj. RecordPoint Diff/GMake PlayoffsMake Play-offsTop SeedWin Title
17471773
+21
Warriors58-14West66-16+11.589%49%
17041699
+12
Spurs56-16West63-19+7.611%18%
16321635
+5
Rockets50-22West56-26+6.5<1%5%
16021610
+1
Celtics47-26East54-28+3.159%7%
15921604
+16
Clippers44-30West50-32+3.83%
16031599
+14
Wizards45-28East50-32+2.3<1%5%
15831589
+41
Raptors44-29East50-32+4.22%4%
15741566
-5
Thunder41-30West47-35+1.0>99%1%
15701565
-16
Jazz44-29West49-33+3.3>99%1%
15721563
-11
Cavaliers47-25East53-29+3.439%3%
15411541
+20
Trail Blazers34-38West40-42-0.860%<1%
15561535
+19
Nuggets35-37West40-42+0.540%<1%
15301532
-14
Grizzlies40-32West46-36+1.0>99%<1%
15471530
-36
Heat35-37East40-42+0.769%<1%
15261525
+28
Bucks37-35East42-40+0.596%1%
14861495
-38
Timberwolves28-44West32-50-1.0<1%<1%
14771483
+19
Pelicans30-42West34-48-2.3<1%<1%
14861480
-16
Pacers36-36East41-41-1.083%<1%
14821476
+8
Hornets32-40East36-46+0.34%<1%
14591463
-9
Bulls34-39East39-43-0.943%<1%
14521451
-5
Mavericks31-41West35-47-2.6<1%<1%
14591447
-14
Hawks37-35East42-40-1.194%<1%
14351428
-31
Pistons34-39East37-45-1.412%<1%
14091425
+19
76ers27-45East32-50-4.7<1%<1%
13841386
+15
Magic27-46East30-52-5.7<1%<1%
13811381
-20
Kings27-45West30-52-3.9<1%<1%
13731379
-9
Knicks27-46East30-52-3.6<1%<1%
13271334
-1
Lakers21-51West24-58-7.4
13291327
-26
Suns22-51West24-58-5.9
13251323
+13
Nets15-57East18-64-7.4

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