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UPDATED 11:10 PM EDT | Apr 26, 2017

2016-17 NBA Predictions

Based on “CARM-Elo,” a mix of team Elo ratings and our CARMELO player projections. Updated after every game.

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Games on Apr. 27, 2017

First Round
Game 6
Game 6
Away team
3-2TOR3-23-2SA3-2XXXXX
Pre-game win probabilities
Pre-game CARM-Elo point spread
47%
60%
-2.5
-
-
-
-
-
53%
-1
40%
-
-
-
-
-
Home team
MILMEMXXXXX
*If necessary
GameAway
Pre-game probabilities
Pre-game
CARM-Elo spread
Home
63-2TOR
47%
 
53%
-1
MIL
 
63-2SA
60%
-2.5
40%
 
MEM
 
X
NaN%
 
NaN%
 
X
 
X
NaN%
 
NaN%
 
X
 
X
NaN%
 
NaN%
 
X
 
X
NaN%
 
NaN%
 
X
 
X
NaN%
 
NaN%
 
X
 

Team-by-team forecast

Forecast from
Chance of making ...
ELOCarm-ELO1-Week ChangeTeamConf.Conf. SemisConf. FinalsFinalsWin Title
17931813
+14
Warriors4-0West89%77%70%
16531652
-18
Spurs3-2West92%57%10%8%
15931596
+37
Celtics3-2East85%53%31%4%
16211625
+5
Rockets4-1West41%6%4%
15881590
+6
Raptors3-2East84%45%22%3%
16251617
+6
Jazz3-2West77%8%5%3%
15681565
+16
Cavaliers4-0East49%21%3%
15711567
-24
Wizards3-2East84%35%18%2%
16281633
-6
Clippers2-3West23%3%2%1%
15131516
-37
Bulls2-3East15%7%3%<1%
15151515
-6
Bucks2-3East16%6%2%<1%
14951486
+24
Hawks2-3East16%4%2%<1%
14911488
+18
Grizzlies2-3West8%2%<1%<1%
15401543
-14
Trail Blazers0-4West
15231517
-5
Thunder1-4West
15021497
-16
Pacers0-4East
15691555
+0
HeatEast
15521533
+0
NuggetsWest
14821489
+0
PelicansWest
14631472
+0
TimberwolvesWest
14631462
+0
HornetsEast
14411436
+0
PistonsEast
14201421
+0
MavericksWest
13931395
+0
KingsWest
13741379
+0
KnicksEast
13671370
+0
LakersWest
13721370
+0
NetsEast
13521355
+0
MagicEast
13381348
+0
76ersEast
13401337
+0
SunsWest

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