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UPDATED 1:12 AM EDT | Mar 30, 2017

2016-17 NBA Predictions

Based on “CARM-Elo,” a mix of team Elo ratings and our CARMELO player projections. Updated after every game.

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Games on Mar. 30, 2017

Away team
BKNCLELALLACHOUXXXXXXXXX
Pre-game win probabilities
Pre-game CARM-Elo point spread
27%
45%
16%
69%
-5
46%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
73%
-6
55%
-1
84%
-10
31%
54%
-1
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home team
DETCHIMINPHXPORXXXXXXXXX
*If necessary
GameAway
Pre-game probabilities
Pre-game
CARM-Elo spread
Home
BKN
27%
 
73%
-6
DET
 
CLE
45%
 
55%
-1
CHI
 
LAL
16%
 
84%
-10
MIN
 
LAC
69%
-5
31%
 
PHX
 
HOU
46%
 
54%
-1
POR
 
X
NaN%
 
NaN%
 
X
 
X
NaN%
 
NaN%
 
X
 
X
NaN%
 
NaN%
 
X
 
X
NaN%
 
NaN%
 
X
 
X
NaN%
 
NaN%
 
X
 
X
NaN%
 
NaN%
 
X
 
X
NaN%
 
NaN%
 
X
 
X
NaN%
 
NaN%
 
X
 
X
NaN%
 
NaN%
 
X
 

Team-by-team forecast

Forecast from
Avg. Simulated SeasonAvg. SimulationPlayoff Chances
ELOCarm-ELO1-Week ChangeTeamConferenceRecordProj. RecordPoint Diff/GMake PlayoffsMake Play-offsTop SeedWin Title
17711798
+26
Warriors61-14West67-15+11.8>99%58%
16981692
-4
Spurs57-17West62-20+7.7<1%15%
16301633
+2
Rockets51-23West56-26+6.54%
15951602
-7
Celtics48-27East53-29+2.954%5%
15901601
-1
Clippers45-31West49-33+3.72%
16011599
+18
Wizards46-29East50-32+2.2<1%4%
15911584
+12
Jazz46-29West49-33+3.7>99%2%
15761579
+19
Raptors45-30East49-33+4.1<1%3%
15781571
+5
Thunder43-31West48-34+1.11%
15561557
+25
Trail Blazers36-38West41-41-0.692%<1%
15641556
-14
Cavaliers47-26East52-30+3.245%2%
15591545
-5
Heat37-38East41-41+1.084%1%
15291530
-4
Grizzlies41-34West46-36+1.0>99%<1%
15271527
+5
Bucks39-36East43-39+0.5>99%<1%
15091516
+30
Pelicans32-43West36-46-1.8<1%<1%
14911501
-15
Timberwolves29-44West33-49-1.0<1%<1%
15171496
-28
Nuggets35-39West38-44-0.27%<1%
14811485
+4
Bulls35-39East40-42-0.656%<1%
14841479
-5
Hornets34-41East37-45+0.43%<1%
14791475
-16
Pacers37-38East40-42-1.062%<1%
14451444
-10
Mavericks31-43West34-48-2.6<1%<1%
14461435
-14
Hawks39-36East42-40-1.395%<1%
14011415
+7
76ers28-47East31-51-4.9
14201414
-34
Pistons34-41East37-45-1.6<1%<1%
13791378
-4
Kings29-46West31-51-4.1<1%<1%
13741376
+9
Magic27-48East30-52-5.9
13721376
-8
Knicks28-47East30-52-3.7
13431341
+32
Nets16-58East19-63-7.0
13221321
-24
Suns22-53West24-58-5.9
13141317
-1
Lakers21-53West23-59-7.7

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