Arizona 2nd

Likely D

14 in 15

Chance the Democrat wins (93.3%)

1 in 15

Chance the Republican wins (6.7%)

us_map2See the national overview

# What goes into the
icon_classic_2
classic forecast in the Arizona 2nd

The Classic version of our model projects a race’s outcome by taking a weighted average of polls of a district (if available), polls of similar districts (CANTOR) and non-polling factors (fundamentals). It is then reverted toward a mean based on long-term trends in midterms and presidential approval ratings.

  • Adjusted polls

  • D+8.9

    CANTOR

  • D+12.1

    Fundamentals

  • D+7.7

    Experts

  • D+8.9

    icon_lite_2

    Lite

  • D+11.8

    icon_classic_2

    Classic

  • D+10.4

    icon_deluxe_2

    Deluxe

  • <0.1

  • <0.1

Historical adjustment

Key

More weight

Less

#Latest polls in the Arizona 2nd

We haven’t been able to find any polls for this district. Know of one? Send us an email.

Our latest coverage

Comments