California 21st

Lean R

3 in 8

Chance the Democrat wins (36.6%)

5 in 8

Chance the Republican wins (63.4%)

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# What goes into the
icon_classic_2
classic forecast in the California 21st

The Classic version of our model projects a race’s outcome by taking a weighted average of polls of a district (if available), polls of similar districts (CANTOR) and non-polling factors (fundamentals). It is then reverted toward a mean based on long-term trends in midterms and presidential approval ratings.

  • Adjusted polls

  • D+5.8

    CANTOR

  • R+3.5

    Fundamentals

  • R+10.2

    Experts

  • D+5.8

    icon_lite_2

    Lite

  • R+2.9

    icon_classic_2

    Classic

  • R+5.4

    icon_deluxe_2

    Deluxe

  • <0.1

  • <0.1

Historical adjustment

Key

More weight

Less

#Latest polls in the California 21st

We haven’t been able to find any polls for this district. Know of one? Send us an email.

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