Colorado 6th

Likely D

4 in 5

Chance the Democrat wins (81.6%)

1 in 5

Chance the Republican wins (18.4%)

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# What goes into the
icon_classic_2
classic forecast in the Colorado 6th

The Classic version of our model projects a race’s outcome by taking a weighted average of polls of a district (if available), polls of similar districts (CANTOR) and non-polling factors (fundamentals). It is then reverted toward a mean based on long-term trends in midterms and presidential approval ratings.

  • D+8.2

    Adjusted polls

  • D+1.7

    CANTOR

  • D+4.4

    Fundamentals

  • D+4.0

    Experts

  • D+6.3

    icon_lite_2

    Lite

  • D+6.1

    icon_classic_2

    Classic

  • D+5.4

    icon_deluxe_2

    Deluxe

  • <0.1

  • <0.1

Historical adjustment

Key

More weight

Less

#Latest polls in the Colorado 6th

We've collected four polls for the Colorado 6th. We’re adjusting poll results in three ways: Polls of registered voters or all adults are adjusted to a likely-voter basis; older polls are adjusted based on shifts in the generic congressional ballot since the poll was conducted; and polls are adjusted for house effects (the tendency for a firm’s polls to lean toward Democrats or Republicans). Polls with larger sample sizes and those conducted by higher-quality polling agencies are given more weight, as are more recent polls.

Adjustments
datespollstersampleweight
Crow
Coffman
marginlikely voterTime-lineHouse effects Adjusted margin
Sep. 12-14
9/12-14
Siena College500LV
1.12
51%40%D+10.4 <0.1 0.2 D+10.6
Jul. 11-17
7/11-17
Global Strategy Group
D
506LV
0.17
47%45%D+2.0 0.5 2.1 D+0.6
Jul. 9-12
7/9-12
IMGE Insights400RV
0.14
45%45%EVEN 0.6 0.5 1.7 D+1.8
Feb. 15-18
2/15-18
Public Policy Polling
D
751V
0.01
44%39%D+5.0 0.3 0.5 1.5 D+3.8

Key

A = adults

RV = Registered voters

V = voters

LV = likely voters

R
D

= partisan poll

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